Air-sea Interaction Research Articles

Upper-ocean changes with hurricane-strength wind events: a study using Argo profiles and an ocean reanalysis

Abstract. As the Earth's climate warms, the intensity and rain rate of tropical cyclones (TCs) is projected to increase. TCs intensify by extracting heat energy from the ocean; hence, a better understanding of upper-ocean changes with the TC passage is helpful to improve our understanding of air–sea interactions during and after the event. This work uses Argo float observations and the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) ocean reanalysis to describe characteristics of upper-ocean changes with hurricane-strength wind events. We study the association of these changes with the vertical structure of the salinity profile before the event, i.e., increasing versus decreasing with depth. We also study the contribution of changes in salinity to upper-ocean density changes in each case. Results show that in regions where pre-event salinity increases with depth there is a corresponding statistically significant increase in upper-ocean salinity; vice versa, we observe a significant decrease in upper-ocean salinity in regions where pre-event salinity decreases with depth. Consistent with previous studies, temperature decreases in both regions. As near-surface temperature decreases, upper-ocean density increases, and the increase is larger where pre-event salinity increases with depth. Changes in upper-ocean properties from Argo and HYCOM are overall consistent with wind-driven vertical mixing of near-surface waters with colder and higher-salinity (or lower-salinity) waters below. Resulting changes in ocean stratification have implications for air–sea interactions during and after the event, with potential impacts on weather events that follow.

A case study of offshore evaporation ducts in northeastern Taiwan during summer time

Over the ocean northeast of Taiwan, the summer is hot and the air-sea interaction is strong, so it is easy to produce various kinds of atmospheric duct phenomena due to the rapid change of temperature and water vapor in the vertical direction. Among the various atmospheric duct phenomena, Evaporation Duct (ED) occurs frequently and for a long time, which often affects electromagnetic wave transmission, causing errors in communication and search radar signals, and is the most valuable for research. In this study, we used an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) with a Storm Tracker (ST) which is a mini meteorological observation device to measure air temperature, pressure, and relative humidity near the ocean to get the Evaporation Duct Height (EDH) of Yilan in northeastern Taiwan in the summer of 2022. Through the 5-m vertical resolution observation, we understand the atmospheric factors affecting the EDH. Throughout the summer observation period, various types of atmospheric ducts also manifest in the northeastern region of Taiwan. In the numerical simulation, we use the WRF model with two sets of different boundary layer parameterizations, Mellor-Yamada-Janjic (MYJ) and Yon-Sei University (YSU), and import the simulation results into the Paulus-Jeske (P-J) ED model to compute the EDH. It was found that the EDH calculated by WRF using the MYJ boundary layer parameterization imported into the P-J ED model was closer to the observed results. This method can forecast the EDH in the northeastern Taiwan sea area, which is valuable for application.

High Water Level Forecast Under the Effect of the Northeast Monsoon During Spring Tides

One of the manifests of air-sea interactions is the change in sea level due to meteorological forcing through wind stress and atmospheric pressure. When meteorological conditions conducive to water level increase coincide with high tides during spring tides, the sea level may rise higher than expected and pose a flood risk to coastal low-lying areas. In Hong Kong, specifically when the northeast monsoon coincides with the higher spring tides in late autumn and winter, and sometimes even compounded by the storm surge brought by late-season tropical cyclones (TCs), the result may be coastal flooding or sea inundation. Aiming at forecasting such sea level anomalies on the scale of hours and days with local tide gauges using a flexible and computationally efficient method, this study adapts a data-driven method based on empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) regression of non-uniformly lagged regional wind field from ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) to capture the effects from synoptic weather evolution patterns, excluding the effect of TCs. Local atmospheric pressure and winds are also included in the predictors of the regression model. Verification results show good performance in general. Hindcast using ECMWF forecasts as input reveals that the reduction of mean absolute error (MAE) by adding the anomaly forecast to the existing predicted astronomical tide was as high as 30% in February on average over the whole range of water levels, as well as that compared against the Delft3D forecast in a strong northeast monsoon case. The EOF method generally outperformed the persistence method in forecasting water level anomaly for a lead time of more than 6 h. The performance was even better particularly for high water levels, making it suitable to serve as a forecast reference tool for providing high water level alerts to relevant emergency response agencies to tackle the risk of coastal inundation in non-TC situations and an estimate of the anomaly contribution from the northeast monsoon under its combined effect with TC. The model is capable of improving water level forecasts up to a week ahead, despite the general decreasing model performance with increasing lead time due to less accurate input from model forecasts at a longer range. Some cases show that the model successfully predicted both positive and negative anomalies with a magnitude similar to observations up to 5 to 7 days in advance.

