Age-adjusted Cancer Incidence Research Articles

Rural-Urban Cancer Incidence and Trends in the United States, 2000-2019.

Background Despite consistent improvements in cancer prevention and care, rural and urban disparities in cancer incidence persist in the United States. Our objective was to further examine rural-urban differences in cancer incidence and trends. Methods We used the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries (NAACCR) dataset to investigate rural-urban differences in 5-year age-adjusted cancer incidence (2015-2019) and trends (2000-2019), also examining differences by region, sex, race/ethnicity, and tumor site. Age-adjusted rates were calculated using SEER*Stat 8.4.1, and trend analysis was done using Joinpoint, reporting annual percent changes (APCs). Results We observed higher all cancer combined 5-year incidence rates in rural areas (457.6 per 100,000) compared to urban a (447.9), with the largest rural-urban difference in the South (464.4 vs 449.3). Rural populations also exhibited higher rates of tobacco-associated, HPV-associated, and colorectal cancer, including early-onset. Tobacco-associated cancer incidence trends widened between rural and urban from 2000-2019, with significant, but varying, decreases in urban areas throughout the study period, while significant rural decreases only occurred between 2016 and 2019 (APC=-0.96). HPV-associated cancer rates increased in both populations until recently with urban rates plateauing while rural rates continued to rise (e.g., APC =1.56, 2002-2019). Conclusions Rural populations had higher overall cancer incidence rates and higher rates of cancers with preventive opportunities compared to urban. Improvements in these rates were typically slower in rural populations. Impact Our findings underscore the complex nature of rural-urban disparities, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions and policies to reduce disparities and achieve equitable health outcomes.

Abstract PO5-08-12: Ethnic Admixture Affects Breast Cancer Incidence in Native Hawaiians: The Multiethnic Cohort

Abstract Background Native Hawaiians (NH) have the highest breast cancer incidence and the poorest survival of any ethnic group in Hawaii [1]. Since it has been shown that different ethnic groups have disparate risk of breast cancer in Hawaii and NHs are commonly of mixed ancestry, it is possible that the specific ethnic admixture may present an altered risk profile. For example, NH with Asian admixture was associated with higher risk for type 2 diabetes independent of known risk factors [2] compared to those without. The objective of this study was to calculate crude and age-adjusted breast cancer incidences by ethnic admixture group among participants of the Multiethnic Cohort (MEC). Methods: Based on self-reports, 106,525 eligible women were categorized by broad ethnic categories: Native Hawaiian, White, Black, Latino, and Japanese. In total there were 9257 breast cancer cases in the MEC cohort (1996-2019) at time of analysis. The Native Hawaiian population was further categorized into the following subgroups: Native Hawaiian only, Native Hawaiian & White, Native Hawaiian & Chinese, Native Hawaiian & White & Chinese. Crude and age-adjusted incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) were calculated for the various groups. The direct method of age adjustment using the US 2000 Standard population was used. Results: The ethnicity with the highest crude incidence were White=88.46, followed by Black=85.20, Latino=84.27, Japanese=84.90, and Native Hawaiian=81.28. However, after age-adjustment the highest were Japanese=159.1, White=153.8, Latino=148.3, Black=147.4, and Native Hawaiian=139.1. Crude incidence rates for Native Hawaiian ethnic admixture was found to be highest for Native Hawaiian & White=83.5, Native Hawaiian only=82.5, Native Hawaiian & Chinese=80.8, and Native Hawaiian & White & Chinese=80.4. After age adjustment, the highest was Native Hawaiian & Chinese=173.9, followed by Native Hawaiian & White=154.3, Native Hawaiian only=148.7, and finally Native Hawaiian & White & Chinese=120.8. Conclusion: These findings indicate that ethnic admixture in Native Hawaiians may be at elevated age-adjusted breast cancer incidence when compared to Native Hawaiian alone. When a woman was Native Hawaiian and Chinese the incidence was notably higher than any other group at 173.9 when compared to all Native Hawaiian=139.1. Furthermore, the group that had the lowest age-adjusted incidence was the mixed group of Native Hawaiian & White & Chinese=120.8 which seems to account for why the overall Native Hawaiian group=139.1 had one of the lowest incidence rates of the 5 major ethnic groups. 1. Loo, L.W., M. Williams, and B.Y. Hernandez, The high and heterogeneous burden of breast cancer in Hawaii: A unique multiethnic US Population. Cancer epidemiology, 2019. 58: p. 71-76. 2. Maskarinec, G., et al., Ethnic admixture affects diabetes risk in native Hawaiians: the Multiethnic Cohort. Eur J Clin Nutr, 2016. 70(9): p. 1022-7. Citation Format: Dustin Valdez, Arianna Bunnell, David Bogumil, Gertraud Maskarinec, John Shepherd. Ethnic Admixture Affects Breast Cancer Incidence in Native Hawaiians: The Multiethnic Cohort [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-08-12.

