Attributable Costs Research Articles

Healthcare resource utilisation and cost of care of systemic inflammation in individuals with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease

Abstract Background Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is a chronic disease, progressed by localised or systemic inflammation (SI). Chronic kidney disease (CKD) facilitates the presence of SI and is associated with an increased risk of ASCVD. Previous studies have estimated that 1–2% of the population in Western countries suffer from both conditions. Purpose To investigates the healthcare costs and resource utilisation for individuals diagnosed with ASCVD and CKD, with or without SI. Method The study applied data from the Danish national health and administrative registries from 1994-2022. Patients with ASCVD were identified by ICD-10 codes. CKD was identified by eGFR [15-59mL/min/1.73m2], in the Register of Laboratory Results for Research (RLRR). The latter date of diagnosis of the two diseases were used as index date. CRP-test results were extracted from RLRR. Individuals with conditions associated with CRP-levels and tests observed in association with CVD events or antibiotic/antiviral drug use were excluded. Individuals with at least two valid CRP tests were included. If two CRP-test results ≥2mg/L to <20mg/L were observed less than six month apart, and within two years of index, the individuals were classified to have SI. Individuals diagnosed in the first year of available eGFR were excluded to ensure only incident individuals in the study. Outcomes included costs and use of inpatient (duration ≥12h) and outpatient (<12h) hospital care, cost of primary care and prescription drugs (adjusted to 2022 currency). Results were derived using linear regression models. Results A total of 19,162 individuals’ incident between 2012-2022 were identified – 68% had SI. SI individuals had higher healthcare costs from five years before to three years after index. Individuals generated a total healthcare cost of EUR 69,554 (SI) and EUR 39,540 (no SI) in the study period (difference EUR 30,014, p<0.001). In adjusted analysis, the attributable cost in the three years following index was 1.4 times higher for individuals with SI, compared to individuals with no SI (difference EUR 12,922, p<0.001). Inpatient care accounted for 85% of the cost. SI individuals had significantly more inpatient hospital contacts from four years before to five years after index (7 attributable contacts total, 4.7 attributable contacts after index, 1.2 times more, p<0.001), and more outpatient contacts from five years before to three years after index (6.2 attributable contacts total, 2.3 attributable contacts after index, 1.3 times more, p<0.001). The largest difference was found in the year following index, where the difference was EUR 7,666 (1.5 times higher, p<0.001) cost, 1.5 (1.3 times higher, p<0.001) inpatient hospital contacts, and 1.1 (1.3 times higher, p<0.001) outpatient hospital contacts (adjusted estimates). Conclusion Individuals with SI represent a significant burden to the healthcare system, both in terms of healthcare cost and healthcare resource utilisation.Total healthcare costsAttributable hospital contacts

Attributable one-year healthcare cost of incident type 2 diabetes: A population-wide difference-in-differences study in Denmark.

The aim of this study is to estimate the causally attributable one-year healthcare costs for individuals getting a type 2 diabetes diagnosis compared to a matched sample and show the incurred costs of medication and in primary and secondary healthcare. Causal estimation using a difference-in-differences design to estimate the one-year health care costs attributable to type 2 diabetes. Danish registry data consisting of the entire population in years 2016-2019. Newly diagnosed individuals with type 2 diabetes in 2018 were identified using a validated method. Sociodemographic and historical health data were used to identify a matched control group. Individuals were followed for two years before and one year after the date of diagnosis using. Three cost components were analysed: medication and primary and secondary healthcare costs. A total of 18,133 individuals were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes in 2018 and matched successfully 1:1 to a control group. The total attributable one-year cost of type 2 diabetes was EUR 1316. The main cost component was hospital care (EUR 1004) and primary care (EUR 167). The total attributable cost of incident diabetes in Denmark in 2018 was approx. EUR 24 million. The majority of the first year health care cost of incident diabetes is incurred at the hospital level followed by primary care and medication. Our yearly cost estimate per newly diagnosed is considerably lower than estimates from the US and Australia.

Unlocking the power of tobacco taxation to mitigate the social costs of smoking in Mexico: a microsimulation model.

