Prevalence Of Advanced Neoplasia Research Articles

Prevalence of neoplasia at colonoscopy among testicular cancer survivors treated with platinum-based chemotherapy.

Testicular cancer survivors (TCS) treated with platinum-based chemotherapy have an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). We determined the yield of colonoscopy in TCS to assess its potential in reducing CRC incidence and mortality. We conducted a colonoscopy screening study among TCS in four Dutch hospitals to assess the yield of colorectal neoplasia. Neoplasia was defined as adenomas, serrated polyps (SPs), advanced adenomas (AAs: ≥10 mm diameter, high-grade dysplasia or ≥25% villous component), advanced serrated polyps (ASPs: ≥10 mm diameter or dysplasia) or CRC. Advanced neoplasia (AN) was defined as AA, ASP or CRC. Colonoscopy yield was compared to average-risk American males who underwent screening colonoscopy (n = 24,193) using a propensity score matched analysis, adjusted for age, smoking status, alcohol consumption and body mass index. A total of 137 TCS underwent colonoscopy. Median age was 50 years among TCS (IQR 43-57) vs 55 years (IQR 51-62) among American controls. A total of 126 TCS were matched to 602 controls. The prevalence of AN was higher in TCS than in controls (8.7% vs 1.7%; P = .0002). Nonadvanced adenomas and SPs were detected in 45.2% of TCS vs 5.5% of controls (P < .0001). No lesions were detected in 46.0% of TCS vs 92.9% of controls (P < .0001). TCS treated with platinum-based chemotherapy have a higher prevalence of neoplasia and AN than matched controls. These results support our hypothesis that platinum-based chemotherapy increases the risk of colorectal neoplasia in TCS. Cost-effectiveness studies are warranted to ascertain the threshold of AN prevalence that justifies the recommendation of colonoscopy for TCS.

Potential Impact of Extending Surveillance Intervals for Patients With 1–2 Low-Risk Adenomas

Potential Impact of Extending Surveillance Intervals for Patients With 1–2 Low-Risk Adenomas

Guaiac-based faecal occult blood tests versus faecal immunochemical tests for colorectal cancer screening in average-risk individuals.

Guaiac-based faecal occult blood tests versus faecal immunochemical tests for colorectal cancer screening in average-risk individuals.

Preliminary application of the Asia-Pacific colorectal screening score combined with the quantitative fecal occult blood in colorectal neoplasia screening

To evaluate the efficacy of the Asia-Pacific colorectal screening (APCS) score combined with the quantitative fecal immunochemical test in colorectal neoplasia screening. Subjects who appointment to receive colonoscopy were recruited from August 2017 to May 2019 in the digestive endoscopy center. Before the colonoscopy, all subjects were scored by the Asia Pacific colorectal cancer screening scoring system and measured by quantitative fecal immunochemical test (QFIT). The detection rates of colorectal neoplasia were compared to evaluate the efficacy of the combined assay in colorectal neoplasia screening between APCS score and QFIT. A total of 1 420 subjects were enrolled in this study, APCS score medium-risk (MR) and high-risk (HR) groups were 847 (59.7%) and 573 (40.4%) and 26 cases (1.8%) of colorectal cancer, 196 cases (13.8%) of advanced adenoma, and 395 cases (27.8%) of non-advanced adenoma were detected. With the combination of APCS score and QFIT, participants were classified into 4 groups high-risk with positive QFIT result group G1, high-risk with negative QFIT result group G2, medium-risk with positive QFIT group G3, medium-risk negative QFIT group G4. The prevalence of colorectal neoplasia was 64.3%, 16.4%, 55.0%, and 9.8%, respectively. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia in high-risk with QFIT results was significantly higher than that in other 3 groups. HR and positive QFIT were the indicators for further colonoscopy, and MR with FIT negative group could postpone colonoscopy and conduct annual QFIT follow-up. The combination of APCS score and QFIT for colorectal neoplasia screening can reduce unnecessary colonoscopy, improve colonoscopy compliance and screening efficiency, and has important clinical significance and promotion value in colorectal tumor screening.

