Bay Population Research Articles

Demographic History and Adaptive Evolution of Indo-Pacific Bottlenose Dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) in Western Australia.

Demographic processes can substantially affect a species' response to changing ecological conditions, necessitating the combined consideration of genetic responses to environmental variables and neutral genetic variation. Using a seascape genomics approach combined with population demographic modelling, we explored the interplay of demographic and environmental factors that shaped the current population structure in Indo-Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) along the Western Australian coastline. We combined large-scale environmental data gathered via remote sensing with RADseq genomic data from 133 individuals at 19 sampling sites. Using population genetic and outlier detection analyses, we identified three distinct genetic clusters, coinciding with tropical, subtropical and temperate provincial bioregions. In contrast to previous studies, our demographic models indicated that populations occupying the paleo-shoreline split into two demographically independent lineages before the last glacial maximum (LGM). A subsequent split after the LGM 12-15 kya gave rise to the Shark Bay population, thereby creating the three currently observed clusters. Although multi-locus heterozygosity declined from north to south, dolphins from the southernmost cluster inhabiting temperate waters had higher heterozygosity in potentially adaptive loci compared to dolphins from subtropical and tropical waters. These findings suggest ongoing adaptation to cold-temperate waters in the southernmost cluster, possibly linked to distinct selective pressures between the different bioregions. Our study demonstrated that in the marine realm, without apparent physical boundaries, only a combined approach can fully elucidate the intricate environmental and genetic interactions shaping the evolutionary trajectory of marine mammals.

Evidence for gene flow from the Gulf of Mexico to the Atlantic Ocean in bonnethead sharks (Sphyrna tiburo).

Gene flow is important for maintaining the genetic diversity required for adaptation to environmental disturbances, though gene flow may be limited by site fidelity in small coastal sharks. Bonnethead sharks (Sphyrna tiburo)-a small coastal hammerhead species-demonstrate site fidelity, as females are philopatric while males migrate to mediate gene flow. Consequently, bonnetheads demonstrate population divergence with distance, and Atlantic populations are genetically distinct from those of the Gulf of Mexico. Indeed, Florida forms a vicariant zone between these two bodies of water for many marine species, including some sharks. However, while bonnetheads are expected to have limited dispersal, the extent and rate of bonnethead migration remain uncertain. Thus, we aimed to determine their dispersal capacity by evaluating connectivity between disparate populations from the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean. Using 10,733 SNPs derived from 2bRAD sequences, we evaluated genetic connectivity between Tampa Bay on the Gulf Coast of Florida and Biscayne Bay on the Atlantic coast of Florida. While standard analyses of genetic structure revealed slight but significant differentiation between Tampa Bay and Biscayne Bay populations, demographic history inference based on the site frequency spectrum favored a model without divergence. However, we also estimate that if population divergence occurred, it would have been recent (between 1500 and 4500 years ago), with continuous unidirectional gene flow from Tampa Bay to Biscayne Bay. Our findings support the hypothesis that bonnetheads can migrate over relatively large distances (>300 miles) to find mates. Together, these results provide optimism that under proper management, a small-bodied globally endangered shark can undergo long migrations to sustain genetic diversity.

Modeling population dynamics of beluga whales in the Eastern High Arctic – Baffin Bay population

AbstractBeluga whales (Delphinapterus leucas) have a long history of subsistence harvest that has continued into the present and a history of exploitation through commercial harvest. The Eastern High Arctic – Baffin Bay (EHA) population of beluga whales has the northernmost distribution of any beluga whale population in Canada. Beluga whales from the EHA population have a single complete abundance estimate from 1996 and 3 partial abundance estimates in 1981, 2010, and 2012 from aerial surveys; reliable estimates from surveys are lacking in recent years, limiting the ability to determine population dynamics. In 2020 satellite imagery was used to estimate abundance for beluga whales in the EHA population for estuaries in the whales' summering area. We built a stochastic stock production model to estimate population dynamics from the start of reliably compiled harvest history data in 1977 to 2022, using abundance estimates from 1981, 1996, 2010, 2012, and 2020. We also extended the model 10 years into the future under 7 potential annual harvest scenarios (within the range of annual reported harvests) to calculate the probability of decline. We estimated the starting population in 1977 as 29,615 whales (95% CI = 20,765–46,251), and the estimate from 2022 was 16,495 whales (95% CI = 6,731–33,504). Landed catch of 0, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, and 600 beluga whales annually resulted in <1%, 3%, 23%, 50%, 70%, 83%, and 90% probabilities of decline, respectively. There was a notable decrease in abundance over the time series, likely caused by harvest pressure. Harvest in recent years has ranged from 155–553 catches per year, and our results suggest that 108 landed catches per year equates to a 5% risk of decline, the low risk goal for precautionary fisheries management, which aligns with population conservation goals. Our model is a first step in understanding the EHA beluga whale population dynamics using what data are available and suggests that current harvests in some years may result in a population decline and should be monitored.

