Autophagy-related Gene Signature Research Articles

Identification and verification of a prognostic autophagy-related gene signature in hepatocellular carcinoma

This study aimed to investigate the potential of autophagy-related genes (ATGs) as a prognostic signature for HCC and explore their relationships with immune cells and immune checkpoint molecules. A total of 483 samples were collected from the GEO database (n = 115) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database (n = 368). The GEO dataset was used as the training set, while the TCGA dataset was used for validation. The list of ATGs was obtained from the human autophagy database (HADB). Using Cox regression and LASSO regression methods, a prognostic signature based on ATGs was established. The independent use of this prognostic signature was tested through subgroup analysis. Additionally, the predictive value of this signature for immune-related profiles was explored. Following selection through univariate Cox regression analysis and iterative LASSO Cox analysis, a total of 11 ATGs were used in the GEO dataset to establish a prognostic signature that stratified patients into high- and low-risk groups based on survival. The robustness of this prognostic signature was validated using an external dataset. This signature remained a prognostic factor even in subgroups with different clinical features. Analysis of immune profiles revealed that patients in the high-risk group exhibited immunosuppressive states characterized by lower immune scores and ESTIMATE scores, greater tumour purity, and increased expression of immune checkpoint molecules. Furthermore, this signature was found to be correlated with the infiltration of different immune cell subpopulations. The results suggest that the ATG-based signature can be utilized to evaluate the prognosis of HCC patients and predict the immune status within the tumour microenvironment (TME). However, it is important to note that this study represents a preliminary attempt to use ATGs as prognostic indicators for HCC, and further validation is necessary to determine the predictive power of this signature.

Comprehensive Bioinformatic Analysis Reveals an Autophagy-related Gene Signature for Predicting Outcome, Immune Status, and Drug Sensitivity in Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies in the world, but molecular complexity and tumor heterogeneity make predictive models for HCC prognosis ineffective. Many recent studies have suggested that autophagy is important in tumor progression. Using autophagy-related genes (ARGs), we attempted to create a novel signature for individual prognosis prediction in patients with HCC. Differentially expressed ARGs (DE-ARGs) in HCC and normal samples were screened using TCGA datasets. Univariate Cox and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine ARGs related to survival in HCC. An autophagy-based signature was constructed using LASSO, and its correlation with the prognosis and the immune infiltration of HCC patients was explored. In this study, we screened 32 survival-related DE-ARGs by analyzing TCGA datasets. Functional enrichment indicated that the 32 DE-ARGs may play important functional and regulatory roles in cellular autophagy, the regulation of multiple signaling pathways, as well as in the context of cancer and neurological diseases. Based on PPI Network, we identified several hub genes. LASSO Cox regression analysis selected five genes (CASP8, FOXO1, PRKCD, SPHK1, and SQSTM1) for a novel prognostic model. AUCs of 0.752, 0.686, and 0.665 in the TCGA whole set indicated that the model accurately predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that the five-gene signature is an independent and robust predictor in patients with HCC. The high-risk group demonstrated higher levels of immune cell infiltration and exhibited a strong correlation with the immune microenvironment and tumor stem cells. In addition, we further identified PRKCD and SQSTM1 as critical regulators involved in HCC progression. The expression levels of PRKCD and SQSTM1 genes play a crucial role in chemotherapy drug sensitivity and resistance. We introduce here a novel ARG-based predictive feature for HCC patients. Effective use of this signature will aid in determining a patient's prognosis and may lead to novel approaches to clinical decision-making and therapy.