Abstract 2141: Prevalence of cervical high risk HPV serotypes not covered by the 9vt vaccine in a clinic-based sample of Hispanic women living in Puerto Rico

Abstract Cervical cancer (CC) is the fourth most common female malignancy worldwide. Puerto Rico (PR) has the highest age-adjusted incidence of cervical cancer in the U.S. High-risk strains of human papillomavirus (hr-HPV) have been identified as common causative agents of CC. We aimed to characterize the prevalence of High-Risk HPV (HR-HPV) genotypes among a clinic-based sample of 368 HIV-negative women using a high-resolution approach. We used baseline data from IRB protocol 10510114. Cervical swabs underwent genomic DNA extractions followed by typification of HPV genotypes using a short-polymerase chain reaction-fragment assay (SPF10-LiPA) which detects 14 mucosal HR-HPV types (LiPA-25); 10 types (8 HR and 2LR) included in the 9-valent vaccine and 13 others not included on it. This process uses SPF10 primers to amplify a 65 bp fragment of the L1 open reading frame of HPV, followed by a reverse-hybridizationfor specific HPV genotypes by comparing the results to standardized kit controls. Cervical cytology was acquired for all participants. Data was collected from 186 women negative to intraepithelial lesions (NILM), 65 with low-grade lesions (LGSIL), 23 atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASCUS) and 94 with high-grade lesions (HGSIL).Among study results, the prevalence of any HR-HPV infection was high overall (~71.5%) and higher in women who had either LGSIL or HGSIL. The top leading HR types detected were 51 (20.4%), 16 (18.5%), 52 (13.60%), 33 (13.00%) and 56 (11.00%, with other types including HPVs 35,39, 68 or 59.Nearly 34.00% of the identified cervical HR-HPV types, are not included in the 9-valent vaccine. The most common HPV types in HGSIL, included HR HPV types 16 (30.9%), 52 (18.10%), 51 (14.9%) and 33 (10.60%). In this group, only 35.20% were HPV16/18. The other 64.80% were other HR-HPV types and, based on the ASCCP guidelines, would not require a colposcopy, and could be observed in one year. Among these HGSIL (n=94) 48.9% of the HPV types were not included in the vaccine. HPV 51 was the most dominant in ASCUS (26.10%), LGSIL (20%), and women who were negative for intraepithelial lesions (NILM 22.6%). Additionally, the most prevalent HPV-HR serotypes across all cytology categories in the vaccinated cohort were 52 (11.14%), 16 (8.02%) and 31 (7.56%), whereas in the non-vaccinated cohort were HPV 16 (20.6%), 51 (17.55%), 33 (13.33%), 52 (12.29%), and 56 (11.94%).In conclusion, the high burden of other high-risk types not covered by the vaccine in women with high-grade lesions suggests that delaying immediate colposcopy might limit the identification of cervical lesions. Even though this is not a population-based study, the high prevalence of these other HR-HPV types calls for their inclusion in future generations of the vaccine. Study sponsored by 2U54MD007600-36 (8538) Research Centers in Minority Institutions of the University of Puerto Rico (NIH/NIMHD). Citation Format: Romaguera Josefina, Bianka Morales, Andrea Cortes, Ana Rosario, Andrea Padilla-Bou, Maria Frontera, Claudia Rosado, Daniela Cargas-Robles, Ana P. Ortiz, Filipa Godoy-Vitorino. Prevalence of cervical high risk HPV serotypes not covered by the 9vt vaccine in a clinic-based sample of Hispanic women living in Puerto Rico [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 2141.

Abstract 6117: Characterizing cancer patterns in Okinawan vs. mainland Japanese Americans: The Multiethnic Cohort

Abstract Differences in chronic disease rates have been documented in Japan between Okinawa and mainland Japan. Limited data exist on whether these differences are also present in Okinawans and mainland Japanese who have migrated to the US. We used genotyped genome-wide association study data from the Multiethnic Cohort Study (MEC) to identify Japanese Americans of Okinawan or mainland ancestral similarity, and to investigate these two groups for differences in baseline chronic disease risk factors and for incidence of the four most common cancers during follow-up after blood draw. Cancer cases were identified via linkage to state cancer registries. Principal component analysis followed by uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) was run using 15,678 single nucleotide polymorphisms among the 24,484 MEC Japanese Americans with blood samples. The Okinawan cluster was confirmed by labeling male MEC participants with Okinawan surnames on UMAP plots. Hazard ratios (HR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), and two-sided p-values were reported for Cox proportional hazards models, comparing cancer incidence between Okinawan and mainland Japanese individuals. The Okinawan cluster included 3,649 individuals (15% of the MEC Japanese Americans) and the mainland Japanese cluster included 19,611 individuals (80% of the MEC Japanese Americans). Small clusters of part-Okinawan and/or part-mainland Japanese (5% of the MEC Japanese Americans) were not included in the analysis. Ninety-six percent of Okinawan Americans and 94% of mainland Japanese Americans in MEC were born in the US. Okinawans were more likely to have a higher body mass index and daily alcohol intake, and less likely to be a current or former smoker, compared to mainland Japanese (all p-values<0.05). Post-menopausal Okinawan women were significantly more likely to be diagnosed with breast cancer (age-adjusted HR=1.39, 95% CI=1.10-1.75) compared to post-menopausal mainland Japanese women. This association was not modified by adjusting for additional known breast cancer risk factors (HR=1.36, 95% CI=1.07-1.73). Okinawans were also less likely to be diagnosed with lung cancer (HR=0.75, 95% CI=0.58-0.98); however, this association was no longer significant when adjusting for known risk factors, including smoking history (HR=0.82, 95% CI=0.62-1.07). There were no significant differences in risk of colorectal or prostate cancer between Okinawan and mainland Japanese individuals. Our results in this US-based sample are consistent with recent trends of higher breast cancer and lower lung cancer age-adjusted incidence rates reported from Japan for the Okinawan prefecture compared to mainland prefectures. Investigating reasons for the observed breast cancer risk difference may identify new risk factors for this disease in the Okinawan and other populations. Citation Format: Samantha A. Streicher, Song-Yi Park, Charleston W. Chiang, Xin Sheng, David Bogumil, David V. Conti, Christopher A. Haiman, Lynne R. Wilkens, Loic Le Marchand. Characterizing cancer patterns in Okinawan vs. mainland Japanese Americans: The Multiethnic Cohort [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 6117.