Despite being the most cost-effective tobacco control policy, tobacco taxation is the least implemented component of the World Health Organization MPOWER package to reduce smoking worldwide. In Mexico, both smoking prevalence and taxation have remained stable for more than a decade. This study aims to provide evidence about the potential effects of taxation to reduce the burden of tobacco-related diseases and the main attributable social costs in Mexico, including informal (unpaid) care costs, which are frequently ignored. We employ a first-order Monte Carlo microsimulation model that follows hypothetical population cohorts considering the risks of an adverse health event and death. First, we estimate tobacco-attributable morbidity and mortality, direct medical costs and indirect costs, such as labour productivity losses and informal care costs. Then, we assess the potential effects of a 50% cigarette price increase through taxation and two alternative scenarios of 25% and 75%. The inputs come from several sources, including national surveys and vital statistics. Each year, 63 000 premature deaths and 427 000 disease events are attributable to tobacco in Mexico, while social costs amount to MX$194.6 billion (US$8.5)-MX$116.2 (US$5.1) direct medical costs and MX$78.5 (US$3.4) indirect costs-representing 0.8% of gross domestic product. Current tobacco tax revenue barely covers 23.3% of these costs. Increasing cigarette prices through taxation by 50% could reduce premature deaths by 49 000 over the next decade, while direct and indirect costs averted would amount to MX$87.9 billion (US$3.8) and MX$67.6 billion (US$2.9), respectively. The benefits would far outweigh any potential loss even in a pessimistic scenario of increased illicit trade. Tobacco use imposes high social costs on the Mexican population, but tobacco taxation is a win-win policy for both gaining population health and reducing tobacco societal costs.

Economic costs of poor PSC manifest in sickness absence and voluntary turnover

Abstract Work-related stress is a major occupational health and safety (OHS) issue that has industrial relations origins. Aside from the moral and human rights imperatives to improve the corporate climate for worker psychological health (as per psychosocial safety climate, PSC), there are strong economic costs for not doing so. PSC refers to worker perceptions of the corporate safety system to protect and promote workers’ psychological health and wellbeing. It is a leading indicator of working conditions, which in turn affect workers’ health and work engagement. In this study, we estimate the attributable economic cost of low PSC due to sickness absence and turnover. Data were collected from a multinational company using survey at Time 1 (T1) and objective company data (i.e., sickness absence and turnover) after one year (T2). Using regression analysis and a matched sample of 617 responses, PSC was negatively related to future sickness absence. A binomial logistic regression with 1268 respondents (i.e., all responses at T1) showed that PSC was negatively related to future voluntary turnover. An economic analysis suggests that improving OHS via PSC could save an organisation with 5000 employees USD 0.6–2.7 million per year. Building PSC to protect and promote workers’ psychological health is a likely economic saving on organisational productivity.

Clinical manifestations, healthcare resource utilization, and costs among patients with long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders: a retrospective claims database analysis

Objective Long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders (LC-FAOD) are a group of rare genetic inborn errors of metabolism. Clinical manifestations may result in frequent healthcare visits, hospitalizations, and early death. This retrospective cohort study assessed manifestations, healthcare resource use (HRU), direct medical costs, and the impact of COVID-19 on HRU among patients with LC-FAOD. Methods The IQVIA PharMetrics Plus database was searched for pediatric (0–17 years) and adult (≥18 years) patients with confirmed LC-FAOD (ICD-10-CM Diagnosis Code E71.310) and ≥12 months continuous enrollment (CE) between January 2016-February 2020. A non–LC-FAOD general population cohort was randomly selected and matched using 1:20 exact matching on age, gender, payer type, and CE start year. Manifestations were identified via ICD-10 diagnosis codes (any billing position). Overall HRU and attributable costs were stratified by care setting. Pre-COVID-19 (March 2019–February 2020) and during COVID-19 (March 2020-February 2021) HRU was assessed among a subgroup of patients and the general population. Outcomes were evaluated among children and adults, respectively. Results 423 patients with LC-FAOD (47% female; 79.7% children) were included. The mean enrollment duration was 2.6 ± 1.2 years. 22.6% of children with LC-FAOD had at least one major clinical event (MCE), consisting of rhabdomyolysis (10.1%), hypoglycemia (9.8%), or cardiomyopathy (8.6%) versus 1.5% overall occurrence in the general population. Adults with LC-FAOD had a higher incidence of MCEs (37.2%) than children with LC-FAOD. Annualized all-cause HRU in all care settings and mean total annualized medical costs (children: $17,082 vs $4144; adults: $43,602 vs $3949) were higher in patients with LC-FAOD versus the general population. Patients with LC-FAOD had substantially fewer healthcare visits during COVID-19 across care settings than during the pre-COVID-19 period. Conclusions LC-FAOD impart a high burden on patients. Extended hospital stays and increased outpatient management were especially pronounced for adults and for patients with ≥1 MCE, resulting in substantially higher medical costs than the general population.

