Assessment Of Socio-economic Development Research Articles

Forecastıng a city’s socıo-economıc development on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk

The article proposes an algorithm for assessing and forecasting a city's socio-economic development, evaluating its level on the basis of a selected system of indicators on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk, and outlines the main directions its socio-economic development. Despite the significant amount of research in this area, the complexity and scale of current problems, and the need for territorial development of Ukraine justify the need for methodological tools to determine the level of change and the main directions of socio-economic development. To study changes in the socio-economic development of cities, it is recommended to use the method of integrated assessment, as this approach provides information on the overall dynamics of their development, taking into account a wide range of indicators that determine favorable and inhibitory trends. Regarding the forecasting of further changes on the basis of various dependencies, the ranking of models by the approximation coefficient and by the deviation of the calculated integrated indicator and its predicted value should be applied. This approach to forecasting makes it possible to identify the trend of future changes in the model of approximation, which determines the reliability and accuracy of such forecasting. The assessment of socio-economic development on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk showed a low level of changes in the city's development and their further reduction while maintaining the current situation for the period 2018-2020. The article also outlines the main directions of increasing the city's development by restoring and increasing industrial production, introducing innovative technologies, and increasing product competitiveness by attracting investment, creating new jobs, upgrading, reconstructing and modernizing fixed assets, increasing production capacity and increasing business efficiency by expanding the market, increasing exports, promoting the introduction of advanced energy and resource-saving technologies, and the use of alternative energy sources. Greater efforts are also needed from cities to attract financial resources through grants and programs and to involve local people in addressing socio-economic and environmental issues, which will improve their well-being and quality of life. Funding for development programs can be expanded through loans from local governments. Despite the transfer of executive power to local governments and the expansion of their fiscal autonomy, most problems still remain. Therefore, in order to revive the local credit market, it is first necessary to ensure the stability of the political and economic situation in the country and to implement a number of institutional and structural reforms.

Прогнозування соціально-економічного розвитку міста на прикладі Івано-Франківська

development, evaluating its level on the basis of a selected system of indicators on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk, and outlines the main directions its socio-economic development. Despite the significant amount of research in this area, the complexity and scale of current problems, and the need for territorial development of Ukraine justify the need for methodological tools to determine the level of change and the main directions of socio-economic development. To study changes in the socio-economic development of cities, it is recommended to use the method of integrated assessment, as this approach provides information on the overall dynamics of their development, taking into account a wide range of indicators that determine favorable and inhibitory trends. Regarding the forecasting of further changes on the basis of various dependencies, the ranking of models by the approximation coefficient and by the deviation of the calculated integrated indicator and its predicted value should be applied. This approach to forecasting makes it possible to identify the trend of future changes in the model of approximation, which determines the reliability and accuracy of such forecasting. The assessment of socio-economic development on the example of Ivano-Frankivsk showed a low level of changes in the city's development and their further reduction while maintaining the current situation for the period 2018-2020. The article also outlines the main directions of increasing the city's development by restoring and increasing industrial production, introducing innovative technologies, and increasing product competitiveness by attracting investment, creating new jobs, upgrading, reconstructing and modernizing fixed assets, increasing production capacity and increasing business efficiency by expanding the market, increasing exports, promoting the introduction of advanced energy and resource-saving technologies, and the use of alternative energy sources. Greater efforts are also needed from cities to attract financial resources through grants and programs and to involve local people in addressing socio-economic and environmental issues, which will improve their well-being and quality of life. Funding for development programs can be expanded through loans from local governments. Despite the transfer of executive power to local governments and the expansion of their fiscal autonomy, most problems still remain. Therefore, in order to revive the local credit market, it is first necessary to ensure the stability of the political and economic situation in the country and to implement a number of institutional and structural reforms.

Assessment of Socio-Economic Development of Municipalities in the System of Strategic Planning

Assessment of Socio-Economic Development of Municipalities in the System of Strategic Planning

Computational method for risk assessment of regional socio-economic development

In this study, we present the computational method for risk assessment of the socio-economic development of regions. An attempt has been made to develop a method for the determination of integral risk indicators of socio-economic development based on the joint use of the methods of factor analysis and expert evaluation. This approach has increased the reliability of the calculations and made it possible to analyze the influence of socio-economic indicators on the risk level of socio-economic development. The integral risk indicator shows the effect of the inconsistency in the level of factor provision on the socio-economic development of the j-th region (district) in comparison with the general situation in the country (regions). The closer the value of integral risk indicator is to 1, the higher the level of risk in this region. Using Kyiv region districts as an example, the process of risk assessment for regional socio-economic development has been considered. The results obtained in this investigation demonstrate that the presented computational method solves the problem of formalization of risk assessment for the socio-economic development of regions.

Social-economic development of the Transcarpathian region: interregional and transboundary comparisons

In the article, a comparative interregional and cross-border assessment of socio-economic development of the Transcarpathian region is conducted. The results of the study are based on an analysis of the level and dynamics of such key indicators of economic and social development of the region as GRP per capita, employment rate, unemployment rate, average monthly salary, etc. According to the results of interregional comparisons, the low level of efficiency of the economy but the positive dynamics of some indicators of the labor market of the Transcarpathian region was revealed. In particular, among the regions of Ukraine in 2013-2017, the region was 22nd in terms of GRP per capita and 19th in terms of employment. At the same time, by unemployment, it rose from 15th in 2013 to 10th in 2018, and the average monthly wage ranged from 20th to 7th, respectively. Cross-border comparisons showed a significant lag behind the Transcarpathian region from the neighboring regions of Poland, Slovakia, Romania and Hungary for all considered socio-economic indicators. Thus, in particular, according to the indicator of GRP per capita, this lag compared to the Kosice region (Slovakia) in 2017 was 11.4 times. The average monthly salary in Transcarpathian region is 4 times lower than in the neighboring Kosice and Presov regions of Slovakia and the Podkarpackie voivodship of Poland. The positive dynamics in the direction of reducing the above-mentioned gaps in the level of socio-economic development of the analyzed regions in 2017-2018 are revealed. In addition, a regional peculiarity has been identified – the Transcarpathian region and the regions it borders, lag substantially behind the countries they belong to by the level of socio-economic development. As a result, the conclusion is drawn that the results of the conducted inter-regional and transboundary assessment of the socio-economic development of the Transcarpathian region will facilitate the development of inter-regional and interstate programs and strategies for the development of the Carpathian transboundary region to eliminate the identified imbalances.

Methods of quantitative assessment of socio-economic development of enterprises

The methods of quantitative assessment of socio-economic development of enterprises were considered in the paper. Some results of our research in this field were given. The objective of the study is to develop the methods of quantitative assessment of development (social responsibility) of enterprises taking into account their functioning in the changeable economic environment. Various approaches to assessing the social responsibility of enterprises were considered in the paper. The developed methods are based on statistical instruments and allow performing the calculations based on the information obtained from financial reports of industrial enterprises with the purpose of determining the moment and dynamic assessments of socio-economic development of enterprises that allows defining the level of their social responsibility for further analysis and comparison. The research results can be used by managers involved in development and strategic management of enterprises.