Agricultural Drought Monitoring Research Articles

Construction and Validation of Surface Soil Moisture Inversion Model Based on Remote Sensing and Neural Network

Surface soil moisture (SSM) reflects the dry and wet states of soil. Microwave remote sensing technology can accurately obtain regional SSM in real time and effectively improve the level of agricultural drought monitoring, and it is of great significance for agricultural precision irrigation and smart agriculture construction. Based on Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat-8 images, the effect of vegetation was removed by the water cloud model (WCM), and SSM was retrieved and validated by a radial basis function (RBF) neural network model in bare soil and vegetated areas, respectively. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) calculated by Landsat-8 (NDVI_Landsat-8) had a better effect on removing the influence the of vegetation layer than that of NDVI_Sentinel-2. The RBF network model, established in a bare area (R = 0.796; RMSE = 0.029 cm3/cm3), and the RBF neural network model, established in vegetated areas (R = 0.855; RMSE = 0.024 cm3/cm3), have better simulation effects on SSM than a linear SSM inversion model with single polarization. The introduction of surface parameters to the RBF neural network model can improve the accuracy of the model and realize the high-accuracy inversion of SSM in the study area.

Agricultural drought-driven mechanism of coupled climate and human activities in the karst basin of southern China.

Timely and accurate agricultural drought monitoring and drought-driven mechanism analysis in karst basins in the context of global warming are highly important for drought disaster monitoring and sustainable ecological development in a basin. In this study, based on MODIS data, meteorological and topographic data and land use data from 2001 to 2020, we used the Sen slope, the Mann-Kendall test and a geographic detector to explore the driving mechanisms of agricultural drought caused by climate change and human activities in the karst basin of southern China from 2001 to 2020. The results showed that (1) the spatial distribution of the TVDI in the karst basin in southern China has obvious regional characteristics, showing a decreasing trend from west to east. (2) According to the interannual trend of drought, the degree of drought in the South China karst basin exhibited a weakening trend over the last 20 years, with the most severe drought occurring in 2003. Regarding the seasonal change in the TVDI, drought in spring, summer and autumn exhibited a decreasing trend, while that in winter exhibited an increasing trend, and the drought intensity decreased in the following order: spring (0.58) > autumn (0.53) > summer (0.5) > winter (0.48). (3) Single-factor detection the results showed that rainfall, temperature and elevation were the main factors driving aridification in the study area; multifactor coupling (mean) drove drought in descending order: rainfall (q = 0.424) > temperature (q = 0.340) > elevation (q = 0.219) > land use (q = 0.188) > population density (q = 0.061) > slope (q = 0.057). Therefore, revealing the mechanism of agricultural drought in karst basins through the study of this paper has important theoretical significance and provides technical guidance for drought relief in karst areas.

A New Agricultural Drought Index to Characterize Agricultural Drought Using Data Mining Techniques

Drought monitoring is a critical task as its occurrence and extent vary according to many factors like drought type, risk, agricultural losses, and impact. Monitoring drought is important because the footprint of this hazard is larger than that of other natural hazards. Many drought indices are developed to monitor complex drought conditions. The intensity and severity of drought in a particular region and at a particular time can be tracked by the drought indicator. In this research, a new agricultural drought index, Yield-Evapotranspiration Drought Index (YEDI) is developed using crop yield, potential, and reference crop evapotranspiration. Data mining and Neural Network techniques have been used to model the drought index. The agricultural and climatic data used is selected from the year 1983 to 2015 (33 years) from the period of June to October (Kharif period) for Maharashtra state in India. The drought index generates the positive values which are further divided into a range of high, medium, and low intensities of drought. SPI and SPEI indices are used for validation against YEDI. Results show that there is a correlation between YEDI and SPEI whereas a low correlation is between YEDI and SPI. YEDI proves to be useful for agricultural drought monitoring.

