Agricultural Production In Nigeria Research Articles

Technological Innovation and Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria Amidst Oil Transition: ARDL Analysis

In contemporary discourse, Nigeria’s reliance on its oil sector is proving insufficient for sustained economic growth. The volatility of oil prices, geopolitical tensions, technological advancements, and environmental sustainability concerns have exposed the vulnerabilities of an oil-dependent economy, emphasizing the need for diversification and a renewed focus on agriculture. This study investigates the relationship between technological innovation and agricultural productivity in Nigeria, contrasting it with the oil sector. Using the ARDL estimation technique, our findings reveal a significant negative influence of immediate lagged agricultural productivity (AGTFP(−1)), indicating technological constraints. Technological innovation, proxied by TFP, shows a substantial impact on agricultural productivity, with a negative long-term effect (−90.71) but a positive, though insignificant, impact on agricultural output (0.0034). The comparative analysis underscores that the agricultural sector tends to benefit more from technological innovation than the oil sector. This highlights the critical need to prioritize technological advancements in agriculture to drive sustainable growth and economic resilience in Nigeria.

Soil management practice and smallholder agricultural productivity in Nigeria

This study investigates how various soil management practices can enhance soil fertility and pest control, ultimately increasing crop yields among farming households in Nigeria. Utilizing descriptive statistics, logit regression and propensity score matching on data from the 2019 Living Standard Measurement Study, the findings reveal that households using herbicides experience higher agricultural productivity. The use of pesticides and certified crops also positively influences productivity. Key determinants of soil technology access include cooperative membership and the age of household heads, both of which significantly affect access to herbicides, pesticides, organic fertilizers, and certified crops. Education plays a vital role, positively impacting the use of organic and inorganic fertilizers as well as certified crops. Additionally, larger farm sizes correlate with better access to these resources. Conversely, the gender of the household head negatively affects access to certified crops. The study emphasizes the importance of capacity building and knowledge transfer to encourage the adoption of effective soil technology practices among farmers, thereby enhancing agricultural productivity and addressing food security issues.

Historical Analysis of Climate Variability and Agricultural Production in Nigeria (1931-2020)

This study investigates the historical dynamics of climate variability and its impacts on agricultural production in Nigeria from 1931 to 2020. Utilizing a robust analytical framework that integrates climatic data analysis, statistical modelling, and geographic information system (GIS) techniques, the research explores trends in temperature and precipitation across different agro-ecological zones. Key findings reveal a consistent upward trend in average annual temperatures, with more pronounced warming observed in northern Nigeria, notably the Sahelian zone. Concurrently, precipitation patterns exhibit regional disparities, characterized by increased rainfall in southern regions and variable patterns in the north, including periods of severe droughts during the 1970s and 1980s. Statistical analyses employing Mann-Kendall trend tests and regression models confirm significant temperature increases and varying precipitation trends, underscoring their direct impacts on agricultural productivity. The study highlights the sensitivity of crop yields to climatic factors, demonstrating that rising temperatures adversely affect staple crops such as maize, millet, and sorghum, while adequate precipitation plays a critical role in enhancing yields. Socio-economic factors, including disparities in resource access between northern and southern regions, influence farmers’ adaptive capacity and resilience to climate variability. Adaptation strategies adopted by Nigerian farmers, such as adjusted planting schedules, crop diversification, and irrigation practices, are explored within the context of socio-economic constraints and infrastructural limitations. Spatial analysis using GIS provides insights into the differential impacts of climate variability across Nigeria, emphasizing the vulnerability of northern regions to climate shocks compared to the relative resilience of southern regions. Policy implications underscore the urgency of promoting climate-resilient agricultural practices, improving resource access, enhancing rural infrastructure, and implementing targeted capacity-building initiatives. These measures are essential for enhancing adaptive capacity, resilience, and sustainable agricultural development amidst on going climate variability and change in Nigeria.

