Bayesian Regularization Neural Network Research Articles

On the thermal performance of a three-dimensional cross-ternary hybrid nanofluid over a wedge using a Bayesian regularization neural network approach

Abstract Significance Studying the flow of ternary nanofluids [Ag, Cu, MoS2] holds significant importance in both science and engineering. Ternary nanofluids are vital in advancing thermal management systems, heat exchangers, aerospace, and materials processing applications. Purpose This study investigates the ternary hybrid Carreau nanofluid numerically for thermal proficiency in the inclined magnetized environment. In this study, three distinct nanoparticles of [Ag, Cu, MoS2] and base fluid water over the wedge are used. The velocity of nanofluids is judged under the influence of an inclined magnetic field, and the thermal performance is scrutinized by incorporating the thermal radiation effect. Methodology The physical problem generates partial differential equations, which are transformed into ordinary differential equations (ODEs) through similarity variables. These ODEs are linearized into a system of ODEs and then passed under the bvp4c Matlab program to get the solution. This solution is again trained by an artificial neural network, and further results are obtained with both schemes and compared. Findings The most rapid heat transport analysis is found for ternary hybrid nanofluids compared to bi-hybrid nanofluids. The thermal radiation parameters and the magnetic environment augment the rate of heat transport.

A besyian regularisation neural network approach for hepatitis B virus spread prediction and immune system therapy model

The primary aim of the article is to analyze the response of the human immune system when it encounters the hepatitis B virus. This is done using a mathematical system of differential equations. The differential equation system has six components, likely representing various aspects of the immune response or virus dynamics. A Bayesian regularization neural network has been presented in the process of training. These networks are employed to find solutions for different categories or scenarios related to hepatitis B infection. The Adams method is used to generate reference data sets. The back-propagated artificial neural network, based on Bayesian regularization, is trained and validated using the generated data. The data is divided into three sets: 90% for training and 5% each for testing and validation. The correctness and effectiveness of the proposed neural network model have been assessed using various evaluation metrics. The metrics have been used in this study are Mean Square Error (MSE), histogram errors, and regression plots. These measures provide support to the neural network to approximate the immune response to the hepatitis B virus.

A Bayesian regularization radial basis neural network novel procedure for the fractional economic and environmental system

The motive of current work is to design a novel radial basis Bayesian regularization neural network (RB-BRNN) for solving the nonlinear fractional economic and environmental system (FEES). A radial basis activation function in the hidden layers is applied by taking 20 numbers of neurons. The mathematical FEES is presented in three classes, named as cost of control accomplishment, manufacturing elements competence and technical exclusion’s diagnostics cost. A reference dataset is obtained using the Adams numerical results to reduce the mean square error (MSE) by taking the data for training 70%, while 15% is used for both testing and validation. The negligible absolute error values and comparison of the solutions develop the worth of computing RB-BRNN in order to solve the nonlinear dynamics of the FEES. Error diagrams, regression values, and the MSE performances are implemented to assess the precision of the designed solver.

A reliable Bayesian regularization neural network approach to solve the global stability of infectious disease model

The purpose of this study is to perform the numerical results of the global stability of infectious disease mathematical model by using the stochastic computing scheme. The design of proposed solver is presented by one of the efficient and reliable schemes named as Bayesian regularization neural network (BRNN). The global stability of infectious disease mathematical nonlinear model is categorized into susceptible, infected, recovered and vaccinated. The construction of dataset is performed through the Runge-Kutta scheme in order to lessen the mean square error (MSE) by dividing the statics as training 74 %, while 13 % for both testing and endorsement. The proposed stochastic process contains log-sigmoid merit function, twenty neurons and optimization through RBNN for the numerical solutions of the global stability of infectious disease mathematical system. The best training values for each model's case are performed around 10–11. The scheme's correctness is performed by the matching of the results and the minor calculated absolute error performances. Moreover, the regression, state transmission, error histogram and MSE indicate the trustworthiness of the designed solver.