Research on Drought Monitoring Based on Deep Learning: A Case Study of the Huang-Huai-Hai Region in China

As climate change intensifies, drought has become a major global engineering and environmental challenge. In critical areas such as agricultural production, accurate drought monitoring is vital for the sustainable development of regional agriculture. Currently, despite extensive use of traditional meteorological stations and remote sensing methods, these approaches have proven to be inadequate in capturing the full extent of drought information and adequately reflecting spatial characteristics. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of drought forecasts and achieve predictions across extensive areas, this paper employs deep learning models, specifically introducing an attention-weighted long short-term memory network model (AW-LSTM), constructs a composite drought monitoring index (CDMI) and validates the model. Results show that: (1) The AW-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional long short-term memory (LSTM), support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN) models in drought monitoring, offering not only better applicability in meteorological and agricultural drought monitoring but also the ability to accurately predict drought events one month in advance compared to machine learning models, providing a new method for precise and comprehensive regional drought assessment. (2) The Huang-Huai-Hai Plain has shown significant regional variations in drought conditions across different years and months, with the drought situation gradually worsening in the northern part of Hebei Province, Beijing, Tianjin, the southern part of Huai North and the central part of Henan Province from 2001 to 2022, while drought conditions in the northern part of Huai North, southern Shandong Province, western Henan Province and southwestern Hebei Province have been alleviated. (3) During the sowing (June) and harvesting (September) periods for summer maize, the likelihood of drought occurrences is higher, necessitating flexible adjustments to agricultural production strategies to adapt to varying drought conditions.

Improving remote sensing based agricultural drought characterization in Saurashtra, Gujarat : A region-specific threshold approach

Remote sensing technology has demonstrated its significant utility in the monitoring and mapping of agricultural drought on a global scale. This study focused on the assessment of agricultural drought in the Saurashtra region of Gujarat, India, utilizing a comprehensive dataset spanning 33 years from Landsat and Sentinel satellites. It employed various vegetation indices, including NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index), Anomaly Index (NAI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) and NDWI Anomaly index (NDWIA), to gauge drought conditions. The performance of these indices was evaluated through the generation of drought severity maps and their correlation analysis with major Kharif crops in the region, specifically cotton and groundnut. The analysis pinpointed major agricultural drought years, such as 1986, 1987, 1991, 2000, 2002 and 2012, which corresponded to substantial crop yield losses ranging from 37% to 76% for cotton and 66% to 95% for groundnut, varying by district. Despite VCI demonstrating equivalent or superior correlations with crop yields (ranging from 0.32 to 0.73 for cotton and 0.33 to 0.75 for groundnut) compared to NAI in various districts, it tended to underestimate drought severities, designating only 2 to 9 drought years for different districts. Consequently, this study recommends revised VCI drought severity thresholds, which enhance the categorization of agricultural drought in terms of severity levels and corresponding yield losses for cotton and groundnut in the Saurashtra region of Gujarat. Furthermore, it underscores the need to establish region-specific drought severity thresholds by identifying the most suitable vegetation index for effective quantification of agricultural drought, thereby facilitating informed drought mitigation measures.

Downscaling SMAP soil moisture product in cold and arid region: Incorporating NDSI and BSI into the random forest algorithm

AbstractSoil moisture (SM) is a critical element of the hydrological cycle, land surface processes, and surface energy balance. However, the low spatial resolution of commonly used SM products limits the application of SM in agriculture and eco‐hydrology in cold and arid regions. In this study, the normalized difference soil index (NDSI) and bare soil index (BSI) were added to traditional downscaling factors including land surface temperature, normalized difference vegetation index, digital elevation mode, apparent thermal inertia, Albedo, and temperature vegetation dryness index, as they are more strongly correlated with surface SM in the bare soil‐vegetation alternation zone of such region. Using the random forest algorithm, a downscaling model of SM was constructed for such region. The accuracy of the downscaled SM estimates was validated by comparing them with the original SM data collected from May to September 2021, which is the non‐freezing period of the soil. The findings indicate that the newly added NDSI and BSI have good correlation with SM. Incorporating NDSI and BSI to construct the downscaled model enhances the accuracy by over 19% compared to excluding them, while also providing a more comprehensive representation of SM information. NDSI and BSI can be well applied to the downscaled research of SM in the bare soil‐vegetation alternation zone, which is of great value for the study of eco‐hydrology and agricultural drought monitoring in cold and arid regions.