Incidence of second malignancies in patients with thymic carcinoma and thymic neuroendocrine tumor

ObjectivesThymic carcinoma and thymic neuroendocrine tumor (NET) are rare and are more likely to develop second malignancies. The purpose of this study was to explore the incidence and lifetime risk of second malignancies in thymic carcinoma and thymic NET.MethodsThe standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and the age-adjusted cancer incidence of the thymic carcinoma and thymic NET patients with second malignancies were retrospectively calculated by using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Prognosis results were also determined by Kaplan–Meier analysis and Cox regression.Results1130 patients with thymic carcinoma (73 patients had second malignancies) and 263 patients with thymic NET (19 patients had second malignancies) from 2000 to 2018 are included. Patients with thymic carcinoma (SIR: 1.36, 95% CI 1.08–1.69) and with thymic NET (SIR: 1.73, 95% CI 1.13–2.54) demonstrate an increased overall risk of developing second malignancies in various organ systems. The age-adjusted cancer incidence of second malignancies in patients with thymic carcinoma is 3058.48 per 100,000 persons (4178.46 per 100,000 persons in patients with thymic NET). Age at diagnosis is a significant risk factor for the development of second malignancies.ConclusionThe incidence of second malignancies in patients with thymic carcinoma and thymic NET is significantly higher than the patients in the normal population. The occurrence of second malignancies is not related to the use of different treatments. It is important to extend the follow-up period and add other screening methods.

Longitudinal Analysis of Bladder Cancer-Specific Mortality Trends in the United States.

Bladder cancer is the tenth leading cause of cancer death in the United States (US). Advances in diagnosis, imaging, and treatments have led to improvements in bladder cancer management. To evaluate longitudinal bladder cancer mortality trends from 1999-2020 in the US by gender, race, ethnicity, age, geographic region, and urbanization category. Age-adjusted bladder cancer death and incidence rates of individuals in the US of all ages between 1999-2020 were obtained using the CDC WONDER and NAACCR databases. Trends and average annual percent changes (AAPC) in age-adjusted Bladder Cancer-Specific Mortality (BCSM) and incidence rates were estimated. Data were analyzed from May 2023 to October 2023. From 1999-2020, overall BCSM decreased by 0.4% annually, with a dramatic decrease in deaths between 2015-2020 (AAPC: -2.0% [95% CI: -2.6,-1.3]). However, BCSM rates and metastatic malignant bladder cancer incidence rates from 1999-2020 increased for individuals≥85 years old (AAPC for BCSM: 0.8% [95% CI:0.5,1.1]; AAPC for metastatic malignant incidence: 2.5% [95% CI: 2.0,2.9]). Increases in BCSM were found for certain years in the South, in rural areas, and for Non-Hispanic White and Asian or Pacific Islander individuals. Overall mortality from bladder cancer has been decreasing in the US over two decades. Upon disaggregation, increasing trends were found for BCSM and for metastatic malignant bladder cancer incidence for individuals≥85 years old from 1999-2020. Further evaluation of these trends is essential to understand how to target specific populations to improve patient outcomes.