Is Naira Depreciation Having any Effect on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria? Evidence From 1972-2020

Is Naira Depreciation Having any Effect on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria? Evidence From 1972-2020

Legal Issues in Land Acquisition for Agricultural Production in Nigeria

Land is the nations’ most valuable asset, as it provides sustenance. Legally speaking, land tenure in Nigeria is a complicated web of connections between many organizations that establishes land ownership patterns in connection to various land uses. This study examined the legal issues in land acquisition for agricultural production in Nigeria. Secondary data sourced from books, journals, and the internet were used. Normative legal research techniques were adopted to discuss legal issues in land acquisition, while qualitative content analysis was used to ascertain the level of agricultural production in Nigeria, as well as the relationship between land acquisition and agricultural production in Nigeria. The study’s findings showed that Nigeria's land tenure system supports land partitioning (land fragmentation), which leads to scattered small-scale farming. Tenure rules stipulated in the Nigerian Land Use Act of 1978 hinder agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Additional relevant factors and challenges influencing Nigeria's agricultural production include land tenure insecurity, and political and bureaucratic bottlenecks in the acquisition of land rights for agricultural uses. To ensure improved agricultural productivity, the government should initiate and implement a new land tenure reform that will address the inherent challenges in the current land tenure system.

Agricultural Sector Output and Economic Growth Sustainability in Nigeria

This study examined the impact of agricultural sector output on economic growth and sustainability in Nigeria. The data for the study were extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin. The methodology adopted in the research is linear regression with the application of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) Technique. The E-views 10 was the econometric software used for the research. The major findings of the study reveal that agricultural output contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth, government agricultural expenditures contribute negatively and insignificantly to economic growth, rainfall contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth and foreign direct investment in the agricultural sector contributes negatively and insignificantly to economic growth. It is therefore the recommendation of this paper that the government of Nigeria should encourage farmers by giving soft loans for agricultural activities. This will help farmers meet with financial needs in terms of purchasing some seeds, hiring machines, etc. thereby boosting massive agricultural production in Nigeria.

Effect of Carbon Footprint on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: An Empirical Analysis

This study examines the relationship between carbon footprint (CFP) components and agricultural productivity in Nigeria, a critical area of investigation given the country's reliance on agriculture for economic stability, food security, and employment. Using time series data from 1990 to 2020, sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the World Bank, this study analyzes the effect of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions on agricultural output. Employing Robust Least Square (RLS) regression and the Error Correction Model (ECM), the study finds that CO2 and CH4 emissions negatively affect agricultural productivity, with 1% increases in CO2 and CH4 emissions leading to approximate decreases in agricultural output by 2% and 3%, respectively. Conversely, a 1% increase in N2O emissions correlates with an 8% increase in agricultural output, attributed to the use of nitrogenbased fertilizers. The results confirm the presence of long-run equilibrium relationships among the variables, with approximately 32% of the previous year's disequilibrium corrected annually. The study's findings align with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis, suggesting that Nigeria is in the early stages of economic growth where environmental degradation is pronounced. These insights underscore the need for sustainable agricultural practices and effective carbon emission mitigation strategies to enhance food security and support economic growth in Nigeria.

Perceived Influence of Communication Strategies on Agricultural Technologies Utilization among Farmers in Nigeria: A Study of NIHORT Adopted Village and School

This paper examined perceived influence of National Horticultural Research Institute’s (NIHORT) communication strategies on agricultural technologies utilization among adopted village commercial farmers in Awaye community, Egbeda local government area, and student farmers in Oba Abass Aleshinloye Grammar School, Eleyele in Ibadan North West Local Government Area Ibadan, Oyo state, Nigeria. A total enumeration sampling procedure was used to obtain a sample size of 51 commercial farmers and student farmers altogether. Structured questionnaire was administered to assess their exposure and perceptions of the communication strategies implemented by NIHORT and analyzed using descriptive and inferential deductions. The results indicated that the communication strategies deployed by NIHORT had a positive influence on the farmers’ utilization of agricultural technologies. Specifically, the majority of the farmers (X̅=3.12) indicated that they had developed a greater trust in NIHORT’s communication strategies and the agricultural information disseminated through them, which encouraged the adoption of fertilizer application technology introduced with resultant effect in farm production increase. Furthermore, majority (52%) of the farmers have access to the agricultural messages disseminated through NIHORT. However, the farmers’ extent of exposure to and perception of the communication strategies deployed by NIHORT has no significant influence on the level of utilization of the agricultural technologies (p=0.579). The study recommended the integration of farmers’ needs into communication framework by agricultural research institutes to provide agricultural technologies’ utilization within farming communities to enhance sustainable agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Keywords: Adopted school, adopted village, agricultural technologies, communication strategies, farmers, NIHORT, utilization

