Agulhas Current Region Research Articles

Influence of Ocean Currents on Wave Modeling and Satellite Observations: Insights From the One Ocean Expedition

AbstractThis study investigates the influence of ocean currents on wave modeling and satellite observations using in situ wave measurements from the One Ocean Expedition 2021–2023. In January 2023, six OpenMetBuoy drifters were deployed in the Agulhas Current region. Their high immersion ratio minimized wind effects, allowing them to follow the current and return to the Indian Ocean by the Agulhas retroflection, collecting data for about 2 months. Comparing surface current velocities from both the Mercator model and Globcurrent product with drifter data reveals underestimation for velocities over with Mercator showing greater variability. Significant wave height and Stokes drift parameters from MFWAM and ERA5 were also evaluated against drifters. Both models tend to overestimate Stokes drift more noticeable in ERA5, indicating sensitivity to wind seas. For significant wave height, both models agree well with drifter measurements with correlations of 0.90 for MFWAM and 0.83 for ERA5. However, ERA5's lack of surface current data combined with its coarse resolution (0.5) lead to underestimation of wave heights exceeding 2.5 m. MFWAM products including and excluding currents exhibit root mean square errors of 0.39 and 0.45 m, respectively, when compared to drifter measurements. This confirms that neglecting currents introduces additional errors particularly in areas with sharp current gradients. Analyzing MFWAM wave spectra, including and excluding currents, reveals wave energy transfer attributed to wave‐current interactions. The spatial extent of these interactions is captured by satellite altimeters, revealing wave modulations with considerable wave height variations when waves cross eddies and the current core.

Can Mesoscale Eddy Kinetic Energy Sources and Sinks Be Inferred From Sea Surface Height in the Agulhas Current Region?

AbstractWestern boundaries have been suggested as mesoscale eddy graveyards, using a diagnostic of the eddy kinetic energy (EKE) flux divergence based on sea surface height (η). The graveyard's paradigm relies on the approximation of geostrophy—required by the use of η—and other approximations that support long baroclinic Rossby waves as the dominant contribution to the EKE flux divergence. However, a recent study showed an opposite paradigm in the Agulhas Current region using an unapproximated EKE flux divergence. Here, we assess the validity of the approximations used to derive the η‐based EKE flux divergence using a regional numerical simulation of the Agulhas Current. The EKE flux divergence consists of the eddy pressure work (EPW) and the EKE advection (AEKE). We show that geostrophy is valid for inferring AEKE, but that all approximations are invalid for inferring EPW. A scale analysis shows that at mesoscale (L > O(30) km), EPW is dominated by coupled geostrophic‐ageostrophic EKE flux and that Rossby waves effect is weak. There is also a hitherto neglected topographic contribution, which can be locally dominant. AEKE is dominated by the geostrophic EKE flux, which makes a substantial contribution (54%) to the net regional mesoscale EKE source represented by the EKE flux divergence. Other contributions, including topographic and ageostrophic effects, are also significant. Our results support the use of η to infer a qualitative estimate of the EKE flux divergence in the Agulhas Current region. However, they invalidate the approximations on mesoscale eddy dynamics that underlie the graveyard's paradigm.

Ocean 2D eddy energy fluxes from small mesoscale processes with SWOT

Abstract. We investigate ocean dynamics at different scales in the Agulhas Current system, a region of important interocean exchange of heat and energy. While ocean observations and some of the most advanced climate models capture the larger mesoscale dynamics (> 100 km), the smaller-scale fronts and eddies are underrepresented. The recently launched NASA–CNES Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) wide-swath altimeter mission observes the smaller ocean geostrophic scales down to 15 km in wavelength globally. Here we will analyse different eddy diagnostics in the Agulhas Current region and quantify the contributions from the larger mesoscales observable today and the smaller scales to be observed with SWOT. Surface geostrophic diagnostics of eddy kinetic energy, strain, and energy cascades are estimated from modelled sea surface height (SSH) fields of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology general circulation model (MITgcm) latitude–longitude polar cap (LLC4320) simulation subsampled at 1/10∘. In this region, the smaller scales (<150 km) have a strong signature on the horizontal geostrophic strain rate and for all eddy diagnostics in the Western Boundary Current and along the meandering Agulhas Extension. We investigate the horizontal cascade of energy using a coarse-graining technique, and we observe that the wavelength range where the inverse cascade occurs is biased towards larger mesoscale wavelengths with today’s altimetric sampling. We also calculate the projected sampling of the eddy diagnostics under the SWOT swaths built with the NASA–CNES simulator to include the satellite position and realistic noise. For the swaths, a neural network noise mitigation method is implemented to reduce the residual SWOT random error before calculating eddy diagnostics. In terms of SSH, observable wavelengths of 15 to 20 km are retrieved after neural network noise mitigation, as opposed to wavelengths larger than 40 km before the noise reduction.