Abstract PR012: Underrepresentation and underreporting of minoritized racial and ethnic groups in clinical trials on immune checkpoint inhibitors

Abstract Background: In the last decade, a fast-growing number of clinical trials on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have led to their wide approval and clinical use with substantial improvement in patient outcomes across multiple cancer types. Historically, minoritized racial and ethnic groups have been underrepresented in clinical trials. Such disparities may be exacerbated in trials of new therapies such as ICIs. Our study aimed to examine the representation and reporting of the racial and ethnic composition of participants in clinical trials involving ICIs. Methods: Clinical trials published in full text in English from 2007 to 2022, with ICI as an active intervention for any malignancy, were reviewed. Information on trial characteristics and racial and ethnic composition of participants were extracted from published papers or ClinicalTrials.gov. Differences in participation in terms of year of publication, trial phase, ICI agent, and cancer type were analyzed. Enrollment-incidence ratio (EIR) was calculated using the proportion of minoritized racial/ethnic group patients among trial participants versus the age-adjusted cancer incidence by race and ethnicity for each cancer type and year from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database. An EIR greater than 1 signifies overrepresentation while less than 1 signifies underrepresentation. Results: A total of 471 clinical trials were identified and included in the analysis, with the majority published between 2019 and 2022 (68%) and conducted in Phase 2 (41%) or Phase 3 (26%). The most investigated ICI was pembrolizumab (28%), and lung cancer was the most studied malignancy (22%). Racial composition was unreported in 31% of the trials, while 59% did not report Hispanic/Latinx ethnic composition. Only 6.4% of the trials reported race/ethnicity-specific results. Overall, Hispanics/Latinx were the most underrepresented (EIR 0.30, 95% CI 0, 1.45), followed by Blacks/African Americans (EIR 0.40, 95% CI 0, 1.95), and American Indians/Alaska Natives (EIR 0.92, 95% CI 0, 8.98), while Whites (EIR 1.13, 95% CI 0.63, 1.43) and Asians (EIR 1.88, 95% CI 0, 8.11) were overrepresented. Subgroup analyses revealed consistent overrepresentation of only Whites across the years of publication (EIR 1.11-1.23), trial phases (EIR 1.07-1.22), ICIs agents (EIR 1.03-1.21), and cancer types (EIR 1.02-1.30), while Hispanics/Latinx and Blacks/African Americans were consistently underrepresented across these categories. Excluding phase 1 trials (31.9%) in the analyses did not significantly alter these findings. Conclusions: Disparities in the representation and reporting of minoritized racial and ethnic groups persist in recent trials on ICIs. Whites and Asians were overrepresented; Hispanics/Latinx, Blacks, and Native Americans were underrepresented. Concerted efforts from the clinical, research, patient, and advocate communities are warranted to improve diversity in trial representation and reporting and ensure safe and beneficial treatment with ICIs for all patients. Citation Format: Alfredo V. Chua Jr., Jennifer Delmerico, Haiyang Sheng, Shipra Gandhi, Igor Puzanov, Lori C. Sakoda, Gary R. Morrow, Christine B. Ambrosone, Charles Kamen, Song Yao. Underrepresentation and underreporting of minoritized racial and ethnic groups in clinical trials on immune checkpoint inhibitors [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 16th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2023 Sep 29-Oct 2;Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2023;32(12 Suppl):Abstract nr PR012.

Incidence trends in prostate cancer among men in the United States from 2000 to 2020 by race and ethnicity, age and tumor stage.

To explore whether prostate cancer incidence trends from 2000 to 2020 in the United States differed by race and ethnicity, age and tumor stage; to explore racial differences in prostate cancer incidence change due to the impact of COVID-19 pandemic lockdown in 2020; and to determine if there is any high-risk population that can be targeted for prevention. We identified 1,098,349 men who were diagnosed with incident prostate cancer at age ≥20 in 2000-2020 in 17 registries of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program in the United States; of whom, 778,437 were non-Hispanic whites, 155,111 non-Hispanic blacks, 4,200 American Indians and Alaska Natives (AIAN), 55,267 non-Hispanic Asians/Pacific Islanders, and 105,334 Hispanics. Age-adjusted incidence rate of prostate cancer was the highest in blacks (302.6 cases per 100,000 men), followed by whites (186.6), Hispanics (153.2), AIAN (108.5), and Asians (104.9). Age-adjusted prostate cancer incidence rates dramatically decreased from 2000 to 2013 for all ethnic men. However, age-adjusted prostate cancer incidence rates increased from 2014 to 2020, in which the increasing incidence trend looked sharper in blacks and whites, flatter in Asians, and leveled in AIAN and Hispanics. Among men with local or regional stages across all years, prostate cancer incidence rate was significantly higher in blacks, but significantly lower in Hispanics, AIAN, and Asians as compared to whites. Among men in 2007-2013, the risk of distant stage prostate cancer was statistically significantly elevated in blacks (rate-ratio: 2.22, 95% CI: 2.06-2.38) and Hispanics (1.16, 1.06-1.25), not significantly different in AIAN (1.30, 0.92-1.76), but still significantly lower in Asians (0.73, 0.66-0.82) as compared to whites. There was a drop of prostate cancer incidence from 2019 to 2020 likely due to the impact of COVID-19 pandemic lockdown on the access to medical care in 2020. Overall prostate cancer incidence rate decreased by 40.4 cases per 100,000 population from 277.4 in 2019 to 237.0 in 2020 for blacks, 20.9 from 164.2 to 143.3 for whites, 16.8 from 124.8 to 108.0 for Hispanics, 14.9 from 101.7 to 86.8 for AIAN, and 12.6 from 88.4 to 75.8 for Asians. The decreasing trend of prostate cancer incidence from 2000 to 2013 was statistically significant for all ethnic men. There was an increasing prostate cancer incidence from 2014 to 2020. Age-adjusted incidence rate of prostate cancer was the highest in blacks, followed by whites, Hispanics, AIAN, and Asians, regardless of age groups, tumor stages, and time periods. There will also be a need to monitor and investigate the prostate cancer incidence trend during and after COVID-19 pandemic season.