Stability of population genetic structure in large yellow croaker (Larimichthys crocea): Insights from temporal, geographical factors, and artificial restocking processes.

Despite concerns about overfishing and the potential impact of release programs on wild populations, our study of 3116 individuals from 13 wild populations and 2787 individuals from two cultured populations in Zhejiang and Fujian provinces spanning 2008 to 2023 reveals a relatively stable genetic diversity in Larimichthys crocea. Surprisingly, the genetic diversity of wild large yellow croaker populations has remained consistent over the years, suggesting minimal influence from population declines due to overfishing. With the exception of populations in Sansha Bay and Luoyuan Bay, no significant genetic differences were observed among wild populations, indicating a single panmictic genetic population across the East and South China seas. Notably, significant genetic differentiation exists between cultured and wild populations, suggesting a possible limited genetic adaptation of cultured-released individuals to the wild environment. The genetic differences observed between the Sansha Bay, with its adjacent Luoyuan Bay populations, and other wild populations underscore the dual effects of habitat environment and farming activities on the genetic structure of large yellow croaker. Our findings suggest that, despite declines in population numbers due to overfishing and expands extensive cultured releases, the genetic diversity of L. crocea populations remains largely unaffected. Moreover, the L. crocea population along the Chinese coast appears to form a single panmictic population with considerable genetic diversity.

Genetic Diversity of Flying Fish (Exocoetidae) in Southeast Sulawesi, Indonesia

Flying fish (Exocoetidae) is a pelagic fishery commodity that holds economic value among the people of eastern Indonesia. Flying fish are advantageous as they are abundant in Indonesian sea waters, making them an affordable source of omega-3, which is beneficial for human health. However, the high demand for flying fish has resulted in overfishing, which poses a risk of reducing their natural population. Proper management of this commodity is necessary to minimize these risks. Effective management requires adequate information, including genetic diversity data. This study aims to determine the genetic diversity of flying fish in Southeast Sulawesi, specifically in the Banda Sea and Bone Bay populations. Tissue samples were collected from flying fish in the two populations during the study in March 2022. The results show that the genetic diversity values of flying fish in Bone Bay and the Banda Sea were 0.984 and 1.00, respectively, while the nucleotide diversity values were 0.021 and 0.018. High genetic diversity values and nucleotide diversity values were found between the two populations, with values of 0.990 and 0.020, respectively. Based on phylogenetic analysis, the two populations in Southeast Sulawesi are genetically similar.

A chromosome-level genome assembly for the dugong (Dugong dugon).

The dugong (Dugong dugon) is a marine mammal widely distributed throughout the Indo-Pacific and the Red Sea, with a Vulnerable conservation status, and little is known about many of the more peripheral populations, some of which are thought to be close to extinction. We present a de novo high-quality genome assembly for the dugong from an individual belonging to the well-monitored Moreton Bay population in Queensland, Australia. Our assembly uses long-read PacBio HiFi sequencing and Omni-C data following the Vertebrate Genome Project pipeline to reach chromosome-level contiguity (24 chromosome-level scaffolds; 3.16 Gbp) and high completeness (97.9% complete BUSCOs). We observed relatively high genome-wide heterozygosity, which likely reflects historical population abundance before the last interglacial period, approximately 125,000 yr ago. Demographic inference suggests that dugong populations began declining as sea levels fell after the last interglacial period, likely a result of population fragmentation and habitat loss due to the exposure of seagrass meadows. We find no evidence for ongoing recent inbreeding in this individual. However, runs of homozygosity indicate some past inbreeding. Our draft genome assembly will enable range-wide assessments of genetic diversity and adaptation, facilitate effective management of dugong populations, and allow comparative genomics analyses including with other sirenians, the oldest marine mammal lineage.