Evaluation of Retrospective National Water Model Soil Moisture and Streamflow for Drought‐Monitoring Applications

AbstractThe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)’s National Water Model (NWM) provides analyses and predictions of hydrologic variables relevant to drought monitoring and forecasts at fine time and space scales (hourly, 0.25–1 km). We present results exploring the potential for NWM soil moisture and streamflow analyses to inform operational drought monitoring. Both agricultural and hydrologic drought monitoring rely either explicitly or implicitly on an accurate representation of anomalous soil moisture values. Much of our analysis focuses on comparisons of soil moisture anomalies in the NWM to those from in‐situ observations. To establish benchmarks for NWM soil moisture skill, we also include other gridded data sets currently used to inform the US Drought Monitor, specifically those from the North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2 (NLDAS‐2) land surface models. We then compare NWM streamflow low flows with ∼500 stream gauges from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Hydro‐Climatic Data Network of undisturbed basins. The NWM soil moisture simulation’s skill parallels that from NLDAS‐2. The accuracy of drought condition identification from NWM streamflow exceeds that based on soil moisture as determined by Critical Success Index scores for extreme dry percentiles. Different meteorological forcings are used in the operational NWM cycles than those used in this retrospective analysis. This forcing disconnect, together with concerns about current‐generation land surface model soil moisture‐transport schemes, inhibit its current operational use for drought monitoring.

A Spatial Downscaling Method for Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence Product Using Random Forest Regression and Drought Monitoring in Henan Province

Drought is a frequent global phenomenon. Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF), an electromagnetic signal, has been proven to be an efficient tool for monitoring and assessing gross primary productivity (GPP) and drought. To address the issue of the sparse resolution of satellite-based SIF, researchers have developed different downscaling algorithms. Recently, the most frequently used SIF products had a spatial resolution of 0.05 degrees. However, these spatial resolution SIF data are not conducive to regional agricultural drought monitoring. In this study, we utilized the global ‘OCO-2’ solar-induced fluorescence (GOSIF) products along with normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST) products. With the powerful advantages offered by Google Earth Engine (GEE), we could conveniently acquire the necessary data. Additionally, employing the random forest (RF) method, we successfully acquired downscaled SIF data at an enhanced spatial resolution of 1 km. Using those downscaled SIF results with 1 km resolution, an SIF anomaly index was established and calculated to monitor drought. Results showed that the RF-based downscaled SIF result followed the same trend as the GOSIF value. Subsequently, correlation coefficients between SIF and GPP were calculated. The downscaled SIF demonstrated a higher correlation with GPP from MODIS compared to 0.05-degree GOSIF, with coefficients of 0.74 and 0.68 in May 2018, respectively. Moreover, the SIF anomaly index showed positive correlations with crop yield; the correlation coefficients were 0.93 for wheat and 0.89 for maize. The drought index had a negative correlation with areas affected by drought, with a correlation coefficient of −0.58. Finally, the SIF anomaly index was used to monitor drought from 2001 to 2020 in Henan Province. The 1 km SIF results obtained through the RF-based downscaled method were deemed reliable, thereby establishing the suitability of the SIF anomaly index for drought monitoring at a regional scale.

Multi-scale EO-based agricultural drought monitoring indicator for operative irrigation networks management in Italy

Study regionTwo irrigation Consortia in Italy: the Chiese in Lombardia Region and the Capitanata in Puglia Region. Study focusDrought monitoring is crucial especially where the rainfall regime is irregular and agriculture is mainly based on irrigated crops, such as in Mediterranean countries. In this work, the main objective is to develop an EO-based agricultural drought monitoring indicator (ADMIN) for operative irrigation networks management. The ADMIN indicator considers different levels of drought conditions combining anomalies of rainfall, soil moisture, land surface temperature and vegetation indices. Multiple remote sensing data, which differ on sensing techniques, spatial and temporal resolutions and spectral bands, are used and the uncertainty in anomalies computation derived from the use of multiple sources of remote sensing datasets is also discussed. The analyses are performed for the two Irrigation Consortia, which differ for climate, irrigation volumes and techniques, and crop types. New hydrological insights for the regionThe obtained results show an inverse dependency between the cumulated ADMIN and the irrigation volumes in the Capitanata area (which has on-demand irrigation), whereas the dependency is much weaker in the Chiese Consortium (where irrigation is provided on a fixed basis, independently from the drought conditions). In both areas, the role of irrigation is critical to sustain production and preserve crop yields, which seem almost uncorrelated to ADMIN. ADMIN has demonstrated to outperform the use of single anomalies.