Identification of Autophagy-Related Gene Signature as A Prognostic Index in Patients Suffering from Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Autophagy is a process of lysosomal degradation and elimination of the intracellular content in stressed cells which reportedly has a crucial part in the occurrence and development of tumors. The sixth most prevalent cancer all over the world is head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). HNSCC is associated with an increased incidence of morbidity and mortality, seriously affecting human health. This investigation examined the relationship between genes linked to autophagy and the prognosis for HNSCC, aiming to discover new autophagy-related biomarkers of HNSCC prognosis. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) HNSCC database was utilized for identifying differentially expressed 38 autophagy-related genes. Through the use of LASSO regression, univariate Cox analysis, and multivariate Cox analysis, a prognostic model of 6 autophagy-related genes was developed. The interested genes FADD, EGFR, and CTSL expression in the HNSCC cell line was determined via qRT-PCR. Following the model risk score, patients were grouped into high- or low-risk groups. The results of the survival analysis showed that the high-risk group’s overall survival time was considerably shorter in comparison to the low-risk group (P <0.001). Nomograms were established and calibration curves were verified using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. It was found that autophagy-related gene signatures were more effective as independent prognostic indicators than other single indicators. The selected autophagy-related gene signature was linked to the overall survival time of HNSCC patients. qRT-PCR results showed that FADD, EGFR, and CTSL genes dispalyed obvious upregulation in HNSCC cell line. The current study provides potential prognostic markers for predicting clinical HNSCC prognosis. Our data suggests potential clinical applications of HNSCC autophagy markers.

A novel autophagy-related gene signature associated with prognosis and immune microenvironment in ovarian cancer

Ovarian cancer (OV), the most fatal gynecological malignance worldwide, has high recurrence rates and poor prognosis. Recently, emerging evidence supports that autophagy, a highly regulated multi-step self-digestive process, plays an essential role in OV progression. Accordingly, we filtered 52 potential autophagy-related genes (ATGs) among the 6197 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) identified in TCGA-OV samples (n = 372) and normal controls (n = 180). Based on the LASSO-Cox analysis, we distinguished a 2-gene prognostic signature, namely FOXO1 and CASP8, with promising prognostic value (p-value < 0.001). Together with corresponding clinical features, we constructed a nomogram model for 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year survival, which was validated in both in training (TCGA-OV, p-value < 0.001) and validation (ICGC-OV, p-value = 0.030) cohorts. Interestingly, we evaluated the immune infiltration landscape through the CIBERSORT algorithm, which indicated the upregulation of 5 immune cells, including CD8 + T cells, Tregs, and Macrophages M2, and high expression of critical immune checkpoints (CTLA4, HAVCR2, PDCD1LG2, and TIGIT) in high-risk group. Stepwise, high-risk group exhibited better sensitivity towards chemotherapies of Bleomycin, Sorafenib, Veliparib, and Vinblastine, though less sensitive to immunotherapy. Especially, based on the IHC of tissue microarrays among 125 patients in our institution, we demonstrated that aberrant upregulation of FOXO1 in OV was related to metastasis and poor prognosis. Moreover, FOXO1 could significantly promote tumor invasiveness, migration, and proliferation in OV cell lines, which was assessed through the Transwell, wound-healing, and CCK-8 assay, respectively. Briefly, the autophagy-related signature was a reliable tool to evaluate immune responses and predict prognosis in the realm of OV precision medicine.

Bioinformatics analysis and experimental validation of a novel autophagy-related signature relevant to immune infiltration for recurrence prediction after curative hepatectomy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains imposing an enormous economic and healthcare burden worldwide. In this present study, we constructed and validated a novel autophagy-related gene signature to predict the recurrence of HCC patients. A total of 29 autophagy-related differentially expressed genes were identified. A five-gene signature (CLN3, HGF, TRIM22, SNRPD1, and SNRPE) was constructed for HCC recurrence prediction. Patients in high-risk groups exhibited a significantly poor prognosis compared with low-risk patients both in the training set (GSE14520 dataset) and the validation set (TCGA and GSE76427 dataset). Multivariate cox regression analysis demonstrated that the 5-gene signature was an independent risk factor for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in HCC patients. The nomograms incorporating 5-gene signature and clinical prognostic risk factors were able to effectively predict RFS. KEGG and GSEA analysis revealed that the high-risk group was enriched with multiple oncology characteristics and invasive-related pathways. Besides, the high-risk group had a higher level of immune cells and higher levels of immune checkpoint-related gene expression in the tumor microenvironment, suggesting that they might be more likely to benefit from immunotherapy. Finally, the immunohistochemistry and cell experiments confirmed the role of SNRPE, the most significant gene in the gene signature. SNRPE was significantly overexpressed in HCC. After SNRPE knockdown, the proliferation, migration and invasion ability of the HepG2 cell line were significantly inhibited. Our study established a novel five-gene signature and nomogram to predict RFS of HCC, which may help in clinical decision-making for individual treatment.