An Eulerian perspective on habitat models of striped bass occurrence in an offshore wind development area

Abstract Offshore wind energy development, including along the US Atlantic coast, frequently occurs within important multispecies migration corridors; however, assessing the regional factors influencing the local Eulerian occurrence of these species poses a significant challenge. We used generalized models incorporating lagged variables and hierarchical formulations to account for temporal dependencies and hierarchical structure that occur outside the narrower frame of a sampled project area. Acoustically tagged striped bass, the most frequently detected species regionally, were sampled using a gridded acoustic telemetry array in the Maryland Wind Energy Area of the US Mid-Atlantic Bight. The daily occurrence of striped bass was better explained by broad-scale sea surface temperature warming patterns than by local concurrent environmental conditions, demonstrating the importance of drivers that occur across the wider spatial scales of migration. Weekly residency patterns were similar between tagging origin groups, suggesting that Chesapeake Bay, Hudson River, Delaware Bay, and other Northwest Atlantic populations migrate synchronously through the Southern Mid-Atlantic Bight and are similarly influenced by sea surface temperature. Our study demonstrates that adapting an Eulerian approach to include lagged variables can improve regional assessments of fish on the move until richer Lagrangian insights become possible through future coordination of telemetry arrays throughout the Mid-Atlantic flyway.

Population structure of commercially important groupers in the coral triangle Gorontalo, Indonesia to support conservation

Abstract. Achmad DS, Nurdin MS, Taslim I, Moore AM. 2023. Population structure of commercially important groupers in the coral triangle Gorontalo, Indonesia to support conservation. Biodiversitas 24: 6592-6601. Appropriate management units are fundamental to the conservation of species and ecosystems. In the case of exploited fishes, sustainable approaches to fisheries management are generally based on population units (stocks). This study aimed to address the lack of data to define the population structure of the stocks of two commercially important grouper species (Variola albimarginata (Baissac, 1953) and Variola louti (Forsskål, 1775)) in the Sulawesi Sea and Tomini Bay waters of Gorontalo Province, Sulawesi, Indonesia, in the Wallacea biodiversity hotspot. We used a combined morphometric and molecular (DNA barcoding, COI marker). We used truss network analysis with 14 characters to evaluate inter and intraspecies morphometric differences. DNA was extracted (Qiagen protocols) from tissue samples from individuals of both species in both sea areas, followed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and Sanger sequencing. Sequence processing and phylogenetic analyses conducted in MEGA X. Both approaches show clear separation between V. albimarginata and V. louti but indicate close kinship between the north coast (Sulawesi Sea) and south coast (Tomini Bay) populations of these groupers. Under the authority of the Gorontalo Province Marine and Fisheries Service, these two populations could be managed as one stock without compromising fisheries sustainability or the conservation of these ecologically and economically valuable species.

Do eco-geospatial differences induce otolith morphological variations? Assessment in Chelon auratus (Mugiliformes, Mugilidae) populations collected from Tunisian and Mauritanian waters

Abstract Saccular otoliths (sagittae) have long been shown to be species-specific and exhibit inland geospatial intra- and interpopulation morphological differences with variations in environmental conditions. Here, we analysed inland and outland geospatial variations in sagittae shape, length (Lo), width (Wo), perimeter (Po), and area (Ao), and fluctuating asymmetry (FA) in Chelon auratus males and females collected from Ghar El Melh (Tunisia) and Etoile Bay (Mauritania) stations to assess whether sagittae shape and morphometry differ between these two niches having different environmental conditions. At the intrapopulation level, a significant otolith shape asymmetry was observed between left and right and left–left and right–right otoliths among males and females of the Ghar El Melh (Tunisia) population and a significant symmetry among those of the Etoile Bay (Mauritania) population. At the interpopulation level, a significant asymmetry was found between left and right otoliths' shape among males and females of the two populations. Besides, a discriminant function analysis of otoliths' contour shape separated left and right otoliths among males and females at the intra- and interpopulation levels and also separated those of the two populations. Moreover, differential significant asymmetry in Lo, Wo, Po, and Ao between left and right otoliths was observed among males and females at the intra- and interpopulation levels. Therefore, the geospatial variations in environmental conditions between the two ecological niches effectively induced differences in otolith morphology. These significant asymmetries were discussed in terms of FA caused by environmental stress conditions resulting from variations in abiotic factors between the two ecological niches.