Interdecadal Variation in the Impact of Arctic Sea Ice on El Niño–Southern Oscillation: The Role of Atmospheric Mean Flow

Abstract This study reveals the remarkable interdecadal changes in the influence of boreal winter Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) anomalies (ASICAs) in the Greenland–Barents Seas on the subsequent El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) development. Winter ASICA is strongly associated with the subsequent winter ENSO before the late 1980s and after the late 2000s, but their connection is weak during the 1990s and the 2000s. The interdecadal variations in the influence of ASICA on ENSO are associated with changes in the spatial structure of the ASICA-induced North Pacific atmospheric anomalies. During high-correlation periods, winter SIC increases in the Greenland–Barents Seas lead to tropospheric cooling via the suppression of upward surface heat fluxes, which further trigger an atmospheric teleconnection from the Arctic to the North Pacific. The accompanying North Pacific Oscillation–like atmospheric anomalies result in sea surface temperature (SST) warming in the subtropical North Pacific, which extends southward into the tropical Pacific via wind–evaporation–SST feedback and leads to surface westerly anomalies over the tropical western Pacific in the following summer. The tropical western Pacific westerly wind anomalies impact the subsequent ENSO development via triggering positive Bjerknes air–sea interaction. During low-correlation periods, atmospheric anomalies over the North Pacific generated by the winter ASICA are located more northward and cannot induce marked subtropical North Pacific SST anomalies and thus have a weak impact on the following ENSO development. Numerical experiments suggest that the interdecadal variation in the spatial structure of the North Pacific atmospheric anomalies induced by the winter ASICA is partly attributed to change in the atmospheric mean flow. Significance Statement Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system. Studies have shown that Arctic sea ice has decreased significantly in recent decades, which is considered to be one of the most important responses of Earth’s climate system to global climate change. A number of studies have shown that Arctic sea ice anomalies have significant impacts on weather and climate over mid–high latitudes through tropospheric and stratospheric processes. Recent studies have suggested that the effects of Arctic sea ice anomalies could extend to the tropics via air–sea interactions. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest air–sea coupled system in the tropics and can have a significant impact on climate over the globe. ENSO is also considered to be one of the most important sources of subseasonal–seasonal climate predictability over many parts of the globe. It is therefore important to study the factors for the ENSO occurrence. A recent study showed that Arctic sea ice anomalies during boreal winter in the Greenland–Barents Seas have a significant impact on the following winter ENSO. In this study, we further reveal that the influence of winter Arctic sea ice anomalies in the Greenland–Barents Seas on the subsequent ENSO is unstable and has undergone significant interdecadal variation. We then investigate the mechanisms underlying the interdecadal variation via observational analysis and numerical simulations. The results of this study not only have implications for improving the prediction of ENSO but also could improve our understanding of the physical link between high-latitude climate systems and tropical air–sea coupling systems.

The cloud cover and meteorological parameters at the Lenghu site on the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract The cloud cover and meteorological parameters serve as fundamental criteria for an astronomical observatory working in optical and infrared wavelengths. In this paper, we present a systematic assessment of key meteorological parameters at the Lenghu astronomical observing site on the Tibetan Plateau. The datasets adopted includes the meteorological parameters collected at the local weather stations at the site and in the Lenghu Town, the sky brightness acquired by the Sky Quality Meters and all-sky images from a digital camera, the ERA5 reanalysis database and global climate monitoring data. From 2019 to 2023, the fractional observable time of photometric condition is 69.70%, 74.97%, 70.26%, 74.27% and 65.12%, respectively, which is influenced by a variety of meteorological parameters. Large-scale air-sea interactions affect the climate at Lenghu site, which in fact delivers a clue to understand the irregularity of 2023. Specifically, precipitable water vapor at Lenghu site is correlated to both the westerly wind index and the summer North Atlantic Oscillation index, the yearly average temperature of Lenghu site is observed to increase significantly during the occurrence of a strong El Niño event, and the relative humidity anomaly at Lenghu site is correlated to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation index. The decrease of fractional observing time in 2023 was due to the ongoing strong El Niño event and relevant global climate change. We underscore the substantial role of global climate change in regulating astronomical observing conditions and the necessity for long-term continuous monitoring of the astronomical meteorological parameters at Lenghu site.