An Autophagy-Associated Prognostic Gene Signature for Breast Cancer.

Autophagy is closely related to breast cancer and has the dual role of promoting and inhibiting the progression of breast cancer. In this study, we aimed to establish an autophagy-related gene signature for the prognosis of breast cancer. A gene signature composed of the eight most survival-relevant autophagy-associated genes was identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. A risk score was calculated based on the gene signature, which divided breast cancer patients into low- or high-risk groups and showed good and poor prognosis, respectively. The risk score displayed good prognostic performance in both the training cohort (TCGA, 1-10-year AUC > 0.63) and the validation cohort (GEO, 1-10-year AUC > 0.66). The multivariate Cox regression and stratified analysis revealed that the risk score was an independent prognostic factor for breast cancer patients. Moreover, the high-risk score was associated with higher infiltration of neutrophils and M2-polarized macrophages, and lower infiltration of resting memory CD4+ T cells, CD8+ T cells, and NK cells. Finally, the high-risk score was associated with myc target, glycolysis, and mTORC1 signaling. The risk score developed based on the autophagy-associated gene signature was an independent prognostic biomarker for breast cancer.

Prognostic Model and Nomogram Construction and Validation With an Autophagy-Related Gene Signature in Low-Grade Gliomas.

Background : Autophagy plays a vital role in cancer development. However, the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) in low-grade gliomas (LGG) is unclear. This research aimed to investigate whether ARGs correlated with overall survival (OS) in LGG patients. Methods: RNA-sequencing data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) TARGET GTEx database. Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes enrichment analysis of ARGs were performed by the “clusterprofile” R package. Cox regression with the wald χ2 test was employed to identify prognostic significant ARGs. Next, the receiver operator characteristic curves were established to evaluate the feasibility of risk score () and other clinical risk factors to predict prognosis. A nomogram was constructed. Correlations between clinical features and ARGs were further verified by a t-test or Kruskal–Wallis test. In addition, the correlations between autophagy and immune cells were assessed through the single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) and tumor immune estimation resource database. Last, the prediction model was verified by LGG data downloaded from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) database. Results: Overall, 35 DE-ARGs were identified. Functional enrichment analysis showed that these genes were mainly related to oxidative stress and regulation of autophagy. Nine ARGs (BAX, BIRC5, CFLAR, DIRAS3, GRID2, MAPK9, MYC, PTK6, and TP53) were significantly associated with OS. Age (Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.063, 95% CI: 1.046–1.080), grade (HR = 3.412, 95% CI: 2.164–5.379), histological type (HR = 0.556, 95% CI: 0.346–0.893), and risk score (HR = 1.135, 95% CI: 1.104–1.167) were independent prognostic risk factors (all p < 0.05). In addition, BIRC5, CFLAR, DIRAS3, TP53, and risk scores were found to correlate significantly with age and tumor grade (all p < 0.05). Immune cell enrichment analysis demonstrated that the types of immune cells and their expression levels in the high-risk group were significantly different from those in the low-risk group (all p < 0.05). A prognostic nomogram was constructed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival, and the prognostic value of sorted ARGs were verified in the CGGA database and clinical samples. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that the 9 DE-ARGs’ risk score model could serve as diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers. The prognostic nomograms could be useful for individualized survival prediction and improved treatment strategies.

Signature for Prostate Cancer Based on Autophagy-Related Genes and a Nomogram for Quantitative Risk Stratification.