Prostate cancer epidemiology and prognostic factors in the United States.

Using the latest cohort study of prostate cancer patients, explore the epidemiological trend and prognostic factors, and develop a new nomogram to predict the specific survival rate of prostate cancer patients. Patients with prostate cancer diagnosed from January 1, 1975 to December 31, 2019 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database were extracted by SEER stat software for epidemiological trend analysis. General clinical information and follow-up data were also collected from 105 135 patients with pathologically diagnosed prostate cancer from January 1, 2010 to December 1, 2019. The factors affecting patient-specific survival were analyzed by Cox regression, and the factors with the greatest influence on specific survival were selected by stepwise regression method, and nomogram was constructed. The model was evaluated by calibration plots, ROC curves, Decision Curve Analysis and C-index. There was no significant change in the age-adjusted incidence of prostate cancer from 1975 to 2019, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of 0.45 (95% CI:-0.87~1.80). Among the tumor grade, the most significant increase in the incidence of G2 prostate cancer was observed, with an AAPC of 2.99 (95% CI:1.47~4.54); the most significant decrease in the incidence of G4 prostate cancer was observed, with an AAPC of -10.39 (95% CI:-13.86~-6.77). Among the different tumor stages, the most significant reduction in the incidence of localized prostate cancer was observed with an AAPC of -1.83 (95% CI:-2.76~-0.90). Among different races, the incidence of prostate cancer was significantly reduced in American Indian or Alaska Native and Asian or Pacific Islander, with an AAPC of -3.40 (95% CI:-3.97~-2.82) and -2.74 (95% CI:-4.14~-1.32), respectively. Among the different age groups, the incidence rate was significantly increased in 15-54 and 55-64 age groups with AAPC of 4.03 (95% CI:2.73~5.34) and 2.50 (95% CI:0.96~4.05), respectively, and significantly decreased in ≥85 age group with AAPC of -2.50 (95% CI:-3.43~-1.57). In addition, age, tumor stage, race, PSA and gleason score were found to be independent risk factors affecting prostate cancer patient-specific survival. Age, tumor stage, PSA and gleason score were most strongly associated with prostate cancer patient-specific survival by stepwise regression screening, and nomogram prediction model was constructed using these factors. The Concordance indexes are 0.845 (95% CI:0.818~0.872) and 0.835 (95% CI:0.798~0.872) for the training and validation sets, respectively, and the area under the ROC curves (AUC) at 3, 6, and 9 years was 0.7 or more for both the training and validation set samples. The calibration plots indicated a good agreement between the predicted and actual values of the model. Although there was no significant change in the overall incidence of prostate cancer in this study, significant changes occurred in the incidence of prostate cancer with different characteristics. In addition, the nomogram prediction model of prostate cancer-specific survival rate constructed based on four factors has a high reference value, which helps physicians to correctly assess the patient-specific survival rate and provides a reference basis for patient diagnosis and prognosis evaluation.

Educational Attainment and Cancer Incidence in a Large Nationwide Prospective Cohort.

Educational attainment is a social determinant of health and frequently used as an indicator of socioeconomic status. Educational attainment is a predictor of cancer mortality, but associations with site-specific cancer incidence are variable. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association of educational attainment and site-specific cancer incidence adjusting for known risk factors in a large prospective cohort. Men and women enrolled in the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study-II Nutrition Cohort who were cancer free at baseline were included in this study (n = 148,965). Between 1992 and 2017, 22,810 men and 17,556 women were diagnosed with incident cancer. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate age- and multivariable-adjusted risk and 95% confidence intervals of total and site-specific cancer incidence in persons with lower versus higher educational attainment. Educational attainment was inversely associated with age-adjusted cancer incidence among men but not women. For specific cancer sites, the multivariable-adjusted risk of cancer in the least versus most educated individuals remained significant for colon, rectum, and lung cancer among men and lung and breast cancer among women. Educational attainment is associated with overall and site-specific cancer risk though adjusting for cancer risk factors attenuates the association for most cancer sites. This study provides further evidence that educational attainment is an important social determinant of cancer but that its effects are driven by associated behavioral risk factors suggesting that targeting interventions toward those with lower educational attainment is an important policy consideration.

Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances (PFAS) in Community Water Systems (CWS) and the Risk of Thyroid Cancer: An Ecological Study.