The attributable mortality, length of stay, and health care costs of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus infections in Singapore

ObjectivesWe used a multi-state model, which mitigates time-dependent bias, to estimate the mortality, length of stay (LOS), and costs of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections in Singapore. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study in a hospital in Singapore from 2018 to 2022. Patients with MRSA infections were matched 1:1:3 to patients with MRSA colonization and patients without MRSA by age, gender, specialty, and intensive care admission, respectively. A multi-state model was used to derive excess LOS and mortality hazard ratios. The attributable cost of infections was estimated in 2022 Singapore dollars (SGDs) from the health care perspective. ResultsWe matched 536 patients with MRSA infections to 536 patients with MRSA colonization, and to 1608 patients without MRSA. The excess LOS due to MRSA infection was 2.11 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.05-2.17) days compared with MRSA colonization and 3.75 (95% CI 3.69-3.80) days compared with no MRSA, which translated to an excess cost of SGD $1825 and SGD $3238, respectively. Of the different MRSA infection types, pneumonia had the highest mortality risk (hazard ratio 4.13; 95% CI 2.28-7.50) compared with patients without MRSA. ConclusionsMRSA infections increased hospital LOS and health care costs in Singapore. Our estimates can inform future economic analyses of management strategies against MRSA.

Projecting the economic burden of type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus in Germany from 2010 until 2040

BackgroundThe aim is to estimate age- and sex-specific direct medical costs related to diagnosed type 1 and type 2 diabetes in Germany between 2010 and 2040.MethodsBased on nationwide representative epidemiological routine data from 2010 from the statutory health insurance in Germany (almost 80% of the population’s insurance) we projected age- and sex-specific healthcare expenses for type 1 and 2 diabetes considering future demographic, disease-specific and cost trends. We combine per capita healthcare cost data (obtained from aggregated claims data from an almost 7% random sample of all German people with statutory health insurance) together with the demographic structure of the German population (obtained from the Federal Statictical Office), diabetes prevalence, incidence and mortality. Direct per capita costs, total annual costs, cost ratios for people with versus without diabetes and attributable costs were estimated. The source code for running the analysis is publicly available in the open-access repository Zenodo.ResultsIn 2010, total healthcare costs amounted to more than €1 billion for type 1 and €28 billion for type 2 diabetes. Depending on the scenario, total annual expenses were projected to rise remarkably until 2040 compared to 2010, by 1–281% for type 1 (€1 to €4 billion) and by 8–364% for type 2 diabetes (€30 to €131 billion). In a relatively probable scenario total costs amount to about €2 and €79 billion for type 1 and type 2 diabetes in 2040, respectively. Depending on annual cost growth (1% p.a. as realistic scenario vs. 5% p.a. as very extreme setting), we estimated annual per capita costs of €6,581 to €12,057 for type 1 and €5,245 to €8,999 for type 2 diabetes in 2040.ConclusionsDiabetes imposes a large economic burden on Germany which is projected to increase substantially until 2040. Temporal trends in the incidence and cost growth are main drivers of this increase. This highlight the need for urgent action to prepare for the potential development and mitigate its consequences.

