Advanced WHO Clinical Stage Research Articles

Incidence and predictors of tuberculosis among HIV-infected children after initiation of antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Globally, Tuberculosis (TB) is the main cause of morbidity and mortality among infectious disease. TB and Human Immune Virus (HIV) are the two deadly pandemics which interconnected each other tragically, and jeopardize the lives of children; particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, this review was aimed to determine the aggregated national pooled incidence of tuberculosis among HIV- infected children and its predictors in Ethiopia. An electronic search engine (HINARI, PubMed, Scopus, web of science), Google scholar and free Google databases were searched to find eligible studies. Quality of the studies was checked using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) quality assessment checklists for cohort studies. Heterogeneity between studies was evaluated using Cochrane Q-test and the I2 statistics. This review revealed that the pooled national incidence of tuberculosis among children with HIV after initiation of ART was 3.63% (95% CI: 2.726-4.532) per 100-person-years observations. Being Anemic, poor and fair ART adherence, advanced WHO clinical staging, missing of cotrimoxazole and isoniazid preventing therapy, low CD4 cell count, and undernutrition were significant predictors of tuberculosis incidence. The study result indicated that the incidence of TB among HIV- infected children is still high. Therefore, parents/guardians should strictly follow and adjust nutritional status of their children to boost immunity, prevent undernutrition and opportunistic infections. Cotrimoxazole and isoniazid preventive therapy need to continually provide for HIV- infected children for the sake of enhancing CD4/immune cells, reduce viral load, and prevent from advanced disease stages. Furthermore, clinicians and parents strictly follow ART adherence.

Second-line anti-retroviral treatment failure and its predictors among patients with HIV in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) treatment failure remains a major public health concern, with multidimensional consequences, including an increased risk of drug resistance, compromised quality of life, and high healthcare costs. However, little is known about the outcomes of second-line ART in Ethiopia. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the incidence and determinants of second-line ART treatment failure. Articles published in PubMed, Google Scholar, Science Direct, and Scopus databases were systematically searched. All observational studies on the incidence and predictors of treatment failure among patients with HIV on second-line ART were included. A random-effects model was used to estimate the pooled incidence, and subgroup analysis was performed to identify the possible sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was checked using forest plot, Begg's test, and Egger's test. The pooled odds ratio was also computed for associated factors. Seven studies with 3,962 study participants were included in this study. The pooled incidence of second-line antiretroviral treatment failure was 5.98 (95% CI: 4.32, 7.63) per 100 person-years of observation. Being in the advanced WHO clinical stage at switch (AHR = 2.98, 95% CI: 2.11, 4.25), having a CD4 count <100 cells/mm3 (AHR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.57, 2.91), poor drug adherence (AHR = 1.78, 95% CI: 1.4, 2.25), and tuberculosis co-infection (AHR = 2.93, 95% CI: 1.93, 4.34) were risk factors for treatment failure. In conclusion, this study revealed that that out of 100 person-years of follow-up, an estimated six patients with HIV who were on second-line antiretroviral therapy experienced treatment failure. The risk of treatment failure was higher in patients who were in an advanced WHO clinical stage, CD4 count <100 cells/mm3, and presence tuberculosis co-infection. Therefore, addressing predictors reduces the risk of treatment failure and maximizes the duration of stay in second-line regimens.

Incidence and predictors of virological failure among children receiving first-line anti-retroviral treatment in public comprehensive specialized hospitals found in Northeast Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study.

Despite anti-retroviral treatment coverage in resource-limited countries being highly appreciated, the occurrence of first-line virological failure remains a priority agenda. Therefore, this study serves as an input for evidence of virological failure among children. This study aimed to assess the incidence and predictors of virological failure among children receiving first-line anti-retroviral treatment in public comprehensive specialized hospitals found in Northeast Ethiopia through a retrospective follow-up study. A multicenter institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted on the medical records of 481 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected children who were on first-line anti-retroviral therapy from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2021. Data were retrieved from 15 May to 15 June 2022 at three public comprehensive specialized hospitals. Study participants were recruited using a simple random sampling technique. STATA-14 was used to analyze the data, which was entered using EpiData version 4.6.2.0. The Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to estimate the survival. Both bivariable and multivariable Cox regression models were fitted to identify predictors. Finally, adjusted hazards ratios (AHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed, and variables with a P-value of <0.05 were considered statistically significant predictors of virological failure. A total of 481 children records were included in the final analysis, with an observed follow-up period of 16,379 person-months. Among these, 60 (12.47%) had developed virological failure, resulting in an overall incidence density rate of 3.67 (95% CI; 2.84, 4.73) per 1000 person-month observations. The hazards of virological failure (VF) among children were found to be increased by being in recent WHO stages III and IV (AHR = 3.688; 95% CI: 1.449-6.388), poor adherence to anti-retroviral treatment (ART) (AHR = 3.506; 95% CI: 1.711-7.234), and living in a rural environment (AHR = 5.013; 95% CI: 1.958-8.351). Conversely, the hazard of VF was reduced by 60% when the age of caregivers was less than 40 years (AHR = 0.405; 0.003-0.449). The incidence rate of virological failure was relatively high. Living in a rural area, poor adherence to ART, being in a recent advanced WHO clinical stage, and having a caregiver of 40 years of age or older were all independent predictors of virological failure in children. Patients or parents (caregivers) need to be aware of the importance of strictly adhering to treatment regimens to prevent virological failure.

