Changes In Atmospheric CO2 Research Articles

Climate and land-cover controls of aquatic carbon dynamics since the last glacial maximum: Evidence from stable carbon isotopes of subfossil Cladocera

Lake metabolism and associated emissions of CO2 in lakes are heavily subsidized by terrestrial carbon. However, how land-cover change and long-term climate interact to influence landscape biogeochemistry remains unclear. A ∼26,000-year sediment record from a lake in Southwest China shows how terrestrial-aquatic carbon dynamics responded to climate changes, atmospheric CO2 levels, and changing land-cover (vegetation composition) prior to cultural disturbances. Decoupled and coupled variations in the δ13C of Zooplankton (Bosmina) and sedimentary organic carbon from the Last Glacial Maximum tracked changes in atmospheric CO2 and the δ18O records of monsoonal intensity (Dykoski et al., 2005; Wang et al., 2005), highlighting a primary climatic control on coupled terrestrial-aquatic carbon dynamics. Zooplankton and algal production, alongside Bosmina δ13C-inferred lake CO2 concentrations, exhibited synchronous variations with the intensification of the southwest monsoon from ∼10 cal kyr BP, reflecting both increased aquatic production and enhanced terrestrial carbon export driven by forest expansion. These results highlight the critical role of monsoon-driven hydrological changes in regulating terrestrial organic matter inputs to lakes and shaping aquatic carbon dynamics at timescales of 102–103 year.

Contributions of ecological restoration policies to China’s land carbon balance

Unleashing the land sector’s potential for climate mitigation requires purpose-driven changes in land management. However, contributions of past management changes to the current global and regional carbon cycles remain unclear. Here, we use vegetation modelling to reveal how a portfolio of ecological restoration policies has impacted China’s terrestrial carbon balance through developing counterfactual ‘no-policy’ scenarios. Pursuing conventional policies and assuming no changes in climate or atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since 1980 would have led China’s land sector to be a carbon source of 0.11 Pg C yr−1 for 2001–2020, in stark contrast to a sink of 175.9 Tg C yr−1 in reality. About 72.7% of this difference can be attributed to land management changes, including afforestation and reforestation (49.0%), reduced wood extraction (21.8%), fire prevention and suppression (1.6%) and grassland grazing exclusion (0.3%). The remaining 27.3% come from changes in atmospheric CO2 (42.2%) and climate (−14.9%). Our results underscore the potential of active land management in achieving ‘carbon-neutrality’ in China.

A Trade-Off Between Leaf Carbon Economics and Plant Size Among Mangrove Species in Dongzhaigang, China.

Plant size is closely linked to its leaf trait characteristics, which are essential for determining its form and function. These relationships constitute a fundamental component of the global spectrum of plant diversity. Despite this, the size-trait relationships in coastal mangroves have often been overlooked, with a common assumption that they would mirror those found in terrestrial tropical trees. However, recent studies have begun to challenge this assumption, revealing unique adaptations and trait variations in mangroves that are influenced by their specific environmental conditions, such as salinity and nutrient availability. In this research, we investigated the leaf structural traits, plant height, and diameter at breast height or basal height (DBH) of 10 shrub and tree species. This study was carried out along an intertidal gradient within a mangrove forest located in Southeast China. We found that leaf traits differed significantly between shrubs and trees in their response to intertidal gradients, indicating that different species have evolved specific adaptations to thrive in their respective intertidal zones. This insight can help us decipher the selective pressures that have shaped trait evolution. Among all species, leaf carbon (C) economics (leaf dry mass content, leaf mass per area, and leaf density) decreased significantly with increasing plant height and DBH. For each growth form and intertidal zone, the relationships between plant size (height or DBH) and leaf C economics traits were consistent with those in the pooled dataset. Our study reveals that mangrove plants exhibit size-related adjustments in leaf C economic strategies, indicating that plant size potentially acts as a proxy for the "slow-fast" continuum of plant performance. This discovery is pivotal for advancing our understanding of plant functional ecology and for enhancing the precision of global C cycle models, which are highly responsive to perturbations in atmospheric CO2 and climate change.

