Advocacy Campaigns Research Articles

Advocacy campaigns and gender bias in media coverage of elections

Abstract An unresolved aspect of women's underrepresentation in politics is the media portrayal of female candidates. This paper studies how advocacy campaigns may affect potential bias, leveraging the 2019 Swiss federal elections, which were shaped by two nation-wide, cross-party campaigns advocating for gender equality. The empirical analysis compares the 2015 and 2019 election campaigns, relying on an original dataset of the mentions that all candidates (over 3,700 respectively 4,600) received in over 2.2 million news articles. The analysis produces three main results. First, although in both elections male candidates received more media attention than female candidates did, the gender gap was significantly smaller in 2019 than in 2015. Second, in both elections, male and female candidates tended to be mentioned in conjunction with gender-stereotypical topics. Third, the gender gap in media attention before and after a key women's rights event was similar to that between the corresponding periods in 2015. These findings suggest that the differences observed between 2015 and 2019 are linked to the political campaign at large rather than to a specific event, despite its historical dimensions. The results contribute to the understanding of how advocacy campaigns can change bias in media coverage and, methodologically, to measuring and understanding gendered media coverage of politics.

Online Allies? Exploring Black Travelers’ Perceptions of DMO Social Advocacy Statements

Many U.S. destination marketing organizations (DMOs) have utilized social media to express support for the Black community amidst the Black Lives Matter racial justice movement. Current research lacks insight into ways in which Black travelers judge these efforts known as advocacy statements. This study uses a 2 × 2 experimental design to examine how Black travelers evaluate various forms of statements. Additionally, this work explores the mediating role of relational legitimacy between advocacy statements and behavioral intentions and finds it to be significant. Black travelers in this study find statements containing both an image and text to be the most appropriate form of digital social advocacy. Organizations can leverage these findings to create effective advocacy campaigns that go beyond performative acts and reflect substantive policies and strategies.

HUMAN RIGHTS OF PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES: INDIAN PERSPECTIVE

The human rights of persons with disabilities (PWDs) are integral to the global agenda for equality and justice. The adoption of the United Nations Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (CRPD) marked a transformative step towards acknowledging the rights of PWDs worldwide. However, despite international recognition, the realization of these rights remains inconsistent, particularly in developing countries like India, where socioeconomic challenges further hinder accessibility and inclusion. The objectives of the paper are to examine the national human rights frameworks concerning PWDs, to identify key barriers faced by PWDs in accessing their rights and propose solutions, to assess the challenges and opportunities for enforcing disability rights in India. The literature highlights that despite the CRPD’s widespread ratification, the enforcement of disability rights varies significantly across regions. In higher-income countries, more comprehensive systems support PWDs through inclusive education, healthcare, and employment. In contrast, in developing countries like India, the implementation is constrained by socio-economic factors, inadequate infrastructure, and limited awareness. Indian literature, in particular, discusses the advancements made through the Rights of Persons with Disabilities Act (2016) but emphasizes the need for greater enforcement and societal change to address pervasive stigma. The current paper focuses on several studies on human rights of persons with disabilities. To examine the aforementioned objectives, the necessary secondary data is collected from both published and unpublished sources. To improve the study, books, journals, and seminar papers, content analysis, newspapers, publications, and websites are used. The findings reveal that globally, countries with robust social protection systems exhibit better outcomes in securing disability rights. In India, despite progressive legal frameworks, PWDs face significant barriers in education, employment, and healthcare due to insufficient infrastructure, stigma, and poverty. Enforcement of rights is hindered by bureaucratic inefficiencies and resource constraints. The study suggests that governments should strengthen the enforcement of disability rights through legal reforms, capacity-building for public institutions, and targeted advocacy campaigns. In India, the focus should be on improving infrastructure accessibility, increasing public awareness, and ensuring stricter enforcement of legal protections.

'Zoonati' vs. 'epistemic tresspasers': Science identity in contentious online advocacy campaigns on the origins of SARS-CoV-2.

This article explores how science is mobilized as a collective identity, normative ideal, and instrumental tactic in contentious online global advocacy campaigns on the origins of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. It incorporates qualitative analysis of over 2300 public Twitter postings by core zoonosis and lab origin proponents who identify as scientists. These online exchanges provide a real-time window into how the collective identity of scientist is constructed and mobilized as a master frame. Similarly, this paper explores ways in which the boundaries of science, conspiracy, and politics are set and contested in a context of complex and fast-moving global events.