A 900-Year Isotopic Proxy Rainfall Record from Northeastern Botswana

A high-resolution climate archive was reconstructed based on carbon isotope analysis and radiocarbon dating of the Chapman baobab in northeastern Botswana. The Chapman baobab, which exhibited an open ring-shaped structure composed of six stems, collapsed in January 2016 during an intense El Niño event. Two samples belonging to the oldest stems were investigated in order to obtain a proxy rainfall record, which provides insight into the precipitation regime over the last millennium, evincing centennial and decadal scale variability. The results indicate that the Medieval Warm Period was marked by relatively stable precipitation, whereas rainfall variability and drought frequency increased during the Little Ice Age. The investigated area has experienced both wetter and drier conditions in the past. The wettest conditions of the last millennium were registered before 1450 while the driest period occurred in 1835. For southern Africa, inter-annual rainfall variability is mainly associated with sea surface temperatures in the Agulhas Current core region, which determine the east–west displacement of tropical temperate troughs. Previous studies suggested that positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the Mozambique Channel led to an eastward movement of the troughs but the Chapman record demonstrates a westward displacement in the past, causing drought in northeastern South Africa and wetter conditions in the central part of southern Africa. The positive rainfall correlation with SST anomalies reversed after 1900, causing a gradual decrease in precipitation and confirming the current aridity trend for Botswana. The results contribute to a better understanding of the past climate of southern Africa for which paleoclimate reconstructions remain scarce.

The Agulhas Current Transports Signals of Local and Remote Indian Ocean Nitrogen Cycling

AbstractThe greater Agulhas Current region is an important component of the climate system, yet its influence on carbon and nutrient cycling is poorly understood. Here, we use nitrate isotopes (δ15N, δ18O, Δ(15–18) = δ15N–δ18O) to trace regional water mass circulation and investigate nitrogen cycling in the Agulhas Current and adjacent recirculating waters. The deep and intermediate waters record processes occurring remotely, including partial nitrate assimilation in the Southern Ocean and denitrification in the Arabian Sea. In the thermocline and surface, tropically sourced waters are biogeochemically distinct from adjacent subtropically sourced waters, confirming inhibited lateral mixing across the current core. (Sub)tropical thermocline nitrate δ15N is lower (4.9–5.8‰) than the sub‐thermocline source, Subantarctic Mode Water (6.9‰); we attribute this difference to local N2 fixation. Using a one‐box model to simulate the newly fixed nitrate flux, we estimate a local N2 fixation rate of 7–25 Tg N.a−1, with the upper limit likely biased high. In the mixed layer, nitrate δ15N and δ18O rise in unison, indicating that phytoplankton nitrate assimilation dominates in surface waters, with nitrification restricted to deeper waters. Because nitrate assimilation and nitrification are vertically decoupled, the rate of nitrate assimilation plus N2 fixation can be used to approximate carbon export. Thermocline and mixed‐layer nitrate Δ(15–18) is low, due to both N2 fixation and coupled partial nitrate assimilation and nitrification. Similarly low‐Δ(15–18) nitrate in Agulhas rings indicates leakage of low‐δ15N nitrogen into the South Atlantic, which should be recorded in the organic matter sinking to the seafloor, providing a potential tracer of past Agulhas leakage.