Rising CO2 and land use change amplify the increase in terrestrial and riverine export of dissolved organic carbon over the past four decades

The lateral transport of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from land to rivers and oceans is a significant but overlooked component of the global carbon cycle. However, there are still large uncertainties in the magnitude and trend of global DOC export fluxes, as well as their response to environmental change. In this study, several simulations were conducted using a developed land surface model that considered riverine DOC transport and anthropogenic disturbance to investigate the terrestrial DOC loading and riverine DOC export, and to quantify the relative contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors over the past four decades (1981–2016). These factors include climate change, nitrogen deposition, land use change, atmospheric CO2 concentration, anthropogenic water regulation, and fertilizer and manure application. Results showed that the average global annual terrestrial DOC loading was about 432.30 ± 53.59 Tg C yr−1, and rivers exported about 209.73 ± 36.58 Tg C yr−1 to oceans over the past four decades. Simultaneously, a significant increase in terrestrial DOC loading and riverine DOC export fluxes (3.36 Tg C yr−2 and 2.99 Tg Cyr−2, p < 0.01) was found, which increased by 26.88 % and 47.02 %, respectively. According to our factorial analysis, the interannual variability in DOC fluxes in most regions was mainly attributed to climate change and contributed more than 60 % of the long-term increase. In addition, rising atmospheric CO2 and land use change amplified the increase in terrestrial DOC loading, with the area dominated by the two factors expanding from 7.94 % in the 1980s to 23.84 % in the 2010s, and riverine DOC export showed a similar pattern, which may be related to the increased soil DOC sources. Anthropogenic water regulation and nitrogen addition have led to a slight increase in DOC fluxes, which should not be ignored, otherwise carbon fluxes may be underestimated.

Carbon isotope budget indicates biological disequilibrium dominated ocean carbon storage at the Last Glacial Maximum

Understanding the causes of the ~90 ppmv atmospheric CO2 swings between glacial and interglacial climates is an important open challenge in paleoclimate research. Although the regularity of the glacial-interglacial cycles hints at a single driving mechanism, Earth System models require many independent physical and biological processes to explain the full observed CO2 signal. Here we show that biologically sequestered carbon in the ocean can explain an atmospheric CO2 change of 75 ± 40 ppmv, based on a mass balance calculation using published carbon isotopic measurements. An analysis of the carbon isotopic signatures of different water masses indicates similar regenerated carbon inventories at the Last Glacial Maximum and during the Holocene, requiring that the change in carbon storage was dominated by disequilibrium. We attribute the inferred change in carbon disequilibrium to expansion of sea-ice or change in the overturning circulation.

Aridity record of the Arabian Peninsula for the last 200 kyr: Environmental magnetic evidence from the western equatorial Indian ocean

The evolution of aridity and its forcing mechanisms in the Arabian Peninsula are of significance for better understanding the environmental response of the region to global change and the impact of past climate shifts in human evolution. Paleoclimatic reconstructions for the region are predominantly derived from fragmentary terrestrial records. Here, we present a detailed environmental magnetic record for marine sediments from the western equatorial Indian Ocean, which constitute the terminal sink for eolian material originated from the Arabian Peninsula. The dominant magnetic minerals identified in the studied sediments include magnetite, maghemite, and hematite. The hard isothermal remanent magnetization (HIRM), widely used as a proxy for the abundances of the high coercivity mineral hematite, has been used to track variations in the concentration of Arabian dust over the last 200 kyr. Dust concentrations are lowest during interglacial periods of maximum boreal summer isolation, and coincide with intervals during which lake and fluvial systems developed and speleothems formed across most of southern and central Arabia. Our results point to a sharp decrease in the production of dust due to the expansion of vegetation cover up to 30°N during these periods. West African Monsoon appears to be the major source of increased rainfall across Arabia, while the Indian Summer monsoon likely contributed to enhance rainfall in the south and southeastern parts of the peninsula. Variation in the supply of Arabian dust were also driven by changes in high-latitude ice volume and atmospheric CO2, as indicated by highest dust concentration found during glacial periods. We interpret that the expansion of high-latitude ice sheets increased the global meridional temperature gradient, weakened the monsoon system, and resulted in a more southerly, colder and descending subtropical westerly jet, leading to the retreat of vegetation cover and the enhanced production of dust from the Arabian deserts. Our results highlight a link between the production of Arabian dust and orbital-scale climate variability, including both monsoon and northern hemisphere ice sheets dynamics.