Improved Agricultural Drought Monitoring with an Integrated Drought Condition Index in Xinjiang, China

Drought is a natural disaster with severe global agricultural and economic impacts. Accurate drought indices are needed for improved assessment and monitoring; however, most existing drought indices poorly represent agricultural drought due to complex interactions among meteorological factors, crop and soil conditions. Here, we compute an integrated drought condition index (IDCI) based on the 3-month standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI3), vegetation cover index (VCI) and soil moisture condition index (SMCI). We apply the IDCI to monitoring agricultural drought in Xinjiang, China. After regional evaluations with soil moisture, precipitation and air temperature observations, as well as with the scaled crop yields index, the IDCI was used to describe spatiotemporal changes in regional drought in Xinjiang during 2000–2018, revealing adverse impacts on crop yield (beet, wheat and vegetables). The IDCI is strongly correlated with observed soil moisture and performs better than SMCI, VCI or SPEI3, demonstrating that the IDCI is suitable for agricultural drought monitoring. The most severe drought occurred in the spring to autumn of 2008. Droughts before 2008 were more serious than those after 2008, in terms of both severity and frequency. Droughts in northern, southern and eastern Xinjiang, as well as in the Tianshan Mountains, were generally increasing before 2008 and then weakened after 2008.

Evaluation of satellite-based soil moisture for agricultural drought monitoring in the Brazilian semiarid region

The Northeast region of Brazil, particularly the Brazilian semiarid region (BSR), is frequently affected by drought events, such as the great drought that started in 2012 and is considered one of the most severe droughts in recent decades. Monitoring and quantifying this type of event is essential for decision-making and the adoption of impact mitigation strategies. In this study, remotely sensed soil moisture (SM) data from three products derived from Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS-CATDS and SMOS-IC) and Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) were validated in the BSR using a dense network of in situ stations (N = 120) from 2015 to 2020. Subsequently, the best product was selected for the evaluation of agricultural drought, based on the Soil Water Deficit Index (SWDI), which was compared with the Atmospheric Water Deficit (AWD) obtained from in situ data (N = 50). After validation, SMAP was selected as the best product for estimating SM in the BSR, and SWDI-SMAP showed a strong temporal correlation with AWD. Based on these two indices, the results indicate the severity of drought in the BSR during the evaluated period, with significant social and economic impacts, highlighting the need for continuous monitoring, especially to support family farming, which is predominant in the region.

Early crop yield prediction for agricultural drought monitoring using drought indices, remote sensing, and machine learning techniques

Abstract The unpredictability of crop yield due to severe weather events such as drought and extreme heat continues to be a key worry. The present study evaluated six meteorological and three Landsat satellite-based vegetation drought indices from 1986 to 2019 in the drought-prone-semi-arid Saurashtra region of Gujarat (India). Cotton and groundnut crop yield prediction models were developed using multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network with MLP, and random forest (RF). The models performed crop yield estimation at two timescales, i.e., 75 days after sowing and 105 days after sowing. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index/reconnaissance drought index among meteorological drought indices, normalized difference vegetation anomaly index/vegetation condition index, and normalized difference water index anomaly were chosen as best highest correlations with crop yields. The RF-based models were found most efficient in predicting the cotton and groundnut yield of Saurashtra with R2 ranging from 0.77 to 0.92, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency ranging from 71 to 90%, and root-mean-square error ranging from 80 to 133 kg/ha for cotton and 299 to 453 kg/ha for groundnut. This study demonstrated the method for making several decisions based on early crop yield prediction including timely drought mitigation measures.