Thyroid cancer incidence has been steadily increasing over the past decade in the United States (US). A discussion exists regarding the potential contribution of exposure to endocrine-disrupting chemicals, encompassing certain per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFASs). This ecological study evaluated the potential correlation between PFAS levels in drinking water and thyroid cancer incidence in the US. Data on age-adjusted thyroid cancer incidence rate (per 100,000 persons) by county were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for US counties with available data in 2015-2019. Data on PFAS concentrations in the drinking water of selected community water systems (CWSs) were obtained from the CDC National Environmental Public Health Tracking Network in 2013-2015. The correlation between PFASs in CWSs and thyroid cancer incidence was calculated using Spearman correlation. A statistically significant correlation was found between perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) (r = 0.031; p = 0.043), perfluorononanoic acid (PFNA) (r = 0.058; p ≤ 0.001), and thyroid cancer incidence. The results suggest a potential link between certain PFAS exposures and thyroid cancer risk. However, due to the nature of an ecological study, no conclusions can be drawn at the individual level or causality. More research is needed, particularly on an individual level to allow for more detailed exposure assessment.

Assessing cancer communication and identifying prospective health interventions among the ethnic Mizo population

BackgroundCancer prevalence reports reveal Aizawl district in Mizoram to be inflicted with the highest age-adjusted cancer incidence rate in India. The present study aims to provide a critical view of health communication in Mizoram and evaluate cancer communication. MethodA field survey (n = 400) with structured interview schedules in Aizawl district was conducted. ResultsThe data reveals high awareness of cancer and the mass media as the top sources for cancer information. The result also highlights the preference of entertainment news as compared to health news. ConclusionIt identifies the need for developing efficient, tailored cancer communication strategies that are customized for a specific population and for dissemination of cancer science beyond health institutions. Improving health news coverage on cancer risk factors, church-based health interventions, and novel strategies to strengthen societal knowledge, at both individual and in groups, could be an effective shift in cancer communication and interventions in Mizoram.

Lung and Colorectal Cancer Disparities in Appalachian Kentucky: Spatial Analysis on the Influence of Education and Literacy.

Low educational attainment and high cancer incidence and mortality rates have long been a challenge in Appalachian Kentucky. Prior studies have reported disparities in cancer incidence and mortality between Appalachian and non-Appalachian populations, but the influence of education on this disparity has not been extensively studied. Herein, all cancers and two cancer sites with available screenings (colorectal and lung) were joined with education indicators (educational attainment and literacy) and one geographic indicator across all 120 Kentucky counties. This dataset was used to build choropleth maps and perform simple linear and spatial regression to assess statistical significance and to measure the strength of the linear relationship between county-level education and cancer-related outcomes in Appalachian and non-Appalachian Kentucky. Among all cancer sites, age-adjusted cancer incidence and mortality was higher in Appalachian versus non-Appalachian Kentucky. The percentage of the population not completing high school was positively correlated with increased colorectal and lung cancer incidence and mortality in Appalachia. Similarly, counties with a higher percentage of the population lacking basic literacy had the strongest correlation with colorectal and lung cancer incidence and mortality, which were concentrated in Appalachian Kentucky. Our findings suggest a need for implementing interventions that increase educational attainment and enhance basic literacy as a means of improving cancer outcomes in Appalachia.

Causal decomposition maps: An exploratory tool for designing area-level interventions aimed at reducing health disparities.

Methods for decomposition analyses have been developed to partition between-group differences into explained and unexplained portions. In this paper, we introduce the concept of causal decomposition maps, which allow researchers to test the effect of area-level interventions on disease maps before implementation. These maps quantify the impact of interventions that aim to reduce differences in health outcomes between groups and illustrate how the disease map might change under different interventions. We adapt a new causal decomposition analysis method for the disease mapping context. Through the specification of a Bayesian hierarchical outcome model, we obtain counterfactual small area estimates of age-adjusted rates and reliable estimates of decomposition quantities. We present two formulations of the outcome model, with the second allowing for spatial interference of the intervention. Our method is utilized to determine whether the addition of gyms in different sets of rural ZIP codes could reduce any of the rural-urban difference in age-adjusted colorectal cancer incidence rates in Iowa ZIPcodes.

Correlation of Ultraviolet Radiation Levels With the Incidence of Cutaneous Squamous Cell and Merkel Cell Carcinomas in Non-sunbelt Locales in the United States: 2010-2017.