Plant response to decreasing soil moisture under rising atmospheric CO2 levels

Widespread drought driven by global warming is predicted across the 21st century, just as CO2 level is projected to as much as double over the same time period. However, the potential interplay between increasing CO2 and decreasing soil moisture on plant function is uncertain, as previous works have not successfully separated and quantified these two competing effects. Here we evaluated the interaction between soil moisture and CO2 using stable carbon isotope measurements of Arabidopsis grown under the simultaneous modulation of an exhaustive range of both variables. Results showed that both increasing soil water content and increasing CO2 increased isotopic discrimination, and that the soil moisture effect was not influenced by the CO2 level and vice versa. Our data confirm that changes in the carbon isotope record of terrestrial organic matter preserved within the geologic record are best interpreted as deriving from changes in atmospheric CO2.

Orbital‐Scale Global Ocean Sea Surface Temperatures Coupling With Cryosphere‐Carbon Cycle Changes Over the Past 4 Million Years

AbstractChanges in the thermal conditions of the ocean surface, the interface for air‐sea exchange, are critical for understanding global climate and environmental change. Here we explore the evolution of sea surface temperature (SST) and the meridional SST gradient (STG) at orbital timescales since 4 million years ago (Ma), along with interactions between SSTs, the cryosphere, and the global carbon cycle. We observe orbital eccentricity and obliquity influences on SST evolution and infer that SST changes may have played a key role in atmospheric CO2 and cryosphere changes through key climate transitions in the past 4 Ma. We find a major equator‐to‐pole STG increase in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) close to the initiation of major NH glaciation (at ∼2.7 Ma). In addition, we find substantial increases in the obliquity sensitivity (Sobl) of NH STG at ∼2.7 Ma and in Southern Hemisphere (SH) STG at ∼1 Ma, which may be responses to important expansions of NH and SH ice sheets, respectively. Phase analysis shows that SST changes typically lead global ice volume changes throughout the last 4 Ma. SST changes also lead atmospheric CO2 changes since ∼1.5 Ma, which indicates that SST changes either drove, or directly reflect, processes that changed ocean‐atmosphere carbon exchange and, thus, atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Overall, our study emphasizes that SST changes were a critical component of climate change throughout the last 4 Ma.

Carbon isotope trends across a century of herbarium specimens suggest CO2 fertilization of C4 grasses.

Increasing atmospheric CO2 is changing the dynamics of tropical savanna vegetation. C3 trees and grasses are known to experience CO2 fertilization, whereas responses to CO2 by C4 grasses are more ambiguous. Here, we sample stable carbon isotope trends in herbarium collections of South African C4 and C3 grasses to reconstruct 13C discrimination. We found that C3 grasses showed no trends in 13C discrimination over the past century but that C4 grasses increased their 13C discrimination through time, especially since 1950. These changes were most strongly linked to changes in atmospheric CO2 rather than to trends in rainfall climatology or temperature. Combined with previously published evidence that grass biomass has increased in C4-dominated savannas, these trends suggest that increasing water-use efficiency due to CO2 fertilization may be changing C4 plant-water relations. CO2 fertilization of C4 grasses may thus be a neglected pathway for anthropogenic global change in tropical savanna ecosystems.

Extensive carbon cycle between peatland and vegetation: Insights from high net primary productivity of the Middle Jurassic in northwestern China