Spatial and temporal patterns of agricultural drought in China during 1960–2020 characterized by use of the crop water deficit Abnormal Index

Agricultural drought intensifies crop water stress and limits photosynthetic productivity, thereby threatening food security and socio-economic development. However, current drought indices from model simulations or remote sensing have limitations with regard to fully considering the complex interactions between various climate factors and crop water demands. Furthermore, estimates from remote sensing-based drought indices are subject to significant uncertainties due to the coarse spatiotemporal resolution of the data sources, inherent systematic errors in methodologies, and the limited number of ground observations. This study aimed to bridge these gaps by employing the nationwide Agricultural Drought Monitoring Network covering over 2000 in-situ observations and the Crop Water Deficit Abnormal Index (CWDIa) to quantify the spatiotemporal characteristics of agricultural drought from 1960 to 2020. The duration and severity of drought in northern China were significantly greater than in the southern regions, especially in the North China Plain, and the northern Tibetan Plateau. The occurrence of severe drought in southwestern China and in the southern Tibetan Plateau during the spring and winter seasons was driven by persistent water deficits. Over the past 60 years, China has experienced an overall alleviation in the severity and duration of agricultural drought. However, the drought situation has continued to worsen in certain regions, such as in southwestern China and the southern North China Plain. Multiscale decomposition of the ensemble empirical mode has further strengthened this finding (i.e., the drying trend in southwestern China since 1990). As seen in authoritative drought statistics, the integration of CWDIa and dense observations in the drought monitoring framework have demonstrated robust efficacy in capturing over 80 % of the actual drought-covered and drought-affected area. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating climate and crop water demand in agricultural drought monitoring to provide reliable and long-term spatiotemporal estimates of drought characteristics based on a nationwide observation network.

A copula-based parametric composite drought index for drought monitoring and applicability in arid Central Asia

Due to the complexity of meteorological and hydrological conditions in a changing environment, previous drought indices for monitoring a specific drought type do not reflect the overall regional situation of water scarcity. Therefore, in order to obtain accurate and reliable drought monitoring, a more integrated drought index should be developed to identify drought events comprehensively. In this paper, a non-linear trivariate drought index (NTDI) was constructed based on the joint probability distribution of parametric copulas, combining precipitation (P), potential evapotranspiration (PET), and root zone soil moisture (SM) variables. Subsequently, it was respectively compared with four drought indices, SPEI, SSMI, SC-PDSI and TVDI, and cross-validated with actual recorded drought events and annual crop yield to evaluate its applicability in arid Central Asia (ACA). The results indicated that: (1) Frank copula (1-,3-month scale) and Gumbel copula (6-,12-month scale) were considered to be the best-fitted copula functions for constructing joint probability distributions in the ACA. (2) The NTDI integrated the P-PET and SM drought signals to sensitively capture drought onset and duration, reflecting the combined characteristics of meteorological and agricultural drought. (3) The drought information expressed by NTDI was generally consistent with recorded drought events, and the monitoring results are accurate. (4)The NTDI performed better in agricultural drought monitoring than other drought indices. This study provides a reliable multivariate composite indicator which is significant for drought monitoring, prevention and risk assessment in ACA.

Impact of soil textures on agricultural drought evolution and field capacity estimation in humid regions

Soil moisture is an important indicator for monitoring agricultural drought, and is closely related to soil texture. However, the role that soil textures play in agricultural drought evolution in humid climates is not well understood. In the study, we systematically assessed the feasibility of the Soil Water Deficit Index (SWDI) for agricultural drought monitoring in humid regions, examined the impact of soil texture and groundwater depth on agricultural drought evolution, and estimated the field holding capacity for different soil textures in humid areas based on a large-scale regional soil moisture monitoring network. The results show that: (1) The SWDI has reasonably good performance in detecting severe and extreme agricultural drought, but it tends to overestimate the drought intensity during non-severe/extreme drought periods in humid regions, particularly for clay soils. (2) Sand soils are more prone to agricultural drought than clay soils, which are more resistant to severe and extreme agricultural drought with high air temperatures and low precipitation. (3) During drought aggravation, clay soil showed a delay of about 0–18 weeks from the lowest SWDI to the maximum groundwater depth, while the delay was only 0–5 weeks for non-clay soil textures. (4) The 95th percentile is proposed as the best estimator of field holding capacity for clay and loam, while Min(maxgs) is the best estimator for sand, loamy sand, and sandy loam. Overall, these findings provide insights into the role of soil texture and groundwater depth in agricultural drought evolution in humid regions, and offer practical guidance for field holding capacity estimation for different soil textures.