To what extent is male excess risk of advanced colorectal neoplasms explained by known risk factors? Results from a large German screening population.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and prevalence of its precursors are substantially higher among males than among females in most countries but the reasons for the male excess risk are incompletely understood. We aimed to assess to what extent it is explained by known risk factors. Prevalence of advanced neoplasia (AN, ie, CRC or advanced adenoma) and CRC risk and preventive factors were ascertained among 15 985 participants of screening colonoscopy aged 55-79 years in Germany. Logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for the association between male sex and AN with and without adjustment for known risk and preventive factors. In age-adjusted comparisons, men had 2-fold increased risk for AN compared to women (OR=1.98, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.79-2.19). After comprehensive adjustment for medical, lifestyle and dietary factors, the OR was reduced to 1.52 (95% CI 1.30-1.77), suggesting that these factors accounted for 47% of male excess risk. Male excess risk increased from proximal colon to distal colon and rectum, with age-adjusted ORs (95% CI) of 1.63 (1.38-1.91), 2.13 (1.85-2.45) and 2.36 (1.95-2.85), respectively, and with the proportion of excess risk explained by covariates being lower for AN in the rectum (26%) than for AN in the proximal (52%) or distal colon (46%). Male excess risk was somewhat lower (age-adjusted OR 1.87) and explained excess risk was smaller (36%) when men were compared to women who never used hormone replacement therapy. In conclusion, most of the male excess risk and the potential to overcome it remain to be explored by further research.

Clinicopathological features and risk factors for developing colorectal neoplasia in Hodgkin's lymphoma survivors.

BackgroundHodgkin’s lymphoma (HL) survivors treated with abdominal radiotherapy and/or procarbazine have an increased risk of developing colorectal neoplasia.AimsWe evaluated the clinicopathological characteristics and risk factors for developing (advanced) neoplasia (AN) in HL survivors.MethodsIn all, 101 HL survivors (median age 51 years, median age of HL diagnosis 25 years) underwent colonoscopy and 350 neoplasia and 44 AN (classified as advanced adenomas/serrated lesions or colorectal cancer), mostly right‐sided, were detected, as published previously. An average‐risk asymptomatic cohort who underwent screening colonoscopy were controls (median age 60 years). Clinicopathological characteristics of AN were evaluated in both groups. Mismatch repair (MMR) status was assessed using immunohistochemistry (MLH1/MSH2/MSH6/PMS2). Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the risk factors for AN in HL survivors, including age at HL diagnosis and interval between HL and colonoscopy.ResultsIn 101 colonoscopies in HL survivors, AN was primarily classified based on polyp size ≥10 mm, whereas (high‐grade)dysplasia was more often seen in AN in controls. An interval between HL diagnosis and colonoscopy >26 years was associated with more AN compared with an interval of <26 years, with an odds ratio for AN of 3.8 (95% confidence interval 1.4–9.1) (p < 0.01). All 39 AN that were assessed were MMR proficient.ConclusionsColorectal neoplasia in HL survivors differ from average‐risk controls; classification AN was primarily based on polyp size (≥10 mm) in HL survivors. Longer follow‐up between HL diagnosis and colonoscopy was associated with a higher prevalence of AN in HL survivors.

Prevalence of Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia in Veterans: Effects of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity.

We sought to quantify the independent effects of age, sex, and race/ethnicity on risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) and advanced neoplasia (AN) in Veterans. We conducted a retrospective, cross-sectional study of Veterans aged 40 to 80 years who had diagnostic or screening colonoscopy between 2002 and 2009 from 1 of 14 Veterans Affairs Medical Centers. Natural language processing identified the most advanced finding and location (proximal, distal). Logistic regression was used to examine the adjusted, independent effects of age, sex, and race, both overall and in screening and diagnostic subgroups. Among 90,598 Veterans [mean (SD) age 61.7 (9.4) y, 5.2% (n=4673) were women], CRC and AN prevalence was 1.3% (n=1171) and 8.9% (n=8081), respectively. Adjusted CRC risk was higher for diagnostic versus screening colonoscopy [odds ratio (OR)=3.79; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.19-4.50], increased with age, was numerically (but not statistically) higher for men overall (OR=1.53; 95% CI, 0.97-2.39) and in the screening subgroup (OR=2.24; 95% CI, 0.71-7.05), and was higher overall for Blacks and Hispanics, but not in screening. AN prevalence increased with age, and was present in 9.2% of men and 3.9% of women [adjusted OR=1.90; 95% CI, 1.60-2.25]. AN risk was 11% higher in Blacks than in Whites overall (OR=1.11; 95% CI, 1.04-1.20), was no different in screening, and was lower in Hispanics (OR=0.74; 95% CI, 0.55-0.98). Women had more proximal CRC (63% vs. 39% for men; P=0.03), but there was no difference in proximal AN (38.3% for both genders). Age and race were associated with AN and CRC prevalence. Blacks had a higher overall prevalence of both CRC and AN, but not among screenings. Men had increased risk for AN, while women had a higher proportion of proximal CRC. These findings may be used to tailor when and how Veterans are screened for CRC.

