Bayesian Meta-analysis Research Articles

Evaluating the robustness of DTI-ALPS in clinical context: a meta-analytic parallel on Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s diseases

In recent years, the glymphatic system has received increasing attention due to its possible implications in biological mechanisms associated with neurodegeneration. In the field of human brain mapping, this led to the development of diffusion tensor image analysis along the perivascular space (DTI-ALPS) index. While this index has been repeatedly used to investigate possible differences between neurodegenerative disorders and healthy controls, a comprehensive evaluation of its stability across multiple measurements and different disorders is still missing. In this study, we perform a Bayesian meta-analysis aiming to assess the consistency of the DTI-ALPS results previously reported for 12 studies on Parkinson’s disease and 11 studies on Alzheimer’s disease. We also evaluated if the measured value of the DTI-ALPS index can quantitatively inform the diagnostic process, allowing disambiguation between these two disorders. Our results, expressed in terms of Bayes’ Factor values, confirmed that the DTI-ALPS index is consistent in measuring the different functioning of the glymphatic system between healthy subjects and patients for both Parkinson’s disease (Log10(BF10) = 30) and Alzheimer’s disease (Log10(BF10) = 10). Moreover, we showed that the DTI-ALPS can be used to compare these two disorders directly, therefore providing a first proof of concept supporting the reliability of taking into consideration this neuroimaging measurement in the diagnostic process. Our study underscores the potential of the DTI-ALPS index in advancing our understanding of neurodegenerative pathologies and enhancing clinical diagnostics.

Macroclimatic Convergence and Habitat Specialisation Shape the Mediterranean Seed Germination Syndrome.

Ecological theory predicts that plant reproductive phenology in the Mediterranean regions is shaped by evolutionary processes driven by strong seasonality in precipitation-evaporation patterns. Thus, it can be expected that seed germination phenology has adapted to maximise recruitment during the season of highest water availability. Cold-cued and slow germination (i.e., the 'Mediterranean seed germination syndrome') has been hypothesised to be an adaptation to ensure that seedling emergence occurs in autumn/early winter, extending the growing season before the subsequent unfavourable summer drought. However, this hypothesis has been tested on individual species or local studies, without a proper synthesis for the whole Mediterranean region. Here we tested, for the first time, the Mediterranean seed germination syndrome using experimental data for 459 species (11,363 records, 59 families) occurring in the Mediterranean Basin. We performed a phylogenetically informed Bayesian meta-analysis to model the effect on germination proportions of seven key experimental cues: mean incubation temperature, alternating temperature regime, light and dormancy-breaking treatments (scarification, warm stratification and cold stratification) and the modulating role of seed mass on seed germination. We show that species from lowland zonal habitats of the Mediterranean align with the Mediterranean germination syndrome hypothesis, with their seeds responding positively to cool, constant temperatures and negatively to light. Yet, habitat specialists (i.e., species restricted to mountains, coasts and wetlands) deviate from the syndrome, showing nearly opposite germination requirements. Seed mass further influences the germination niche and phylogenetically related species exhibit similar germination responses. Cumulatively, these results suggest that evolutionary pressures from local habitat-related conditions override the macroclimatically imposed Mediterranean seed germination syndrome.

Reporting bias, not external focus: A robust Bayesian meta-analysis and systematic review of the external focus of attention literature.

Evidence has ostensibly been accumulating over the past 2 decades suggesting that an external focus on the intended movement effect (e.g., on the golf club during a swing) is superior to an internal focus on body movements (e.g., on your arms during a swing) for skill acquisition. Seven previous meta-studies have all reported evidence of external focus superiority. The most comprehensive of these concluded that an external focus enhances motor skill retention, transfer, and performance and leads to reduced eletromyographic activity during performance and that more distal external foci are superior to proximal external foci for performance. Here, we reanalyzed these data using robust Bayesian meta-analyses that included several plausible models of publication bias. We found moderate to strong evidence of publication bias for all analyses. After correcting for publication bias, estimated mean effects were negligible: g = 0.01 (performance), g = 0.15 (retention), g = 0.09 (transfer), g = 0.06 (electromyography), and g = -0.01 (distance effect). Bayes factors indicated data favored the null for each analysis, ranging from BF01 = 1.3 (retention) to 5.75 (performance). We found clear evidence of heterogeneity in each analysis, suggesting the impact of attentional focus depends on yet unknown contextual factors. Our results contradict the existing consensus that an external focus is always more effective than an internal focus. Instead, focus of attention appears to have a variety of effects that we cannot account for, and, on average, those effects are small to nil. These results parallel previous metascience suggesting publication bias has obfuscated the motor learning literature. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