Oceanic eddy with submesoscale edge drives intense air-sea exchanges and beyond

Oceanic mesoscale eddies influence air-sea interaction and atmosphere dynamics through ventilating heat and moisture upward. However, whether the sea surface temperature (SST) gradient on the eddy edge could affect the heat and moisture release is still unknown because of the limited observations and coarse-resolution climate models. Using high-resolution atmospheric simulations, this study compares the atmospheric response to the mesoscale (~ 40 km) and submesoscale (~ 4 km) SST gradients at the edge of an eddy. Results show that submesoscale SST gradient drives stronger surface heat and moisture fluxes, enhancing the vertical mixing intensity by 2–3 times within and above the marine atmospheric boundary layer. As a result, one local precipitation event is found to be an order of magnitude larger overlying the eddy. Our findings highlight the importance of resolving oceanic submesoscale features for accurately predicting atmosphere dynamics and precipitation over the ocean.

Influence of CyGNSS L2 wind data on tropical cyclone analysis and forecasts in the coupled HAFS/HYCOM system

This study examines the influence of NASA Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CyGNSS) Level 2-derived 10 m (near-surface) wind speed over the ocean on analyses and forecasts within the NOAA operational Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS). HAFS is coupled with a regional configuration of the HYCOM ocean model. The primary advantages of data from the CyGNSS constellation of satellites include higher revisit frequency compared to polar-orbiting satellites, and the availability of reliable wind observations over the ocean surface during convective precipitation. CyGNSS data are available early in the life cycle of tropical cyclones (TCs) when aerial reconnaissance observations are not available. We focus on TCs whose forecasts were initialized when the TC was a depression or tropical storm. In the present study, we find first, that assimilation of CyGNSS near-surface winds improves storm track, intensity, and structure statistics in the analysis and early in the forecast, for many cases. Second, we find that assimilation of CyGNSS observations provides additional insights into the evolution of air-sea interaction in intensifying TCs: In effect, the ocean responds in the coupled model to modifications in the initial 10 m wind field, thereby impacting forecasts of intensity, storm structure, and sea surface height, as demonstrated by two case studies. We also discuss some forecasts where assimilating CYGNSS appears to degrade performance for either intensity or structure.

Stokes drift and particle trajectories induced by surface waves atop a shear flow

Surface waves and currents are crucial to the mass transfer in the air-sea interaction as they can drive a variety of dynamical processes. How mass can be transported by surface waves and current coupling is addressed through a study of their induced motions of fluid parcels. To this end, a weakly nonlinear wavetrain is imposed on the background flow whose direction and magnitude are permitted to vary with water depth and second-order features of this configuration are investigated. A leading-order approximation to the Stokes drift is derived, correct to the second order in wave steepness, and applicable to an arbitrarily depth-dependent background flow. The reduced forms of the approximate Stokes drift are provided in a few limiting cases such as a current with an exponential profile or propagating in an orthogonal direction to the wave propagation. Novel features related to the Stokes drift and particle trajectories have been reported for the first time as a result of the rotation induced by the wave and current coupling. A non-vanishing component of the Stokes drift velocity and net-mean displacement of fluid parcels in the span-wise direction to the wave propagation are observed in the cases where a shear current propagates obliquely to the waves direction. A non-monotonic dependence on water depth of the stream-wise component of the Stokes drift is shown, and thereby the largest mass transport induced no longer occurs on the still water surface but some depth beneath. The non-monotonic behavior occurs beyond the regime of the near-irrotational assumption of wave-induced motions. It can also lead to the change of the signs for the stream-wise Stokes drift throughout the water column, and thus an overall cancellation of the integrated mass transport by waves over the water column, indicating that the depth-integrated models can likely lead to underestimated effects of the mass transport which is non-trivial at a local depth. The results from this study have far-reaching impact. The Stokes drift profile is a direct input to the parametrization of the surface waves forcing in ocean circulations and the obliquely propagating Stokes drift can be plausibly responsible for the formation of oblique Langmuir rolls to wave propagation in the open ocean.