Non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) is the most common human malignancy worldwide, with increasing incidence in the United States (US). Recent environmental data have shown that ultraviolet radiation (UVR) levels have increased in the US, particularly in the higher latitudes, but the potential impact of this on NMSC incidence is not well known, despite estimates that 90% of NMSC is due to sun exposure. Our exploratory study synthesizes environmental data with demographic and clinical data to determine whether UV indices (UVIs) and non-sunbelt (non-SB) locale (latitudes >40 degrees, which comprises most of the US) might contribute to incidence rates of two types of NMSC: cutaneous squamous cell and Merkel cell carcinomas. UVIs from 2010 to 2017 were obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration database and meshed with corresponding locales in the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (version 8.4.0.1). Four SB and five NSB locales contained sufficient data for analysis. Linear mixed modeling was performed with the outcome variable of the age-adjusted incidence of NMSC cancer (comprised of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (CSCCHN) and Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC)), the two most common types of NMSC contained within SEER). Non-SB locale and percent of days with UVI >3 were independent variables. Percent of days with UVI >3 increased during this period, as did the overall NMSC (combined CSCCHN and MCC) skin cancer incidence, though MCC incidence alone did not increase during our study period.Environmental factors that significantly contributed to the age-adjusted overall NMSC (combined CSCCHN and MCC) cancer incidence (per 100,000 individuals) included NSB locale (b=1.227, p=0.0019) and percent of days with UVIs >3 (b=0.028, p<0.0001), as well as clinical factors of percent white race and percent male, by linear mixed modeling. Our results are limited by the completeness of the NOAA and SEER databases, and do not include basal cell carcinoma. Nevertheless, our data demonstrate that environmental factors, such as latitude in NSB locale and UVI indices, can affect the age-adjusted overall NMSC (defined as CSCCHN and MCC in this study) incidence even in this relatively short period of time. Prospective studies over longer time periods are needed to identify the extent to which these findings are clinically significant so that increased educational efforts to promote sun-safe behaviors can be maximally effective.

Trends in Incidence, Survival and Mortality of Gastric Cancer in the United States: A Population-Based Study, 2001-2015.

Gastric cancer remains one of the leading causes of death, and a burden of public health in the United States (US). The aim of the study was to provide updates to gastric cancer estimates, and analyzed the long-term trends in incidence, survival, and mortality of gastric cancer in the US, which was helpful for the monitoring of the screening program and the prevention strategy. The incidence, and long-term trends in incidence, survival, and mortality of gastric cancer in the US from 2001 to 2015 were analyzed. The data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Database. Age-adjusted incidence rates were calculated, joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort analyses were conducted. All statistical tests were 2-sided. The overall age-adjusted incidence of gastric cancer decreased over the study period, with an annual percentage change (APC) of -1.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] = -1.1 to 13.3; P < 0.001). The incidence rates leveled off at an earlier age (< 45 years) and creased obviously with age. The age rate deviations increased sharply before the age of 47.5 years (age rate deviation = 0.92; 95% CI = 0.71 to 1.13). The 5-year mortality attributed to gastric cancer declined from 65.98% to 56.29% over the study period. The trend of 5-year mortality attributed to gastric cancer showed no significant fluctuation. The hazard ratio for 5-year all-cause death increased with cancer stage from 1.22 (95% CI = 1.13 to 1.33; P < 0.001) to 4.71 (95% CI = 4.40 to 5.06; P < 0.001). During the study period, the incidence decreased, while the survival rate increased slightly. Specially, the trend of 5-year mortality attributed to gastric cancer did not vary significantly. The data demonstrated that the prognosis of gastric cancer in the US remained challenging.

The impact of HPV vaccination in Florida compared to New York.

10544 Background: HPV is responsible for cancers including anus, penis, vulvovaginal, and oropharyngeal but cervical cancer is the most common cancer caused by HPV. To study the impact of HPV vaccination, we compared age-adjusted cervical cancer incidence and death rates in New York, a state with a high HPV vaccination rate, to Florida, a state with a lower vaccination rate, prior to HPV vaccination and 10 years post HPV vaccination availability. Methods: This is an ecologic study observing the cervical cancer incidence and death rates prior to (2005) and after (2016) the introduction of the HPV vaccination using state wide healthcare cancer registries. Results: The HPV vaccine became available in the United States in 2006. Historically, Florida was found to have a low HPV vaccination rate in 2009 with less than 40% compared to New York which had a high rate of 50% in 2009. By 2016, Florida’s HPV vaccination rate improved to 55% but was still low compared to New York with a rate greater than 70%. New York had a decline of cervical cancer incidence of 9.7 per 100,000 in 2005 to 8.3 in 2016. New York had a decrease in death rate from 3.0 in 2005 to 2.7 in 2016. In Florida, the cervical cancer incidence rate from 2005 to 2016 increased from 9.7 to 9.9 and the mortality was 3.0 in 2005 and 2.9 in 2016. When comparing New York’s cervical cancer incidence rates, there was a statistically significant drop in age-adjusted incidence before HPV-vaccination compared to 10 years post vaccination availability. When analyzing cervical cancer incidence in 2016, significant increase in cases between Florida’s incidence compared to New York’s. Conclusions: Since the introduction of the HPV vaccination, age-adjusted incidence rate of cervical cancer has declined in New York but not in Florida. This may be due to lagging HPV vaccination rates in Florida in addition to other sociodemographic or healthcare factors. There has been minimal change in cervical cancer death rates between both states, likely attributed by the low death rate associated with cervical cancer. The medical community needs to work together to address the barriers to HPV vaccination and promote programs to increase vaccination rates which will reduce the incidence and mortality of cervical, anus, penis, vagina, vulva, and oropharyngeal cancer. [Table: see text]

Patterns of diversity in cancer clinical trial enrollment at a New York City academic health system, 2018-2022.