Predictors for viral load suppression among HIV positive adults under ART treatment in University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital: retrospective cohort study

HIV continues to be a serious global public health concern, having 40.4 million lives up to now and continuing to spread throughout all countries. The objective of this study was to identify predictors for viral load suppression among HIV positive adults under ART treatment in University of Gondar Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Ethiopia. An institution based retrospective cohort study design was carry out from 30th March 2017–30th March 2022.Accelerated failure time model were employed to get wide-ranging information about adult HIV positive patients. In this study out of 378 study participants, about 77.8% were suppressed viral load count and the rest were censored. The Weibull AFT model results revealed that predictors were older age (φ = 0.774, 95% CI 0.602–0.793), primary educators (φ = 0.931, 95% CI 0.809–0.964), patients disclosed the disease to family member (φ = 1.093, 95% CI 1.001–1.457), viral load < 10,000 copies/mL (φ = 1.153, 95% CI 1.015–1.309), hemoglobin level ≥ 11g/dL (φ = 1.145, 95% CI 1.028–1.275), CD4 cell count ≥ 200 per mm3 (φ = 1.147, 95% CI 1.019–1.290), weight ≥ 50 kg (φ = 1.151, 95% CI 1.033–1.275), BMI between 18.5 and 24.9 kg/m3 (φ = 1.143, 95% CI 1.007–1.296), fair treatment adherence (φ = 1.867, 95% CI 1.778–1.967), good treatment adherence (φ = 1.200, 95% CI 1.046–1.377), advanced WHO clinical stages (φ = 0.923, 95% CI 0.899–0.946), patients with OCC (φ = 0.821, 95% CI 0.720–0.936) and substance use (φ = 0.876, 95% CI 0.773–0.993) statistically significant predictors for viral load suppression at 5% level of significance. Then, near intensive care of adult patients’ whose ages between 25 and 34 years, primary educational level, advanced WHO clinical stage, patients with OCC, and substance users can help them improve their health and live longer. Lastly, further studies should be done on HIV positive adult patients by considering other important independent variables that were not included in this study.

Determinants of Loss to Follow Up Among Adult People Living with HIV Enrolled in Antiretroviral Therapy in West Wollega Public Hospitals, Oromia, Ethiopia.

Antiretroviral Treatment (ART) reduces morbidity and mortality in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). However, clients loss to follow-up (LTFU) from the treatment poses a paramount problem to the public, healthcare, and patient outcome. Thus, this study identified determinants of loss to follow-up to ART among adult clients in West Wollega hospitals, Oromia, Ethiopia, in 2021. An unmatched case-control study was conducted and a systematic random sampling technique was used. Data were collected from patient charts by three BSC nurses and three card reporters using a structured checklist. Then, it was entered into Epi-data version 3.1 and analyzed using SPSS version 21. Descriptive statistics (frequency and percentage) were used to present the results. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using the backward stepwise method. Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and p-values <0.05 were used to declare significant association with loss to follow-up. Model fitness was checked using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit. A total of 399 (133 patients and 266 controls) participated in this study. Rural residents (AOR:3.46, 95% CI:1.65, 7.25), male patient (AOR: 2.65 95% CI 1.54,4.55), lack of formal education (AOR: 4.35, 95% CI 1.53, 12.41), base line CD4 ≤350 (AOR: 5.25, 95% CI 1.93,14.24), poor functional status (AOR: 4.298, 95% CI 5.33,34.62) and WHO stages III & IV (AOR: 2.65, 95% CI 1.68,4.19), and tuberculosis co-infection (AOR: 2.82, 95% CI 1.11,7.45) were determinant factors of loss to follow up. Rural residence, male sex, daily laborer, no formal education, baseline CD4 count <350 cells/mm3, baseline advanced WHO clinical stage, and TB co-infection were determinants of LTFU. Therefore, emphasis should be given to the identified factors along with awareness creation and health education sessions. Regular TB screening, optimal adherence regardless of their stay on ART, and follow-up study are recommended.