The Causal Relation within Air–sea Interaction as Inferred from Observations

Abstract The intricate cause–effect relations in air–sea interaction are investigated using a quantitative causal inference formalism. The formalism is first validated with a classical stochastic coupled model, and then applied to the observational time series of sea surface temperature (SST) and air–sea turbulent surface heat flux (SHF). We identify an overall asymmetry of causality between the two variables, namely, the causality from SHF to SST is significantly larger than that from SST to SHF over most of the global oceans. Geographically, the coupling is strongest in the tropics and gets weaker substantially in the extratropics. In the midlatitude ocean, SST makes higher contributions to the SHF variability in frontal regions. We further show that the identified causality is space- and time-scale dependent. The dominance of SHF driving SST occurs at basin scales, whereas the dominance of SST driving SHF mostly occurs at scales smaller than 10°. The causalities in both directions get larger with increasing time scale, and are less asymmetric at longer time scales. Also discussed here is the seasonality of the causality.

Influence of mesoscale sea‐surface temperature structures on the Mediterranean cyclone Ianos in convection‐permitting simulations: Contributions of surface warming and cold wakes

AbstractThis study examined the influence of mesoscale sea‐surface temperature (SST) structures and warming on the tropical‐like cyclone Ianos. The controlling mechanisms were investigated using a set of sensitivity experiments with the non‐hydrostatic weather research and forecasting model. A simulation forced by a high‐resolution SST field from the mesoscale eddy‐resolving HYCOM reanalysis (CTRLH) performed better than a simulation forced by a coarse‐resolution SST field from Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST) in terms of precipitation, wind intensity, and landfall location. The suppression of mesoscale SST variability affected the cyclone's intensity, its path, and associated processes. This effect depends on the nature of the anomalies (cold/warm). The suppression of mesoscale SST forcing intensified wind and precipitation in the presence of cold anomalies, leading to a northwestward shift of the storm's path during its mature phase. The magnitude of these changes varied with the scale of smoothing (mesoscale SST). Compared to the CTRLH simulation, a simulation in which a 60‐km smoothing filter was applied to the SST field resulted in a cyclone centered slightly to the west (or delayed by 3–6 hr), which was further shifted to the west (or delayed) when the smoothing filter was increased to 150 km. The intensification of wind and precipitation may be associated with the reduction in the storm's cold wake, which would lead to enhanced turbulent fluxes and increased atmospheric water vapor. These results highlight the role of small‐scale air–sea interaction processes that could have a strong impact on Mediterranean cyclones' path and intensity.

Dynamics of Bubble Plumes Produced by Breaking Waves

Abstract Bubble plumes play a significant role in the air–sea interface by influencing processes such as air–sea gas exchange, aerosol production, modulation of oceanic carbon and nutrient cycles, and the vertical structure of the upper ocean. Using acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) data collected off the west coast of Ireland, we investigate the dynamics of bubble plumes and their relationship with sea state variables. In particular, we describe the patterns of bubble plume vertical extension, duration, and periodicity. We establish a power-law relationship between the average bubble penetration depth and wind speed, consistent with previous findings. Additionally, the study reveals a significant association between whitecapping coverage and observed acoustic volume backscatter intensity, underscoring the role of wave breaking in bubble plume generation. The shape of the probability distribution of bubble plume depths reveals a transition toward stronger and more organized bubble entrainment events during higher wind speeds. Furthermore, we show that deeper bubble plumes are associated with turbulent Langmuir number Lat ∼ 0.3, highlighting the potential role of Langmuir circulation on the transport and deepening of bubble plumes. These results contribute to a better understanding of the complex interactions between ocean waves, wind, and bubble plumes, providing valuable insights for improving predictive models and enhancing our understanding of air–sea interactions. Significance Statement This research contributes to understanding bubble plume dynamics in the upper ocean and their relationship with sea state variables. The establishment of a power-law relationship between the bubble penetration depth and wind speed, along with the association between whitecapping coverage and acoustic backscatter intensity, contributes to improved predictive capabilities for air–sea interactions and carbon dioxide exchange. The identification of the potential influence of Langmuir circulation on bubble plume dynamics expands our understanding of the role of coherent circulations in transporting bubble plumes. Additionally, this study presents a clear methodology using commercial sensors such as an ADCP, which can be easily replicated by researchers worldwide, leading to potential advancements in our comprehension of bubble plume dynamics.