Data-driven prediction of convective heat transfer coefficients in internal walls of aero-engine bearing chambers using Mind Evolution Algorithm-Enhanced Bayesian regularization neural networks

In the bearing chambers of aero-engines, the complex nature of the oil–gas flow complicates the precise calculation of heat transfer coefficients. Addressing computational discrepancies, firstly, this study establishes a correlation analysis method, which considers the relationship between several independent variables including the geometric shape of the bearing chamber, rotational speed, oil flow rate, thermal sealing air mass, circumferential angle, axial position, and the dependent variable, which is the logarithmic Nusselt number on the internal wall. Secondly, four models are developed using Multiple Linear Regression, Back Propagation Neural Network, Deep Belief Neural Network, and Convolutional Neural Network with Long Short-Term Memory Network, yielding Mean Relative Percentage Errors (MRPE) of 5.14%, 2.80%, 4.66%, and 4.12%, respectively. Due to the limited predictive performance of these models, the neural network topology is further optimized. After repeated trial-and-error calculations, the neural network with three hidden layers was found to be the most effective. Finally, a novel BP Neural Network optimized by the Mind Evolution Algorithm-enhanced with Bayesian regularization (MEA-BPNN-Bayesian) model is proposed forpredicting the local convective heat transfer, achieving an MRPE of 1.71%. The model accurately predicted heat transfer coefficients, opening up new ways to improve heat management in bearing chambers.

Predicting axial-bearing capacity of fully grouted rock bolting systems by applying an ensemble system

In this paper, the potential of the five latest artificial intelligence (AI) predictive techniques, namely multiple linear regression (MLR), multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), Bayesian regularized neural network (BRNN), generalized feed-forward neural networks (GFFNN), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and their ensemble soft computing models were evaluated to predict of the maximum peak load (PL) and displacement (DP) values resulting from pull-out tests. For this, 34 samples of the fully cementitious grouted rock bolts were prepared and cast. After conducting pull-out tests and building a dataset, twenty-four tests were randomly considered as a training dataset, and the remaining measurements were chosen to test the models’ performance. The input parameters were water-to-grout ratio (%) and curing time (day), while peak loads and displacement values were the outputs. The results revealed that the ensemble XGBoost model was superior to the other models. It was because having higher values of R2 (0.989, 0.979) and VAF (99.473, 98.658) and lower values of RMSE (0.0201, 0.0435) were achieved for testing the dataset of PL and DP’ values, respectively. Besides, sensitivity analysis proved that curing time was the most influential parameter in estimating values of peak loads and displacements. Also, the results confirmed that the ensemble XGBoost method was positioned to predict the axial-bearing capacity of the fully cementitious grouted rock bolting system with extreme performance and accuracy. Eventually, the results of the ensemble XGBoost modeling technique suggested that this novel model was more economical, less time-consuming, and less complicated than laboratory activities.

Predicting grout’s uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) for fully grouted rock bolting system by applying ensemble machine learning techniques

This study proposes a novel system for accurately predicting grout’s uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) in fully grouted rock bolting systems. To achieve this, a database comprising 73 UCS values with varying water-to-grout (W/G) ratios ranging from 22 to 42%, curing times from 1 to 28 days, the admixture of fly ash contents ranging from 0 to 30%, and two Australian commercial grouts, Stratabinder HS, and BU-100, was built after conducting comprehensive series of experimental tests. After building the dataset, a metaheuristic technique, the jellyfish search (JS) algorithm was employed to determine the weight of base models in the ensemble system. This system combined various data and modelling techniques to enhance the accuracy of the UCS predictions. What sets this technique apart is the comprehensive database and the innovative use of the JS algorithm to create a weighted averaging ensemble model, going beyond traditional methods for predicting grout strength. The proposed ensemble model was called the weighted averaging ensemble model (WAE-JS), in which the obtained results of several soft computing models such as multi-layer perceptron (MLP), Bayesian regularized (BR) neural networks, generalized feed-forward (GFF) neural networks, classification and regression tree (CART), and random forest (RF) were weighted based on JS and the new results were then generated. Eventually, the result of WAE-JS was compared to other models, including MLP, BR, GFF, CART, and RF, based on some statistical parameters, such as R-squared coefficients, RMSE, and VAF as indices for evaluating the performance and capability of the proposed model. The results suggested the superiority of the ensemble WAE-JS system over the base models. In addition, the proposed WAE-JS model effectively improved the predicting accuracy achieved from the MLP, BR, GFF, CART, and RF. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis revealed that the W/G had the most significant impact on the grout’s UCS values.