Fostering Food Security through Enhanced Fertilizer Production: Examining Policy Frameworks

Agriculture is an important tool in poverty alleviation especially in rural areas whose economy mainly relies on agriculture as a source of income. Nevertheless, Nigeria is to face the food security crisis due to its agriculture sector which it heavily depends, but food consumption is imported rather than self-produced. Projections indicate that by 2030 Nigeria’s population will double the 2006 estimation which necessitates increased food production to meet the growing and urbanizing population needs and to open possibilities of exports. Apart from this, the country is faced with soil degradation as a result of inappropriate agricultural practices; erosion and gully, deforestation as well as climate change. It endangers the once dominant subsistent farm economy. The problems rose above show that there is an urgent need to review the role of fertilizers in food production for better food security. Proper execution of fertilizer policies becomes a powerful tool towards increasing agricultural production, malnutrition reduction and poverty alleviation through lowering food prices. Nevertheless, demand and supply factors like low farmers’ incomes, high market prices due the limited availability of fertilizer and public policy response also known as price incentives influence the low usage of fertilizers in Nigeria. In view of above problems, there is an urgent need to have a more holistic approach to sustainably raise agricultural productivity in Nigeria with a view to averting food shortage. Keywords: Food security, Fertilizer production, Agricultural productivity, Poverty alleviation, Policy frameworks

Foreign Direct Investment Inflow and Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria

The study investigated the effect of Foreign Direct Investment inflow on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria covering the period of 1981- 2023. The continued deterioration of budgetary allocation to agricultural sector, decline in agricultural output and the perception that if properly taken into consideration, the sector could bounce back to its position motivated the urge to investigate the alternative ways of revamping the sector through FDI. It is against this background that this study examines quantitatively the effect of foreign direct investment inflow to agriculture on agricultural sector productivity in Nigeria. The specific objectives were to ascertain the extent to which foreign direct investment inflows to Agriculture influences agricultural productivity in Nigeria, to determine the effect of exchange rate on Agricultural productivity, and to ascertain the relationship between trade openness and Agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Time series data were obtained from the CBN statistical bulletins. The data were found to be integrated of mixed order necessitating the ARDL Bounds test approach to cointegration which showed that there is long run relationship amongst the variables. Estimates from the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model revealed that Foreign Direct Investment to Agriculture (AFDI) and Trade Openness (TOP) significantly influenced AGRIGDP while Exchange Rate (EXCHR) seems not to have effect on the growth of the Nigeria’s Agricultural productivity during the period of study. Similarly, Foreign Direct Investment to Agriculture (AFDI), Exchange Rate (EXCHR), and Trade Openness (TOP) have a significant joint effect on Agricultural productivity in Nigeria which is being supported by the test of goodness of fit that the explanatory variables explained up to 99% of the total variations in the model. Based on the findings of the research, the study recommended that there is need to formulate policies that will attract more Foreign Investors towards the Agricultural Sector which will further increase the rate of Agricultural Productivity of the Nigerian economy.