Colonoscopy Outcomes in Average-Risk Screening Equivalent Young Adults: Data From the New Hampshire Colonoscopy Registry.

Data are needed to further inform the American Cancer Society recommendation to begin colorectal cancer (CRC) screening at age 45. We used the New Hampshire Colonoscopy Registry to compare the prevalence of advanced neoplasia (AN) in an "average-risk screening equivalent" group aged 45-49 years with patients aged 50-54 years and older receiving screening colonoscopy. Colonoscopies in adults older than 50 years of age usually have diagnostic indications of varying clinical significance. We combined patients older than 50 years with diagnostic indications (abdominal pain and constipation) expected to yield AN prevalence similar to screening low AN risk and those with a screening indication to form an "average-risk screening equivalent" group. We excluded high-risk indications (e.g., bleeding and anemia), surveillance examinations, and patients with a first-degree family history of CRC, incomplete examinations, and poor bowel preparation. We calculated prevalence/adjusted risks for AN (≥1 cm, villous, high-grade dysplasia, and CRC) and clinically significant serrated polyps (large [≥1 cm] hyperplastic polyps, sessile serrated polyp, traditional serrated adenomas, and proximal hyperplastic polyp ≥ 5 mm). In our sample (n = 40,812), AN prevalence was as follows: <40 years (1.1%), 40-44 years (3.0%), 45-49 years (3.7%), 50-54 years (3.6%), 55-59 years (5.1%), and 60+ years (6.7%) (P < 0.0001 across all groups). The prevalence of both AN and clinically significant serrated polyp was similar in the 45-49 and 50-54 years' age groups. Furthermore, the prevalence of AN increased significantly in the 40-44 group as compared to that in the <40 years group. Adjusted analyses confirmed these results. The diagnostic indications considered to have low risk were not predictive of AN. New Hampshire Colonoscopy Registry data, demonstrating an increase in AN risk starting at age 40 and a similar prevalence for individuals aged 45-49 and those ages 50-54, provide clinically useful evidence for optimization of prevention and the age to start screening. However, this is a complex issue involving additional considerations that will need to be addressed.

Colorectal Neoplasia among Patients with and without Human Immunodeficiency Virus.

Increasing availability of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has led to prolonged survival and rising incidence of non-HIV-defining cancers among patients with HIV. Compared with the general population, risk of colorectal cancer may differ among those with HIV due to immunosuppression, oncogenic viral coinfections, and higher prevalence of risk factors. We identified patients (age ≥50 years) diagnosed with HIV, prescribed HAART for ≥6 months, and receiving care in two large health care systems in Dallas, TX. Patients received a first colonoscopy between January 2009 and December 2017. We calculated a standardized prevalence ratio as the ratio of observed to expected number of advanced neoplasia (high-risk adenoma or colorectal cancer) using an age- and sex-matched cohort of patients without HIV (n = 10,250). Among patients with HIV (n = 839), about two thirds (60.1%) had normal findings at colonoscopy; 6.8% had hyperplastic polyps only, 20.4% had low-risk adenomas, 11.7% had high-risk adenomas, and 1.1% had colorectal cancer. Prevalence of advanced neoplasia was similar between patients with and without HIV, with a standardized prevalence ratio of 0.99 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.19). There was no difference in the prevalence of colorectal neoplasia between patients with and without HIV. Patients with HIV appear to have similar risk of colorectal neoplasia compared to those without HIV and can therefore follow average-risk colorectal cancer screening guidelines.

Performance of CT Colonography in Diagnosis of Synchronous Colonic Lesions in Patients With Occlusive Colorectal Cancer.