Co-designing the INHSU Prisons Hepatitis C Advocacy Toolkit using the Advocacy Strategy Framework

BackgroundThe World Health Organization (WHO) has established targets to eliminate the hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030. Prisons are a key focus of elimination efforts, however, access to HCV services in prisons remains low globally. With the aim of increasing advocacy efforts to help address this gap, the International Network on Health and Hepatitis in Substance Users (INHSU) Prisons, developed a Prisons Hepatitis C Advocacy Toolkit. MethodsToolkit development involved a co-design process to ensure advocacy resources met end-user needs. A scoping study was conducted, involving a web-based survey and in-depth interviews, to understand advocacy resource needs of key stakeholders from countries of different socio-economic strata. Data were analysed, and suggested advocacy resources were mapped onto the Advocacy Strategy Framework with the audiences resources are targetting and the changes they aim to influence. Advocacy resources were co-developed and validated by interview participants before incorporation into the web-based platform. ResultsSurvey responses (n = 181) and interview data (n = 25) highlighted several barriers to enhancing HCV services in prisons globally, and an understanding that advocacy efforts are needed to bring about this change. Advocacy resources were suggested for influencing three key audiences: policymakers/funders, implementers, and community. Thereafter, a suite of 20 de novo tools were co-developed with key stakeholders including case studies of evidence-based models of HCV care, policy briefs, HCV infographics, and fact sheets about how to leverage funding and build advocacy campaigns. Findings underscore the importance of capitalising on the knowledge and expertise of potential end-users, to ensure Toolkit resources are context-specific and match their needs. ConclusionThe Toolkit holds promise for progressing the WHO elimination goals by increasing advocacy efforts for enhanced prison HCV services globally. The co-design of Toolkit resources with potential end-users has increased its potential accessibility, acceptability, and inclusivity for a globally diverse audience.

Empowering youths through citizen science to address health inequalities in adolescence

Abstract Citizen Science (CS) stands as a beacon of hope in the fight against inequalities in adolescent health, revolutionizing scientific research by involving individuals from diverse backgrounds. Unlike traditional methods, CS transcends academic boundaries, fostering inclusivity and collaboration irrespective of age, nationality, or social status. This approach has gained momentum in adolescent health research, empowering young people as co-researchers from project inception, thereby reducing disparities in health knowledge and access. Studies demonstrate its efficacy in enhancing empowerment and health literacy among participants. YouthChronic is an example of how CS can mitigate health inequalities among adolescents. The project ensures active participation in every research stage by engaging adolescents with chronic conditions as citizen scientists. Open-ended questions facilitate detailed responses, while participation in analysis and dissemination enhances their research involvement and sense of ownership. Through initiatives like YouthChronic, CS is reshaping the research landscape, making it more relevant and impactful to bridge the inequality gap. Young Citizen Scientists’ views on their participation: “As part of YouthChronic, we felt like our experiences with chronic conditions were finally being heard. The researchers were cool-they listened to us, let us be flexible with our participation, and even taught us some research skills. Learning from other peers’ experiences made us feel less alone and gave us new insights. But it’s frustrating that we’re limited by resources. We have big ideas, like running an advocacy campaign, but we need funding to make them happen”. In conclusion, by actively involving adolescents in the scientific process through CS initiatives like YouthChronic, we can reduce inequalities in adolescent health, empower marginalized voices, and pave the way for a brighter, more inclusive future in scientific exploration and discovery.

Large Language Publishing

The AI hype cycle has come for scholarly publishing. This essay argues that the industry’s feverishーif mostly aspirationalーembrace of artificial intelligence should be read as the latest installment of an ongoing campaign. Led by Elsevier, commercial publishers have, for about a decade, layered a second business on top of their legacy publishing operations. That business is to mine and process scholars’ works and behavior into prediction products, sold back to universities and research agencies. This article focuses on an offshoot of the big firms’ surveillance-publishing businesses: the post-ChatGPT imperative to profit from troves of proprietary “training data,” to make new AI products andーthe essay predictsーto license academic papers and scholars’ tracked behavior to big technology companies. The article points to the potential knowledge effects of AI models in academia: Products and models are poised to serve as knowledge arbitrators, by picking winners and losers according to what they makevisible. I also cite potential knock-on effects, including incentives for publishers to roll back open access (OA) and new restrictions on researchers’ access to the open web. The article concludes with a call for a coordinated campaign of advocacy and consciousness-raising, paired with high-quality, in-depth studies of publisher data harvestingーbuilt on the premise that another scholarly-publishing world is possible. There are many good reasons to restore custody to the academy, the essay argues. The latest is to stop our work from fueling the publishers’ AI profits.