The role of institutional quality in the nexus between agricultural expenditure and agricultural production in Nigeria

The role of institutional quality in the nexus between agricultural expenditure and agricultural production in Nigeria

The Role of Institutional Quality in the Nexus between Agricultural Expenditure and Agricultural Production in Nigeria

The Role of Institutional Quality in the Nexus between Agricultural Expenditure and Agricultural Production in Nigeria

IMPACT OF THE AGRICULTURAL CREDIT GUARANTEE SCHEME FUND ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY IN NIGERIA 1981-2020

This study ascertains the impact of the Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme Fund on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria 1981-2020. The ex-post facto research design was adopted for the study. Secondary data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria Annual Statistical Bulletin was used for the study. Jarque Bera test statistics was used to check for data normality while the Augmented Dickey Fuller test (ADF) was used to check the stationarity of the data. Johansen co-integration and error correction model was used to estimate the nexus that exists between the variables of the study. Findings from the study revealed that in the longrun, volume of funding to crop sector (FCP) has a positive effect on the output of crops and the effect is statistically significant. Volume of funding to livestock (FCP) is positively signed and in line with a priori expectation. Volume of funding to fishery (FFS) has positive effect on output of fishery within the period under study and this effect is in line with a priori expectation. Finally, volume of funding to forestry (FFT) is positively signed and in line with a priori expectation. The researcher concluded that quality credit to the agricultural sector is very important in both long and shortrun as agriculture plays a vital role in the life of people especially in developing countries such as Nigeria. It was recommended among others that more funding be dedicated by government to improve productivity while policy geared towards improving funding in the shortrun should be aggressively pursued by the government so as to achieve an equilibrium of positive effect of funding in both the long and shortrun period for the four sectors examined.

The Macroeconomic Effect of Access to Credit and Population Growth on the Nigerian Agricultural Productivity: An Empirical Study of 2000 to 2021

The study investigates the macroeconomic impact of population growth and access to credit on the agricultural productivity Nigeria from 2000 to 2021 by employing OLS multiple regression analysis. The study ascertained the stationarity of the time series properties of the variables where Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) was applied. The co-integration test result confirmed the presence of a long-run relationship among the variables, and the result of OLS multiple regression and stochastic production analysis showed a weak positive relationship between access to credit and agricultural productivity and also showed that population growth has a strong negative relationship with agricultural productivity in Nigeria. It was discovered that employment in agriculture decreases as population increases. The result also revealed that human capital and access growth to electricity have a strong positive impact on agricultural performance in Nigeria. The study therefore recommends not only an increase in the budgetary allocation to the agricultural sector but also the need to establish an efficient corrupt-free financial institutions to enhance easy access to credit by farmers and also improve the intellectual capacity of the populace through advanced technological trainings, as it will in turn lead to a higher achievement in the fight for food security and unemployment in Nigeria.

Credit market development and agricultural production in selected African countries

This study aimed to examine the long and short-run relationships between credit market development and agricultural production using the Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test for cointegration, as well as the direction of causality by using the Granger causality test. The results of the ARDL Bounds test revealed that institutional credit development had a significant long-run effect on agricultural production in all countries under examination, except for Tunisia; that is: Benin, Kenya, and Nigeria. In the short run, credit market development had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in Nigeria. By contrast, the effect of credit market development on agricultural production was negative in the short-run in Benin, Kenya, and Tunisia. The result of granger causality test revealed the existence of significant bi-directional causal links between institutional credit development and agricultural production in Benin, Kenya and Nigeria, no significant interdependence was found between the two variables in Tunisia. Capital formation had a significant and positive effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries. Climate change was negatively associated with agricultural production in all countries except for Nigeria. The exchange rates and real interest rates had a negative effect on agricultural production in the long-run and short-run in all countries.

Effect of Land Allocation on Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria Using ARDL Approach to Cointegration

To test the validity of the inverse relationship between land productivity and land size within the context of Nigeria, this study employed the use of Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to test for the presence of long-run relationship between the two variables using data from 1980 to 2017 sourced from the Food and Agriculture Organisation. Prior to the test for cointegration, the Modified Granger Causality of the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) was used to test for the causality to be sure that causality indeed runs from land size to land productivity. The Granger Causality confirmed that land size Granger-cause land productivity. Given this result, the semi-log ARDL model was estimated to test for cointegration and also estimate the elasticity of the relationship in both the short and long runs. The result showed that while land size has inverse relationship with land productivity in both the short and long run, its influence in determining yield was only significant in the short run. The Error Correction Term, ECT(−1) which is the speed of adjustment of short-run disequilibrium to long-run steady state was both negative and significant, implying that there is going to be convergence to long-run equilibrium at the speed of about 24%.