Measuring the Direct Medical Costs of Hospital-Onset Infections Using an Analogy Costing Framework.

The majority of recent estimates on the direct medical cost attributable to hospital-onset infections (HOIs) has focused on device- or procedure-associated HOIs. The attributable costs of HOIs that are not associated with device use or procedures have not been extensively studied. We developed simulation models of attributable cost for 16 HOIs and estimated the total direct medical cost, including nondevice-related HOIs in the USA for 2011 and 2015. We used total discharge costs associated with HOI-related hospitalization from the National Inpatient Sample and applied an analogy costing methodology to develop simulation models of the costs attributable to HOIs. The mean attributable cost estimate from the simulation analysis was then multiplied by previously published estimates of the number of HOIs for 2011 and 2015 to generate national estimates of direct medical costs. After adjusting all estimates to 2017 US dollars, attributable cost estimates for select nondevice-related infections attributable cost estimates ranged from $7661 for ear, eye, nose, throat, and mouth (EENTM) infections to $27,709 for cardiovascular system infections in 2011; and from $8394 for EENTM to $26,445 for central nervous system infections in 2016 (based on 2015 incidence data). The national direct medical costs for all HOIs were $14.6 billion in 2011 and $12.1 billion in 2016. Nondevice- and nonprocedure-associated HOIs comprise approximately 26-28% of total HOI costs. Results suggest that nondevice- and nonprocedure-related HOIs result in considerable costs to the healthcare system.

Inter-rater agreement of CAUTI (catheter-associated urinary tract infections) diagnosis among Infectious disease physicians

Background: CAUTIs constitute forty percent of nosocomial infections, yet their direct link with mortality remains debated. In 2009, NHSN estimated the economic burden of CAUTIs in the U.S. to be over $340 million. Limited data exist on inter-physician concordance in diagnosing CAUTIs, especially in patients with abnormal genitourinary (GU) anatomy. Our study assessed inter-provider variability in diagnosing CAUTI in 50 such patients, including those meeting NHSN(National healthcare safety network) criteria. Methods: We included a random set of 50 adults (18+) with abnormal GU anatomy admitted to the University of Miami hospitals from January 2018 to November 2021 who had a urinary foley catheter and at least one positive urine culture during their hospitalization. Three Infectious disease fellows and three board-certified Infectious disease physicians independently reviewed each patient’s chart, classifying them as having or not having a CAUTI. Inter-physician reliability was assessed using kappa statistics. Results: Our findings highlight substantial variation in clinician-determined CAUTI incidence among the 50 patients with abnormal GU anatomy, ranging from 8% to 32% (Figures 2,3). Inter-rater agreement on CAUTI diagnosis was generally poor (Kappa Hollenbeak CS, et al. The attributable cost of catheter-associated urinary tract infections in the United States: A systematic review. Am J Infect Control. 2018 Jul;46(7):751-757. Trautner BW, et al. Development and validation of an algorithm to recalibrate mental models and reduce diagnostic errors associated with catheter-associated bacteriuria. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2013 Apr 15;13:48. Gafary M, et al. Catheter Associated Urinary Tract Infections (CAUTI) in Bladder Cancer Patients Post Cystectomy With a Neobladder, Open Forum Infectious Diseases, Volume 2, Issue suppl_1, December 2015, 293.

Productivity loss by cancer stage in patients newly diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma: A claims database analysis.