Symbiotic survey of the bay scallop (Argopecten irradians) from the Gulf coast of Florida, USA

The bay scallop Argopecten irradians supported a commercial fishery in Florida but their population declined and the fishery closed in 1994. A recreational fishery remains open along the west coast of Florida despite continued threats from overfishing and a changing environment. Disease is among those threats, as it is for bivalve fisheries globally. We examined the relationship between bay scallop population density, its symbiotic microbiome, and geographic location. We focused on three sites within the range of Florida’s recreational scallop fishery: St. Joseph Bay (northern extent), offshore of the Steinhatchee River (central), and offshore of Hernando County (southern extent). The study was conducted prior to the seasonal opening of the fishery to minimize the impact of fishing on our results. We also sampled caged scallops that are used for restocking in St. Joseph Bay to assess the effect of artificially high density and confinement on the scallop pathobiome. Using a combination of traditional histological methods, molecular diagnostics, and metagenomics, a suite of 15 symbionts were identified. Among them, RNA-seq data revealed four novel + ssRNA viral genomes: three picorna-like viruses and one hepe-like virus. The DNA-seq library revealed a novel Mycoplasma species. Histological evaluation revealed that protozoan, helminth and crustacean infections were common in A. irradians. These potential pathogens add to those already known for A. irradians and underscores the risk they pose to the fishery.

Individual and population‐level variation in susceptibility to temperature in early life history stages of giant kelp

AbstractBecause foundation species create structure in a community, understanding their ecological and evolutionary responses to global change is critical for predicting the ecological and economic management of species and communities that rely on them. Giant kelp (Macrocystis pyrifera) is a globally distributed foundation species with seasonal fluctuations in abundance in response to local nutrient levels, storm intensity, and ocean temperatures. Here we examine genetic variation in individual and population‐level responses of early life history stages (zoospore settlement, survival, and gametogenesis) to increased temperatures to determine the potential for natural selection on temperature‐tolerant individuals that would allow adaptation to a changing climate. We collected fertile M. pyrifera sporophyll blades from three sites along the California coast (Los Angeles, Santa Barbara, Monterey Bay) and induced zoospore release in the lab. Spores settled on microscope slides at three treatment temperatures (16, 20, and 22°C), matured for 21 days, and were imaged weekly to determine settlement, survival, and maturation success. On average, individuals from all sites showed lower rates of settlement and maturation in response to increasing temperature. However, the magnitude of the responses to temperature varied among populations. Survival tended to increase with temperature in Los Angeles and Santa Barbara populations but decreased with increasing temperature for the Monterey Bay population. We observed little genetic variation in temperature responses among individuals within sites, suggesting little scope for evolution within populations to increase the resilience of M. pyrifera populations to warming ocean temperatures and predicted declines in kelp abundance. Yet sufficient dispersal among populations could allow for adaptation of early life history traits among populations via evolutionary rescue of declining populations.

Reconstructing the colonization history of Indo-Pacific bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops aduncus) in Northwestern Australia.

Bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops spp.) are found in waters around Australia, with T. truncatus typically occupying deeper, more oceanic habitat, while T. aduncus occur in shallower, coastal waters. Little is known about the colonization history of T. aduncus along the Western Australian coastline; however, it has been hypothesized that extant populations are the result of an expansion along the coastline originating from a source in the north of Australia. To investigate the history of coastal T. aduncus populations in the area, we generated a genomic SNP dataset using a double-digest restriction-site-associated DNA (ddRAD) sequencing approach. The resulting dataset consisted of 103,201 biallelic SNPs for 112 individuals which were sampled from eleven coastal and two offshore sites between Shark Bay and Cygnet Bay, Western Australia. Our population genomic analyses showed a pattern consistent with the proposed source in the north with significant isolation by distance along the coastline, as well as a reduction in genomic diversity measures along the coastline with Shark Bay showing the most pronounced reduction. Our demographic analysis indicated that the expansion of T. aduncus along the coastline began around the last glacial maximum and progressed southwards with the Shark Bay population being founded only 13 kya. Our results are in line with coastal colonization histories inferred for Tursiops globally, highlighting the ability of delphinids to rapidly colonize novel coastal niches as habitat is released during glacial cycle-related global sea level and temperature changes.

Citizen science photographs indicate different timing and location use of migrating adult and juvenile Whimbrels

Abstract It is imperative to identify factors that influence population trends for declining species, but demographic parameters can be especially challenging to quantify for birds, such as Whimbrels (Numenius phaeopus), that breed in locations that are logistically difficult to access. At least two disjunct Whimbrel populations breed in remote and difficult to access northern latitudes but migrate through the heavily populated North American Atlantic Coast during autumn migration. Here, we capitalize on the Whimbrel migrations through the more populated coastal areas to age Whimbrels in photographs uploaded to the citizen science website, eBird, to identify the timing and location of juvenile Whimbrels staging for trans-Atlantic migratory flights. Mean photograph dates for adult migration were synchronous with reported dates for the Mackenzie Delta population that breeds along the northern coast of Northwest Territories, Canada, and stages in Atlantic Canada and for the Hudson Bay population that stages along the South Atlantic USA coast. However, the mean dates of juvenile photographs were 29–41 days later than adult dates, depending on the region. Space use by juveniles along the coast also differed from that reported for adults. Adults primarily depend on Atlantic Canada and the South Atlantic USA coast during fall migration. The percentage of juveniles was greater outside these two primary staging locations. Region-specific juvenile photograph dates suggest that juveniles may drift farther south than the majority of adults from their respective populations. The percentage of juvenile photos collected better predicted the percentage of adult photos 3 years later than 1 and 2 years later which is consistent with Whimbrel’s delayed reproductive strategy and provides validation for using photographs to obtain age ratios. As photograph uploads become more commonplace, this and similar analyses may be used to obtain information that would normally be logistically difficult with traditional field methods.

Photo-identification of franciscanas (Pontoporia blainvillei) in Babitonga Bay, Santa Catarina State, Brazil

The franciscana (Pontoporia blainvillei) is a small cetacean endemic to the South Atlantic distributed in coastal waters from Espírito Santo State in Brazil to Chubut Province in Argentina. Babitonga Bay, on the northern coast of Santa Catarina State, Brazil, is home to the only known franciscana population that resides throughout the year in an estuary. Photo-identification is a technique that serves to identify individuals in their natural environment through photographs of natural or artificial body marks. The objective of this paper was to assess the feasibility of identifying individuals from this population from marks present on the dorsal fin and the body. From February 2011 to August 2013, 172 boat surveys were carried out in Babitonga Bay. Groups of franciscanas were recorded on 576 occasions and on 542 of these (94.09%) were photographed. A total of 6,953 (11.89%) from a total of 58,471 photographs were considered of high enough quality to distinguish the features used to identify individuals. Throughout the sampling period, 23 franciscanas were identified. Most of the animals exhibited nicks on the trailing edge of the dorsal fin (82.6%), a mark of longterm duration. Scratches were recorded on only one animal on a single occasion. The rate of resightings ranged from 5.26% to 78.95%, with 39.13% of the individuals showing a rate higher than 50%. A total of 41.8% of the Babitonga Bay population was identified by the presence of marks on the dorsal fin. The study indicates that photo-identification can be applied to franciscanas, which may allow the realisation of various future studies. Because of this species threatened status, the use of this technique may become particularly important for monitoring franciscanas in Babitonga Bay and perhaps in other regions.

Ecologically driven differences in individual diet specialization across three populations of Guiana dolphin.