Peatlands have obvious carbon storage capacity and are crucial in mitigating global climate change. As the end-product of peatlands, coals have preserved a large amount of palaeoenvironmental information. The carbon accumulation rate and the net primary productivity (NPP) of coal-forming peatlands can be used as proxies for recovering palaeoenvironments. A super-thick coal seam (42°35′N, 91°25′E) was developed in the Middle Jurassic Xishanyao Formation in the Shaerhu coalfield in the southern margin of the Tuha (Turpan-Hami) Basin, northwestern China. In this study, we use the time series analysis to identify the periods of Milankovitch orbital cycles in the Gamma-ray curve of this super-thick (124.85 m) coal and then use the obtained cycle periods of 405 ka, 173 ka, 44 ka, 37.6 ka, 22.5 ka to calculate the timeframe of the coal-forming peatlands which ranges from 2703.44 to 2975.11 ka. Considering that the carbon content of the coal seam is 78.32% and the carbon loss during the coalification is about 25.80%, the carbon accumulation rate of the targeted coal seam is estimated to be 58.47–64.34 g C/m2·a, and the NPP is estimated to be 252.28–277.63 g C/m2·a. The main palaeoenvironmental factors controlling the NPP of peatlands are CO2 content, palaeolatitude and palaeotemperature. The reduced NPP values of the palaeo-peatlands in the Shaerhu coalfield can be attributed to the mid-palaeolatitude and/or too low atmospheric CO2 contents. To a certain extent, the NPP of palaeo-peatlands reflects the changes in atmospheric CO2, which can further reveal the dynamic response of the global carbon cycle to climate change. Therefore, predicting the level of NPP in the Middle Jurassic and studying the final destination of carbon in the ecosystem are beneficial to understanding the coal-forming process and palaeoenvironment.

Asian monsoonal temperature and environmental changes since the penultimate deglaciation as revealed by alkenones and alkanes in sediments from the northern South China Sea

A new alkenone sea surface temperature (SST) record from the South China Sea (SCS) over the last 170 ka has been reported here. Our analysis of magnetic susceptibility and AMS 14C dating on the top portion of the core suggests that this record dates to the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6. As indicated in Termination I and II, SST changes are correlated with clear glacial/interglacial cycles and likely dominated by atmospheric CO2 and Western Pacific Warm Pool temperature changes. But the two Terminations were different in magnitude. In Termination I, the minimum and maximum SSTs are 24.5 °C and 27.5 °C, respectively, showing a smaller rise (3 °C) than in Termination II (24–28.3 °C). The n-alkane indices, such as average chain length (ACL) and carbon preference index (CPI), exhibited high/low values during glacial/interglacial periods, and possible more arid climate during MIS 6 than MIS 2. During Termination II, the maximum surface warming in the SCS is accompanied by a progressive lag of approximately 7000 years in relation to maximum summer insolation until Termination I, when they are nearly synchronous. According to the study, SSTs are continuously changing and are influenced by solar insolation, global ice volume changes, and ocean–atmosphere interactions across hemispheres.

Atmospheric oxygenation as a potential trigger for climate cooling

Secular changes in atmospheric CO2 and consequent global climate variations, are commonly attributed to global outgassing and the efficiency of silicate weathering, which may have been linked to mountain formation, land/arc distribution, and plant colonization through geological time. Although oxidative weathering has been shown to exert a significant role in the propagation of weathering fronts through the oxidation of Fe-bearing minerals, the influence of atmospheric O2 concentration (pO2) on silicate weathering, CO2 consumption, and global climate has not been thoroughly evaluated. This study presents a numerical model aimed at estimating the effects of pO2 on the climate, considering the influence of pO2 on the regolith thickness and thus weathering duration of granitic domains. Our model simulations reveal that an increase in weathering efficiency, through deeper penetration of the oxidative weathering front in the granitic regolith, would independently introduce a steady-state climate cooling of up to ∼8 °C, in step with one-order of magnitude rise in pO2. This temperature change may have repeatedly initiated the runaway ice-albedo feedback, leading to global glacial events (e.g., Neoproterozoic Snowball Earth). Increasing granitic weathering efficiency caused by a substantial pO2 increase may also have contributed to the development of icehouse climate during the Phanerozoic.