Nutritional outcomes of therapeutic feeding program and its predictors among undernourished adult HIV positive patients at healthcare facilities of West Guji Zone, Southern Ethiopia: A retrospective cohort study.

For those living with HIV/AIDS, malnutrition is a significant issue everywhere, but it is particularly prevalent in Sub-Saharan Africa. A nutritional support program is becoming a more and more common strategy to prevent malnutrition in HIV-positive persons. Thus, this study aimed to assess nutritional treatment outcomes and their predictors among adult HIV-positive undernourished individuals in West Guji Zone healthcare facilities. A facility-based retrospective cohort study was conducted among 348 randomly selected adult HIV- positive patients in the West Guji Zone healthcare facilities between January 2018 and December 2022. Data were collected using the data extraction tool. Entered into Epi Data version 3.1 and exported to SPSS version 26 for analysis. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank test were used to predict the time to recovery and to compare survival curves across categorical variables. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was fitted to identify an independent predictor of the recovery rate. Statistical significance was declared at a p-value of < 0.05. In the final analysis 348 undernourished HIV-positive persons were included. Based on preset exit criteria, approximately 198, 56.9% of patients enrolled in the RUTF program were able to recovered, with an incidence of 9.83 (95% CI: 3.12, 13.44) per 100 person-month observations. Being divorced (AHR = 0.21; 95% CI: 0.06, 0.69) and being in the WHO advanced stage (AHR = 0.42; 95% CI: 0.23, 0.79) was a negative predictor. Being in the age range of 18-29 and 30-39 and having a working functional status (AHR = 2; 95% CI: 1.25, 3.23) were positive predictors. Nutritional recovery in this study lower than WHO Sphere requirements. Age between 18 and 39 and working functional status were good indicators of nutritional recovery, whereas advanced WHO clinical stage and divorced marital status were negative predictors.

Burden of Anemia among Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Positive Adults on Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy at Hawassa University Compressive Specialized Hospital, Hawassa, Ethiopia.

Anemia is the most common hematologic abnormality associated with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients and affects 60% to 80% of patients in late-stage disease. It has a considerable impact on the progression of HIV to advanced stages. This study aimed at assessing the burden of anemia in adult HIV-infected patients who are on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and have follow-up at Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital (HUCSH) Antiretroviral therapy (ART) clinic. A hospital-based retrospective study was conducted among HIV-positive adults on HAART at Hawassa University Compressive Specialized Hospital. The systematic sampling method was used to choose a total of 244 study participants. Data on demographic characteristics, related factors of anemia, latest hemoglobin, CD4, and ART regimens were collected using a structured data abstraction format. The data were cleaned and analyzed using SPSS version 21.0 after being manually checked for completeness. Multivariable logistic regression was carried out to detect elements associated with anemia. A P value of <0.05 was used as a cutoff point to announce statistical significance. The records of 244 patients were examined in total. Anemia was present in 29.9% (95% CI 23.8-35.2) among adult HIV patients. Female sex (AOR: 2.576, 95% (CI: 1.295-5.127)), having tuberculosis (TB) (AOR: 4.873, 95% (CI: 1.534-15.484)), taking a zidovudine (ZDV)-containing ART regimen (AOR: 5.216, 95% (CI: 1.239-21.962)), having clinical WHO stage IV and III diseases (AOR: 3.077, 95% CI (1.244-7.612)), having body mass index (BMI) <18.5 kg/m2 (AOR: 2.391, 95% (CI: 1.138-5.023)), and taking cotrimoxazole prophylaxis (AOR: 3.860 95% (CI: 1.097-13.576)) were substantially linked to the development of anemia among adult HIV patients. Conclusion and Recommendation. This study showed that anemia is still a problem among HIV patients on HAART. The burden of anemia was found to be high among patients with advanced WHO clinical stages, having a BMI less than 18.5 kg/m2, TB/HIV coinfection, being on AZT-based ART regimens, and taking cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (CPT). Consequently, it is suggested that early preventative interventions, such as serial hemoglobin follow-up, iron supplementation, and education about dietary consumption, be undertaken targeting the aforementioned groups. In addition, the preferred first-line ART regimen as per the latest national and WHO guidelines is recommended, especially for the above groups.