A 334-year coral record of surface temperature and salinity variability in the greater Agulhas Current region

Abstract. The Agulhas Current (AC) off the southern tip of Africa is one of the strongest western boundary currents and a crucial choke point of inter-ocean heat and salt exchange between the Indian Ocean and the southern Atlantic Ocean. However, large uncertainties remain concerning the sea surface temperature (SST) and salinity (SSS) variability in the AC region and their driving mechanisms over longer timescales, due to only short observational datasets being available and the highly dynamic nature of the region. Here, we present an annual coral skeletal Sr/Ca composite record paired with an established composite oxygen isotope record from Ifaty and Tulear reefs in southwestern Madagascar to obtain a 334-year (1661–1995) reconstruction of δ18Oseawater changes related to surface salinity variability in the wider Agulhas Current region. Our new annual δ18Oseawater composite record from Ifaty traces surface salinity of the southern Mozambique Channel and AC core region from the SODA reanalysis between 1958 and 1995. δ18Oseawater appears to be mainly driven by large-scale wind forcing in the southern Indian Ocean on interannual to decadal timescales. The δ18Oseawater and SST at Ifaty show characteristic interannual variability of between 2 and 4 years and interdecadal variability of 8 to 16 years, coherent with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) records. Lagged correlations with the multivariate ENSO index reveals a 1–2-year lag of δ18Oseawater and salinity at Ifaty and the AC region, suggesting that propagation of anomalies by ocean Rossby waves may contribute to salinity changes in the wider southwestern Indian Ocean. The δ18Oseawater and SST reconstructions at Ifaty reveal the highest interannual variability during the Little Ice Age, especially around 1700 CE, which is in agreement with other Indo-Pacific coral studies. Our study demonstrates the huge potential to unlock past interannual and decadal changes in surface ocean hydrology and ocean transport dynamics from coral δ18Oseawater beyond the short instrumental record.

Mesoscale Eddy Kinetic Energy Budgets and Transfers between Vertical Modes in the Agulhas Current

Abstract Western boundary currents are hotspots of mesoscale variability and eddy–topography interactions, which channel energy toward smaller scales and eventually down to dissipation. Here, we assess the main mesoscale eddies energy sinks in the Agulhas Current region from a regional numerical simulation. We derive an eddy kinetic energy ( ) budget in the framework of the vertical modes. It accounts for energy transfers between energy reservoirs and vertical modes, including transfers channeled by topography. The variability is dominated by mesoscale eddies (barotropic and first baroclinic modes) in the path of intense mean currents. Eddy–topography interactions result in a major mesoscale eddy energy sink, along three different energy routes, with comparable importance: transfers toward bottom-intensified time-mean currents, generation of higher baroclinic modes, and bottom friction. The generation of higher baroclinic modes takes different forms in the Northern Agulhas Current, where it corresponds to nonlinear transfers to smaller vertical eddies on the slope, and in the Southern Agulhas Current, where it is dominated by a (linear) generation of internal gravity waves over topography. Away from the shelf, mesoscale eddies gain energy by an inverse vertical turbulent cascade. However, the Agulhas Current region remains a net source of mesoscale eddy energy due to the strong generation of eddies, modulated by the topography, especially in the Southern Agulhas Current. It shows that the local generation of mesoscale eddies dominates the net budget, contrary to the paradigm of mesoscale eddies decay upon western boundaries.

Reviews and syntheses: Physical and biogeochemical processes associated with upwelling in the Indian Ocean

Reviews and syntheses: Physical and biogeochemical processes associated with upwelling in the Indian Ocean

Response of Southern Hemisphere Western Boundary Current Regions to Future Zonally Symmetric and Asymmetric Atmospheric Changes