Earth system responses to carbon dioxide removal as exemplified by ocean alkalinity enhancement: tradeoffs and lags

Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is discussed for offsetting residual greenhouse gas emissions or even reversing climate change. All emissions scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that meet the ‘well below 2 °C’ warming target of the Paris Agreement include CDR. Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) may be one possible CDR where the carbon uptake of the ocean is increased by artificial alkalinity addition. Here, we investigate the effect of OAE on modelled carbon reservoirs and fluxes in two observationally-constrained large perturbed parameter ensembles. OAE is assumed to be technically successful and deployed as an additional CDR in the SSP5-3.4 temperature overshoot scenario. Tradeoffs involving feedbacks with atmospheric CO2 result in a low efficiency of an alkalinity-driven atmospheric CO2 reduction of −0.35 [−0.37 to −0.33] mol C per mol alkalinity addition (skill-weighted mean and 68% c.i.). The realized atmospheric CO2 reduction, and correspondingly the efficiency, is more than two times smaller than the direct alkalinity-driven enhancement of ocean uptake. The alkalinity-driven ocean carbon uptake is partly offset by the release of carbon from the land biosphere and a reduced ocean carbon sink in response to lowered atmospheric CO2 under OAE. In a second step we use the Bern3D-LPX model in CO2 peak-decline simulations to address hysteresis and temporal lags of surface air temperature change (ΔSAT) in an idealized scenario where ΔSAT increases to ~2 °C and then declines to ~1.5 °C as result of CDR. ΔSAT lags the decline in CO2-forcing by 18 [14–22] years, depending close to linearly on the equilibrium climate sensitivity of the respective ensemble member. These tradeoffs and lags are an inherent feature of the Earth system response to changes in atmospheric CO2 and will therefore be equally important for other CDR methods.

A Simple, Low‐Blank Batch Purification Method for High‐Precision Boron Isotope Analysis

AbstractBoron (B) isotopes are widely used in the Earth sciences to trace processes ranging from slab recycling in the mantle to changes in ocean pH and atmospheric CO2. Boron isotope analysis is increasingly achieved by multi‐collector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry, which requires separation of B from the sample matrix. Traditional column chromatography methods for this separation have a well‐established track record but are time consuming and prone to contamination from airborne blank. Here, we present an extensive array of tests that establish a novel method for B purification using a batch method. We discuss the key controls and limitations on sample loading, matrix removal and B elution including sample volume, ionic strength, buffer to acid ratio and elution volume, all of which may also help optimize column‐based methods. We find consistent, low procedural blanks of 10 ± 16 pg and excellent reproducibility: 10 ng NIST RM 8301 foram [8301f] yields 14.58 ± 0.11‰ 2SD n = 15; 2.5 ng 8301f yields 14.60 ± 0.19‰ 2SD, n = 31; and overall long term 2SD on n = 218 samples pooling different sample sizes yields 14.62 ± 0.21‰ 2SD. This method also offers significant advantages in throughput, allowing the processing of 24 samples in ∼5 hr. This boron batch method thus provides a fast, reproducible, low‐blank method for purification of boron for high precision isotopic analyses.

Impact of Climate Change on Vegetable Production and Management Strategies

Vegetables are an important component of human nutrition that encompasses great species diversity and are very sensitive to unpredictable climatic changes. In recent decades, there has been an increase in the frequency of events like drought, flooding, high-temperature, low temperature, salinity and changes of atmospheric CO2 or ozone level which considerably affect morphological, physiological and biochemical changes in the plants. The occurrences of these types of abiotic stresses lead to membrane damage, oxidative burst, reduction of chlorophyll content and photosynthesis rate which ultimately affect the yield and quality of vegetable crops. The adoption of appropriate crop management practices and climate-resilient cultivars would help immensely in dealing with the adverse impacts of abiotic stresses. Alteration in planting dates, advanced irrigation technology, moisture-saving methods, use of plant growth regulators, use of plant growth promoting rhizobacteria, grafting technology, use of climate resilient cultivars and protected cultivation-like management practices can reduce the impact and intensity of abiotic stress enhance the production as well. Overall in this review, we have summarized the adverse effects of abiotic stresses that are induced by climate change and management strategies that enable to overcome the ill effects and sustain the production of vegetable crops.