Time to death and its predictors among under-five children on antiretroviral treatment in public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, a retrospective follow up study.

Child mortality remains a global public health problem, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. After initiating ART, the mortality rate among HIV-infected children in Ethiopia was 12-17 deaths per 1000 child-year. To determine the time to death and its predictors among under-five children on antiretroviral treatment in public hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, from April 12, 2017, to May 12, 2022. An institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 415 HIV-infected children at selected public hospitals of the Addis Ababa town administration. Computer generated simple random sampling technique was used to select each sampling unit. Data was extracted using a structured data extraction checklist. Data were entered into EPI data 4.2 and analyzed using STATA 14. The child mortality rate was calculated. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was fitted to identify predictor factors. The result of the study was presented using text, tables, graphs, and charts. An adjusted hazard ratio with a 95% confidence interval and a p-value less than 0.05 was used to declare the level of significance. A total of 415 (97.42%) of the 426 children on ART were included for analysis. Of these, 41(9.88%) children were died during the following period. The study participants were followed for a total of 8237 person- months of risk time. The overall mortality rate was 4.98 (95% CI: 3.67-6.77) per 1000 child-months. The estimated survival after starting ART was 61.42% at 56 months of follow-up. Severe underweight (AHR = 3.19; 95% CI: 1.32-7.71), tuberculosis (AHR = 3.86; CI: 1.76-8.47), low hemoglobin level (AHR = 2.51; CI: 1.02-6.20), and advanced WHO clinical stages at enrolment (AHR = 3.38; CI: 1.08-10.58) were predictors of death among HIV-infected under-five children on ART. The incidence of mortality was 4.98 per 1000 child-months. Severe underweight, tuberculosis infection, low hemoglobin level, and advanced WHO clinical stages at enrolment were predictors of death among under-five children on ART.

Time to Viral Load Suppression and Its Predictors Among Adult Patients on Antiretro Viral Therapy in Nigist Eleni Mohammed Memorial Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Hossana, Southern Ethiopia.

Unsuppressed viral load count in patients on anti-retroviral therapy is linked to poorer survival and increased transmission of the virus. Despite efforts made in Ethiopia, the viral load suppression rate is still low. To estimate time to viral load suppression and predictors of viral load suppression among adults on anti-retroviral therapy in Nigist Elen Mohamed Memorial Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, 2022. A retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 297 adults on anti-retroviral therapy from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2021. A simple random sampling technique was used to select study participants. The data were analyzed using STATA 14. Cox regression model was used. The adjusted hazard ratio with 95% CI was estimated. A total of 296 records of patients on anti-retroviral therapy were included in this study. The incidence of viral load suppression was 9.68 per 100-person months. The median time for viral load suppression was 9 months. Patients with baseline CD4 ≥200 cell/mm3 (AHR: 1.87; 95% CI = 1.34, 2.63), who had no opportunistic infections (AHR = 1.84; 95% CI = 1.34, 2.52), who were on WHO clinical stage-I or II (AHR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.18, 3.79) and who have taken tuberculosis preventive therapy (AHR = 2.24; 95% CI = 1.66, 3.02) had higher hazards of viral load suppression. The median time for viral load suppression was 9 months. Patients who had no opportunistic infection, with higher CD4 count, on WHO clinical stage-I or II, who have taken tuberculosis preventive therapy had higher hazards of viral load suppression. Careful monitoring and counseling of patients with CD4 levels lower than 200 cells/mm3 are necessary. Careful monitoring and counseling of patients in advanced WHO clinical stages, with lower CD4 count levels and with opportunistic infections is crucial. Strengthening the provision of tuberculosis preventive therapy is warranted.

Predictors of first-line antiretroviral treatment failure among children on antiretroviral therapy at the University of Gondar comprehensive specialised hospital, North-west, Ethiopia: a 14-year long-term follow-up study

ObjectiveTo determine the incidence and predictors of first-line human immune deficiency virus treatment failure among human immune deficiency virus-infected children at the University of Gondar comprehensive specialised hospital in Ethiopia.DesignA...