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of CT colonography (CTC) in the diagnosis of synchronous colonic lesions in a cohort of patients with an occlusive colorectal cancer (CRC) causing incomplete colonoscopy. SUBJECTS AND METHODS. Among 109 patients with CRC causing incomplete colonoscopy who underwent CTC with IV contrast enhancement after cathartic purgation, fecal tagging, and colon distention, 70 (mean age, 70 years) for whom reference standards (surgical reports, first surveillance colonoscopy) were available were evaluated. Per-patient and per-lesion sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value (NPV), and positive predictive value (PPV) of CTC in the diagnosis of synchronous colonic lesions measuring 6 mm or larger were assessed. RESULTS. Twenty-seven of the 70 patients (39%) had at least one 6-mm or larger synchronous lesion, and four patients (6%) had a total of five synchronous CRCs. Per-patient sensitivity in diagnosing synchronous CRC was 1.00 (4/4). There were 59 lesions: 20 with a diameter of 10 mm or greater; 30, 6-9 mm; and nine, 5 mm or less. The overall per-patient CTC sensitivity in detecting synchronous lesions 6 mm or larger was 0.93 (25/27); specificity, 0.98 (42/43); PPV, 0.96; and NPV, 0.95. Per-patient sensitivity for the diagnosis of synchronous advanced neoplasia (advanced adenoma and colorectal cancers) was 0.94 (15/16). Per-lesion CTC sensitivity for detecting synchronous lesions 6 mm or larger was 0.88 (37/42); all adenomatous lesions, 0.89 (55/62); and advanced neoplasia, 0.92 (22/24). CONCLUSION. CTC is a highly accurate test for detecting synchronous colonic lesions in patients with occlusive CRC. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia is high (23%).

High prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia and serrated polyposis syndrome in Hodgkin lymphoma survivors.

BackgroundHodgkin lymphoma (HL) survivors treated with abdominal radiotherapy and/or alkylating chemotherapy have an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study was aimed at evaluating the prevalence of colorectal neoplasia in HL survivors.MethodsThis multicenter cohort study assessed the diagnostic yield of advanced colorectal neoplasia detected by a first surveillance colonoscopy among HL survivors treated with abdominal radiotherapy and/or procarbazine. Advanced colorectal neoplasia included advanced adenomas (high‐grade dysplasia, ≥25% villous component, or ≥10‐mm diameter), advanced serrated lesions (dysplasia or ≥10‐mm diameter), and CRC. The results were compared with those for a Dutch general population cohort that underwent a primary screening colonoscopy (1426 asymptomatic individuals 50‐75 years old). This study demonstrated the results of a predefined interim analysis.ResultsA colonoscopy was performed in 101 HL survivors, who were significantly younger (median, 51 years; interquartile range [IQR], 45‐57 years) than the general population controls (median, 60 years; IQR, 55‐65 years; P < .001). The prevalence of advanced neoplasia was higher in HL survivors than controls (25 of 101 [25%] vs 171 of 1426 [12%]; P < .001). Advanced adenomas were detected in 14 of 101 HL survivors (14%) and in 124 of 1426 controls (9%; P = .08). The prevalence of advanced serrated lesions was higher in HL survivors than controls (12 of 101 [12%] vs 55 of 1426 [4%]; P < .001). Serrated polyposis syndrome was present in 6% of HL survivors and absent in controls (P < .001).ConclusionsHL survivors treated with abdominal radiotherapy and/or procarbazine have a high prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia. The implementation of a colonoscopy surveillance program should be considered.

Colorectal Advanced Neoplasia Are Associated with Aging, Current Smoking, and Metabolic Factors in Japan: Analyses of Comprehensive Health Checkup Data