AbstractSubtropical western boundary currents (WBCs) are often associated with hotspots of global warming, with certain WBC extension regions warming 3–4 times faster than the global mean. In the Southern Hemisphere, strong warming over the WBC extensions has been observed over the last few decades, with enhanced warming projected into the future. This amplified warming has primarily been linked to poleward intensification of the mid‐latitude westerly winds in the Southern Hemisphere. Changes in these winds are often thought of as being zonally symmetric; however, recent studies show that they contain strong zonal asymmetries in certain ocean basins. The importance of these zonal asymmetries for the Southern Ocean has not yet been investigated. In this study, we use an ocean‐sea‐ice model forced by prescribed atmospheric fields to quantify the contribution of projected zonally asymmetric atmospheric changes in generating future ocean warming and circulation changes in the subtropical WBC regions. We find that the zonally asymmetric component of atmospheric forcing, characterized by a pattern that is consistent across CMIP6 models, can explain more than 30% (>2°C) of the sea surface temperature (SST) warming found in the Tasman Sea and southern Australia region and a sizable fraction of warming in the Agulhas Current region. These changes in SST in both the Indian and Pacific basins are found to be primarily driven by increases in the advection of warm tropical water to the mid‐latitudes due to changes in the large‐scale subtropical ocean gyres, which in turn can largely be explained by changes in the mid‐latitude surface wind stress patterns.

Investigating the Response of Temperature and Salinity in the Agulhas Current Region to ENSO Events

The Agulhas Current is a critical component of global ocean circulation and has been observed to respond to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events via its temperature and salinity signatures. In this research, we use sea surface salinity (SSS) from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s (NASA) Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite, sea surface temperature (SST) observations from the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC), sea surface height (SSH) anomalies from altimetry, and the Oceanic Niño Index to study the SMAP satellite time period of April 2015 through March 2020 (to observe full years of study). We see warming and high salinities after El Niño, cooling and fresher surface waters after La Niña, and a stronger temperature response than that of salinity. About one year after the 2015 El Niño, there is a warming of the entire region except at the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. About two years after the event, there is an increase in salinity along the eastern coast of Africa and in the Agulhas Current region. About two years after the 2016 and 2018 La Niñas, there is a cooling south of Madagascar and in the Agulhas Current. There are no major changes in salinity seen in the Agulhas Current, but there is a highly saline mass of water west of the Indonesian Throughflow about two years after the La Niña events. Wavelet coherence analysis finds that SSS and ENSO are most strongly correlated a year after the 2015 El Niño and two years after the 2016 La Niña.

Monitoring the Greater Agulhas Current With AIS Data Information

AbstractOver the core region of the Agulhas Current, new estimations of ocean surface velocities are reported using the increasing data set from the Automatic Identification System (AIS), initially designed to monitor vessel traffic. A two‐step strategy is suggested. A first guess is evaluated from the collective behavior of vessels for a given space‐time interval. Individual vessel trajectories are then re‐analyzed and interpolated. Applied during year 2016, these ocean surface current estimates are demonstrated to well determine the intensity of surface currents. The improved spatial resolution helps the decomposition of the optimally interpolated surface current vector field between irrotational ≈80%–90% and divergence‐free components ≈10%–20%, for example, Helmholtz‐Hodge decomposition. Comparisons are performed between in situ drifting‐buoys and represent up to 25% gain in respect of the altimetry gridded current (for the meridional component). Others comparisons with data collected during the Agulhas Current Time‐series experiment, as well as with the mean Doppler‐derived surface currents obtained from satellite synthetic aperture radar measurements also reveal a significant benefit of using the AIS derived estimates. Comparisons with the Sea Surface Temperature from MODIS sensors confirm the occurrence of meandering events for the current path. For the Agulhas Current region, the high density of vessel traffic can provide new means to study and monitor intense upper ocean currents with more detailed resolution and precision.

Indian Ocean Crossing Swells: New Insights from “Fireworks” Perspective Using Envisat Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) in wave mode is a powerful sensor for monitoring the swells propagating across ocean basins. Here, we investigate crossing swells in the Indian Ocean using 10-years Envisat SAR wave mode archive spanning from December 2003 to April 2012. Taking the benefit of the unique “fireworks” analysis on SAR observations, we reconstruct the origins and propagating routes that are associated with crossing swell pools in the Indian Ocean. Besides, three different crossing swell mechanisms are discriminated from space by the comparative analysis between results from “fireworks” and original SAR data: (1) in the mid-ocean basin of the Indian Ocean, two remote southern swells form the crossing swell; (2) wave-current interaction; and, (3) co-existence of remote Southern swell and shamal swell contribute to the crossing swells in the Agulhas Current region and the Arabian Sea.