Prognostic impact of secondary prevention medical therapy in patients with Takotsubo cardiomyopathy: a Bayesian network meta-analysis

Abstract Background Takotsubo cardiomyopathy (TTC) is a form of transient left ventricular systolic dysfunction without evidence of complicated coronary artery disease. Although initially considered a benign condition, recent studies have demonstrated a significant risk of acute phase complications and a mortality rate between 1-8%. Efficacy of medical therapy in secondary prevention of all-cause mortality and TTC recurrence is not well established. We performed a systematic review and network meta-analysis to evaluate prognostic impact of secondary prevention medical therapy in patients with TTC. Methods PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, CENTRAL, and Web of Science were searched up to January 6, 2024. Eligible studies included multivariable-adjusted or propensity matched studies of patients receiving medical therapy with B-blockers (BB), renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors, aspirin and statins after an index presentation with TTC. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at any time point. Secondary outcome was TTC recurrence. Random-effect hierarchical Bayesian meta-analyses was performed. Results We identified 15 observational studies. TTC mortality was reported in 435 (4.4%) out of 9735 patients. Mean age was 70.2 ± 4 years and 8858 patients (91.5%) were females. There were no differences in all-cause mortality when comparing BB versus control (OR 0.83; 95% CI 0.47 to 1.47, p=0.52); BB versus RAAS inhibitors (OR 1.03; 95% CI 0.61-1.63), BB versus aspirin (OR 1.02; 95% CI 0.471-2.25) and BB versus statins (OR 0.871; 95% 0.432-1.75). No significant differences were also observed for TTC recurrence. Conclusion This network meta-analysis found no significant difference in all-cause mortality or recurrence rates in Takotsubo cardiomyopathy with the use of secondary prevention medical therapies, including beta-blockers, RAAS inhibitors, aspirin, and statins

Comparison of Prior Distributions for the Heterogeneity Parameter in a Rare Events Meta-Analysis of a Few Studies.

Bayesian meta-analysis is a promising approach for rare events meta-analysis. However, the inference of the overall effect in rare events meta-analysis is sensitive to the choice of prior distribution for the heterogeneity parameter. Therefore, it is crucial to assign a convincing prior specification and ensure that it is both plausible and transparent. Various priors for the heterogeneity parameter have been proposed; however, the comparative performance of alternative prior specifications in rare events meta-analysis is poorly understood. Based on a binomial-normal hierarchical model, we conducted a comprehensive simulation study to compare seven heterogeneity prior specifications for binary outcomes, using the odds ratio as the metric. We compared their performance in terms of coverage, median percentage bias, width of the 95% credible interval, and root mean square error (RMSE). We illustrate the results with two recently published rare events meta-analyses of a few studies. The results show that the half-normal prior (with a scale of 0.5), the prior proposed by Turner etal. for the general healthcare setting (without restriction to a specific type of outcome) and for the adverse event setting perform well when the degree of heterogeneity is not relatively high, yielding smaller bias and shorter interval widths with similar coverage and RMSE in most cases compared to other prior specifications. None of the priors performed better when the heterogeneity between-studies were significantly extreme.