Numerical Performance of the Fractional Direct Spreading Cholera Disease Model: An Artificial Neural Network Approach

The current investigation examines the numerical performance of the fractional-order endemic disease model based on the direct spreading of cholera by applying the neuro-computing Bayesian regularization (BR) neural network process. The purpose is to present the numerical solutions of the fractional-order model, which provides more precise solutions as compared to the integer-order one. Real values based on the parameters can be obtained and one can achieve better results by utilizing these values. The mathematical form of the fractional direct spreading cholera disease is categorized as susceptible, infected, treatment, and recovered, which represents a nonlinear model. The construction of the dataset is performed through the implicit Runge–Kutta method, which is used to lessen the mean square error by taking 74% of the data for training, while 8% is used for both validation and testing. Twenty-two neurons and the log-sigmoid fitness function in the hidden layer are used in the stochastic neural network process. The optimization of BR is performed in order to solve the direct spreading cholera disease problem. The accuracy of the stochastic process is authenticated through the valuation of the outputs, whereas the negligible calculated absolute error values demonstrate the approach’s correctness. Furthermore, the statistical operator performance establishes the reliability of the proposed scheme.

Advancements in epidemiological modeling: Bayesian regularization neural networks for smoke dynamics

Using an artificial neural network and the Bayesian Regularization Technique (NNs-BRT), the stochastic method’s strength is used to analyze the differential system, illustrating a nonlinear smoke epidemic differential model (NSED). This allows for a more precise, dependable, cost-effective, dynamic calculating approach. In addition to experiments utilizing nonlinear mathematical structures through five distinct classes of differential operators-smokers contemplating quitting, infrequent smokers, regular smokers, those who have temporarily abstained from smoking, and those who have permanently quit smoking the NSED framework has been established. By allocating 25% of the data for testing and validation and 75% for training, the proposed NNs-BRT can determine the estimated solutions of five different examples based on the numerical computation of the NSED system employing Adams techniques. To prove the accuracy of the given NNs-BRTs, a comparison of the results from the dataset obtained using the Adam method for different scenarios reflecting variance in recruitment rate, effective contact rate between C and A, natural death rate, how quickly occasional smokers become regular smokers, contact rate between smokers, and temporary quitters, number of smokers quitting, and percentage of smokers who are still leaving for good is made. The use of error histograms, mean square error, regression, correlation, and state transitions is also examined in numerical replications of the NNs-BRTs to verify their competence, dependability, accuracy, consistency, and proficiency.

Rapid detection and quantification of melamine, urea, sucrose, water, and milk powder adulteration in pasteurized milk using Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy coupled with modern statistical machine learning algorithms

There is an evident requirement for a rapid, efficient, and simple method to screen the authenticity of milk products in the market. Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy stands out as a promising solution. This work employed FTIR spectroscopy and modern statistical machine learning algorithms for the identification and quantification of pasteurized milk adulteration. Comparative results demonstrate modern statistical machine learning algorithms will improve the ability of FTIR spectroscopy to predict milk adulteration compared to partial least square (PLS). To discern the types of substances utilized in milk adulteration, a top-performing multiclassification model was established using multi-layer perceptron (MLP) algorithm, delivering an impressive prediction accuracy of 97.4 %. For quantification purposes, bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNN) provided the best results for the determination of both melamine, urea and milk powder adulteration, while extreme gradient boosting (XGB) and projection pursuit regression (PPR) gave better results in predicting sucrose and water adulteration levels, respectively. The regression models provided suitable predictive accuracy with the ratio of performance to deviation (RPD) values higher than 3. The proposed methodology proved to be a cost-effective and fast tool for screening the authenticity of pasteurized milk in the market.