Background Prostate cancer (PCa) ranks as the most common malignancy and the second leading cause of cancer-related death among males worldwide. The essential role of autophagy in the progression of PCa and treatment resistance has been preliminarily revealed. However, comprehensive molecular elucidations of the correlation between PCa and autophagy are rare. Method We obtained transcription information and corresponding clinicopathological profiles of PCa patients from TCGA, MSKCC, and GEO datasets. LAASO analysis was employed to select gene signatures and estimate the autophagy score for each patient. Correlations between the signature and prognosis of PCa were investigated by K-M and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram was established on the basis of the above results. Further validations relied on ROC, calibration analysis, decision curve analysis, and external cohorts. Variable activated signaling pathways were revealed using GSVA algorithms, and the genetic alteration landscape was elucidated via the oncodrive module from the “maftools” R package. In addition, we also examined the therapeutic role of the signature based on phenotype data from GDSC 2016. Result Six autophagy-related genes were eventually selected to establish the signature, including ULK1, CAPN10, FKBP5, UBE2T, NLRC4, and BNIP3L. We used these genes and corresponding coefficients to calculate an autophagy score (AutS) for each patient in this study. A high AutS group and a low AutS group were divided on the mean AutS of the patients. Longer overall survival, higher Gleason score and PSA, and better response to ADT were observed in patients with high AutS. Meanwhile, we found that high AutS PCa was related to more proliferation-associated signaling activation and higher genetic mutation frequencies, manifesting a poor prognosis. A nomogram was constructed based on GS, T stage, PSA, and AutS as covariates. Its discriminative efficacy and clinical value were validated using robust statistical methods. Finally, we tested its prognostic value through two external cohorts and six published signatures. Conclusion The autophagy-related gene signature is a highly discriminative model for risk stratification and drug therapy in PCa, and a nomogram incorporating AutS might be a promising tool for precision medicine.

A Prognostic Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival in Pediatric Wilms Tumor Based on an Autophagy-related Gene Signature.

Wilms Tumor (WT) is the most common primary renal malignancy in children. Autophagy plays dual roles in the promotion and suppression of various cancers. The goal of our study was to develop a novel autophagy-related gene (ARG) prognostic nomogram for WT. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database was used. We screened the expression profiles of ARGs in 136 WT patients. The differentially expressed prognostic ARGs were evaluated by multivariate Cox regression analysis and survival analysis. A novel prognostic nomogram based on the ARGs and clinical characteristics was established using multivariate Cox regression analysis. First, 69 differentially expressed ARGs were identified in WT patients. Then, multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to determine 4 key prognostic ARGs (CC3CL1, ERBB2, HIF-α and CXCR4) in WT. According to their ARG expression levels, the patients were clustered into high- and low-risk groups. Next, survival analysis indicated that high-risk patients had significantly poorer overall survival than low-risk patients. The results of functional enrichment analysis suggested that autophagy may play a tumor-suppressive role in the initiation of WT. Finally, a prognostic nomogram with a Harrell's concordance index (C-index) of 0.841 was used to predict the survival probability of WT patients by integrating clinical characteristics and the 4-ARG signature. The calibration curve indicated its excellent predictive performance. In summary, the ARG signature could be a promising biomarker for monitoring the outcomes of WT. We established a novel nomogram based on the ARG signature, which accurately predicts the overall survival of WT patients.

An Autophagy-Related Gene Signature can Better Predict Prognosis and Resistance in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

Background: Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is a highly heterogeneous disease, and about 30%–40% of patients will develop relapsed/refractory DLBCL. In this study, we aimed to develop a gene signature to predict survival outcomes of DLBCL patients based on the autophagy-related genes (ARGs). Methods: We sequentially used the univariate, least absolute shrinkage and selector operation (LASSO), and multivariate Cox regression analyses to build a gene signature. The Kaplan–Meier curve and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were performed to estimate the prognostic capability of the gene signature. GSEA analysis, ESTIMATE and ssGSEA algorithms, and one-class logistic regression were performed to analyze differences in pathways, immune response, and tumor stemness between the high- and low-risk groups. Results: Both in the training cohort and validation cohorts, high-risk patients had inferior overall survival compared with low-risk patients. The nomogram consisted of the autophagy-related gene signature, and clinical factors had better discrimination of survival outcomes, and it also had a favorable consistency between the predicted and actual survival. GSEA analysis found that patients in the high-risk group were associated with the activation of doxorubicin resistance, NF-κB, cell cycle, and DNA replication pathways. The results of ESTIMATE, ssGSEA, and mRNAsi showed that the high-risk group exhibited lower immune cell infiltration and immune activation responses and had higher similarity to cancer stem cells. Conclusion: We proposed a novel and reliable autophagy-related gene signature that was capable of predicting the survival and resistance of patients with DLBCL and could guide individualized treatment in future.