Henry Elderfield. 25 April 1943—19 April 2016

Henry (always known as Harry) Elderfield was a marine geochemist whose pioneering measurements of strontium and its isotopes, rare earth elements and manganese in seawater and sediment pore waters gave him insights into the circulation of fluids into, through and out of the oceanic crust and marine sediments and their control of the chemical composition of the oceans. He provided the basis for proxies of past ocean temperatures, pH and water mass distributions. These he used to reveal changes in global temperature and sea-levels on timescales spanning the last 50 million years (Myr) with emphasis on the last 1 Myr of glacial/interglacial history. His work on a proxy for pH, coupled with understanding of the dissolved carbon system in seawater, allowed examination of problems of ocean acidification caused by past changes of atmospheric CO 2 . His manner of gentle persuasion underpinned by rigorous chemistry was passed on to more than 40 research students, and his proxy methods are in daily use by hundreds worldwide.

Carbon cycle feedbacks in an idealized simulation and a scenario simulation of negative emissions in CMIP6 Earth system models

Abstract. Limiting global warming to well below 2 ∘C by the end of the century is an ambitious target that requires immediate and unprecedented emission reductions. In the absence of sufficient near-term mitigation, this target will only be achieved by carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere later during this century, which would entail a period of temperature overshoot. Aside from the socio-economic feasibility of large-scale CDR, which remains unclear, the effects on biogeochemical cycles and climate are key to assessing CDR as a mitigation option. Changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration and climate alter the CO2 exchange between the atmosphere and the underlying carbon reservoirs of the land and the ocean. Here, we investigate carbon cycle feedbacks under idealized and more realistic overshoot scenarios in an ensemble of Earth system models. The responses of oceanic and terrestrial carbon stocks to changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration and changes in surface climate (the carbon–concentration feedback and the carbon–climate feedback, quantified by the feedback metrics β and γ, respectively) show a large hysteresis. This hysteresis leads to growing absolute values of β and γ during phases of negative emissions. We find that this growth over time occurs such that the spatial patterns of feedbacks do not change significantly for individual models. We confirm that the β and γ feedback metrics are a relatively robust tool to characterize inter-model differences in feedback strength since the relative feedback strength remains largely stable between phases of positive and negative emissions and between different simulations, although exceptions exist. When the emissions become negative, we find that the model uncertainty (model disagreement) in β and γ increases more strongly than expected from the assumption that the uncertainties would accumulate linearly with time. This indicates that the model response to a change from increasing to decreasing forcing introduces an additional layer of uncertainty, at least in idealized simulations with a strong signal. We also briefly discuss the existing alternative definition of feedback metrics based on instantaneous carbon fluxes instead of carbon stocks and provide recommendations for the way forward and future model intercomparison projects.

The effects of multiple environmental factors on global carbon allocation

BackgroundThe allocation of photosynthate among the parts of plants (e.g., leaves, wood tissues and roots) strongly regulates their growth, and this conditions the terrestrial carbon cycle. Recent studies have shown that atmospheric CO2 and climate change dominate the changes in carbon allocation in plants, but the magnitude and mechanism of its effects remain unclear.MethodsThe Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) model can accurately simulate the responses of carbon allocation to environmental changes. This study quantifies the contributions of four environmental factors—atmospheric CO2, temperature, precipitation, and radiation—on resource availability and carbon allocation from 1979 to 2014 by using the CABLE model.ResultsThe results of the CABLE model showed that rising CO2 significantly reduced carbon allocation to the leaves of plants at a global scale, but the other three environmental factors exhibited contrasting effects that dominated the rise in carbon allocation to the leaves. The increased precipitation and CO2 significantly reduced the light availability and increased carbon allocation to the wooden parts of plants. By contrast, the rising temperature reduced the water availability, resulting in a decrease in carbon allocation to the wooden parts. All four environmental factors consistently exhibited negative effects on carbon allocation to the roots, with rising precipitation causing the largest reduction in carbon allocation to them. Moreover, except for CO2, the effects of the other three environmental factors were heterogeneous owing to their variable interactions in different regions.ConclusionsThe CABLE model can accurately represent the mechanisms of response of resource availability and carbon allocation to environmental changes. Our study highlights the substantial environmental regulation of global carbon allocation. The responses of carbon allocation to global environmental changes need to be extensively studied through ecosystem models based on different hypotheses.