Populations usually considered foraging generalists may include specialized individuals that feed on a restricted subset of the prey spectrum consumed by the population. By analyzing the time series of δ13C and δ15N values in sequential growth layer groups within tooth dentin, we measured population- and individual-level variation in resource use of three populations of Guiana dolphins (Sotalia guianensis)-Caravelas River, Babitonga Bay, and Norte Bay-along a latitudinal gradient in the southwestern Atlantic Ocean. We show that the Guiana dolphin at Caravelas River is a generalist population consisting of individual dietary specialists, likely due to the absence of other resident dolphin populations thus allowing individuals to target prey across a wide range of habitats. The Babitonga Bay population is also composed of individual specialists potentially due to the selective foraging behavior of some individuals on high-quality prey sources within and near the bay. In contrast, the Norte Bay population comprises individual generalists, which likely reflects its distinctive cohesive social organization, coexistence with two other dolphin species, and an opportunistic foraging strategy in response to resource fluctuations inherent to the southern limit of the species distribution. Although the Guiana dolphin is generally considered to be a dietary generalist at the population level, our findings reveal that the total niche width of populations and the degree of individual diet specialization are highly context dependent, suggesting dietary plasticity that may be related to a latitudinal gradient in resource availability and environmental conditions.

Effects of low salinity stress on osmoregulation and gill transcriptome in different populations of mud crab Scylla paramamosain

Animals living in estuaries suffer from rapid and continuous salinity fluctuations, while the global warming and extreme precipitation aggravate this situation. Osmoregulation is important for estuarine animals adapt to salinity fluctuations. The present study investigated the effects of low salinity stress on osmoregulation and gill transcriptome in two populations of mud crab from Hangzhou Bay and Zhangzhou Bay of China, respectively. Crabs were transferred from salinity 25 ppt to 5 ppt for 96 h. Edematous swelling in gill filaments was caused by low salinity stress and was more serious in Zhangzhou Bay population. Gill Na+/K+-ATPase activity increased (p < 0.01) in both populations under the low salinity stress and was significantly higher (p < 0.01) in Hangzhou Bay population than in Zhangzhou Bay population. According to transcriptome analysis, there were 191 genes differentially expressed under the low salinity stress in gill tissue of both populations. Several ion transport and energy metabolism related pathways, as well as the arginine and proline metabolism pathway, were enriched by these genes. On the other hand, 272 genes were identified to differentially express between two populations under the low salinity stress, but not under the control salinity. The enrichment analysis showed that these genes were mainly related to ion transport, energy metabolism, osmolytes metabolism and methyltransferase activity. In conclusion, the present study suggested that mud crab exploited a combination of extracellular anisosmotic regulation and intracellular isosmotic regulation for osmoregulation under the low salinity stress. Hangzhou Bay population showed a greater osmoregulatory capacity, which is probably due to the enhanced ion transport, energy supply, and osmolytes regulation. Meanwhile, epigenetic modification might also contribute to an inherent osmoregulation ability for Hangzhou Bay population to response to salinity fluctuation rapidly.

Genetic population structure of cisco, Coregonus artedi, in the Laurentian Great Lakes

Management of a widely distributed species can be a challenge when management priorities, resource status, and assessment methods vary across jurisdictions. For example, restoration and preservation of coregonine species diversity is a goal of management agencies across the Laurentian Great Lakes. However, management goals and the amount of information available varies across management units, making the focus for management efforts challenging to determine. Genetic data provide a spatially consistent means to assess diversity. Therefore, we examined the genetic stock structure of cisco (Coregonus artedi) in the Great Lakes where the species is still extant. Using genotype data from 17 microsatellite DNA loci, we observed low levels of population structure among collections with most contributions to overall diversity occurring among lakes. Cisco from lakes Superior, Michigan, Ontario, and the St. Marys River could be considered single genetic populations while distinct genetic populations were observed among samples from northern Lake Huron. Significant within-lake diversity in Lake Huron is supported by populations found in embayments in northern Lake Huron. The Grand Traverse Bay population in Lake Michigan represents a distinct population with reduced levels of genetic variation when compared to other lakes. The different levels of within lake population structure we observed will be important to consider as future lake-specific management plans are developed.