Identification of an autophagy-related gene signature for predicting prognosis and immune activity in pancreatic adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the pancreas (PAAD) is a cancerous growth that deteriorates rapidly and has a poor prognosis. Researchers are investigating autophagy in PAAD to identify a new biomarker and treatment target. An autophagy-related gene (ARG) model for overall survival (OS) was constructed using multivariate Cox regression analyses. A cohort of the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-PAAD was used as the training group as a basis for model construction. This prediction model was validated with several external datasets. To evaluate model performance, the analysis with receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) was performed. The Human Protein Atlas (HPA) and Cancer Cell Line Encyclopedia (CCLE) were investigated to validate the effects of ARGs expression on cancer cells. Comparing the levels of immune infiltration between high-risk and low-risk groups was finished through the use of CIBERSORT. The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the low-/high-risk groups were analyzed further via Gene Ontology biological process (GO-BP) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses, which were used to identify potential small-molecule compounds in Connectivity Map (CMap), followed by half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) examination with PANC-1 cells. The risk score was finally calculated as follows: BAK1 × 0.34 + ITGA3 × 0.38 + BAG3 × 0.35 + APOL1 × 0.26–RAB24 × 0.67519. ITGA3 and RAB24 both emerged as independent prognostic factors in multivariate Cox regression. Each PAAD cohort had a significantly shorter OS in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group. The high-risk group exhibited infiltration of several immune cell types, including naive B cells (p = 0.003), plasma cells (p = 0.044), and CD8 T cells (nearly significant, p = 0.080). Higher infiltration levels of NK cells (p = 0.025), resting macrophages (p = 0.020), and mast cells (p = 0.007) were found in the high-risk group than the low-risk group. The in vitro and in vivo expression of signature ARGs was consistent in the CCLE and HPA databases. The top 3 enriched Gene Ontology biological processes (GO-BPs) were signal release, regulation of transsynaptic signaling, and modulation of chemical synaptic transmission, and the top 3 enriched Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways were MAPK, cAMP, and cell adhesion molecules. Four potential small-molecule compounds (piperacetazine, vinburnine, withaferin A and hecogenin) that target ARGs were also identified. Taking the results together, our research shows that the ARG signature may serve as a useful prognostic indicator and reveal potential therapeutic targets in patients with PAAD.

Identifying and Validating of an Autophagy-Related Gene Signature for the Prediction of Early Relapse in Breast Cancer.

BackgroundCompelling evidence has demonstrated the pivotal role of autophagy in the prognosis of breast cancer. Breast cancer (BC) patients with early relapse consistently exhibited worse survival.MethodsThe autophagy-related genes were derived from the Human Autophagy Database (HADb) and high-sequencing data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Discrepantly expressed autophagy genes (DEAGs) between early relapse and long-term survival groups were performed using the Linear Models for Microarray data (LIMMA) method. Lasso Cox regression analysis was conducted for the selection of the 4-gene autophagy-related gene signature. GSE42568 and GSE21653 databases were enrolled in this study for the external validation of the signature. Then patients were divided into high and low-risk groups based on the specific score formula. GSEA was used to discover the related signaling pathway. The Kaplan-Meier curves and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the discrimination and accuracy of the 4-gene signature.ResultsA signature composed of four autophagy-related mRNA including APOL1, HSPA8, SIRT1, and TP73, was identified as significantly associated with the early relapse in BC patients. Time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic at 1 year suggested remarkable accuracy of the signature [area under the curve (AUC = 0.748)]. The risk score model based on the autophagy-related signature showed favorable predicting value in 1-, 2-, and 3-year relapse-free survival (RFS) in training and two validating cohorts. The GSEA displayed gene sets were remarkably enriched in carcinogenic activation pathways and autophagy-related pathways. The nomogram involving three variables (progesterone receptor status, T stage, and 4-gene signature) exhibited relatively good discrimination with a C-index of 0.766.ConclusionsOur study establishes an autophagy-related 4-gene signature that can effectively stratify the high-risk and low-risk BC patients for early relapse. Combined with the clinicopathological variables, the signature could significantly help oncologists tailor more efficient treatment strategies for BC patients.