A synergistic approach to optimizing the performance of a concentrating solar segmented variable area leg thermoelectric generator using numerical methods and neural networks

This study presents an optimized design for segmented variable area leg thermoelectric modules using finite element methods and Bayesian regularized neural networks. We explored the impact of geometry and thermal parameters on module performance using ANSYS software, identifying optimal parameters for power output and efficiency. Key findings revealed the higher influence of geometric parameters and confirmed the advantages of segmented thermoelectric generators for high-temperature applications like concentrated solar systems. With this optimization, power output and efficiency of the module increased by 875% and 165%, respectively, under 25 Suns. To refine the optimization process, a Bayesian regularized neural network was utilized, proving effective in predicting module performance with a low mean squared error and high coefficient of determination. This research provides important insights into high-performance thermoelectric modules for sustainable energy applications, demonstrating the significant role of advanced computational methods in energy solutions.

Liquid droplet entrainment in an annular flow boiling regime—A Bayesian regularization algorithm based study

Accurate prediction of the entrained liquid droplet fraction in an annular two-phase flow regime plays a crucial role for estimating the dryout type critical heat flux to identify the optimized flow characteristics in the thermal systems across different industries. Existing studies have provided different correlations based on the limited experimental data. However, these correlations are applicable to certain operating conditions. Therefore, the present study aims at applying a deep learning method, specifically an artificial neural network (ANN), to enhance the prediction of the entrained liquid droplet fraction. Experimental data from various works on annular flow, covering a wide spectrum of pressure and flow conditions, are utilized for training the ANN model. Eight input variables, viz, superficial gas velocity (JSG), superficial liquid velocity (JSL), gas viscosity (μG), liquid viscosity (μL), gas density (ρG), liquid density (ρL), pipe diameter (d) and liquid surface tension (σLV) are considered as input features. The entrained liquid droplet fraction is the single output feature. The present model employs the Bayesian regularization backpropagation algorithm for training. The present ANN model is compared against the performance of linear regression, decision tree and support vector machine algorithms, and found that the performance of the present Bayesian regularization neural network (BRNN) model is superior within ∼7.5% deviation. Further, the BRNN model is coupled with the film mass flow rate model to obtain the axial variation of the liquid film mass flow rate and good agreement is noticed when compared against the experimental data.

Mechanical Framework for Geopolymer Gels Construction: An Optimized LSTM Technique to Predict Compressive Strength of Fly Ash-Based Geopolymer Gels Concrete.

As an environmentally responsible alternative to conventional concrete, geopolymer concrete recycles previously used resources to prepare the cementitious component of the product. The challenging issue with employing geopolymer concrete in the building business is the absence of a standard mix design. According to the chemical composition of its components, this work proposes a thorough system or framework for estimating the compressive strength of fly ash-based geopolymer concrete (FAGC). It could be possible to construct a system for predicting the compressive strength of FAGC using soft computing methods, thereby avoiding the requirement for time-consuming and expensive experimental tests. A complete database of 162 compressive strength datasets was gathered from the research papers that were published between the years 2000 and 2020 and prepared to develop proposed models. To address the relationships between inputs and output variables, long short-term memory networks were deployed. Notably, the proposed model was examined using several soft computing methods. The modeling process incorporated 17 variables that affect the CSFAG, such as percentage of SiO2 (SiO2), percentage of Na2O (Na2O), percentage of CaO (CaO), percentage of Al2O3 (Al2O3), percentage of Fe2O3 (Fe2O3), fly ash (FA), coarse aggregate (CAgg), fine aggregate (FAgg), Sodium Hydroxide solution (SH), Sodium Silicate solution (SS), extra water (EW), superplasticizer (SP), SH concentration, percentage of SiO2 in SS, percentage of Na2O in SS, curing time, curing temperature that the proposed model was examined to several soft computing methods such as multi-layer perception neural network (MLPNN), Bayesian regularized neural network (BRNN), generalized feed-forward neural networks (GFNN), support vector regression (SVR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and LSTM. Three main innovations of this study are using the LSTM model for predicting FAGC, optimizing the LSTM model by a new evolutionary algorithm called the marine predators algorithm (MPA), and considering the six new inputs in the modeling process, such as aggregate to total mass ratio, fine aggregate to total aggregate mass ratio, FASiO2:Al2O3 molar ratio, FA SiO2:Fe2O3 molar ratio, AA Na2O:SiO2 molar ratio, and the sum of SiO2, Al2O3, and Fe2O3 percent in FA. The performance capacity of LSTM-MPA was evaluated with other artificial intelligence models. The results indicate that the R2 and RMSE values for the proposed LSTM-MPA model were as follows: MLPNN (R2 = 0.896, RMSE = 3.745), BRNN (R2 = 0.931, RMSE = 2.785), GFFNN (R2 = 0.926, RMSE = 2.926), SVR-L (R2 = 0.921, RMSE = 3.017), SVR-P (R2 = 0.920, RMSE = 3.291), SVR-S (R2 = 0.934, RMSE = 2.823), SVR-RBF (R2 = 0.916, RMSE = 3.114), DT (R2 = 0.934, RMSE = 2.711), RF (R2 = 0.938, RMSE = 2.892), LSTM (R2 = 0.9725, RMSE = 1.7816), LSTM-MPA (R2 = 0.9940, RMSE = 0.8332), and LSTM-PSO (R2 = 0.9804, RMSE = 1.5221). Therefore, the proposed LSTM-MPA model can be employed as a reliable and accurate model for predicting CSFAG. Noteworthy, the results demonstrated the significance and influence of fly ash and sodium silicate solution chemical compositions on the compressive strength of FAGC. These variables could adequately present variations in the best mix designs discovered in earlier investigations. The suggested approach may also save time and money by accurately estimating the compressive strength of FAGC with low calcium content.