Assessing the Spatial–Temporal Pattern of Spring Maize Drought in Northeast China Using an Optimised Remote Sensing Index

Northeast China plays a pivotal role in producing commodity grains. The precipitation and temperature distribution during the growth season is impacted by geographical and climate factors, rendering the region vulnerable to drought. However, relying on a single index does not reflect the severity and extent of drought in different regions. This research utilised the random forest (RF) model for screening remote sensing indices. Relative soil moisture (RSM) was employed to compare seven commonly used indices: the temperature vegetation dryness index (TVDI), vegetation supply water index (VSWI), vegetation condition index (VCI), temperature condition index (TCI), vegetation health index (VHI), multi-band drought index (MBDI), and normalised difference drought index (NDDI). The effectiveness of these indices for monitoring drought during different developmental stages of spring maize was evaluated. Trend rates were employed to investigate the temporal changes in drought patterns of spring maize from 2003 to 2020, and the Sen + Mann–Kendall test was used to analyse spatial variations. The results showed the following: (1) The seven remote sensing indices could accurately track drought during critical growth stages with the TVDI demonstrating higher applicability than the other six indices. (2) The application periods of two TVDIs with different parameters differed for the drought monitoring of spring maize in different developmental periods. The consistency and accuracy of the normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI)-based TVDI (TVDIN) were 5.77% and 34.62% higher than those of the enhanced vegetation index (EVI)-based TVDI (TVDIE), respectively, in the early stage. In contrast, the TVDIE exhibited 13.46% higher consistency than the TVDIN in the middle stage, and the accuracy was the same. During the later stage, the TVDIE showed significantly higher consistency and accuracy than the TVDIN with consistency increases of 9.61% and 38.64%, respectively. (3) The drought trend in northeast China increased from 2003 to 2020, exhibiting severe spring drought and a weakening of the drought in summer. The southern, southwestern, and northwestern parts of northeast China showed an upward drought trend; the drought-affected areas accounted for 37.91% of the study area. This paper identified the most suitable remote sensing indices for monitoring drought in different developmental stages of spring maize. The results provide a comprehensive understanding of the spatial–temporal patterns of drought during the past 18 years. These findings can be used to develop a dynamic agricultural drought monitoring model to ensure food security.

Ensemble learning based on remote sensing data for monitoring agricultural drought in major winter wheat-producing areas of China

Drought is mainly triggered by the lack of precipitation, which can lead to insufficient water supply for crops thus affecting their growth and development. Reliable drought monitoring is crucial to understanding drought risk and avoiding drought-induced crop yield losses. Based on the Stacking regression method and multiple remotely-sensed drought factors from 2001 to 2017, this study developed an ensemble learning framework for monitoring agricultural drought in major winter wheat-producing areas in China. Stacking used five machine learning algorithms, namely, extreme gradient boosting, support vector regression, extra trees, and multi-layer perceptron, as the base learners to model the relationship between remote sensing drought factors and 1-, 3-, and 6-month standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). In this study, county-level winter wheat yield records and drought maps provided by the Global SPEI database (SPEIbase) were adopted to assess the suitability of Stacking-predicted SPEI drought maps in agricultural drought monitoring. The results show that Stacking outperformed other machine learning algorithms in terms of estimation accuracy, with the highest R2 value of 0.77 and the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.47. The longer the time scale of model-predicted SPEI, the higher its correlation with detrended winter wheat yields. The comparison with the drought maps of SPEIbase shows that the Stacking-predicted drought maps successfully captured the spatial pattern and intensity change of drought events. The approach presented in the study has good applicability for agricultural drought monitoring and could be extended to the rest of the areas.