Identification and validation of an autophagy-related gene signature for predicting prognosis in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the main subtype of esophageal cancer. Since autophagy-related genes (ARGs) play a key role in the pathogenesis of many tumors, including ESCC, the purpose of this study is to establish an autophagy-related prognostic risk signature based on ARGs expression profile, and to provide a new method for improving prediction of clinical outcomes. We obtained the expression profiles of ESCC from public data (GSE53625) and extracted the portion of ARGs. Differential expression analysis and enrichment analysis were performed to confirm abnormal autophagy-related biological functions. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed on RNA microarray data (GSE53625) to construct a prognostic risk signature associated with autophagy. The performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, survival analysis and Brier score. The model was subjected to bootstrap internal validation. The potential molecular mechanism of gene signature was explored by gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). Spearman correlation coefficient examined the correlation between risk score and immune status and ferroptosis. The expression levels of genes and proteins were validated by qRT-PCR and immunohistochemistry in ESCC cell lines and ESCC tissues. We constructed and validated an autophagy-related prognostic risk signature in 179 patients with ESCC. The long-term survival of patients in high-risk group was lower than that in low-risk group (log-rank, P value < 0.001). ROC analysis and Brier score confirmed the reliability of the signature. GSEA results showed significant enrichment of cancer- and autophagy-related signaling pathways in the high-risk ESCC patients and immunoregulatory signaling pathways in the low-risk ESCC patients. Correlation analysis showed that the risk signature can effectively predict the effect of immunotherapy. About 33.97% (71/209) ferroptosis-related genes were significantly correlated with risk scores. Finally, the results of qRT-PCR and immunohistochemistry experiments were consistent with bioinformatics analysis. In brief, we constructed a novel autophagy-related gene signature (VIM, UFM1, TSC2, SRC, MEFV, CTTN, CFTR and CDKN1A), which could improve the prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with ESCC.

Prognostic Implications of an Autophagy-related Gene Signature in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is difficult to diagnose and resistant to therapy and has a poor prognosis. Autophagy plays a vital role in PDAC development and progression. This study aimed to establish an autophagy-related gene (ARG) signature to predict the prognosis of patients with PDAC. The expression profiles of PDAC and healthy pancreatic tissues were obtained from The Cancer Genome of Atlas (TCGA) and GTEx (Genotype-Tissue Expression) databases, respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed on differentially expressed ARGs to identify the optimal prognosis-related genes. A total of 73 ARGs demonstrated significant differences in expression levels between PDAC and healthy pancreatic tissues. Several pathways that play crucial roles in biological processes were identified via enrichment analyses. Furthermore, an ARG signature was established based on overall survival-related ARGs (CASP4, BAK1, PIK3R4, CASP8, BIRC5, RPTOR, and CAPN1) using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Cox regression analysis confirmed that the 7-gene signature was an independent prognostic factor for patients with PDAC (P<0.001). In addition, the GSE21501 and GSE28735 datasets were used to validate the predictive value of the prognostic model for PDAC. We also constructed a clinical nomogram with a concordance index of 0.712 to predict the overall survival of patients by integrating clinical characteristics and the ARG signature. Calibration curves substantiated fine concordance between nomogram prediction and actual observation. We constructed a new ARG-related prognostic model, which can be a prognostic biomarker and offers insights into identifying potential therapeutic targets for PDAC.

Identification of an Autophagy-Related Gene Signature for the Prediction of Prognosis in Early-Stage Colorectal Cancer.

Purpose: A certain number of early-stage colorectal cancer (CRC) patients suffer tumor recurrence after initial curative resection. In this context, an effective prognostic biomarker model is constantly in need. Autophagy exhibits a dual role in tumorigenesis. Our study aims to develop an autophagy-related gene (ATG) signature-based on high-throughput data analysis for disease-free survival (DFS) prognosis of patients with stage I/II CRC. Methods: Gene expression profiles and clinical information of CRC patients extracted from four public datasets were distributed to discovery and training cohort (GSE39582), validation cohort (TCGA CRC, n = 624), and meta-validation cohort (GSE37892 and GSE14333, n = 420). Autophagy genes significantly associated with prognosis were identified. Results: Among 655 autophagy-related genes, a 10-gene ATG signature, which was significantly associated with DFS in the training cohort (HR, 2.76[1.56–4.82]; p = 2.06 × 10–4), was constructed. The ATG signature, stratifying patients into high and low autophagy risk groups, was validated in the validation (HR, 2.29[1.15–4.55]; p = 1.5 × 10–2) and meta-validation cohorts (HR, 2.5[1.03–6.06]; p = 3.63 × 10–2) and proved to be prognostic in a multivariate analysis. Functional analysis revealed enrichment of several immune/inflammatory pathways in the high autophagy risk group, where increased infiltration of T regulatory cells (Tregs) and decreased infiltration of M1 macrophages were observed. Conclusion: Our study established a prognostic ATG signature that effectively predicted DFS for early-stage CRC patients. Meanwhile, the study also revealed the possible relationship among autophagy process, immune/inflammatory response, and tumorigenesis.