Retrieval of Desert Microwave Land Surface Emissivity Based on Machine Learning Algorithms

Based on the community radiative transfer model, ensemble tree-based random forest algorithm, and extreme gradient boosting tree algorithm, this study established a random forest retrieval model (RF) and an extreme gradient boosting tree retrieval model (XGBoost) for the microwave land surface emissivity by using ERA5 reanalysis data and the observed brightness temperature of 10.65 GHz vertical polarization from FY3C Microwave Radiation Imager-I. In addition, an optimized Bayesian regularized neural network retrieval model (M2_30NN) has also been established on the basis of the original neural network land surface emissivity retrieval model (M1_20NN). The results show that compared with the simulated brightness temperature of the original land surface emissivity, the simulated brightness temperature of the land surface emissivity from each retrieval model is not only significantly improved in the correlation coefficient with the observed brightness temperature (5.92% (M1_20NN), 4.23% (M2_30NN), 14.21% (RF), 13.07% (XGBoost)), but also in the evaluation indexes of root mean square error, mean absolute error and explained variance regression score in the training datasets. Furthermore, in terms of testing datasets and spatiotemporal independence test datasets, the retrieval results of RF and XGBoost models can capture the spatial distribution patterns that are consistent with observations well, and also show great numerical improvement compared with the original model. In general, the XGBoost retrieval model is the best, followed by the RF retrieval model.

Atomically dispersed high-loading Pt-Fe/C metal-atom foam catalyst for oxygen reduction in fuel cells

Designing efficient and stable single-atom catalysts (SACs) for the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) is essential to promote fuel cell commercialization. In this study, the Bayesian Regularization Neural Network (BRNN) has been used to determine the carbothermal shock (CTS) conditions for preparing high-loading Pt-Fe/C SACs. The BRNN model effectively identified a low reaction temperature of 283 °C for achieving high-loading (15 wt %) Pt-Fe/C SACs. Based on this model, we successfully synthesized Pt-Fe/C SACs with a metal mass content of 11.31 wt % using the CTS method. These ultrahigh content metal Pt-Fe/C SACs consisted of dispersed single atoms and foam-like atomic constructions, namely Pt-Fe/C atom foam catalysts (AFCs), rendered them promising candidates for electrocatalysis applications. The Pt-Fe/C AFCs exhibited good catalytic activity and durability toward ORR in alkaline conditions. The Pt-Fe/C AFCs were employed in a direct borohydride fuel cell (DBFC) as cathode catalyst, which resulted in a maximum power density of 214 mW cm−2 at 60 °C and demonstrated stable discharge for 40 h at room temperature. The electrocatalytic performance of the Pt-Fe/C AFCs surpassed that of low-loading Pt-Fe/C SACs and commercial Pt/C catalysts. The rapid ramp-up rate and the rapid cooling rate of the CTS process enabled the incorporation of high-loading Pt and Fe metal atoms into the graphitized carbon layer, resulting in an increased number of active sites of the Pt-Fe/C AFCs. This work provides an effective strategy for manufacturing efficient and stable SACs for practical applications in fuel cells.