Impacts of the Thermocline Feedback Uncertainty on El Niño Simulations in the Tropical Pacific

AbstractAs a key dynamic element of the Bjerknes feedback mechanism, the thermocline effect (TE) is critically important to El Niño modeling. In this study, the potential influence of TE‐related parametric uncertainties on El Niño is investigated using the conditional nonlinear optimal parametric perturbation (CNOP) method based on an intermediate coupled model (ICM). The optimal perturbation of the TE‐related parameter (OTEP), which substantially affects El Niño simulations, is estimated through the CNOP approach. Results reveal that the El Niño simulation is highly sensitive to the TE uncertainty in the eastern equatorial Pacific, with OTEP‐induced simulation errors demonstrating an El Niño‐like growth trend. On one hand, as indicated by the simulated El Niño intensity, the uncertainty in the TE in the eastern region can easily affect the strength of the Bjerknes feedback‐related thermocline effect and atmospheric circulation. On the other hand, the enhanced TE is highly favored to accelerate the growth of the SST error due to the air–sea interaction, thus severely affecting the El Niño simulations. Therefore, adequately representing the TE in the equatorial eastern Pacific is emphasized for effectively improving El Niño simulations.

Response of Upper Ocean to Parameterized Schemes of Wave Breaking under Typhoon Condition

The study of upper ocean mixing processes, including their dynamics and thermodynamics, has been a primary focus for oceanographers and meteorologists. Wave breaking in deep water is believed to play a significant role in these processes, affecting air–sea interactions and contributing to the energy dissipation of surface waves. This, in turn, enhances the transfer of gas, heat, and mass at the ocean surface. In this paper, we use the FVCOM-SWAVE coupled wave and current model, which is based on the MY-2.5 turbulent closure model, to examine the response of upper ocean turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) and temperature to various wave breaking parametric schemes. We propose a new parametric scheme for wave breaking energy at the sea surface, which is based on the correlation between breaking wave parameter RB and whitecap coverage. The impact of this new wave breaking parametric scheme on the upper ocean under typhoon conditions is analyzed by comparing it with the original parametric scheme that is primarily influenced by wave age. The wave field simulated by SWAVE was verified using Jason-3 satellite altimeter data, confirming the effectiveness of the simulation. The simulation results for upper ocean temperature were also validated using OISST data and Argo float observational data. Our findings indicate that, under the influence of Typhoon Nanmadol, both parametric schemes can transfer the energy of sea surface wave breaking into the seawater. The new wave breaking parameter RB scheme effectively enhances turbulent mixing at the ocean surface, leading to a decrease in sea surface temperature (SST) and an increase in mixed layer depth (MLD). This further improves upon the issue of uneven mixing of seawater at the air–sea interface in the MY-2.5 turbulent closure model. However, it is important to note that wave breaking under typhoon conditions is only one aspect of wave impact on ocean disturbances. Therefore, further research is needed to fully understand the impact of waves on upper ocean mixing, including the consideration of other wave mechanisms.

Hybrid sea surface temperature inversion model for the South China sea based on IMLP and DBN

ABSTRACT Sea surface temperature (SST) is a key variable in the study of the global climate system and one of the important parameters in the process of air–sea interaction. Therefore, the demand for SST is developing towards high quality and high precision. In this paper, the ability of the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) optimized by the Aquila optimizer (AO) to solve nonlinear problems and the advantages of the deep belief network (DBN) to effectively process complex data are used to construct the IMLP-DBN inversion algorithm. The algorithm takes into account the influences of atmospheric conditions and satellite zenith angles. The data set is the infrared remote sensing data of the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the actual measurement data of buoys on sunny days and few clouds. Analysis of the inversion results shows that the root mean square error (RMSE) of the inversion value and the measured value is 0.14, and the sum of square errors (SSE) is 0.78. Compared with the MOD28 product data, the RMSE and SSE of the inversion are reduced by 66% and 24%, respectively.