New cancer diagnoses are associated with employment decrease, workplace absenteeism, and attributable costs to employers. To estimate the workplace productivity loss in the year following a new diagnosis of early-, intermediate-, or advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in commercially insured US adults. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using Merative MarketScan commercial claims to identify incident HCC diagnoses from 2010 to 2020. Patients were stratified into early-, intermediate-, or advanced-stage cohorts based on presence of secondary malignancy codes or first treatment received. Mean workdays lost and attributable cost in the year following a new diagnosis were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier sample averages to account for censoring. An exploratory analysis was conducted on subgroups in the early and advanced cohorts to assess productivity loss in patients with and without treatment. Mean workdays lost in the year following a new HCC diagnosis among the early, intermediate, and advanced cohorts was 22.6 days (95% CI = 16.0-29.8), 17.4 days (95% CI = 11.9-23.2), and 19.5 days (95% CI = 15.6-23.6), respectively. Corresponding indirect costs were $6,031(95% CI = $4,270-$7,953), $4,644 (95% CI = $3,176-$6,192), and $5,204 (95% CI = $4,163-$6,298). Early-stage patients without a liver transplant and advanced-stage patients who received systemic therapy had 19.7 (95% CI = 12.7-27.4) and 22.0 (95% CI = 16.6-27.7) mean workdays lost, respectively. Productivity loss varies by stage and appears to be higher in early-stage patients who receive more intensive treatments in the first year following a new HCC diagnosis.

Heated tobacco product marketing: a mixed-methods study examining exposure and perceptions among US and Israeli adults.

The marketing of heated tobacco products (HTPs), like IQOS, influences consumers' perceptions. This mixed-methods study analyzed (i) survey data (2021) of 2222 US and Israeli adults comparing perceptions of 7 IQOS attributes (design, technology, colors, customization, flavors, cost and maintenance) and 10 marketing messages (e.g. 'Go smoke-free…') across tobacco use subgroups and (ii) qualitative interviews (n = 84) regarding IQOS perceptions. In initial bivariate analyses, those never using HTPs (86.2%) reported the least overall appeal; those currently using HTPs (7.7%) reported the greatest appeal. Notably, almost all (94.8%) currently using HTPs also currently used cigarettes (82.0%) and/or e-cigarettes (64.0%). Thus, multivariable linear regression accounted for current cigarette/e-cigarette use subgroup and HTP use separately; compared to neither cigarette/e-cigarette use (62.8%), cigarette/no e-cigarette use (17.1%) and e-cigarette/no cigarette use (6.5%), those with dual use (13.5%) indicated greater overall IQOS appeal (per composite index score); current HTP use was not associated. Qualitative data indicated varied perceptions regarding advantages (e.g. harm, addiction and complexity) of IQOS versus cigarettes and e-cigarettes, and perceived target markets included young people, those looking for cigarette alternatives and females. Given the perceived target markets and particular appeal to dual cigarette/e-cigarette use groups, IQOS marketing and population impact warrant ongoing monitoring to inform regulation.

The Lifetime Health and Economic Burden of Smokeless Tobacco use in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan: Results From ASTRAMOD.

Under the current policy landscapes, the lifetime health and economic burden of smokeless tobacco (ST) products, consumed by over 297 million ST users in South Asia, is unknown. The aim of this study was to estimate the lifetime health effects and costs attributable to current and future ST use in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan where the majority of ST users live. We developed a Markov-based state-transition model (ASTRAMOD) to predict the lifetime costs of treatment of four diseases (oral, pharyngeal, esophageal cancers, and stroke) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), attributable to the current and future use of ST under existing ST policy scenario. Country-specific Global Adult Tobacco Surveys, life tables, and meta-analyses of South Asian and South East Asian studies were used to populate the model. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis evaluated the uncertainty in model predictions. If there were no change in the current ST policies, the lifetime ST-attributable treatment costs would be over US$19 billion in India, over US$1.5 billion in Bangladesh, and over US$3 billion in Pakistan. For all countries, the attributable costs are higher for younger cohorts with costs declining with increasing age for those over 50. The model predicted that a typical 15-year-old male adoloscent would gain 0.07-0.18 life years, avert 0.07-0.19 DALYs, and generate a cost-savings of US$7-21 on healthcare spending if ST policies were changed to eliminate ST use. Policy interventions aimed at decreasing the uptake of ST and increasing quitting success have the potential to substantially decrease the economic and health burden of ST. This study provides the most comprehensive estimates of the lifetime health and economic burden of ST by 5-year age and sex cohorts. This is also the first study that highlights the scale of health and economic burden of ST in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan if there were no changes in the current ST policies. Policymakers and practitioners can use the reported data to justify their decisions to improve current ST policies and practices in their country. Researchers can use the ASTRAMOD methodology to estimate the impact of future ST policy changes.