Carbon emissions, climate change, and Nigeria's agricultural productivity

This paper examined the impact of climate change through the carbon emissions channel on agricultural productivity in Nigeria. It adopted the transposed second-generation environmental Kuznets curve model, which defined growth (agricultural productivity) as a function of climate change. Data from world development indicators between 1960 and 2019 were utilized to examine the impact of climate change on agricultural productivity. The paper employed the bound test (ARDL) method. The result showed the existence of a long-run relationship between carbon emissions (proxy by CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and CO<sub>2</sub> intensity) and agricultural productivity (proxy by Agric.GDP, crop production index, and food production index) in Nigeria. The speed of adjustments is between 34% and 80%. Thus, a change in CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and intensity affects Agric.GDP differently, but CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and intensity negatively impacted crop and food production in Nigeria. The result implies that carbon emissions and carbon intensity cause decline and generates a dampening threat to Nigeria’s agricultural productivity through physical risk channels. By extension, the study concludes that carbon emission causes climate vulnerability that affects agricultural yields, production, and productivity. Carbon emissions results in low agricultural productivity which in turn disrupt food security as well as distort the poverty reduction strategy in the country. This study, therefore, recommends an equitable implementation of carbon pricing, adoption of mitigation policies, promotion of effective and efficient environmental laws, and the implementation of an appropriate abatement policy that jointly optimizes environmental stability and growth targets of the sustainable development goals.

Deposit Money Banks Loans and Advances and Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Disaggregated Approach (1986 – 2021)

Deposit Money Banks Loans and Advances and Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Disaggregated Approach (1986 – 2021)

Access to Healthcare through Renewable Energy on Female Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria

In low- and middle-income countries like Nigeria, agriculture is a vital component of development and poverty reduction. The native population of Nigeria suffers a slew of challenges that stymie agricultural productivity. One aspect is the low level of female agricultural productivity, which is likewise dependent on other factors. The present level of agricultural output in the Nigerian economy in line with the level of demand necessary to meet the desired expectation of the Nigerian populace will continually pose a threat to the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), especially, SDG-2 (achieve food security through agricultural productivity). This reflects the possible relationship that renewable energy especially in the area of healthcare can have on female agricultural productivity, as considered in this study, which can be a major component of the total agricultural productivity of the Nigerian economy. Therefore, an improvement in female access to healthcare through the input of renewable energy is a possible determinant for an increase in total female agricultural productivity. Using wave 4 (2018/2019) of the Living Standard Measurement Studies, Integrated Survey on Agriculture, the impact of female access to healthcare on female agricultural output in Nigeria was investigated in this study (LSMS-ISA). In addition to other tactics, the study employs the propensity score matching technique for the other specified aims. The estimation result reveals that in Nigeria, there is a significant and positive association between female healthcare access made possible by renewable energy provision and female agricultural production.

Experience-based food insecurity and agricultural productivity in Nigeria

In this study, we use panel data, three waves (2010–2016), to investigate the impact of agricultural productivity on experience-based measures of food security among Nigerian households. Experience-based measures of food security capture the diversity of diets, food shortage, and other aspects of food security, including psychological and behavioral manifestations of insecure food access. In Nigeria, the agricultural sector contributed about 22.35% to the nation's gross domestic product during 2021. In addition, almost 70% of Nigerians engage in farming for subsistence purposes, with climate change and poor irrigation systems affecting their agricultural productivity. Consistent with previous work linking higher agricultural productivity with better welfare outcomes among Nigerian households, we find that an increase in agricultural productivity increases food security as measured by experience-based indicators. Specifically, a 10% growth in agricultural productivity decreases the likelihood of (i) relying on less preferred foods, (ii) limiting the variety of food eaten, and (iii) limiting portion size at mealtimes by 3.7%, 3.9%, and 1.9%, respectively.