A Systematic Role for Extreme Ocean‐Atmosphere Oscillations in the Development of Glacial Conditions Since the Mid Pleistocene Transition

AbstractWe introduce a new hypothesis concerning the role of internal climate dynamics in the non‐linear transitions from interglacial to glacial (IG‐G) state since the Mid Pleistocene Transition (MPT). These transitions encompass large and abrupt changes in atmospheric CO2, ice volume, and temperature that we suggest involve critical interactions between insolation and high amplitude oscillations in ocean/atmosphere circulation patterns. Specifically, we highlight the large amplitude of millennial‐scale climate oscillations across the transition from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5 to 4, which we argue led to amplified cooling of the deep ocean and we demonstrate that analogous episodes of extreme cooling systematically preceded glacial periods of the last 800 kyr. We suggest that such cooling necessitates a reconfiguration of the deep ocean to avoid a density paradox between northern and southern‐sourced deep waters (SSW), which could be accomplished by increasing the relative volume and or salinity of SSW, thus providing the necessary storage capacity for the subsequent (delayed) and relatively abrupt drawdown of CO2. We therefore explain the transient decoupling of Antarctic temperature from CO2 across MIS 5/4 as a direct consequence of millennial activity at that time. We further show that similar climatic decoupling typically occurred during times of low obliquity and was a ubiquitous feature of IG‐G transitions over the past 800 kyr, producing the appearance of bimodality in records of CO2, benthic δ18O and others. Finally we argue that the apparent lack of bimodality in the pre‐MPT record of benthic δ18O implies that the dynamics associated with IG‐G transitions changed across the MPT.

Trend in seasonal amplitude of northern net ecosystem production: Simulated results from IAP DGVM in CAS-ESM2

Net ecosystem production (NEP) over northern latitudes has an obvious seasonal variation, which dominantly drives the seasonal variation in atmospheric CO2. Investigating these carbon processes and understanding the underlying drivers is a key issue of climate research. This study focuses on the seasonal amplitude of northern NEP (40°–90°N) and investigates its trend in the period 1990–2014 by using the dynamic global vegetation model (IAP DGVM) in the second version of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model (CAS-ESM2). Basing on a spin-up simulation, the authors conduct a control simulation to evaluate the modeled trend in the seasonal amplitude of northern NEP, and three sensitivity simulations to detect the contributions of the climate and atmospheric CO2. The results show that the modeled seasonal amplitude of northern NEP increases significantly from 1990 to 2014, with a trend of 9.69 TgC month−1 yr−1, which is mainly because of the increasing maximum NEP. The positive trend is largely reduced when CO2 fertilization effects and climatic effects are separately excluded. These significant reductions suggest important effects of atmospheric CO2 and climate change on the seasonal amplitude of northern NEP. Even though model uncertainties remain, the results favor further development of IAP DGVM in accurately simulating the terrestrial carbon cycle, and also provide an important reference for the application of CAS-ESM in further investigating carbon–climate interactions.摘要北方陆地净生态系统生产力(NEP)具有明显的季节变化特征, 这是大气CO2季节变化的关键驱动. 研究这些碳循环过程并理解潜在的驱动因素是气候研究的一个关键问题. 本文利用第二代中国科学院地球系统模式(CAS-ESM2)中的全球植被动态模型(IAP DGVM), 研究了1990−2014年北方NEP(40°−90°N)的季节振幅及其变化趋势. 在初始化试验的基础上, 本文开展了一个控制试验来评估模拟的北方NEP季节幅度的变化趋势, 同时开展了三个敏感性试验来研究气候和大气CO2的贡献. 结果表明: 1990−2014年, 模拟的北方NEP季节振幅显著增加, 趋势为9.69 万吨碳/月/年, 这主要是由于最大NEP增加所致. 当分别排除CO2施肥效应和气候效应时, 上述增加趋势大大减弱.这些显著的减少表明大气CO2和气候变化对北方NEP的季节性振幅有重要影响. 尽管模式存在不确定性, 但这些结果有利于进一步提升IAP DGVM对陆地碳循环的精确模拟, 也为CAS-ESM研究碳-气候相互作用的应用提供了重要参考.