Bayesian parametric modeling of time to tuberculosis co-infection of HIV/AIDS patients at Jimma Medical Center, Ethiopia

Tuberculosis is the most common opportunistic infection among HIV/AIDS patients, including those following Antiretroviral Therapy treatment. The risk of tuberculosis infection is higher in people living with HIV/AIDS than in people who are free from HIV/AIDS. Many studies focused on prevalence and determinants of tuberculosis in HIV/AIDS patients without taking into account the censoring aspects of the time to event data. Therefore, this study was undertaken with aim to model time to tuberculosis co-infection of HIV/AIDS patients under follow-up at Jimma Medical Center, Ethiopia using Bayesian parametric survival models. A data of a retrospective cohort of 421 HIV/AIDS patients under follow-up from January 2016 to December 2020 until active tuberculosis was diagnosed or until the end of the study was collected from Jimma Medical Center, Ethiopia. The analysis of the data was performed using R-INLA software package. In order to identify the risk factors which have association with tuberculosis co-infection survival time, Bayesian parametric accelerated failure time survival models were fitted to the data using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation methodology. About 26.37% of the study subjects had been co-infected with tuberculosis during the study period. Among the parametric accelerated failure time models, the Bayesian log-logistic accelerated failure time model was found to be the best fitting model for the data. Patients who lived in urban areas had shorter tuberculosis co-infection free survival time compared to those who lived in rural areas with an acceleration factor of 0.2842. Patients who smoke and drink alcohol had also shorter tuberculosis co-infection survival time than those who do not smoke and drink alcohol respectively. Patients with advanced WHO clinical stages(Stage III and IV), bedridden functional status, low body mass index and severe anemic status had shorter tuberculosis co-infection survival time. Place of residence, smoking, drinking alcohol, larger family size, advanced clinical stages(Stage III and Stage IV), bedridden functional status, CD4 count (le 200 cells/mm3 and 200–349 cells/mm3), low body mass index and low hemoglobin are the factors that lead to shorter tuberculosis co-infection survival time in HIV/AIDS patients. The findings of the study suggested us to forward the recommendations to modify patients’ life style, early screening and treatment of opportunistic diseases like anemia , as well as effective treatment and management of tuberculosis and HIV co-infection are important to prevent tuberculosis and HIV co-infection.

Incidence and Predictors of Pregnancy among HIV Positive Women on ART in North West Ethiopia, a Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective: The objective of this study was to identify the prevalence and significant factors of incidence of pregnancy among HIV positive women under ART follow up. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was employed and a sample size of 429 was selected using simple random sampling technique. Both chi-square test of association and multiple binary logistic regression analysis were used. Results: The study has shown that 21.2% of women were pregnant during the follow-up. Variables like, WHO clinical stage, spouse’s HIV status, marital status, contraception use, body weight, occupation, CD4 count, age and time of ART were significant predictors of incidence of pregnancy. Conclusion: Women with advance WHO clinical stage were less likely to be pregnant. Women, who are married, employed, had never used contraceptive methods were more likely to had pregnancy. When CD4 cell count and body weight increase, incidence of pregnancy also increases and women who had longer time on ART were more likely to be pregnant. Health institutions and clinicians should be cautious when the patients have faced advanced WHO clinical stage and low CD4 count. We would like to put remarks of increasing employment of HIV Positive women, providing effective services of ART health care, and studying further investigation for the general wellbeing of mothers and their respective potentially born children.

Incidence and predictors of loss to follow-up among adult HIV-infected patients taking antiretroviral therapy at North Shewa zone public Hospitals, Northeast Ethiopia: A retrospective follow-up study.

Patients who are lost to follow-up while on treatment compromise their own health and the long-term success of antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs. Besides, loss to follow-up (LTFU) increases HIV-related morbidity and mortality. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the incidence of LTFU and its predictors among adult HIV positive patients on anti-retroviral therapy at North Shoa zone public hospitals, Northeast Ethiopia. A retrospective follow up study of 517 people living with HIV/AIDS and attending an ART clinic between 2015 and 2020 was conducted at North Shewa zone, public hospitals. Kaplan-Meier failure function together with log rank test was used to compare failure function. Multivariable Cox proportion hazards regression model was used to determine predictors of LTFU. The incidence density rate of lost to follow up among HIV positive adult on ART was found to be 8.9 per 100 adult years observation (95%CI; 7.45, 10.68). In multivariable cox proportional regression analysis, WHO clinical stage-IV (AHR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.08, 3.75), comorbidity disease (AHR = 0.54; 95% CI; 0.30, 0.97), body mass index less than 18kg/m2 (AHR = 1.60; 95% CI; 1.02, 2.51), cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (AHR = 1.57; 95% CI;1.09, 2.53), and a low CD4 count (AHR = 1.66; 95% CI; 1.29, 3.49) were found to be a significant predictors of lost to follow up. The current study showed that the incidence rate of loss to ART follow-up was high. Body mass index score less than 18kg/m2, advanced WHO clinical stage, CD4<200cell/mm3, had comorbidity disease, and cotrimoxazole therapy were a significant predictors of lost to ART follow up. Therefore, appropriate mitigation measures in the at-risk group need to be instigated to advance retention rate.