Review article: Electronic screening and brief intervention for alcohol-related trauma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of Electronic Screening and Brief Intervention (e-SBI) in changing or reducing alcohol consumption and/or related risk behaviours among trauma patients compared to standard of care. Following Cochrane Collaboration's guidelines and PRISMA recommendations, a search of electronic databases (MEDLINE via PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus and Web of Science) and grey literature (Google Scholar) was conducted. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) from 1995 to 2023 were included, focusing on e-SBI for alcohol misuse in trauma patients. Quality assessment utilised the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Bayesian meta-analysis was employed for synthesising outcomes. Four RCTs, totalling 2641 participants, were included. While e-SBI demonstrated a significant reduction in problematic alcohol consumption up to 6 months post-implementation, uncertainties were noted in risk behaviours determined by: average alcohol consumption, binge drinking and alcohol-related consequences. Heterogeneity in measurements and population variations contributed to the nuanced findings. The review suggests that e-SBI may be effective in reducing problematic alcohol consumption in the short term among alcohol-related trauma patients. However, uncertainties and methodological variations highlight the need for standardised outcome measurements, consistent reporting and further exploration of e-SBI's long-term impact. Relevance to health promotion: Understanding the effectiveness of e-SBI in managing alcohol-related issues among trauma patients is crucial for health promotion. Despite uncertainties, the findings underscore the potential of e-SBI as a scalable and accessible intervention. e-SBI in the setting of the present study, emphasises the importance of tailored approaches in public health strategies.

Gastrointestinal effects of caffeine in preterm infants: a systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

ObjectiveCaffeine is widely used in preterm infants to prevent or treat apnoea of prematurity. Adverse gastrointestinal effects of caffeine have not been thoroughly researched in preterm infants. With this systematic...

High PEEP with recruitment maneuvers versus Low PEEP During General Anesthesia for Surgery - a Bayesian individual patient data meta-analysis of three randomized clinical trials.

The influence of high positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) with recruitment maneuvers on the occurrence of postoperative pulmonary complications after surgery is still not definitively established. Bayesian analysis can help to gain further insights from the available data and provide a probabilistic framework that is easier to interpret. Our objective was to estimate the posterior probability that the use of high PEEP with recruitment maneuvers is associated with reduced postoperative pulmonary complications in patients with intermediate-to-high risk under neutral, pessimistic, and optimistic expectations regarding the treatment effect. Multilevel Bayesian logistic regression analysis on individual patient data from three randomized clinical trials carried out on surgical patients at Intermediate-to-High Risk for postoperative pulmonary complications. The main outcome was the occurrence of postoperative pulmonary complications in the early postoperative period. We studied the effect of high PEEP with recruitment maneuvers versus Low PEEP Ventilation. Priors were chosen to reflect neutral, pessimistic, and optimistic expectations of the treatment effect. Using a neutral, pessimistic, or optimistic prior, the posterior mean odds ratio (OR) for High PEEP with recruitment maneuvers compared to Low PEEP was 0.85 (95% Credible Interval [CrI] 0.71 to 1.02), 0.87 (0.72 to 1.04), and 0.86 (0.71 to 1.02), respectively. Regardless of prior beliefs, the posterior probability of experiencing a beneficial effect exceeded 90%. Subgroup analysis indicated a more pronounced effect in patients who underwent laparoscopy (OR: 0.67 [0.50 to 0.87]) and those at high risk for PPCs (OR: 0.80 [0.53 to 1.13]). Sensitivity analysis, considering severe postoperative pulmonary complications only or applying a different heterogeneity prior, yielded consistent results. High PEEP with recruitment maneuvers demonstrated a moderate reduction in the probability of PPC occurrence, with a high posterior probability of benefit observed consistently across various prior beliefs, particularly among patients who underwent laparoscopy.

238 - Preventive analgesia in postoperative pain management following transvaginal pelvic reconstructive surgeries: A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

238 - Preventive analgesia in postoperative pain management following transvaginal pelvic reconstructive surgeries: A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

Publication bias in pharmacogenetics of statin-associated muscle symptoms, an umbrella review with a meta-epidemiological study