Introduction: For the past decades, the incidence and mortality rate of colorectal cancer (CRC) have increased in Japan and CRC is the third leading cause of cancer death in Japan. The association of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and CRC has been reported in several studies, however, individual factors contributing to CRC occurrence have been obscure, especially in Japan. In the present study, we investigated the risk factors such as metabolic and lifestyle factors for colorectal advanced neoplasia (AN) using comprehensive health checkup data. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis in clinical practice at a single center. Among 10138 subjects who took comprehensive health checkup at our hospital between in August 2012 and December 2016, 2769 subjects who underwent screening colonoscopy were enrolled. In the present study, AN was defined as cancer or adenoma that was at least 10 mm in diameter, had high-grade dysplasia, had villous or tubulovillous histologic characteristics, or any combination thereof. A diagnosis of MetS was made by Metabolic Syndrome Diagnostic Criteria Exploratory Committee in Japan. We evaluated demographic characteristics, anthropometric measurements, visceral fat area (VFA) measured by CT, hematological metabolic parameters, degree of liver fat evaluated by ultrasonography, and current smoking and drinking habits as variables. Association between variables and AN was evaluated by univariate analysis using t-test, ?2 test, Mann-Whitney test, and then by multivariate analysis using multiple logistic regression model. A pvalue < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: Of 2769 subjects (men: 1843, women: 926) analyzed, 676 subjects were diagnosed as MetS (24.4%; 31.3 % in men, 10.8 % in women) and 99 subjects had AN (3.6%). Subjects with MetS had significantly more AN (37 subjects, 5.5%) compared with those without MetS (62 subjects, 3.0%) (p = 0.004). Univariate analysis identified significant association of age, body mass index (BMI), VFA, systolic blood pressure, fatty liver, current smoking habits and ≥ 10 kg weight gain compared with the body weight at the age of twenty with AN prevalence. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age, current smoking, low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol and triglycerides were independent factors associated with AN prevalence (Table). Conclusion: The present study demonstrated that colorectal AN was associated with MetS and aging, current smoking and dyslipidemia might be risk factors for CRC in Japan.210 Figure 1. OR; odds ratio, CI; confidence interval, N.S.; not significant

Prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia according to risk categories at screening colonoscopy in a tertiary referral center.

578 Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer in the world. There is strong evidence that screening for colorectal cancer improves survival in conutries with high incidence. Although Mexico is considered a country with a low incidence of CRC, 4694 potentially preventable deaths occur every year. There is no established CRC screening program in our country, risk stratification of the target populations to be screened may bring potential advantages, making the strategy more cost-effective. The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS) score, is a validated risk-stratification tool that helps identify individuals at risk for advanced colorectal neoplasm amongst the asymptomatic population. Methods: We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional analysis of database records from 1172 patients who underwent screening colonoscopy betwen january 2013 and november 2014. Results: The prevalence of advanced colorectal neoplasia was 2.9%. Applying the APCS stratification, 91 subjects (7.8%) were in the average risk tier, 849 subjects (72.4%) in the moderate risk tier and 232 (19.8%) subjects in the high risk tier. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia in the average risk, moderate risk and high risk groups was 0%, 2.6% and 5.1%, respectively. The subjects in the high risk tier had 2.21-fold (p = 0.021) increased prevalence of advanced neoplasia than those in the average-moderate tier. Conclusions: The APCS score is a simple risk stratification index for colorectal advanced neoplasm that uses elementary clinical information on age, gender, family history and smoking to stratify the risk of colorectal advanced neoplasm in asymptomatic subjects for priority of colorectal screening.

A modified colorectal screening score for prediction of advanced neoplasia: A prospective study of 5744 subjects.

We validated a modified risk algorithm based on the Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS) score that included body mass index (BMI) for prediction of advanced neoplasia. Among 5744 Chinese asymptomatic screening participants undergoing a colonoscopy in Hong Kong from 2008 to 2012, a random sample of 3829 participants acted as the derivation cohort. The odds ratios for significant risk factors identified by binary logistic regression analysis were used to build a scoring system ranging from 0 to 6, divided into "average risk" (AR): 0; "moderate risk" (MR): 1-2; and "high risk" (HR): 3-6. The other 1915 subjects formed a validation cohort, and the performance of the score was assessed. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia in the derivation and validation cohorts was 5.4% and 6.0%, respectively (P=0.395). Old age, male gender, family history of colorectal cancer, smoking, and BMI were significant predictors in multivariate regression analysis. A BMI cut-off at >23kg/m2 had better predictive capability and lower number needed to screen than that of >25kg/m2 . Utilizing the score developed, 8.4%, 57.4%, and 34.2% in the validation cohort were categorized as AR, MR, and HR, respectively. The corresponding prevalence of advanced neoplasia was 3.8%, 4.3%, and 9.3%. Subjects in the HR group had 2.48-fold increased prevalence of advanced neoplasia than the AR group. The c-statistics of the modified score had better discriminatory capability than that using predictors of APCS alone (c-statistics=0.65 vs 0.60). Incorporating BMI into the predictors of APCS score was found to improve risk prediction of advanced neoplasia and reduce colonoscopy resources.