Modeling Survival Time to Death Among TB and HIV Co-infected Adult Patients: an Institution-Based Retrospective Cohort Study.

Tuberculosis is a serious health threat, particularly for people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and HIV-positive people are more likely than others to contract the disease. Globally, tuberculosis (TB) is one of the leading causes of death among people living with HIV. The purpose of the current study was to identify factors associated with survival rates of TB/HIV co-infected patients using survival models. A retrospective study was conducted on TB/HIV co-infected adult patients registered and under follow-up at Tepi General Hospital (TGH) and Mizan-Tepi University Teaching Hospital (MTUTH), southwest Ethiopia. All TB/HIV co-infection patients who were registered and under follow-up from 1st January 2015 through 1st January 2020 were considered. The global Schoenfeld test was used to test the proportional hazard (PH) assumption. Various accelerated failure time (AFT) models were compared to determine the best model for the time to death of TB/HIV co-infected patients' data set. Among the most commonly used accelerated failure time models (AFT models), the study used exponential, Weibull, log-logistic, and log-lognormal AFT models. AIC and BIC were used to compare the performance of fitted models. The data were analyzed with the statistical software R. Of 363TB/HIV co-infected patients followed for 60months, 79 (21.8%) died, while the remaining 284 (78.2%) were censored. The overall median survival time was 15.6months. The proportional hazard assumption was checked and it was violated. In comparison to other models, the lognormal AFT model performed better. The results of the multivariable lognormal AFT model showed that age, residence, substance use, educational status, clinical stages of the disease, cluster of differentiation 4 (CD4 count/mm3), functional status, cotrimoxazole prophylactic therapy use (CPT use), and INH were all found to be significant factors, while gender, illness other than TB, and disclosure of status were insignificant variables at 5% level of significance. Current study results revealed that older age, substance use, advanced WHO clinical stages of the disease (stage IV), bedridden functional status, and CD4 less than 200 count/mm3 were significantly associated with shorter survival time to death of HIV/TB co-infected patients while having advanced educational status, being from urban residence, CPT use, and INH significantly increase the survival time to death of TB/HIV co-infected patients.Patients with TB/HIV co-infection should be given special attention based on these important factors to improve their health and prolong their lives. HIV-positive patients are more likely than others to contract the TB disease. The risk of death among TB/HIV co-infected patients was found to be high. Out of all patients, 79 (21.8%) died. Accelerated failure time models are good alternatives for scenario Cox proportional hazard assumptions not met.

Survival probability and factors associated with time to loss to follow-up and mortality among patients on antiretroviral treatment in central Kenya

BackgroundRetention of patients who are receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) remains a challenge especially in the setting of rapid expansion of HIV services. Retention in care remains vital to the HIV care continuum, and has been associated with viral suppression and improved survival. This study aimed to ascertain survival rates, time to loss to follow-up (LTFU) or mortality events and factors associated with time to LTFU or mortality among patients enrolled on antiretroviral therapy at health facilities in central Kenya.MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study among patients initiated on ART between 2004 and 2012 in central Kenya. Demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics and outcomes data were analyzed using Stata version 15.1. Competing risks regression analysis and cummulative incidence functions were used to estimate survival.ResultsA total of 31,346 patients were included, of whom 65.6% were female, 76.0% were aged between 20 and 50 years old, and 38.9% were diagnosed at WHO stage III. At 36 months, overall retention was 68.8%, LTFU was 27.1%, and mortality was 4.1%. The total person-years of follow up was 74,986. The incidence rate of LTFU was 9.99 per 100 person years for a total of 9383.25 person-years of follow up. The mortality rate was 1.25 per 100 person years for a total of 875.5 person-years among those who died. The median time to LTFU was 11 months (IQR 3–22) while median time to death was 3 months (IQR 0–13). Men, unmarried patients, patients presenting with advanced HIV, not on TB treatment, and enrolled into the HIV program in later cohorts, had a shorter time to mortality and LTFU.ConclusionOur study demonstrated evidence of scale-up of HIV treatment programs in central Kenya. While most patients were enrolled at an advanced WHO clinical stage, overall 36-month mortality remained low, but occurred earlier during follow-up. Cohort LTFU at 36-months reduced in later years with the losses occurring within the 1st year of follow-up. Predictors of early mortality and LTFU included being male, single, separated or divorced, advanced WHO clinical stage, and among patients not on TB treatment.