Evaluating air quality and criteria pollutants prediction disparities by data mining along a stretch of urban-rural agglomeration includes coal-mine belts and thermal power plants

Air pollution has become a threat to human life around the world since researchers have demonstrated several effects of air pollution to the environment, climate, and society. The proposed research was organized in terms of National Air Quality Index (NAQI) and air pollutants prediction using data mining algorithms for particular timeframe dataset (01 January 2019, to 01 June 2021) in the industrial eastern coastal state of India. Over half of the study period, concentrations of PM2.5, PM10 and CO were several times higher than the NAQI standard limit. NAQI, in terms of consistency and frequency analysis, revealed that moderate level (ranges 101–200) has the maximum frequency of occurrence (26–158 days), and consistency was 36%–73% throughout the study period. The satisfactory level NAQI (ranges 51–100) frequency occurrence was 4–43 days with a consistency of 13%–67%. Poor to very poor level of air quality was found 13–50 days of the year, with a consistency of 9%–25%. Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Bagged Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and Bayesian Regularized Neural Networks (BRNN) are the data mining algorithms, that showed higher efficiency for the prediction of PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and SO2 except for CO and O3 at Talcher and CO at Brajrajnagar. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between observed and predicted values of PM2.5 (ranges 12.40–17.90) and correlation coefficient (r) (ranges 0.83–0.92) for training and testing data indicate about slightly better prediction of PM2.5 by RF, SVM, bagged MARS, and BRNN models at Talcher in comparison to PM2.5 RMSE (ranges 13.06–21.66) and r (ranges 0.64–0.91) at Brajrajnagar. However, PM10 (RMSE: 25.80–43.41; r: 0.57–0.90), NO2 (RMSE: 3.00–4.95; r: 0.42–0.88) and SO2 (RMSE: 2.78–5.46; r: 0.31–0.88) at Brajrajnagar are better than PM10 (RMSE: 35.40–55.33; r: 0.68–0.91), NO2 (RMSE: 4.99–9.11; r: 0.48–0.92), and SO2 (RMSE: 4.91–9.47; r: 0.20–0.93) between observed and predicted values of training and testing data at Talcher using RF, SVM, bagged MARS and BRNN models, respectively. Taylor plots demonstrated that these algorithms showed promising accuracy for predicting air quality. The findings will help scientific community and policymakers to understand the distribution of air pollutants to strategize reduction in air pollution and enhance air quality in the study region.

Possible Alternatives: Identifying and Quantifying Adulteration in Buffalo, Goat, and Camel Milk Using Mid-Infrared Spectroscopy Combined with Modern Statistical Machine Learning Methods.

Adulteration of higher priced milks with cheaper ones to obtain extra profit can adversely affect consumer health and the market. In this study, pure buffalo milk (BM), goat milk (GM), camel milk (CM), and their mixtures with 5-50% (vol/vol) cow milk or water were used. Mid-infrared spectroscopy (MIRS) combined with modern statistical machine learning was used for the discrimination and quantification of cow milk or water adulteration in BM, GM, and CM. Compared to partial least squares (PLS), modern statistical machine learning-especially support vector machines (SVM), projection pursuit regression (PPR), and Bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNN)-exhibited superior performance for the detection of adulteration. The best prediction models for the different predictive traits are as follows: The binary classification models developed by SVM resulted in differentiation of CM-cow milk, and GM/CM-water mixtures. PLS resulted in differentiation of BM/GM-cow milk and BM-water mixtures. All of the above models have 100% classification accuracy. SVM was used to develop multi-classification models for identifying the high and low proportions of cow milk in BM, GM, and CM, as well as the high and low proportions of water adulteration in BM and GM, with correct classification rates of 94%, 100%, 100%, 99%, and 100%, respectively. In addition, a PLS-based model was developed for identifying the high and low proportions of water adulteration in CM, with correct classification rates of 100%. A regression model for quantifying cow milk in BM was developed using PCA + BRNN, with RMSEV = 5.42%, and RV2 = 0.88. A regression model for quantifying water adulteration in BM was developed using PCA + PPR, with RMSEV = 1.70%, and RV2 = 0.99. Modern statistical machine learning improved the accuracy of MIRS in predicting BM, GM, and CM adulteration more effectively than PLS.