Background and aimsStatin-associated muscle symptoms (SAMS) are a major cause of treatment discontinuation. Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium (CPIC) recommend dose adjustment for statin treatment according to known SLCO1B1 genotype to reduce SAMS. We hypothesized that the association between SLCO1B1 genotype and SAMS is misestimated because of publication bias. MethodsWe searched published systematic reviews on the association between SLCO1B1 genotype and SAMS. To assessed publication bias, we used funnel plot visual inspection, Egger’s test, and the Bayes Factor (BFPublication-bias) from Robust Bayesian Meta-Analysis (RoBMA). We compared the odds ratios (ORUncorrected) from meta-analyses before and after correcting for publication bias using trim-and-fill (ORTrim&Fill) and RoBMA (ORRoBMA) methods. ResultsWe included 8 cohort and 11 case-control studies, totaling 62 OR of three SLCO1B1 genotypes and six statin drugs. In the primary analysis, the funnel plot was suggestive of publication bias, confirmed by Egger’s test (p=0.001) and RoBMA (BFPublication-bias=18). Correcting the estimate for publication bias resulted in loss of the association, from a significant ORUncorrected (1.31 95%CI [1.13–1.53]) to corrected ORs suggesting no difference: ORTrim&Fill (1.07 95%CI [0.89–1.30]) and ORRoBMA (1.02 95%CI [1.00–1.33]). This suggested that publication bias overestimated the association by 18% and 23%, respectively. Similar results were found for genotype rs4149056, simvastatin and atorvastatin. ConclusionsThe effect of the SLCO1B1 genotype on the risk of developing SAMS is overestimated in the published literature, especially rs4149056. This could lead prescribers to incorrectly decreasing statin doses or even avoiding statin use, leading to a loss of the potential cardiovascular benefit of statins.

Liberal versus restrictive transfusion strategies in acute myocardial infarction: a systematic review and comparative frequentist and Bayesian meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BackgroundThe transfusion strategy in the acute phase of myocardial infarction (AMI) remains a debated topic with non-standardized guidelines. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of liberal versus restrictive transfusion strategies on mortality during AMI.MethodsA systematic search was conducted across MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the COCHRANE library databases, focusing on randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The primary endpoint was the latest measured mortality within 90 days following myocardial infarction (MI). Secondary endpoints included recurrence of MI, cardiovascular mortality, stroke occurrence, unplanned revascularization, and a composite endpoint of death or recurrent MI. Mixed and random-effects models were employed to estimate relative risks. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using two approaches: one incorporating only studies assessed as low risk of bias according to the Rob2 tool, and another employing a Bayesian analysis.ResultsFour RCTs including a total of 4324 participants were analyzed. Neither the fixed-effect nor random-effects models demonstrated a significant reduction in mortality, with risk ratios (RR) of 1.16 (95% CI 0.95–1.40) for the fixed-effect model and 1.13 (95% CI 0.67–1.91) for the random-effects model (GRADE: low certainty of evidence). Sensitivity analyses, including the exclusion of two high-risk-of-bias studies and a Bayesian analysis, were consistent with the primary analysis. For the composite outcome death or MI both fixed-effect and random-effects models showed a statistically significant RR of 1.18 (95% CI 1.01–1.37) with negligible heterogeneity (I2 = 0%, p = 0.46), indicating results unfavorable to restrictive transfusion (GRADE: very low certainty of evidence). However, this result was primarily driven by a single study. For cardiac mortality, the fixed-effects model indicated a significant RR of 1.42 (95% CI 1.07–1.88), whereas the random-effects model showed non-significant RR of 1.05 (95% CI 0.36–3.80). Analyses of other secondary endpoints did not show statistically significant results.ConclusionsOur analysis did not demonstrate a significant benefit in early mortality with a liberal transfusion strategy compared to a restrictive strategy for AMI, low certainty of evidence. Liberal transfusion may reduce the risk of the composite outcome death or MI, with very low certainty of evidence. These findings should be interpreted with caution in critically ill patients.