Enhanced northward propagation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in the western north Pacific linked to the tropical Indian Ocean warming

While decadal changes in Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) have received considerable attention, the corresponding changes in Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) have yet to be well understood. In this study, we show the enhanced northward propagation of BSISO in the Western North Pacific (WNP) during the 2000s compared to the 1980s–1990s. Observational analyses and model experiments suggest this enhancement is partially attributed to the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) warming. The TIO warming tends to increase the air-sea interaction, enhancing moisture anomalies in the free atmosphere. Consequently, this increase in moisture anomalies strengthens BSISO-scale convection through increased convective anomalies at the north of the BSISO center, thereby enhancing the northward propagation of BSISO. Additionally, vorticity changes resulting from mean-state zonal vertical shear also contribute to the BSISO decadal change. Our findings underscore the importance of considering the interaction between BSISO and changes in the ocean mean state in future assessments.

A new airborne system for simultaneous high-resolution ocean vector current and wind mapping: first demonstration of the SeaSTAR mission concept in the macrotidal Iroise Sea

Abstract. Coastal seas, shelf seas and marginal ice zones are dominated by small-scale ocean surface dynamic processes that play a vital role in the transport and exchange of climate-relevant properties such as carbon, heat, water and nutrients between land, ocean, ice and atmosphere. Mounting evidence indicates that ocean scales below 10 km have far-ranging impacts on air–sea interactions, lateral ocean dispersion, vertical stratification, ocean carbon cycling and marine productivity – governing exchanges across key interfaces of the Earth system, the global ocean, and atmosphere circulation and climate. Yet, these processes remain poorly observed at the fine spatial and temporal scales necessary to resolve them. The Ocean Surface Current Airborne Radar (OSCAR) is a new airborne instrument with the capacity to inform these questions by mapping vectorial fields of total ocean surface currents and winds at high resolution over a wide swath. Developed for the European Space Agency (ESA), OSCAR is the airborne demonstrator of the satellite mission concept SeaSTAR, which aims to map total surface current and ocean wind vectors with unprecedented accuracy, spatial resolution and temporal revisit across all coastal seas, shelf seas and marginal ice zones. Like SeaSTAR, OSCAR is an active microwave synthetic aperture radar along-track interferometer (SAR-ATI) with optimal three-azimuth sensing enabled by unique highly squinted beams. In May 2022, OSCAR was flown over the Iroise Sea, France, in its first scientific campaign as part of the ESA-funded SEASTARex project. The campaign successfully demonstrated the capabilities of OSCAR to produce high-resolution 2D images of total surface current vectors and near-surface ocean vector winds, simultaneously, in a highly dynamic, macrotidal coastal environment. OSCAR current and wind vectors show excellent agreement with ground-based X-band-radar-derived surface currents, numerical model outputs and NovaSAR-1 satellite SAR imagery, with root mean square differences from the X-band radar better than 0.2 m s−1 for currents at 200 m resolution. These results are the first demonstration of simultaneous retrieval of total current and wind vectors from a high-squint three-look SAR-ATI instrument and the first geophysical validation of the OSCAR and SeaSTAR observing principle. OSCAR presents a remarkable new ocean observing capability to support the study of small-scale ocean dynamics and air–sea interactions across the Earth's coastal, shelf and polar seas.

Kuroshio Extension cold-core ring and wind drop-off observed in 2021–2022 winter

Energetic cyclonic mesoscale eddies, which are called cold-core rings and are shed southward from the Kuroshio Extension jet and form closed streamlines, affect the atmosphere through the heat exchange across the sea surface. To investigate the effect of rings on the atmosphere, we performed atmosphere and ocean observations across a cold-core ring centered around 34.5° N, 150.0° E using a research vessel from November 2021 to January 2022 and a shallow-water profiling float from November 23 to 28, 2021. As heat is released from the sea surface, no significant spatial contrast in the sea surface and mixed layer temperatures was detected across the ring. Meanwhile, the sea surface wind was occasionally observed to be weak around the ring, possibly through the air–sea interactions. The wind drop-off maintained a turbulent heat flux small around the ring. The wind field associated with the wind drop-off was examined by the rotary empirical orthogonal function analysis of the satellite sea surface wind data. The minimum of the sea surface wind is found to shift northward relative to the ring center and to be more than approximately 5 m s-1\\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \\usepackage{amsmath} \\usepackage{wasysym} \\usepackage{amsfonts} \\usepackage{amssymb} \\usepackage{amsbsy} \\usepackage{mathrsfs} \\usepackage{upgreek} \\setlength{\\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \\begin{document}$$^{-1}$$\\end{document} lower than the surrounding region. The shallow-water profiling float deployed around the ring center observed a rapid freshening event in the mixed layer, which can be attributed to the water intrusion from the north of the Kuroshio Extension jet through the interaction with the jet. This suggests that the cold water from the north continually affects the atmosphere without leaving traces in the shipboard sea surface temperature observations.