Digital Advocacy Strategies with Data Analytics Framework: A Case Study for Effective Campaigns

This paper presents a case study of a digital campaign on social media to formulate an extensive novel framework using data analytics method to measure the effectiveness of a social media campaign. The Social Media Impact Discovery (SMID) framework is built from the concept of digital advocacy strategies and data analytics techniques, which will provide a systematic approach in both domains to carry-out an effective advocacy campaign. Since the advent of social media such as Twitter in providing platforms for freedom of speech, digital advocacy has become the new approach for delivering campaigns to a wider range of targeted audiences. The use of digital advocacy has generated interest among politicians and advocators to spread their messages across. Despite the numerous and widespread use of digital advocacy, there is still no formal framework that study the success of the technique as end outcomes in terms of the technological aspect of knowledge and the data analytic. The impact of the campaign is evaluated in terms of its effectiveness using deep machine learning methods on the acquired data on social media of a digital campaign. The results have shown that continuous loops using Support Vector Machine (SVM) and the Naïve Bayes classifier support the dynamic approach in the SMID framework to increase campaign effect and is in line with the iterative structure. The loop's cyclical structure is in tune with the shifting user trends and social media user behaviours. The framework's ability to include fresh data and modify models as advocacy campaigns change over time provides a tactical advantage responsive to shifting conditions. Thus, the overall processes of the campaign should be supported with accurate and reliable data to build trust among its audiences. A case study of sexual harassment on Twitter is used to assess the SMID framework’s practicality. It centred on a young Malaysian advocate named Ain Husniza, whose notable catchphrase is #MakeSchoolASaferPlace. For the first time, digital advocacy for sexual harassment campaigns has been used and analysed in this study. It has demonstrated its contribution by amplifying survivors’ voices and fostering online solidarity, with the aim of raining public awareness of the issue and promoting informed policy.

The Role of the State Civil Apparatus (ASN) in Preventing and Suppressing the Practice of Money Politics

This study aimed to analyze the constrained role of the State Civil Apparatus (ASN) in suppressing the practice of money politics which contributes to high-cost elections during general elections. ASN’s political activities are heavily restricted, limiting its ability to actively and directly engage in the electoral process. However, statutory provisions also mandate that ASN serve as both the implementer of public policy—an inherently political product—and as a unifying force for the nation. In its role as a unifier, ASN must actively contribute to ensuring that elections are conducted fairly and appropriately for the future of the nation. The object of this study was to examine the limited authority and role of ASN in suppressing the practice of money politics. The study employed a qualitative descriptive analysis to explore the issue from the ASN’s perspective, focusing on the potential contributions of its authority and role in enhancing the quality of elections. The findings indicated that ASN can leverage its authority and role both individually and institutionally to suppress money politics practices. Individually, ASN members can contribute through socialization, advocacy, political education, information dissemination, and anti-money politics campaigns. Institutionally, contributions can be made by strengthening regulatory and policy frameworks, enhancing the integrity and capabilities of ASN personnel, conducting studies, analyses, and discussions to improve electoral process quality, and enforcing strict sanctions against perpetrators of money politics.

Navigating the Mauritian Creative Landscape: Insights into Collective Management Organization of Copyright and Neighbouring Rights in Mauritius

A thorough analysis of collective management organisations (CMOs) in the unique sociocultural and economic context of Mauritius is presented in this article. By employing a comprehensive methodology that encompasses various case studies and qualitative research techniques like interviews and organisational document analysis, it provides significant understanding of the roles, challenges, and impacts of CMOs in directing and balancing creativity in the Mauritius setting. This study sheds light on the complexities and opportunities present in collective management within Mauritius’ dynamic creative sectors through an examination of operational processes, legislative frameworks, and the socio-economic contributions of CMOs. Minimal election attendance, numerous complaints and conflicts, poor enforcement of intellectual property rights, operational inefficiencies, minimal stakeholder involvement, and poor market dynamics are some of the particular challenges that CMOs in Mauritius confront. The modernisation of the legislative framework, the use of technological advancements, capacity building, income stream diversification, public awareness and advocacy campaigns, and the potential for African and regional unity are some of the special opportunities that CMOs have in Mauritius. This paper offers crucial insights for decision-makers, interested parties, and scholars who want to improve the sustainability and efficacy of collective management techniques, with the ultimate goal of promoting an atmosphere that encourages innovation, creativity, and the fair sharing of intellectual property rights in Mauritius.