Financial-Scarcity-Related Cues’ Impact on the Cognitive Performance of the Poor: A Meta-analysis

Prior research suggested that financial-scarcity-related cues disproportionately impede the cognitive performance of the poor, but later studies questioned the extent and even the existence of this effect. In the present paper, we conducted a systematic review and a Bayesian meta-analysis with the aim to resolve the inconsistencies in the literature and to predict when and to what extent the effect appears. Based on 14 effect sizes from 10 studies, our results provide moderate evidence against the existence of the effect. This finding is not robust against the choice of prior distributions. If the effect does exist, its overall size is relatively small (g = 0.09 [-0.03, 0.21], τ = 0.16 [0.09, 0.29]). We did not find evidence for or against the presence of publication bias. We also found that the study designs of the identified studies were homogeneous, and the potential moderators were often not measured or reported limiting the generalisability of the prior findings in the literature. In sum, our main conclusion is that the evidence available in the literature is extremely limited, and it is not possible to make any strong inference. Finally, we provide recommendations for future research on the topic to overcome the shortcomings of the prevalent practices.

How does emotional content influence visual word recognition? A meta-analysis of valence effects

AbstractResearch on the interplay between language and emotion has shown evidence that the affective content of words influences their recognition. However, the direction of the effects is not clear, as there are mixed findings regarding the role of positive and, especially, negative valence. We conducted a Bayesian multi-level meta-analysis to examine the role of valence in visual word recognition, focusing on the lexical decision task. The results revealed a facilitative effect of positive valence on lexical decision times. That is, positive words led to faster responses than both negative and neutral words. In contrast, negative valence did not have any effect, although the analysis of several moderator variables suggested that there might be a facilitative effect in some cases, specifically, when negative words elicit very strong and intense emotions. These results shed light on the complexities of emotional word processing. They also point to the need for psycholinguistic models to take affective information into account, and thus provide a complete view of visual word recognition.

Reaction Risk to Direct Penicillin Challenges

While direct penicillin challenges might support the expansion of penicillin allergy delabeling efforts, the perceived risk of reactions remains a key barrier. To evaluate the frequency of reactions to direct penicillin challenges in individuals with penicillin allergy labels and to identify factors associated with such reactions. Three electronic databases were searched (MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Scopus) from inception to July 19, 2023, for primary studies assessing patients undergoing direct penicillin challenges. Articles were included regardless of publication year, language, status, or definition of allergy risk. Two reviewers independently selected original studies reporting the frequency of immunologically mediated reactions following a direct penicillin challenge in patients reporting a penicillin allergy. Two reviewers independently extracted data and independently assessed the quality of each primary study using a risk-of-bias tool for prevalence studies. The primary outcome was the frequency of reactions to direct penicillin challenges as calculated using random-effects bayesian meta-analysis of proportions. Secondary outcomes included risk factors for reactions and the frequency of severe reactions. A total of 56 primary studies involving 9225 participants were included. Among participants, 438 experienced reactions to direct penicillin challenges without prior testing, corresponding to an overall meta-analytic frequency of 3.5% (95% credible interval [CrI], 2.5%-4.6%). Meta-regression analyses revealed that studies performed in North America had lower rates of reaction to direct challenges (odds ratio [OR], 0.36; 95% CrI, 0.20-0.61), while studies performed in children (OR, 3.37; 95% CrI, 1.98-5.98), in outpatients (OR, 2.19; 95% CrI, 1.08-4.75), and with a graded (OR, 3.24; 95% CrI, 1.50-7.06) or prolonged (OR, 5.45; 95% CrI, 2.38-13.28) challenge had higher rates of reaction. Only 5 severe reactions (3 anaphylaxis, 1 fever with rash, and 1 acute kidney injury) were reported, none of which were fatal. This systematic review and meta-analysis found that reactions to direct penicillin challenges are infrequent, with rates comparable to indirect challenges after allergy testing. These findings suggest that direct challenges are safe for incorporation into penicillin allergy evaluation efforts across age groups and clinical settings.

Ranking sports science and medicine interventions impacting team performance: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies in elite football

This study protocol describes a systematic method to identify, collect and rank sports science and medicine interventions most associated with optimising team performance in elite football in observational studies. While...