Midlatitude mesoscale thermal Air-sea interaction enhanced by greenhouse warming

The influence of greenhouse warming on mesoscale air-sea interactions, crucial for modulating ocean circulation and climate variability, remains largely unexplored due to the limited resolution of current climate models. Additionally, there is a lack of theoretical frameworks for assessing changes in mesoscale coupling due to warming. Here, we address these gaps by analyzing eddy-resolving high-resolution climate simulations and observations, focusing on the mesoscale thermal interaction dominated by mesoscale sea surface temperature (SST) and latent heat flux (LHF) coupling in winter. Our findings reveal a consistent increase in mesoscale SST-LHF coupling in the major western boundary current regions under warming, characterized by a heightened nonlinearity between warm and cold eddies and a more pronounced enhancement in the northern hemisphere. To understand the dynamics, we develop a theoretical framework that links mesoscale thermal coupling changes to large-scale factors, which indicates that the projected changes are collectively determined by historical background wind, SST, and the rate of SST warming. Among these factors, the large-scale SST and its warming rate are the primary drivers of hemispheric asymmetry in mesoscale coupling intensification. This study introduces a simplified approach for assessing the projected mesoscale thermal coupling changes in a warming world.

Formation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation lower limb is critically dependent on Atlantic-Arctic mixing

Deep-water formation in the eastern Subpolar North Atlantic Ocean (eSPNA) and Nordic Seas is crucial for maintaining the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), of consequence for global climate. However, it is still uncertain which processes determine the deep-water formation and how much Atlantic and Arctic waters respectively contribute to the lower limb. To address this, here we used Lagrangian trajectories to diagnose a global eddy-resolving ocean model that agrees well with recent observations highlighting the eSPNA as a primary source of the AMOC lower limb. Comprised of 72% Atlantic waters and 28% Arctic waters, the density and depth of the AMOC lower limb is critically dependent on Atlantic-Arctic mixing, primarily in the vicinity of Denmark Strait. In contrast, Atlantic waters gaining density through air-sea interaction along the eastern periphery of Nordic Seas and not entering the Arctic Ocean make a negligible contribution to the lower limb.

Holocene extreme flood events in the middle reaches of the Lancang‒Mekong River basin recorded by a high-altitude lake in southwestern China

The Lancang‒Mekong River (LMR) basin is a region particularly susceptible to floods induced by extreme precipitation. However, owing to limited historical flood records, it is difficult to understand the processes and mechanisms of extreme floods in the LMR basin. In the present study, sediments from a high-altitude lake (Lake Baima, 4700 m above sea level) located in the upper-middle reaches of the LMR are used to reconstruct climate and hydrology variability since the last deglaciation based on a range of climate proxies and methods, including loss-on-ignition, grain size, X-ray diffraction, and X-ray fluorescence. Through the investigation of modern and historical floods in the LMR basin, we combine the climate proxies with hydrological frequency curves to reconstruct the paleoflood sequence during the Holocene. Our results suggest that the temperature and precipitation in southwestern China increased during the Holocene compared to the last deglaciation, indicating a response to changes in Northern Hemisphere summer solar insolation. In addition, Holocene sediments of Lake Baima are primarily composed of brown background layers and numerous light yellow/gray event layers. These event layers are further identified as flood events based on sedimentary facies, redness, and main exogenous elements content and their rate of change. The results show that extreme flood events in the LMR basin occurred more frequently during the early and late Holocene, with seven once-in-1000-year floods during the two intervals; while there were low-frequency flood periods during the mid-Holocene. The occurrence of Holocene floods may be related to external forcing, such as the abrupt changes in total solar irradiance (TSI) and volcanic activity, as well as the internal variability of the wider climate system including the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño‒Southern Oscillation (ENSO). When the TSI was low, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) in the Northern Hemisphere shifted northward, and the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) moved eastward, accompanied with a negative phase of the PDO and La Niña-like phase of the ENSO. The air-sea interactions increased sea surface temperatures, leading to high precipitation and increasing flood risk in the LMR basin.