Nomogram based on autophagy related genes for predicting the survival in melanoma

BackgroundAutophagy, a highly conserved lysosomal degradation pathway, is associated with the prognosis of melanoma. However, prognostic prediction models based on autophagy related genes (ARGs) have never been recognized in melanoma. In the present study, we aimed to establish a novel nomogram to predict the prognosis of melanoma based on ARGs signature and clinical parameters.MethodsData from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) databases were extracted to identify the differentially expressed ARGs. Univariate, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate analysis were used to select the prognostic ARGs. ARGs signature, age and stage were then enrolled to establish a nomogram to predict the survival probabilities of melanoma. The nomogram was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the clinical benefits of the nomogram and TNM stage model. The nomogram was validated in GEO cohorts.ResultsFive prognostic ARGs were selected to construct ARGs signature model and validated in the GEO cohort. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis suggested that patients in high-risk group had significantly worse overall survival than those in low-risk group in TCGA cohort (P = 5.859 × 10–9) and GEO cohort (P = 3.075 × 10–9). We then established and validated a novel promising prognostic nomogram through combining ARGs signature and clinical parameters. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.717 in TCGA training cohort and 0.738 in GEO validation cohort. TCGA/GEO-based ROC curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram was better than traditional TNM staging system for melanoma prognosis.ConclusionWe firstly developed and validated an ARGs signature based-nomogram for individualized prognosis prediction in melanoma patients, which could assist with decision making for clinicians.

CTNI-39. IDENTIFICATION OF AN AUTOPHAGY-RELATED GENE SIGNATURE AND ESTABLISHMENT OF A NOMOGRAM PREDICTING SURVIVAL OF LOWER-GRADE GLIOMA

Abstract OBJECTIVE The aim of our study was to establish an autophagy-related signature for individualized risk stratification and prognosis prediction in LGG. METHODS RNA-sequencing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Genome Tissue Expression (GTEx), and Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) were used. The 232 ARGs were obtained from the Human Autophagy Database (HADb). Univariate and Lasso regression were employed to identify differentially expressed autophagy-related genes (ARGs) and establish a prognostic signature whose performance was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. RESULTS Fifty-three autophagy-related DEGs were identified. Four autophagy-related genes (DIRAS3, GNAI3, PTK6, and BIRC5) were selected to establish the prognostic signature and verified in the CGGA validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression indicated that the autophagy signature (HR, 95%CI, P) was an independent predictor of prognosis in LGG. Finally, a prognostic nomogram incorporating age, grade, targeted therapy, new event, tumor status and autophagy signature achieved excellent predicative performance (AUC 0.907, 0.865 and 0.858 for 1-year, 3-year and 5-year survival, respectively) verified by Time-dependent ROC, C-index (0.844, 95% CI, 0.799 to 0.889; P = 1.01e-12) and calibration plots. CONCLUSION The present study constructed a robust four autophagy-related gene signature. A prognostic nomogram in risk stratification and prediction of overall survival in LGG was established. The findings may be beneficial to individualized survival prediction and medical decision-making for LGG.