Modelling the joint accuracy of two diagnostic tests using evidence synthesis methods incorporating linked electronic health records

Background and ObjectivesTo compare the accuracy of different diagnostic pathways comprising of multiple diagnostic tests, statistical methods that evaluate combined or sequential test accuracy are required. This can only be achieved through joint synthesis of diagnostic accuracy data on all tests of interest, using models that account for dependencies between multiple tests. The aim of this research is to develop joint models to assess the diagnostic accuracy of two tests, using real-world evidence to inform within-study dependencies between tests. ApproachUsing a case study in Alzheimer’s disease dementia (ADD), we will develop Bayesian meta-analysis models to evaluate the combined diagnostic accuracy of two tests. A novel application of trivariate copulas will be used to capture within-study dependencies between two tests assessed in the same patients. Individual participant data from Dementias Platform UK (DPUK) Data Portal – a repository of linked electronic health record data optimised for dementia research – will be used to estimate dependencies between diagnostic tests for ADD. ResultsThe DPUK Data Portal includes records of over 3 million people from 51 long-term cohort studies, including individual-level test results for ADD verified against confirmed diagnoses. Analysis will focus on modelling the diagnostic accuracy of different testing strategies for ADD, combining cognitive function, imaging, and biomarker tests. Conclusions and ImplicationsResults of this study have the potential to inform healthcare decision-making regarding optimal diagnostic pathways by enabling the comparison of different testing strategies. The incorporation of real-world data from the DPUK Data Portal makes better use of the available evidence.

A meta-analysis on the relationship between subjective cognitive failures as measured by thecognitive failures questionnaire (CFQ) and objective performance on executive function tasks.

The Cognitive Failures Questionnaire (CFQ) has been widely used as a measure of subjective cognitive function in everyday life for decades. However, the evidence on how it relates to objective performance on executive function tasks is mixed. One possible reason for these mixed results is that the CFQ has selective relationships with some aspects of executive function and not others. Here, therefore, we classified tasks according to an influential framework of executive functions-switching, updating, inhibition, and we also considered the Sustained Attention to Response Task (SART) as a category because it was custom designed to gauge cognitive failures. We synthesized a large body of available evidence and performed four Bayesian meta-analyses on the relationship between CFQ scores and objective performance on executive function tasks in these four categories. Results suggested that CFQ scores were associated with objective performance on SART (18 effect sizes, μ = -.19, BF10 = 18.03, i.e., 18.03 times more evidence of a relationship versus no relationship), updating working memory (49 effect sizes, μ = -.06, BF10 = 17.80), and inhibition tasks (41 effect sizes, μ = -.07, BF10 = 15.40), whereas there was not definitive evidence regarding switching (34 effect sizes, μ = -.06, BF10 = .50, i.e., two times greater evidence for no relationship). This suggests that subjective cognitive function can predict objective performance on at least some executive function tasks. We discuss methodological and theoretical factors that constrain the maximum observable correlation and consider the relative insights that subjective measures versus task performance provide.

Neoadjuvant therapy versus upfront surgery in resectable pancreatic cancer: reconstructed patient-level meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials.

Neoadjuvant treatment has shown promising results in patients with borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. The potential benefits of neoadjuvant treatment on long-term overall survival in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma have not yet been established. The aim of this study was to compare long-term overall survival of patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on whether they received neoadjuvant treatment or underwent upfront surgery. A systematic review including randomized clinical trials on the overall survival outcomes between neoadjuvant treatment and upfront surgery in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma was conducted up to 1 August 2023 from PubMed, MEDLINE and Web of Science databases. Patient-level survival data was extracted and reconstructed from available Kaplan-Meier curves. A frequentist one-stage meta-analysis was employed, using Cox-based models and a non-parametric method (restricted mean survival time), to assess the difference in overall survival between groups. A Bayesian meta-analysis was also conducted. Five randomized clinical trials comprising 625 patients were included. Among patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, neoadjuvant treatment was not significantly associated with a reduction in the hazard of death compared with upfront surgery (shared frailty HR 0.88, 95% c.i. 0.72 to 1.08, P = 0.223); this result was consistent in the non-parametric restricted mean survival time model (+2.41 months, 95% c.i. -1.22 to 6.04, P < 0.194), in the sensitivity analysis that excluded randomized clinical trials with a high risk of bias (shared frailty HR 0.91 (95% c.i. 0.72 to 1.15; P = 0.424)) and in the Bayesian analysis with a posterior shared frailty HR of 0.86 (95% c.i. 0.70 to 1.05). Neoadjuvant treatment does not demonstrate a survival advantage over upfront surgery for patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis of 30 years of stress generation research: Clinical, psychological, and sociodemographic risk and protective factors for prospective negative life events.