Letter to the Editor From Landrigan et al: “Chemicals Used in Plastic Materials: An Estimate of the Attributable Disease Burden and Costs in the United States”

Letter to the Editor From Landrigan et al: “Chemicals Used in Plastic Materials: An Estimate of the Attributable Disease Burden and Costs in the United States”

Response to Letter to the Editor From Landrigan et al: "Chemicals Used in Plastic Materials: An Estimate of the Attributable Disease Burden and Costs in the United States".

Response to Letter to the Editor From Landrigan et al: "Chemicals Used in Plastic Materials: An Estimate of the Attributable Disease Burden and Costs in the United States".

National clinical and financial outcomes associated with acute kidney injury following esophagectomy for cancer.

Esophagectomy is a complex oncologic operation associated with high rates of postoperative complications. While respiratory and septic complications have been well-defined, the implications of acute kidney injury (AKI) remain unclear. Using a nationally representative database, we aimed to characterize the association of AKI with mortality, resource use, and 30-day readmission. All adults undergoing elective esophagectomy with a diagnosis of esophageal or gastric cancer were identified in the 2010-2019 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Study cohorts were stratified based on presence of AKI. Multivariable regressions and Royston-Parmar survival analysis were used to evaluate the independent association between AKI and outcomes of interest. Of an estimated 40,438 patients, 3,210 (7.9%) developed AKI. Over the 10-year study period, the incidence of AKI increased from 6.4% to 9.7%. Prior radiation/chemotherapy and minimally invasive operations were associated with reduced odds of AKI, whereas public insurance coverage and concurrent infectious and respiratory complications had greater risk of AKI. After risk adjustment, AKI remained independently associated with greater odds of in-hospital mortality (AOR: 4.59, 95% CI: 3.62-5.83) and had significantly increased attributable costs ($112,000 vs $54,000) and length of stay (25.7 vs 13.3 days) compared to patients without AKI. Furthermore, AKI demonstrated significantly increased hazard of 30-day readmission (hazard ratio: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.01-1.32). AKI after esophagectomy is associated with greater risk of mortality, hospitalization costs, and 30-day readmission. Given the significant adverse consequences of AKI, careful perioperative management to mitigate this complication may improve quality of esophageal surgical care at the national level.

Association between long-term ozone exposure and readmission for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation

The relationship between long-term ozone (O₃) exposure and readmission for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) remains elusive. In this study, we collected individual-level information on AECOPD hospitalizations from a standardized electronic database in Guangzhou from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2015. We calculated the annual mean O₃ concentration prior to the dates of the index hospitalization for AECOPD using patients’ residential addresses. Employing Cox proportional hazards models, we assessed the association between long-term O₃ concentration and the risk of AECOPD readmission across several time frames (30 days, 90 days, 180 days, and 365 days). We estimated the disease and economic burden of AECOPD readmissions attributable to O₃ using a counterfactual approach. Of the 4574 patients included in the study, 1398 (30.6%) were readmitted during the study period, with 262 (5.7%) readmitted within 30 days. The annual mean O₃ concentration was 90.3 μg/m3 (standard deviation [SD] = 8.2 μg/m3). A 10-μg/m3 increase in long-term O₃ concentration resulted in a hazard ratio (HR) for AECOPD readmission within 30 days of 1.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09 to 1.49), with similar results for readmission within 90, 180, and 365 days. Older patients (aged 75 years or above) and males were more susceptible (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.10–1.61 and HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09–1.53, respectively). The population attributable fraction for 30-day readmission due to O₃ exposure was 29.0% (95% CI, 28.4%–30.0%), and the attributable mean cost per participant was 362.3 USD (354.5–370.2). Long-term exposure to elevated O₃ concentrations is associated with an increased risk of AECOPD readmission, contributing to a significant disease and economic burden.

Quantifying gaps in the tuberculosis care cascade in Brazil: A mathematical model study using national program data.