e18630 Background: Mitigation of cancer clinical trial (CT) enrollment disparities is increasingly prioritized in healthcare, but disparity metrics are inconsistently published by individual health systems. We aimed to assess health-system-level trends in CT enrollment by race, ethnicity, sex, and treatment location (network vs main hospital) during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as to evaluate county-level disparities in CT accrual fraction (AF) over a five-year period. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of the population enrolled on therapeutic cancer CTs in a New York City academic health system (AHS) from 2018-2022. Demographics were descriptively analyzed and compared with most recent public NCI-reported therapeutic trial accrual data. New York County 5-year cancer incidence was estimated for each demographic subgroup using age-adjusted cancer incidence rates from public SEER/NPCR data and US Census data. Primary endpoint was AF, defined as proportion of patients accrued relative to cancer incidence. Results: Of 2,533 patients enrolled on CTs over the 5-year period, 51% were White, 18% Black, 17% Hispanic, 9.8% Asian, 0.08% American Indian/AK Native, 0% Pacific Islander, and 3.9% Multiple/unknown race; 47% were female. Minority accrual proportion was higher than that of NCI accrual data (45% vs 25%, p =&lt; 0.001). Annual enrollment fell from maximum 571 patients in 2019 to 457 in 2020, then increased to 499 by 2022. Meanwhile, the proportion of minority enrollment increased to a peak of 49.2% in 2020 and fell to 45% in 2022. Female enrollment of 49% in 2018 decreased to 42% in 2021, increasing sharply to 51% in 2022. On multivariate analysis, Black and Asian patients were more likely to be enrolled after the start of the pandemic than White patients (ORs 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6; 1.4, 1.03-1.8). Black, Asian, and female patients were more likely to be enrolled at network hospital locations than White or male patients, respectively (ORs 1.9, 95% CI 1.3-2.7; 2, 1.2-3.1; 14, 8.6-21). Relative to county-level estimated cancer incidence, Black patients had a higher AF than White patients (0.96% vs 0.77%, OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.4), while Hispanic patients had a lower AF (0.55%, OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.64-0.8). Women had a lower AF than men (0.66% vs 0.74%, OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.83-0.97). Conclusions: Minority accrual at this AHS was higher than nationally reported. Despite decreased total accrual numbers in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, high accrual diversity was maintained. County-level AF disparities among women and Hispanic patients suggest opportunities for improvement in community outreach, and greater diversity of clinical trial enrollees at network hospitals may reflect successful outreach to the communities they serve.

Trends in prostate cancer incidence among Black men in the Caribbean and the United States.

Prostate cancer incidence is highest for Black men of the African diaspora in the United States and Caribbean. Recent changes in recommendations for prostate cancer screening have been shown to decrease overall prostate cancer incidence and increase the likelihood of late stage disease. However, it is unclear how trends in prostate cancer characteristics among high risk Black men differ by geographic region during the changes in screening recommendations. In this study, we used population-based prostate cancer registry data to describe age-adjusted prostate cancer incidence trends from 2008 to 2015 among Black men from six geographic regions. We obtained data on incident Black prostate cancer patients from six cancer registries (in the United States: Florida, Alabama, Pennsylvania, and New York; and in the Caribbean: Guadeloupe and Martinique). After age standardization, we used descriptive analyses to compare the demographics and tumor characteristics by cancer registry site. The Joinpoint regression program was used to compare the trends in incidence by site. A total of 59,246 men were analyzed. We found the highest incidence rates (per 100,000) for prostate cancer in the Caribbean countries (181.99 in Martinique and 176.62 in Guadeloupe) and New York state (178.74). Incidence trends decreased significantly over time at all sites except Martinique, which also showed significantly increasing rates of late stage (III/IV) and Gleason score 7+ tumors. We observed significant differences in prostate cancer incidence trends among Black men after major changes prostate screening recommendations. Future studies will examine the factors that differentially influence prostate cancer trends among the African diaspora.

The role of modifiable risk factors in incident cancer in transport, rescue, and security industries

PurposeExamine the risk for site-specific incident cancer across representative transport, rescue, and security industries. MethodsThis Danish nationwide register-based study included all 302,789 workers from transport, rescue and security industries in 2001-2015 and 2,230,877 individuals aged 18-64 years from a total sample of the economically active population for comparison. We used Cox models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) of incident cancers. We categorized site-specific cancers by using population-attributable fraction (PAF) estimates from the previous literature. ResultsDuring an average follow-up of 13.4 years, 22,116 incident cancer cases were recorded in these industries. Compared with the reference population, the age-adjusted cancer incidence with a high PAF was higher among men in seafaring (HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.14-1.43), and land transport (HR 1.32; 95% CI: 1.26-1.37), and among women in seafaring (HR 1.26; 95% CI: 1.01-1.57), land transport (HR 1.21; 95% CI: 1.12-1.32), aviation (HR 1.22; 95% CI: 1.05-1.41), and police force (HR 1.21; 95% CI: 1.04-1.40). Overall, tobacco and physical inactivity were the most significant risk factors of cancer. ConclusionsRegardless of considerable disparities in incident cancer attributable to modifiable risk factors across industries, the total incident cancer rate was elevated in all industries in both sexes.