Stress generation posits that (a) individuals at-risk for psychopathology may inadvertently experience higher rates of prospective dependent stress (i.e., stressors that are in part influenced by their thoughts and behaviors) but not independent stress (i.e., stressors occurring outside their influence), and (b) this elevated dependent stress, in some measure, is what places these individuals at-risk for future psychopathology. In recognition of 30 years of stress generation research, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using frequentist and Bayesian approaches (102 articles with 104 eligible studies, N = 31,541). Generally strong support was found for psychopathology predicting dependent stress (e.g., dsOverall psychopathology = 0.36-0.52, BF₁₀ = 946.00 to 4.65 × 10¹⁸). Moderator analyses for dependent stress revealed larger effects for briefer assessments periods, shorter follow-ups, and self-report measures than for interviews. Among risk factors, depressogenic cognitive styles (ds = .26-.50, BF₁₀ = 47.50 to 1.00 × 10⁵) and general interpersonal vulnerability (ds = .26-.44, BF₁₀ = 2.72 to 2708.00) received the strongest support as stress generation mechanisms, and current evidence is modest for protective factors predicting dependent stress. Overall, larger effects were generally found for prospective prediction of dependent stress than independent stress. Evaluations of mediation in the research literature were relatively few, limiting the current review to qualitative analysis of the mediation component of stress generation. General support was found, however, for dependent stress as a mediator for psychopathology and associated risk factors in relation to subsequent psychopathology. The current review ends with recommendations for future research and integration of stress generation within minority stress frameworks. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

Assessment of fluid responsiveness using pulse pressure variation, stroke volume variation, plethysmographic variability index, central venous pressure, and inferior vena cava variation in patients undergoing mechanical ventilation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

ImportanceManeuvers assessing fluid responsiveness before an intravascular volume expansion may limit useless fluid administration, which in turn may improve outcomes.ObjectiveTo describe maneuvers for assessing fluid responsiveness in mechanically ventilated patients.RegistrationThe protocol was registered at PROSPERO: CRD42019146781.Information sources and searchPubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, SCOPUS, and Web of Science were search from inception to 08/08/2023.Study selection and data collectionProspective and intervention studies were selected.Statistical analysisData for each maneuver were reported individually and data from the five most employed maneuvers were aggregated. A traditional and a Bayesian meta-analysis approach were performed.ResultsA total of 69 studies, encompassing 3185 fluid challenges and 2711 patients were analyzed. The prevalence of fluid responsiveness was 49.9%. Pulse pressure variation (PPV) was studied in 40 studies, mean threshold with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) = 11.5 (10.5–12.4)%, and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) with 95% CI was 0.87 (0.84–0.90). Stroke volume variation (SVV) was studied in 24 studies, mean threshold with 95% CI = 12.1 (10.9–13.3)%, and AUC with 95% CI was 0.87 (0.84–0.91). The plethysmographic variability index (PVI) was studied in 17 studies, mean threshold = 13.8 (12.3–15.3)%, and AUC was 0.88 (0.82–0.94). Central venous pressure (CVP) was studied in 12 studies, mean threshold with 95% CI = 9.0 (7.7–10.1) mmHg, and AUC with 95% CI was 0.77 (0.69–0.87). Inferior vena cava variation (∆IVC) was studied in 8 studies, mean threshold = 15.4 (13.3–17.6)%, and AUC with 95% CI was 0.83 (0.78–0.89).ConclusionsFluid responsiveness can be reliably assessed in adult patients under mechanical ventilation. Among the five maneuvers compared in predicting fluid responsiveness, PPV, SVV, and PVI were superior to CVP and ∆IVC. However, there is no data supporting any of the above mentioned as being the best maneuver. Additionally, other well-established tests, such as the passive leg raising test, end-expiratory occlusion test, and tidal volume challenge, are also reliable.