Soil moisture at 30 m from multiple satellite datasets fused by random forest

As a key variable used to characterize the climate process between the land surface and atmosphere, the surface soil moisture (SM) plays an irreplaceable role in the fields of hydrology, meteorology and agriculture. However, the relatively coarse spatial resolution of SM products currently limit the application in water resource management at the field scale. In this study, we proposed a high-spatial-resolution SM retrieval framework based on the random forest algorithm (RF-SM) to integrate in situ SM dataset from in the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN), Landsat 8 optical and thermal observations, soil properties from SoilGrids V2.0, meteorological variables from the fifth generation of the European ReAnalysis (ERA5) dataset and four coarse-scale SM products including the Soil Moisture Active/Passive (SMAP), the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS), European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI) and U.S. National Climate Assessment Land Data Assimilation System (NCA-LDAS). Compared to three other machine learning (ML) algorithms [extremely randomized trees (Extra-Trees), gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)], the random forest (RF) algorithm exhibited the best performance against a subset of 100 validation sites with a Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of 0.69 and root-mean-square-error (RMSE) of 0.063 m3/m3. In terms of different land cover types and typical sites, RF-SM also showed a better accuracy than any of the individual SM product. Finally, the retrieval framework was applied to map the 30-m resolution SM spatial distributions in five substudy areas in the U.S. The results suggest that it is feasible to retrieve accurate SM at a 30-m spatial resolution from multiple satellite datasets based on the RF algorithm, which has important practical significance for agricultural drought monitoring at the field scale.

Assessment & Monitoring of Agricultural Drought Indices Using Remote Sensing Techniques and their Inter-Comparison

Agricultural drought is nothing but the decline in the productivity of crops due to irregularities in the rainfall as well as decrease in the soil moisture, which in turn affects the economy of the nation. As the Indian agriculture is largely dependent on the Monsoon, a slight change in it affects the production as well as the crop yield drastically. The agricultural drought monitoring, assessment as well as management can be done more accurately with the help of geospatial techniques like Remote Sensing. In present study agriculture drought is estimated in vadodara district. The purpose of the study is to analyze the vegetation stress in the Vadodara district with the calculation of NDVI, NDWI, MNDWI, WRI, NDBI and NDSI indices values. The results of NDVI values shows agricultural fields more susceptible to drought. Similarly, decreasing trend was observed in NDWI index which is 22.12% to 19.3% from 2013 to 2018.The builtup index (NDBI) is increasing by 1.85% in last 5 years. The Water ratio index is also showing decreasing trend in study area by 22.35% to 14.29%. The intercomparisions of NDVI and all other indices with rainfall data provides very useful information for agricultural drought monitoring and early warning system for the farmers. The findings of this research will be of interest to local agriculture authorities, like plantation and meteorology departments to understand drier areas in the state to evaluate water deficits severity and cloud seeding points during drought.

The performance of SPEI integrated remote sensing data for monitoring agricultural drought in the North China Plain

Agricultural drought is significantly affecting sustainable crop production. One of climate-based drought indices, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) calculated by the difference between precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (PET), is being more and more widely employed to characterize the spatio-temporal pattern of agricultural drought. However, substantial uncertainties exist in the current PET methods due to unrealistic configurations of the heterogeneity of crop surface characteristics or complicated parameterization scheme. In this study, standard Penman–Monteith (PM) model is modified and derived by meteorological factors and leaf area index (LAI) and albedo data based on remote sensing. Then, the modified SPEI was calculated by the monthly difference between precipitation and PM model integrated remote sensing data (referred as PMRS) over the North China Plain (NCP) between 1982 and 2016. Comparing with the FAO56 reference evapotranspiration (referred as PMRC) and a simplified version of standard PM over open-water surface (referred as PMOW), this study examines how well the PMRS-SPEI captures drought evolution and impacts on crop growth and yield over the NCP in order to evaluate its performance in agricultural drought monitoring. The comparison of SPEIs based on three evapotranspiration equations with soil water moisture in root depth shows that a 6-month lag can be used as the optimum time scale over the NCP. Additionally, the correlation of PMRS-SPEI performs better than PMRC-SPEI and PMOW-SPEI. For typical drought events, PMRS-SPEI6 shows remarkable smaller (larger) severe drought values between April and June (August and October) and a shorter (longer) recovery period in the growing season for wheat (maize). Comparing to PMRC-SPEI6 and PMOW-SPEI6, the PMRS-SPEI6 shows better performance when examining the Vegetation Health Index and Composite Index of Crop Yield Reduction. Additionally, climate-induced crop yield correlates with PMRS-SPEI6 better than PMOW-SPEI6 and PMRC-SPEI6, particularly in the emergence and filling stages for winter wheat, and silking stage for summer maize. These results demonstrate that integrating remotely sensed data can enhance the agricultural drought monitoring accuracy of SPEI.