Should Screening Colonoscopy Be Offered From Age 50?

The introduction of colonoscopic screening in 2002 for persons aged 55 and older was followed by a marked decline in the incidence of colon cancer in the corresponding age groups in Germany. The prevalence of colorectal neoplasia among persons aged 50 to 54 has remained unknown until now. Expert committees currently recommend colonoscopic screening for persons aged 50 and older. This option has been offered since 2014 by the AOK Baden-Württemberg and by Bosch BKK in the framework of their specialized medical care program. In April 2014 and 2015, 84 726 insurees aged 50-54 were invited by mail to participate in colonoscopic screening. The utilization and results of colonoscopic screening were studied. A questionnaire about risks was additionally sent to half of the participants, who were selected at random (study registration: DRKS00006268). Within one year, 1.9% of persons to whom invitations had been sent took up the offer of colonoscopic screening; these persons included 3.3% of those already enrolled in the specialized medical care program. The 1396 colonoscopies that were performed revealed advanced neoplasia (colon cancer or advanced adenoma) in 6.8% of cases. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia among men aged 50 to 54 was nearly twice as high as that among women in the same age group (8.6% vs. 4.5%, p = 0.0027). It was also higher than the prevalences documented in the German nationwide cancer registry for women aged 55 to 79. The additional sending of a risk questionnaire along with the invitation had no effect on the rate of detection of relevant findings or on the rate of participation in colonoscopic screening. These findings lend support to the demand that the offer of colonoscopic screening should be extended at least to men aged 50 and above.

Risk of Advanced Neoplasia Using the National Cancer Institute's Colorectal Cancer Risk Assessment Tool.

There is no validated, discriminating, and easy-to-apply tool for estimating risk of colorectal neoplasia. We studied whether the National Cancer Institute's (NCI's) Colorectal Cancer (CRC) Risk Assessment Tool, which estimates future CRC risk, could estimate current risk for advanced colorectal neoplasia among average-risk persons. This cross-sectional study involved individuals age 50 to 80 years undergoing first-time screening colonoscopy. We measured medical and family history, lifestyle information, and physical measures and calculated each person's future CRC risk using the NCI tool's logistic regression equation. We related quintiles of future CRC risk to the current risk of advanced neoplasia (sessile serrated polyp or tubular adenoma ≥ 1 cm, a polyp with villous histology or high-grade dysplasia, or CRC). All statistical tests were two-sided. For 4457 (98.5%) with complete data (mean age = 57.2 years, SD = 6.6 years, 51.7% women), advanced neoplasia prevalence was 8.26%. Based on quintiles of five-year estimated absolute CRC risk, current risks of advanced neoplasia were 2.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.3% to 3.3%), 4.8% (95% CI = 3.5% to 6.4%), 6.4% (95% CI = 4.9% to 8.2%), 10.0% (95% CI = 8.1% to 12.1%), and 17.6% (95% CI = 15.5% to 20.6%; P < .001). For quintiles of estimated 10-year CRC risk, corresponding current risks for advanced neoplasia were 2.2% (95% CI = 1.4% to 3.5%), 4.8% (95% CI = 3.5% to 6.4%), 6.5% (95% CI = 5.0% to 8.3%), 9.3% (95% CI = 7.5% to 11.4%), and 18.4% (95% CI = 15.9% to 21.1%; P < .001). Among persons with an estimated five-year CRC risk above the median, current risk for advanced neoplasia was 12.8%, compared with 3.7% among those below the median (relative risk = 3.4, 95 CI = 2.7 to 4.4). The NCI's Risk Assessment Tool, which estimates future CRC risk, may be used to estimate current risk for advanced neoplasia, making it potentially useful for tailoring and improving CRC screening efficiency among average-risk persons.

Advanced colonic neoplasia in the first degree relatives of colon cancer patients: A colonoscopy-based study.