Extreme Waves in the Agulhas Current Region Inferred from SAR Wave Spectra and the SWAN Model

The influence of the Agulhas Current on the wave field is investigated. The study is conducted by performing high resolution spectral wave model simulations with and without ocean currents. The validation of the numerical simulations is performed for the Significant Wave Height (Hs) using all possible satellite altimetry data available in the study region for a winter period of 2018. Wave spectra and extreme waves parameters are examined in places where waves and current are aligned in the Agulhas Current. Sentinel-1 (S1) wave mode Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) spectra are used to estimate the composites of the Hs and BFI (Benjamin–Feir Index). SAR computed BFI and Hs were compared with the respective composites obtained from the Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN) model. From the Hs composites using SAR data and modeled data, it can be concluded that the Hs maxima values are distributed in the Agulhas Current Retroflection (ACR) and also in the southern limit of the domain that is affected by the strong circumpolar winds around Antarctic. In addition, the BFI composites exhibit the highest values in the ACR and some few values are observed in the southern border as occurred with the Hs. The results of this study indicate that there is direct correlation between the Agulhas Current strength, the Hs and the BFI. It was found that the modeled directional wave spectra are broadened when the ocean current is considered in the simulation. The analysis of the modeled wave spectra is performed over eddies, rings and meanders in the Agulhas Current region. The transformation of the wave spectra due to current refraction is discussed based on the numerical simulations. The effect of the Agulhas Current on the spectral shape is explored. The spectral wave energy grows when the wave and the current are aligned, resulting in peaked, elongated and widened spectra. A decrease of the peak period was observed before the occurrence of maximum values of BFI, which characterize abnormal sea states.

Surface Currents and Significant Wave Height Gradients: Matching Numerical Models and High‐Resolution Altimeter Wave Heights in the Agulhas Current Region

AbstractAdvances in the understanding and modeling of surface currents have revealed the importance of internal waves, mesoscale and submesoscale features. Indeed, all these features should have a large influence on wind waves and in particular on wave heights. Still, the quantitative impact of currents on waves is not well known due to the complexity of the random wavefields and currents that are found in the ocean and the lack of observations of both currents and waves at scales shorter than 150 km. Here, we compare novel satellite altimetry data and state of the art phase‐averaged numerical wave models forced both by wind and currents. Currents used are taken from the oceanic model Coastal and Regional Ocean COmmunity, run at high resolution. The influence of current field resolution is investigated by applying Gaussian filters of different width to that same high‐resolution current field. We find that a numerical wave model that uses currents with resolutions of ∼30 km or less and a directional resolution of 7.5° can provide accurate representations of the significant wave height gradients found in the Agulhas current. Using smoother current fields such as derived from altimeters measurements alone, coarse directional spectral resolution or larger directional spread of the wave model generally underestimates gradients and extreme wave heights. Hence, satellite altimetry provides high‐resolution wave height with a gradient magnitude that is highly sensitive to underlying surface current gradients, at resolutions that may not be resolved by today's altimeters measurements. This is demonstrated here for relatively steady currents averaged over 3 years.

A late Pleistocene dataset of Agulhas Current variability

The interocean transfer of thermocline water between the Indian and the Atlantic Oceans known as ‘Agulhas leakage’ is of global significance as it influences the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on different time scales. Variability in the Agulhas Current regime is key in shaping hydroclimate on the adjacent coastal areas of the African continent today as well as during past climates. However, the lack of long, continuous records from the proximal Agulhas Current region dating beyond the last glacial cycle prevents elucidation of its role in regional and wider global climate changes. This is the first continuous record of hydrographic variability (SST; δ18Osw) from the Agulhas Current core region spanning the past 270,000 years. The data set is analytical sound and provides a solid age model. As such, it can be used by paleoclimate scientists, archaeologists, and climate modelers to evaluate, for example, linkages between the Agulhas Current system and AMOC dynamics, as well as connections between ocean heat transport and Southern African climate change in the past and its impact on human evolution.