Local backlash against INGOs? How heterogeneous interests condition the effects of conservation advocacy campaigns

Local backlash against INGOs? How heterogeneous interests condition the effects of conservation advocacy campaigns

Evaluating Operation Good Food & Beverages, a Black Youth-Driven Public Advocacy Campaign.

Food and beverage (F&B) marketing practices that contradict health guidelines are particularly concerning for children and adolescents, who are developmentally more susceptible than adults to persuasive advertising and to Black communities, due to ethnically-targeted marketing, contributing to higher rates of obesity and other diet-related chronic diseases. Accordingly, here we evaluated Operation Good Food and Beverages (OGF&B), an online social marketing campaign calling for shifting toward more marketing of healthier F&B to Black youth and Black communities. OGF&B was developed and implemented by a multidisciplinary team of academic, advocacy, and advertising partners and active for four months in 2022 during the COVID-19 pandemic. Primary campaign components were social media content (e.g., TikTok, Instagram), and an informational website with a signable petition and a social media toolkit. Our mixed-methods evaluation used qualitative data to contextualize quantitative metrics like online impressions, website visits, and petition signatures. Qualitative data consisted of analysis of social media content and thematic elements from 15 interviews with campaign advisors, youth consultants, and influencers. The campaign achieved 3,148,869 impressions, 3,799 unique website visits, and 1,077 petition signatures. Instagram Reels and content featuring people had higher engagement. Instagram Reels received more likes than static posts or TikTok videos. Interviewees who participated mentioned personal values and community welfare as key motivations. Social media influencers who declined participation noted time constraints and lack of compensation as barriers. Despite pandemic-related restrictions that precluded in-person engagement, this brief campaign implementation period provided useful insights for leveraging OGF&B or similar campaigns.

CIVIC ADVOCACY CAMPAIGNS: DIRECTIONS OF INVOLVEMENT OF POLITICAL ACTIVISTS

The article is devoted to the research of civic engagement processes, which are gaining more and more publicity in world political science. Applying modern professional approaches, the author offers an explanation of the recruitment of civil advocacy through a clear political goal and connection with the current situational context. The article reveals and describes the main components of measuring the involvement of political activists within the framework of modern civil advocacy campaigns. The author reveals the mechanisms of expressing views and positions, protecting one’s rights and influencing decision-making processes at different levels of management. It is emphasized that civil advocacy covers a wide range of activities aimed at participation in political processes. The text examines advocacy campaigns in the political practice of consolidated democracies as organized events aimed at drawing attention to specific problems and achieving policy changes or raising public awareness. In the work, an appeal was also made to the qualification requirements and job duties of the leaders of civil campaigns. The article analyzes the actualization of the issue of civil advocacy in social and political innovations at the current stage. It is noted that in developed democratic countries a tendency to pay attention to social public innovations is outlined. It has been established that the development of civil society in Ukraine involves the development of a national model of engaging citizens in conducting advocacy campaigns. Attention is paid to attracting new active participants, for whom public advocacy campaigns become a factor in forming an environment of collaboration and expanding the circle of social communication. Emphasis is placed on the continuous inclusion of individuals and groups in activities aimed at improving the public environment and forming conscious public leadership and an atmosphere of social success. In the final part of the article, the author emphasizes that effective public involvement involves a variety of approaches. It was concluded that the decisive factor that prompts citizens to take a proactive position and participate in civil advocacy campaigns are pragmatic needs and ideas about achieving a state of satisfaction of requirements.

A call to action by the American Academy of Pediatrics Trainees and early career neonatologists' national advocacy campaign "Carousel care": best practice guidelines for NICU family mental health standard of care.