Data-Driven GWO-BRNN-Based SOH Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries in EVs for Their Prognostics and Health Management

Due to the complexity of the aging process, maintaining the state of health (SOH) of lithium-ion batteries is a significant challenge that must be overcome. This study presents a new SOH estimation approach based on hybrid Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) with Bayesian Regularized Neural Networks (BRNN). The approach utilizes health features (HFs) extracted from the battery charging-discharging process. Selected external voltage and current characteristics from the charging-discharging process serve as HFs to explain the aging mechanism of the batteries. The Pearson correlation coefficient, the Kendall rank correlation coefficient, and the Spearman rank correlation coefficient are then employed to select HFs that have a high degree of association with battery capacity. In this paper, GWO is introduced as a method for optimizing and selecting appropriate hyper-p parameters for BRNN. GWO-BRNN updates the population through mutation, crossover, and screening operations to obtain the globally optimal solution and improve the ability to conduct global searches. The validity of the proposed technique was assessed by examining the NASA battery dataset. Based on the simulation results, the presented approach demonstrates a higher level of accuracy. The proposed GWO-BRNN-based SOH estimation achieves estimate assessment indicators of less than 1%, significantly lower than the estimated results obtained by existing approaches. The proposed framework helps develop electric vehicle battery prognostics and health management for the widespread use of eco-friendly and reliable electric transportation.

Ensemble Learning for Blending Gridded Satellite and Gauge-Measured Precipitation Data

Regression algorithms are regularly used for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products. In this context, satellite precipitation and topography data are the predictor variables, and gauged-measured precipitation data are the dependent variables. Alongside this, it is increasingly recognised in many fields that combinations of algorithms through ensemble learning can lead to substantial predictive performance improvements. Still, a sufficient number of ensemble learners for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products and their large-scale comparison are currently missing from the literature. In this study, we work towards filling in this specific gap by proposing 11 new ensemble learners in the field and by extensively comparing them. We apply the ensemble learners to monthly data from the PERSIANN (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks) and IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM) gridded datasets that span over a 15-year period and over the entire contiguous United States (CONUS). We also use gauge-measured precipitation data from the Global Historical Climatology Network monthly database, version 2 (GHCNm). The ensemble learners combine the predictions of six machine learning regression algorithms (base learners), namely the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), multivariate adaptive polynomial splines (poly-MARS), random forests (RF), gradient boosting machines (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and Bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNN), and each of them is based on a different combiner. The combiners include the equal-weight combiner, the median combiner, two best learners and seven variants of a sophisticated stacking method. The latter stacks a regression algorithm on top of the base learners to combine their independent predictions. Its seven variants are defined by seven different regression algorithms, specifically the linear regression (LR) algorithm and the six algorithms also used as base learners. The results suggest that sophisticated stacking performs significantly better than the base learners, especially when applied using the LR algorithm. It also beats the simpler combination methods.

A novel radial basis procedure for the SIRC epidemic delay differential model

The purpose of this work is to construct a reliable stochastic framework for solving the SIRC delay differential epidemic system, i.e. SIRC-DDES that is based on the coronavirus dynamics. The design of radial basis (RB) transfer function with the optimization of Bayesian regularization neural network (RB-BRNN) is presented to solve the SIRC-DDES. The SIRC-DDES is classified into susceptible , infected , recovered and cross-immune . The exactness of the RB-BRNN is performed for three cases of SIRC-DDES by using the performances of the obtained and reference results. The mean square error is reduced by using the training, testing and substantiation performances with the reference solutions. The small values of the absolute error around 10−07 to 10−08 and different statistical operator performances based on the error histogram values, transitions of state investigations, correlation and regression tests also approve the accuracy of the proposed technique.