The Impact of SST Biases in the Tropical East Pacific and Agulhas Current Region on Atmospheric Stationary Waves in the Southern Hemisphere

AbstractClimate models in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) vary significantly in their ability to simulate the phase and amplitude of atmospheric stationary waves in the midlatitude Southern Hemisphere. These models also suffer from a double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), with excessive precipitation in the tropical eastern South Pacific, and many also suffer from a biased simulation of the dynamics of the Agulhas Current around the tip of South Africa. The intermodel spread in the strength and phasing of SH midlatitude stationary waves in the CMIP archive is shown to be significantly correlated with the double-ITCZ bias and biases in the Agulhas Return Current. An idealized general circulation model (GCM) is used to demonstrate the causality of these links by prescribing an oceanic heat flux out of the tropical east Pacific and near the Agulhas Current. A warm bias in tropical east Pacific SSTs associated with an erroneous double ITCZ leads to a biased representation of midlatitude stationary waves in the austral hemisphere, capturing the response evident in CMIP models. Similarly, an overly diffuse sea surface temperature gradient associated with a weak Agulhas Return Current leads to an equatorward shift of the Southern Hemisphere jet by more than 3° and weak stationary wave activity in the austral hemisphere. Hence, rectification of the double-ITCZ bias and a better representation of the Agulhas Current should be expected to lead to an improved model representation of the austral hemisphere.

The Surface Pathways of the South Atlantic: Revisiting the Cold and Warm Water Routes Using Observational Data

AbstractThe relative contributions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation upper limb source waters in the South Atlantic (SA) remain largely unresolved. We contribute to a resolution by using observational data to explore water mass pathways feeding into the Benguela Current, considered a major component of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation upper limb in the SA. We focus on the pathways from the Pacific Ocean via the Drake Passage (traditionally termed the “cold” water route) and the Indian Ocean via Agulhas Leakage (traditionally termed the “warm” water route). We employ two main observational data sets: (1) surface drifter trajectories from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Drifter Program and (2) the Ocean Surface Current Analysis Real‐time product. Based on our Lagrangian analysis, the majority of particles originating in the Drake Passage remain in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, with a small portion reaching the northern limb of the SA subtropical gyre, and a few infiltrating the Agulhas Current region. The majority of particles released in the Agulhas Current follow the Agulhas Return Current and recirculate in its vicinity. Only a small portion leaks into the SA. Observed pathways reveal strong interactions between the two source waters in the Brazil‐Malvinas Confluence, the SA subtropical gyre, the Benguela Current, and the Agulhas Current region. Results from backward trajectories suggest a sizable contribution of waters from the Drake Passage to the Benguela Current but show disagreement between the two datasets in the magnitude of this contribution.

Global comparison of benthic nepheloid layers based on 52 years of nephelometer and transmissometer measurements

Global maps of maximum bottom particle concentration, benthic nepheloid layer thickness, and integrated particle mass in benthic nepheloid layers (BNL) based on 2412 global profiles collected using the Lamont Thorndike nephelometer from 1964 to 1984 are compared with maps of those same properties compiled from 6392 global profiles measured by transmissometers from 1979 to 2016. Outputs from both instruments were converted to particulate matter concentration (PM). The purposes of this paper are to compare global differences and similarities in the location and intensity of BNLs measured with these two independent instruments over slightly overlapping decadal time periods, to combine the data sets in order to expand the time scale of global in situ measurements of BNLs, and to gain insight about the factors creating/sustaining BNLs. The similarity between general locations of high and low particle concentration BNLs during the two time periods indicates that the driving forces of erosion and resuspension of bottom sediments are spatially persistent during recent decadal time spans, though in areas of strong BNLs, intensity is highly episodic. Topography and well-developed current systems play a role. These maps will help to understand deep ocean sediment dynamics, linkage with upper ocean dynamics, the potential for scavenging of adsorption-prone elements near the seafloor, and provide a comprehensive comparison of these data sets on a global scale.During both time periods, BNLs are weak or absent in most of the Pacific, Indian, and Atlantic basins away from continental margins. High surface eddy kinetic energy is associated with the Kuroshio Current east of Japan. Both data sets show weak BNLs south of the Kuroshio, but no transmissometer data have been collected beneath the Kuroshio itself. Sparse nephelometer data show moderate BNLs just north of the Kuroshio Extension, but with much lower concentrations than beneath the Gulf Stream. Strong BNLs are found in areas where eddy kinetic energy in overlying waters, mean kinetic energy near bottom, and energy dissipation within the bottom boundary layer are high. Areas of strongest BNLs include the Western North Atlantic, Argentine Basin (South Atlantic), areas around South Africa tied to the Agulhas Current region, and somewhat random locations in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current of the Southern Ocean.