This article introduces the need for creating programs to address pervasive perinatal mood and anxiety disorders (PMAD) for neonatal-intensive care unit (NICU) families. When left unrecognized and untreated, PMADs impact the outcomes of NICU families and children. There is currently no standard of care for addressing NICU PMADs. This article highlights the work of the American Academy of Pediatrics Trainees and Early Career Neonatologist's National advocacy campaign, Carousel Care. This article introduces how Carousel Care helps provide a framework for providers and at individual, institutional, and national levels to implement new standards of care incorporating NICU mental health programs.

ENGAGEMENT IN SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH AS A FORM OF SUPPORTING THE SOCIAL ACTIVITY OF YOUNG PEOPLE LIVING WITH HIV

The article substantiates that the urgent task of social work with young people living with HIV is to find accessible and acceptable forms of social activity for self-realization, mutual help, and participation in society. One of these forms is the involvement of young people in participatory scientific research. The purpose of the article: to present the results of the study of the factors of social maladjustment of young people living with HIV, with the participation of the recipients, and to justify the possibility of using similar studies for the development of social activity of young people living with HIV. According to the design of the study, at its first stage, during the focus group, young people who have a positive HIV status shared their own experiences of living with HIV, taking ART, disclosing the status, relationships with parents (guardians) and peers, interactions with health professionals , interruption of ART and return to taking antiretroviral drugs, mutual support, and expressed their judgments about the reasons for interruption of ART and measures that could prevent it. Taking into account the results of the focus group, a representative survey was developed and conducted, and the importance of certain factors for stopping ARV therapy was proven. In order to interpret and assess the reliability of the obtained data, the results of the survey were given for analysis to young people - activists of a public youth organization. Based on the results of the evaluation, the conclusions of the study were clarified and the following recommendations were made: training parents and medical workers to correctly explain to adolescents the specifics of HIV status and ARV therapy, communication skills with adolescents and providing them with psychological support; organization of support groups for children and young people living with HIV and their parents, implementation of advocacy campaigns in communities aimed at countering the stigmatization of children with HIV.

Increasing Influenza Vaccination Rates among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Chongqing, China: A Cross-Sectional Analysis Using Behavioral and Social Drivers Tools.

Influenza vaccination is essential for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients due to their higher risks of severe complications and mortality from influenza. This study investigated the willingness of T2DM patients in Chongqing, China, to receive the influenza vaccination during the 2023/2024 season, using behavioral and social drivers (BeSD) tools to improve vaccination uptake in this high-risk group. A multi-stage sampling method was used to select participants, and face-to-face surveys were conducted in community health centers between March 1 and May 1, 2023. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the factors influencing vaccination willingness, and standardized scores identified barriers and drivers. Among 1672 T2DM patients, 11.7% had been vaccinated during the 2022/2023 season, and 59.6% were willing to receive the vaccination in the 2023/2024 season. Higher willingness was associated with ethnic minorities (odds ratio [OR], 3.18, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.58-6.39), being unemployed individuals (OR 2.69, 95% CI: 1.60-4.52), higher monthly household income per capita (OR 2.72, 95% CI: 1.65-4.50), having diabetes complications (OR 1.76, 95% CI: 1.23-2.51), sufficient vaccine knowledge (OR 1.87, 95% CI: 1.48-2.37), and previous vaccination (OR 7.75, 95% CI: 4.83-12.44). Concerning BeSDs, fear of infecting friends or family members and trust in vaccine efficacy were the predominant drivers, while high vaccine costs were the greatest barrier. Future strategies should focus on improving vaccine knowledge, supporting healthcare workers and peer recommendations, and enhancing vaccination policies. Key interventions such as health education among high-risk groups, such as unemployed individuals, advocacy campaigns, pay-it-forward strategies, and policies for free vaccination could improve coverage in Chongqing.

Conflict Resolution Education for Football Supporters from a Political Communication Perspective

The rivalry and fanaticism of football fans in Indonesia often leads to clashes, both among supporters and with the police and even football players. The purpose of writing this article is to analyze the causes of football fan riots and their resolution from a political communication perspective. The method used is a literature review. The results of the discussion state that integrating conflict resolution education in a political communication perspective provides a holistic approach to overcoming conflict among football supporters. This can be done in several ways, including leadership, the role of the media, community involvement, advocacy campaigns and training programs.