Transcriptomic autophagy-related gene signature investigation for type 2 diabetes in Mediterranean subjects

BackgroundAutophagy (involving degradation and clearance of damaged organelles and compounds) plays a role in type 2 diabetes (T2D). There are three main types of autophagy and several genes involved. These genes have been well studied in animal models, but there are few transcriptomic studies in humans. Our aim is to analyze the differential gene expression, and the functional enrichment of the main autophagy-related genes (ARG) in T2D subjects from a Mediterranean population MethodsWe analyzed 120 White-European subjects (mean age 61,4 years; 50% women; 24 T2D) from Valencia, Spain. Clinical and lifestyle data were obtained. ARN was isolated from blood. Transcriptome-wide gene expression was analyzed with the GeneChip Human Gene 2.0 ST Array, according to standardized procedures. Differential gene expression between T2D and non-T2D subjects was estimated with multivariable models adjusted for covariates (sex, age, BMI, batch effect and leukocytes). A list of 111 ARG was selected to specifically study gene expression in terms of the log fold change. Gene ontology (GO) and pathway analysis using Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG), were undertaken. ResultsFor T2D vs. non-T2D subjects, we detected several differentially expressed ARG. The top-ranked genes were: HTT (p=0.0005), MTOR (p=0.0006), UVRAG (p=0.0028), NCOR1 (p=0.0031), APP (p=0.0034), AMBRA1 (p=0.0034), GABARAPL2 (p=0.0038), NFE2L2 (p=0.0111), BCL2 (p=0.0134) and ATG16L1 (p=0.0145). GO analysis showed that the 18 differentially expressed genes were primarily involved in regulation of catabolic process (p=1.19E-13), regulation of autophagy (p=5.80E-12) and response to starvation(p=2.88E-10). KEGG results revealed Autophagy (p=1.24E-12) and Autophagy-other (p=4.26E-09) as the hits.

Development and Validation of an Autophagy-Related Gene Signature for Predicting the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Purpose Autophagy is a lysosomal degradation pathway that is essential for maintaining the homeostasis of the intracellular environment. Mounting evidence indicates that autophagy plays an essential role in the occurrence and development of hepatocellular cancer (HCC). This research is aimed at exploring the prognostic value of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) in HCC patients. Methods The Wilcoxon test was used to identify differentially expressed ARGs in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) HCC cohort. Then, the TCGA cohort was randomly divided into training and testing groups. Cox and LASSO regression models were used to screen for autophagy-related genes that affect overall survival (OS) in the TCGA training group. Based on the coefficient of risk genes, we constructed an autophagy-related gene signature for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients. Finally, we validated the prognostic significance of autophagy-related gene signature using the TCGA testing group and three external datasets. Results ATG10, BIRC5, GAPDH, and TMEM74 are risk genes for OS. According to the optimal cutoff value of risk score in each HCC dataset, HCC patients can divide into high- and low-risk groups. ARG risk score can significantly distinguish HCC patients with different survival outcomes. Meanwhile, the ARG risk score is independently correlated with OS in multiple HCC cohorts. Conclusions The autophagy-related risk score can effectively screen high-risk HCC patients and provide guidance for clinical prevention and treatment of HCC.

A Novel Six Autophagy-Related Genes Signature Associated With Outcomes and Immune Microenvironment in Lower-Grade Glioma.

Since autophagy and the immune microenvironment are deeply involved in the tumor development and progression of Lower-grade gliomas (LGG), our study aimed to construct an autophagy-related risk model for prognosis prediction and investigate the relationship between the immune microenvironment and risk signature in LGG. Therefore, we identified six autophagy-related genes (BAG1, PTK6, EEF2, PEA15, ITGA6, and MAP1LC3C) to build in the training cohort (n = 305 patients) and verify the prognostic model in the validation cohort (n = 128) and the whole cohort (n = 433), based on the data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). The six-gene risk signature could divide LGG patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct overall survival in multiple cohorts (all p < 0.001). The prognostic effect was assessed by area under the time-dependent ROC (t-ROC) analysis in the training, validation, and whole cohorts, in which the AUC value at the survival time of 5 years was 0.837, 0.755, and 0.803, respectively. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the risk model was an independent risk predictor of OS (HR > 1, p < 0.05). A nomogram including the traditional clinical parameters and risk signature was constructed, and t-ROC, C-index, and calibration curves confirmed its robust predictive capacity. KM analysis revealed a significant difference in the subgroup analyses’ survival. Functional enrichment analysis revealed that these autophagy-related signatures were mainly involved in the phagosome and immune-related pathways. Besides, we also found significant differences in immune cell infiltration and immunotherapy targets between risk groups. In conclusion, we built a powerful predictive signature and explored immune components (including immune cells and emerging immunotherapy targets) in LGG.