Comparison of lethal and non-lethal age-based growth estimation methodologies to assess an endemic bay population of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua)

The Gilbert Bay, Labrador, MPA (Marine Protected Area) was created in 2005 to protect a genomically distinct and locally adapted bay resident population of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) from commercial overfishing. Since then research showed that significant numbers of individuals migrate beyond MPA boundaries creating a concern that fishing continues to impact this endemic population. As part of research and MPA monitoring to assess the health of the protected cod population, lethal sampling of Gilbert Bay cod was conducted from 1998 to 2009 to gather length-at-age data from otoliths. Since then only non-lethal sampling methods were used so as to help conserve the protected population. This study was conducted to compare non-lethally (mark-recapture and length-frequency) obtained age and growth data with lethally (otolith-length-at-age) obtained data. The three methods produced similar results for the 1998 to 2009 period, and both of the non-lethal methods considered were consistent over the 20 year study, confirming their preference over lethal methods for this small endemic fish population.

Lake Sturgeon (Acipenser fulvescens) in Goulais Bay, Lake Superior: Cohort strength determinants and population viability

Lake Sturgeon (Acipenser fulvescens) is a species of conservation concern throughout North America, and healthy populations are rare. Earlier sampling efforts identified the Goulais Bay population in Lake Superior as a potentially healthy population after three years of sampling. With seven additional years of sampling, we updated the earlier analysis and developed a matrix population model to conduct a population viability analysis (PVA). We identified a non-linear relationship between cohort strength and May river discharge rate which was incorporated into the population model to evaluate the influence of future discharge scenarios on population persistence. Population size was estimated, with an open-population mark-recapture model, at approximately 5,200 juvenile Lake Sturgeon. This estimate equates to approximately 440 mature females and 625 mature males in the population. A population of this size has a probability of extinction of 4 % and 18 % over 250 and 1000 years under status quo conditions. If the May river discharge were to decrease in the future, which may represent the most likely scenario under future climate conditions, our model predicts an increased risk of population extirpation. This indicates that increased management actions may be required to ensure this population remains resilient.

Stock composition of Atlantic coastal migratory striped bass using microsatellite DNA analysis

The Atlantic Coast Migratory Stock (ACMS) of striped bass Morone saxatilis is supported by spawning populations in Chesapeake Bay and the Hudson, Delaware, and Roanoke rivers. Spawning success and recruitment differs among these populations and temporally within them and thus their relative abundances shift over time. The ACMS is subject to harvest and other sources of mortality at many Atlantic Coast locales. Effective management of these populations would benefit from knowledge of the relative contributions of these populations to the ACMS. We used microsatellite DNA analysis to measure the extent of genetic differentiation among those populations that contribute to the ACMS and to quantify their contributions to recreational harvest in 2019 at Montauk, New York. We found genetic homogeneity between the Delaware River and Chesapeake Bay populations, but significant allelic differentiation among the Hudson River, combined Delaware River-Chesapeake Bay, and Roanoke River populations. In simulations of single mixture samples, assignment accuracies for the Chesapeake-Delaware, Hudson River, and Roanoke River collections were high at 96 % (95 % CI=0.921, 0.999), 93 % (0.863, 0.979), and 81 % (0.726, 0.866), respectively. Mixture analysis and Individual Based Assignment testing were used to quantify contributions to the 2019 Montauk fishery. Mixture analysis indicated 86 %, 8.5 %, and 5.5 % contributions for the Chesapeake-Delaware, Hudson River and Roanoke River populations, respectively. Similarly, Individual Based Assignments showed the Chesapeake-Delaware population as the largest contributor (78 %), followed by the Hudson River (12 %), and the Roanoke River (10 %). Furthermore, we found no significant differences in relative contributions across the five-month recreational fishing season nor among size-classes of striped bass. Lastly, the risk of consuming a Hudson River striped bass from Montauk containing a considerably high concentration of PCBs is minimal. Future stock composition analysis of Atlantic migratory striped bass would benefit from standardization of the approach, with DNA analysis from collections made at a single strategic location offering advantages.