Upaya Menormalisasikan LGBT oleh Aktivis di Amerika Serikat: Perjuangan dan Tantangan

This research examines efforts to normalize the LGBT community by activists in the United States, with a focus on the struggles and challenges they face. Through qualitative analysis of various advocacy strategies, campaigns and policies implemented, this study reveals how LGBT activism seeks to create a more inclusive and accepted environment in society. This research also explores the role of the media, government agencies and non-government organizations in supporting or hindering this normalization process. Challenges faced include cultural resistance, institutional discrimination, and changing political and social dynamics. The research findings show that despite significant progress in the recognition of LGBT rights, activism continues to face major challenges that require a strategic and collaborative approach to overcome. In doing so, this research provides in-depth insight into the complexities of the LGBT normalization struggle in the United States and suggests policies and practices that can accelerate the process of social inclusion.

Social media discourse on ageism, sexism, and racism: Analysis of 150 million tweets over 15 years.

Ageism is a major but oft-overlooked social determinant of health. In fact, it is widely accepted among scholars that ageism is one of the least acknowledged forms of inequality, although few empirical attempts have been made to substantiate this claim. This is the first study that quantifies the amount of discourse dedicated to ageism, sexism, and racism on Twitter. Specifically, we rely on the usage of hashtags as a proxy for the frequency of discussions surrounding each form of inequality over a 15-year period from 2007 to 2022. We also identify key events that triggered spikes in Twitter activity for each form of inequality. Hashtags related to racism and sexism were extracted from past scholarship. We also employed a snowball sampling method whereby we queried the hashtags using Twitter's search function to identify other hashtags. As limited research has been conducted on ageism-related hashtags, we queried hashtags utilized by advocacy groups and adopted a snowball sampling method to compile other relevant hashtags. Tweets collected (N = 154,353,047) spanned 15 years, from August 23, 2007 to December 31, 2022. From 2007 to 2022, racism-related hashtags were used the most, followed by sexism-related hashtags and ageism-related hashtags. Racism-related hashtags (N = 99,250,348) were mentioned about 60 times more than ageism-related hashtags (N = 1,648,926). Sexism-related hashtags (N = 38,933,113) were mentioned 24 times more than ageism-related hashtags. The increasing linear trend of tweets associated with ageism (p < 0.001), sexism (p < 0.05), and racism (p < 0.05) reached significance. Incidents of racism and sexism often generated widespread public outrage. Conversely, instances of ageism rarely caused spikes in social media activity. Rather, these spikes were mainly observed during events such as the release of a report on ageism, a conference related to aging, or observances such as International Day of Older Persons. There is a need to hasten moves to raise awareness of ageism. To ensure that discussions on ageism are not confined to academic and policy circles, advocacy campaigns could be held to educate the public on the issue and its negative concomitants.

Forecast of Corruption: From Ethical to Pragmatic Considerations

From an ethical standpoint, combating corruption is crucial for promoting justice and equality. The rule of law and ethical governance involves clear standards of behavior for public servants and mechanisms for ensuring these standards are upheld. Corruption undermines public trust in government and democratic institutions and exacerbates social inequality and injustice (disproportionately affects the poor and marginalized groups, denying them access to essential services and opportunities). The fight against corruption during a full-scale war has ethical and purely pragmatic implications for Ukraine, the data of which formed the basis of this study. The lack of tangible progress in the fight against corruption in general, the lack of transparency of many institutional mechanisms in public administration, the revealed corruption schemes in the distribution of international military and humanitarian aid, as well as in the field of public defence procurement, the lack of punishment for corrupt officials in the highest echelons of power threaten the loyalty of international donors and allies, reduce Ukraine’s authority in the international arena, slows down Ukraine’s movement towards the EU, and significantly affects the decisions of foreign partners. The article demonstrates the results of forecasting the future level of corruption in Ukraine (for 2024‒2027) based on the retrospective dynamics of the Corruption Perceptions Index by Transparency International for 1998‒2023. Two economic and mathematical models are used for forecasting: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), which better reflects long-term historical trends and fluctuations, and the exponential smoothing method, which is more sensitive to the latest values of the time series. The statistical analysis package STATISTICA was used for the calculations. The forecasting results are disappointing since both methods showed an expected decrease in the level of corruption in 2024-2027, but in critically low volumes: by 1 point according to the ARIMA model and by 3-4 points according to the exponential smoothing method. The results of this study can serve as a basis for public advocacy campaigns as an argument for the need to radically revise the existing format of anti-corruption policy in Ukraine given its European future.