In Brazil, many individuals with tuberculosis (TB) do not receive appropriate care due to delayed or missed diagnosis, ineffective treatment regimens, or loss-to-follow-up. This study aimed to estimate the health losses and TB program costs attributable to each gap in the care cascade for TB disease in Brazil. We constructed a Markov model simulating the TB care cascade and lifetime health outcomes (e.g., death, cure, postinfectious sequelae) for individuals developing TB disease in Brazil. We stratified the model by age, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, drug resistance, state of residence, and disease severity, and developed a parallel model for individuals without TB that receive a false-positive TB diagnosis. Models were fit to data (adult and pediatric) from Brazil's Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN) and Mortality Information System (SIM) for 2018. Using these models, we assessed current program performance and simulated hypothetical scenarios that eliminated specific gaps in the care cascade, in order to quantify incremental health losses and TB diagnosis and treatment costs along the care cascade. TB-attributable disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated by comparing changes in survival and nonfatal disability to a no-TB counterfactual scenario. We estimated that 90.0% (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 85.2 to 93.4) of individuals with TB disease initiated treatment and 10.0% (95% UI: 7.6 to 12.5) died with TB. The average number of TB-attributable DALYs per incident TB case varied across Brazil, ranging from 2.9 (95% UI: 2.3 to 3.6) DALYs in Acre to 4.0 (95% UI: 3.3 to 4.7) DALYs in Rio Grande do Sul (national average 3.5 [95% UI: 2.8 to 4.1]). Delayed diagnosis contributed the largest health losses along the care cascade, followed by post-TB sequelae and loss to follow up from TB treatment, with TB DALYs reduced by 71% (95% UI: 65 to 76), 41% (95% UI: 36 to 49), and 10% (95% UI: 7 to 16), respectively, when these factors were eliminated. Total health system costs were largely unaffected by improvements in the care cascade, with elimination of treatment failure reducing attributable costs by 3.1% (95% UI: 1.5 to 5.4). TB diagnosis and treatment of false-positive individuals accounted for 10.2% (95% UI: 3.9 to 21.7) of total programmatic costs but contributed minimally to health losses. Several assumptions were required to interpret programmatic data for the analysis, and we were unable to estimate the contribution of social factors to care cascade outcomes. In this study, we observed that delays to diagnosis, post-disease sequelae and treatment loss to follow-up were primary contributors to the TB burden of disease in Brazil. Reducing delays to diagnosis, improving healthcare after TB cure, and reducing treatment loss to follow-up should be prioritized to improve the burden of TB disease in Brazil.

Burden of Disease of Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy in Denmark - A National Register-Based Study of Individuals with Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and their Closest Relatives.

Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) is a progressive genetic disease with a prevalence of 1 per 3,600-6,000 male births. Individuals with DMD are typically diagnosed at age 4-7 years; median survival is 30 years. They require multidisciplinary care, personal assistance, and often special education. The aim was to assess the burden of disease in DMD in Denmark. This includes incidence, prevalence, use of healthcare services, labour market participation, educational outcomes, and overall attributable costs due to DMD. Impact on the closest relatives (siblings and parents) was also investigated. The comprehensive Danish national health and administrative registers were used to assess the burden of disease following individuals with DMD and closest relatives from five years before, and up to 20 years after DMD diagnosis. Individuals with DMD (and relatives) from 1994-2021 were included. All outcomes were compared to matched control groups without the disease drawn from the Danish population. 213 unique individuals with DMD were identified. They had lower grades in school, required more special education and more healthcare and home care compared to their control group. The extra costs of special education summed to EUR 180,900 over the course of 11 years elementary school. They had an annual average productivity loss of EUR 20,200 between the age of 18 to 30. The extra healthcare costs of DMD in the 20 years after diagnosis were estimated to EUR 1,524,000. If an individual with DMD lives to be 30, total extra costs sum to EUR 2,365,800. Using national register data this study presented detailed results on the burden of disease of DMD, including impact on closest relatives. With 60 additional hospital admissions and 200 extra outpatient contacts in 20 years healthcare costs, but also costs of home care and special education, increases as disease progresses.