Tuberculosis and isoniazid prophylaxis among adult HIV positive patients on ART in Northwest Ethiopia.

Although antiretroviral therapy (ART) can avert tuberculosis (TB) incidence among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected patients, the concomitant use of ART with isoniazid (INH) has a paramount effect. Despite this evidence, there is a paucity of data regarding TB incidence among HIV patients on ART with and without isoniazid prophylaxis and its predictors. Thus, this study sought to assess the incidence and predictors of TB among adult HIV positive patients on ART. This was a hospital based retrospective study including 368 adult HIV positive patients on ART in Gondar comprehensive specialized hospital between January 1, 2016, and April 30, 2019. Data was extracted from clinical laboratory and HIV care ART follow up clinic. The bi-variable and multivariable regression models were used to ascertain predictors of incident TB. Data was analyzed using SPSS version 20 software. A total of 335 adult HIV positive patients were included in the analysis, of whom, 56 (16.7%) were developed incident TB. Being ambulatory and bedridden (AOR: 2.2, 95% CI: 1.1, 4.6), advanced WHO clinical HIV disease stage (III and IV) (AOR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.6, 6.1), not taking INH (AOR: 2.8, 95% CI: 1.3, 5.9), and baseline CD4+ T cell count ≤ 200 cell/mm3 (AOR: 3.6, 95% CI: 1.8, 7.2) were found to be the predictors of tuberculosis incidence. The study indicated a high TB incidence among HIV positive patients in Gondar. Therefore, scaling up the isoniazid preventive therapy program and its strict compliance is necessary to avert HIV fueled tuberculosis in HIV endemic areas.

Prevalence and associated factors of treatment failure among children on ART in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

As the use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) increases, the issue of treatment failure is still a global challenge, particularly in a resource limited settings including Ethiopia. The results of former studies in Ethiopia were highly variable and inconsistent across studies. Thus, this systematic review and meta-analysis intended to provide the pooled estimation of treatment failure and associated factors among children on antiretroviral therapy. We searched international databases (i.e., PubMed, Google Scholar, Web of Science, Ethiopian Universities' online repository library, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library) during the period of February 30 to April 7, 2021. All identified observational studies reporting the proportion of treatment failure among HIV positive children in Ethiopia were included. Heterogeneity of the studies was checked using I2 test and Cochrane Q test statistics. We run Begg's regression test to assess publication bias. A random-effects meta-analysis model was performed to estimate the pooled prevalence of treatment failure. The estimated pooled prevalence of treatment failure among children in Ethiopia was 12.34 (95%CI: 8.59, 16.10). Subgroup analysis of this review showed that the highest prevalence was observed in Addis Ababa (15.92%), followed by Oromia region (14.47%). Poor ART adherence (AOR = 2.53, CI: 2.03, 4.97), advanced WHO clinical staging (AOR = 1.66, CI: 1.24, 3.21), and opportunistic infections (AOR = 2.64 CI: 2.19, 4.31 were found to be significantly associated factors with childhood treatment failure. This study revealed that treatment failure among children on ART was high in Ethiopia. Poor ART adherence, advanced WHO clinical staging, opportunistic infections, and low level of CD4 cell counts increased the risk of treatment failure.

Effects of Undernutrition and Predictors on the Survival Status of HIV-Positive Children after Started Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) in Northwest Ethiopia.

Malnutrition and human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome have complex and multidirectional relationships. Ethiopia is one of the countries hardest hit by the HIV epidemic as well as malnutrition. This study was aimed at assessing the effects of undernutrition on the survival status of HIV-positive children who received HIV/AIDS care in Northwest Ethiopia. Materials and Methods. A facility-based retrospective follow-up was conducted from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2020. The data was entered into EpiData version 4.2.0. Then, the entered data was exported to STATA 14 software for further analysis, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to estimate survival time after the initiation of ART. The Bivariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors of mortality associated with undernutrition. Results. The mean (±SD) age of participant children was found 118.4 (±38.24) months. The overall mortality rate in this study was determined as 5.4 per 100 child-years (95% CI: 3.6, 5.8). Children with CD4 cell counts below the threshold [AHR = 1.6; 95% CI (1.19, 7.85)], advanced WHO clinical stages (III and IV) HIV [AHR = 4.5; 95% CI (2.80, 8.40)], and being severe stunting at the beginning [AHR = 2.9; 95% CI (1.80, 6.40)] were significantly associated with mortality of HIV-positive children. Conclusion. The findings of the current study indicated that HIV-positive children on ART had a high rate of mortality. Baseline undernutrition has the mortality of children who had CD4 counts below a threshold, advanced WHO HIV clinical staging (III and IV), and being severe stunting (HAZ ≤ −3 Z score) which were found to be independent predictors for mortality of undernourished HIV.

