Oxbow lakes, formed through river meandering cutoffs, are recognized as key components of river ecosystems, characterized by both fluvial and lacustrine features. The focus of previous research has been placed primarily on post-disconnection changes, leaving gaps in the understanding of their long-term morphological evolution. This gap is addressed through a comparative analysis of gate-controlled and naturally connected oxbow lakes over a 30-year period. In this study, Tian’ezhou Lake (gate-controlled) and Shangchewan Lake (naturally connected), located in the middle Yangtze River, are investigated. Key morphological parameters such as curvature, shoreline development index, and shrinkage rate were measured using Google Earth Engine (GEE). The influence of hydrological and meteorological factors on lake morphology was analyzed through Redundancy Analysis (RDA). Significant morphological changes were observed from 1990 to 2000. During this period, Tian’ezhou’s curvature was found to increase by 0.003/year, while Shangchewan’s curvature decreased by 0.011/year. After the construction of the Three Gorges Dam (TGD), a reduction in the rate of morphological evolution was detected, particularly between 2000 and 2010, when Tian’ezhou’s curvature decreased by 0.071/year and Shangchewan’s increased by 0.04/year. Post-2010, no significant changes in planar morphology were recorded in either lake. It was revealed by RDA that annual precipitation from 1990 to 1999 played a dominant role in influencing the morphological evolution of both lakes. From 2000 to 2020, water level fluctuations and hydrological connectivity emerged as the primary drivers. Gate control at Tian’ezhou Lake mitigated extreme water level fluctuations, contributing to a more stable environment and a slower rate of morphological evolution compared to Shangchewan. The findings underscore the importance of balanced water management strategies, integrating both natural and engineered hydrological interventions. Practical guidance is provided for ecological restoration and river management, with an emphasis on maintaining stable habitats and ensuring ecosystem resilience in response to hydrological changes.