Attributable Cost of Adult Respiratory Syncytial Virus Illness Beyond the Acute Phase.

Estimates of the cost of medically attended lower respiratory tract illness (LRTI) due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in adults, especially beyond the acute phase, is limited. This study was undertaken to estimate the attributable costs of RSV-LRTI among US adults during, and up to 1 year after, the acute phase of illness. A retrospective observational matched-cohort design and a US healthcare claims repository (2016-2019) were employed. The study population comprised adults aged ≥18 years with RSV-LRTI requiring hospitalization (RSV-H), an emergency department visit (RSV-ED), or physician office/hospital outpatient visit (RSV-PO/HO), as well as matched comparison patients. All-cause healthcare expenditures were tallied during the acute phase of illness (RSV-H: from admission through 30 days postdischarge; ambulatory RSV: during the episode) and long-term phase (end of acute phase to end of following 1-year period). The study population included 4526 matched pairs of RSV-LRTI and comparison patients (RSV-H: n = 970; RSV-ED: n = 590; RSV-PO/HO: n = 2966). Mean acute-phase expenditures were $42 179 for RSV-H (vs $5154 for comparison patients), $4409 for RSV-ED (vs $377), and $922 for RSV-PO/HO (vs $201). By the end of the 1-year follow-up period, mean expenditures-including acute and long-term phases-were $101 532 for RSV-H (vs $36 302), $48 701 for RSV-ED (vs $27 131), and $28 851 for RSV-PO/HO (vs $20 523); overall RSV-LRTI attributable expenditures thus totaled $65 230, $21 570, and $8327, respectively. The cost of RSV-LRTI requiring hospitalization or ambulatory care among US adults is substantial, and the economic impact of RSV-LTRI may extend well beyond the acute phase of illness.

Prenatal phthalate exposure and adverse birth outcomes in the USA: a prospective analysis of births and estimates of attributable burden and costs

Phthalates are synthetic chemicals widely used in consumer products and have been identified to contribute to preterm birth. Existing studies have methodological limitations and potential effects of di-2-ethylhexyl phthalate (DEHP) replacements are poorly characterised. Attributable fractions and costs have not been quantified, limiting the ability to weigh trade-offs involved in ongoing use. We aimed to leverage a large, diverse US cohort to study associations of phthalate metabolites with birthweight and gestational age, and estimate attributable adverse birth outcomes and associated costs. In this prospective analysis we used extant data in the US National Institutes of Health Environmental influences on Child Health Outcomes (ECHO) Program from 1998 to 2022 to study associations of 20 phthalate metabolites with gestational age at birth, birthweight, birth length, and birthweight for gestational age z-scores. We also estimated attributable adverse birth outcomes and associated costs. Mother-child dyads were included in the study if there were one or more urinary phthalate measurements during the index pregnancy; data on child's gestational age and birthweight; and singleton delivery. We identified 5006 mother-child dyads from 13 cohorts in the ECHO Program. Phthalic acid, diisodecyl phthalate (DiDP), di-n-octyl phthalate (DnOP), and diisononyl phthalate (DiNP) were most strongly associated with gestational age, birth length, and birthweight, especially compared with DEHP or other metabolite groupings. Although DEHP was associated with preterm birth (odds ratio 1·45 [95% CI 1·05-2·01]), the risks per log10 increase were higher for phthalic acid (2·71 [1·91-3·83]), DiNP (2·25 [1·67-3·00]), DiDP (1·69 [1·25-2·28]), and DnOP (2·90 [1·96-4·23]). We estimated 56 595 (sensitivity analyses 24 003-120 116) phthalate-attributable preterm birth cases in 2018 with associated costs of US$3·84 billion (sensitivity analysis 1·63- 8·14 billion). In a large, diverse sample of US births, exposure to DEHP, DiDP, DiNP, and DnOP were associated with decreased gestational age and increased risk of preterm birth, suggesting substantial opportunities for prevention. This finding suggests the adverse consequences of substitution of DEHP with chemically similar phthalates and need to regulate chemicals with similar properties as a class. National Institutes of Health.