Time to death among HIV-infected under-five children after initiation of anti-retroviral therapy and its predictors in Oromiya liyu zone, Amhara region, Ethiopia: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundHuman Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) is infection which mainly attacks immune system of an individual. Its disease progress is rapid in children and if treatment is not initiated nearly half of infected children will die by the second year of infection. In Ethiopia, nearly twenty four percent of HIV related death is happen to under-five children; however studies done in this specific age group are limited are with poor evidence of predictors.ObjectivesTo determine time to death and identify predictors of death in HIV infected under- five children on antiretroviral therapy in Amhara regional state, Oromia ‘liyu’ zone, Northeast Ethiopia, from 2014 to 2019.MethodsInstitution based retrospective follow up study was conducted in 376 under-five HIV- infected children on antiretroviral therapy from January 2014 to December 2019 in health institutions in Oromia Liyu Zone, Amhara region, Ethiopia. Multivariable Cox-proportional hazard regression model was used to identify independent predictors of mortality in HIV- infected under-five children on antiretroviral therapy.ResultAt the end of follow up, 304 (80.85%) of HIV-infected children were alive, 39 (10.95%) were lost to follow up, 12 (3.19%) were transferred out and 21 (5.59%) were reported dead due to HIV/AIDS. The cumulative survival probabilities of children after 3, 6, 12, 24 and 36 months were 0.99, 0.98, 0.97, 0.89 and 0.87 respectively. The overall mean time to death was 19.7 months (95%CI = 18.74–20.67) with incidence of 5.9 deaths per 100 child-months (95%CI: 3.89–9.09). Children with severe malnutrition at baseline (AHR = 4.9; 95 CI: 1.04, 23.50), advanced WHO clinical stage at enrolment (AHR = 3.9; CI: 1.37, 10.88), poor adherence to ART (AHR = 6.56; CI: 3.33, 10.14) and with no history of Isoniazide prophylaxis were significantly associated to higher mortality events (AHR = 3.6; CI: 1.24, 10.18).ConclusionDeath of HIV-infected under-five children on ART is high within the first one year after enrolment. The risk of death increased if the child was malnourished at beginning of treatment, had poor ART adherence, with advanced WHO clinical stages and lack of Isoniazide prophylaxis during their age of infancy.

Survival status and predictors of mortality among HIV-positive children initiated antiretroviral therapy in Bahir Dar town public health facilities Amhara region, Ethiopia, 2020.

Background:Although there is a presence of governmental and non-governmental organizations running to provide quality HIV care services to reduce HIV-related mortality, there is rapid disease progression and death among children in developing countries including Ethiopia. Thus, this study was aimed to assess the mortality predictors of children living with HIV at Bahir Dar town public health facilities.Method:A facility-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 588 children who were enrolled in the HIV care clinic from 1 September 2010 to 30 August 2019. Data were entered into the Epi-Data entry 3.1 and then exported to STATA version 14 for analysis. Multiple imputation models were employed to handle missing data using the multivariate imputation Chained Equations technique. The Kaplan–Meier survival curve and log-rank test were used to estimate and compare the survival time of categorical variables.Result:About 27 (4.6%) (95% confidence interval: 2.9–6.5) deaths were observed from the 30,062.3 person-months follow-up period, and the overall incidence density rate of 0.9 per 1000 child-months (95% confidence interval: 0.6–1.3). Advanced WHO clinical stage (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.18; 95% confidence interval: 1.07–9.43), hemoglobin level less than 8 g/dL (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.54; 95% confidence interval: 1.27–8.85), children having a weight for age of <−2z (adjusted hazard ratio = 2.81; 95% confidence interval: 1.19–6.6), children with poor adherence (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.91; 95% confidence interval: 1.41–10.8), and starting the treatment beyond 1 week of being eligible (adjusted hazard ratio = 3.22; 95% confidence interval: 1.21–8.53) were predictors of HIV-related mortality among children initiated antiretroviral therapy.Conclusion:The hazard of mortality was higher among HIV-infected children in the early period of initiation. Enhancing antiretroviral therapy drug adherence, monitoring Hgb level, and timely initiation of antiretroviral therapy reduce HIV-related mortality.