Assessing the accuracy of satellite derived ocean currents by comparing observed and virtual buoys in the Greater Agulhas Region

In this study, we assess the accuracy of a combined geostrophic and Ekman current product (GlobCurrent) that estimates ocean currents at 15 m depth, by coupling it to a synthetic particle tracking tool and comparing the virtual trajectories to those of surface drifting buoys drogued at 15 m in the Greater Agulhas Current Region. The velocities from a total of 1041 drifters are compared and evaluated to the synthetic particle-derived velocities for the period 1993–2015. On average the GlobCurrent underestimates the velocity in the Greater Agulhas Current by approximately 27%. The underestimation ranges from 4 to 64% in different regions, with the smallest error found in the Agulhas retroflection region, and the highest in the Benguela Upwelling System. Furthermore, we compare the time taken for the separation between the virtual and real drifters to reach 35 km. The mean separation time was found to be 78 h, with the shortest time (35 h) found in the Agulhas Current and the longest time (116 h) located in the Agulhas Return Current. Deploying 10,000 virtual drifters in a 1° × 1° box within the southern Agulhas Current shows a convergence of trajectories towards the core of the current, while higher divergence is evident in the Agulhas retroflection. To evaluate the utility of this synthetic particle tracking tool coupled with GlobCurrent in open ocean search and rescue operations, two test cases are examined: (1) a capsized catamaran spotted south of Cape Recife and recovered 5 days later south of Cape Agulhas; and (2) a drifter trajectory in the same region. The comparison suggests that the GlobCurrent forced synthetic particle tracking tool is not appropriate for predicting the trajectory of a capsized catamaran that does not have the same drift characteristics as a surface drifting buoy drogued to 15 m.

Seaweeds in Two Oceans: Beta-Diversity

Several species assembly mechanisms have been proposed to structure ecological communities. We assess the biogeography of seaweeds along 2,700 km of South Africa's coastline in relation to a thermal gradient produced by the Agulhas Current, and contrast this with the environmental structure created by the Benguela Current. We subdivided the coastline into `bioregions' to examine the regional patterning. To investigate the assembly mechanisms, we decomposed Sorensen's Beta-diversity into `turnover' (Bsim) and `nestedness-resultant' (Bsne) dissimilarities, and used distance-based redundancy analysis (db-RDA) to relate them to the Euclidian thermal difference, dE, and geographical distance. Moran's eigenvector maps (MEM) were used as an additional set of spatial constraints. Variation partitioning was then used to find the relative strengths of thermal and spatially-structured thermal drivers. Spatial and environmental predictors explained 97.9% of the total variation in Bsim and the thermal gradient accounted for 84.2% of this combined pool. Bsim was the major component of overall Beta-diversity in the Agulhas Current region, suggesting niche influences (environmental sorting) as dominant assembly process there. The much weaker thermal gradient in the Benguela Current-influenced region resulted in a high amount of Bsne that could indicate neutral assembly processes. The intensification of upwelling during the mid-Pliocene 4.6--3.2 Ma (i.e. historical factors) were likely responsible for setting up the strong disjunction between the species-poor west coast and species-rich south and east coast floras, and this separation continues to maintain two systems of community structuring mechanisms in the Atlantic and Indian Ocean influenced sides of South Africa.