We aimed to determine the risk of advanced neoplasms among a cohort of asymptomatic first degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with sporadic colorectal cancer (CRC) compared with matched controls. Data for patients with a diagnosis of CRC made between September 2013 and August 2014 were obtained from a population-based cancer registry system in Tehran. Screening colonoscopies were done for 342 FDRs and the findings were compared to those from 342 age- and gender-matched healthy controls without a family history of CRC. We reported the association as conditional Odds Ratio (OR) using Mantel Hazel and Logistic regression. The prevalence of advanced neoplasia was 13.2% among FDRs and 3.8% in controls (matched OR [mOR], 4.0, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1 - 7.6; p < 0.001). In FDRs aged 40-49 years, the prevalence of advanced neoplasia was significantly higher than in their matched controls (mOR, 6.8, 95% CI, 1.5-31.4; p = 0.01). Family history of CRC in at least one FDR was the strongest predictor of advanced neoplasia (adjusted OR, 4.0, 95% CI: 2.1-7.6; p < 0.001). The age of the index case at diagnosis did not predict the presence of advanced colonic neoplasms in their FDRs. Our study indicates a high risk of advanced neoplasia in FDRs of CRC cases, where only eight colonoscopies are needed to detect one advanced neoplasia. Our data suggest that all FDRs, regardless of the age of CRC diagnosis in their index case, should be considered for a targeted early screening.

Predicting advanced neoplasia at colonoscopy in a diverse population with the National Cancer Institute colorectal cancer risk-assessment tool.

Tailoring screening to colorectal cancer (CRC) risk could improve screening effectiveness. Most CRCs arise from advanced neoplasia (AN) that dwells for years. To date, no available colorectal neoplasia risk score has been validated externally in a diverse population. The authors explored whether the National Cancer Institute (NCI) CRC risk-assessment tool, which was developed to predict future CRC risk, could predict current AN prevalence in a diverse population, thereby allowing its use in risk stratification for screening. This was a prospective examination of the relation between predicted 10-year CRC risk and the prevalence of AN, defined as advanced or multiple (≥3 adenomatous, ≥5 serrated) adenomatous or sessile serrated polyps, in individuals undergoing screening colonoscopy. Among 509 screenees (50% women; median age, 58 years; 61% white, 5% black, 10% Hispanic, and 24% Asian), 58 (11%) had AN. The prevalence of AN increased progressively from 6% in the lowest risk-score quintile to 17% in the highest risk-score quintile (P = .002). Risk-score distributions in individuals with versus without AN differed significantly (median, 1.38 [0.90-1.87] vs 1.02 [0.62-1.57], respectively; P = .003), with substantial overlap. The discriminatory accuracy of the tool was modest, with areas under the curve of 0.61 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.54-0.69) overall, 0.59 (95% CI, 0.49-0.70) for women, and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.53-0.73) for men. The results did not change substantively when the analysis was restricted to adenomatous lesions or to screening procedures without any additional incidental indication. The NCI CRC risk-assessment tool displays modest discriminatory accuracy in predicting AN at screening colonoscopy in a diverse population. This tool may aid shared decision-making in clinical practice. Cancer 2016. © 2016 American Cancer Society. Cancer 2016;122:2663-2670. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

Evaluation of a clinical risk index for advanced colorectal neoplasia among a North American population of screening age

BackgroundA clinical risk index employing age, sex, family history of colorectal cancer (CRC), smoking history and body mass index (BMI) may be useful for prioritizing screening with colonoscopy. The aim of this study was to conduct an external evaluation of a previously published risk index for advanced neoplasia (AN) in a large, well-characterized cohort.MethodsFive thousand one hundred thirty-seven asymptomatic persons aged 50 to 74 (54.9 % women) with a mean age (SD) of 58.3 (6.2) years were recruited for the study from a teaching hospital and colorectal cancer screening centre between 2003 and 2011. All participants underwent a complete screening colonoscopy and removal of all polyps. AN was defined as cancer or a tubular adenoma, traditional serrated adenoma (TSA), or sessile serrated adenoma (SSA) with villous characteristics (≥25% villous component), and/or high-grade dysplasia and/or diameter ≥10 mm. Risk scores for each participant were summed to derive an overall score (0–8). The c-statistic was used to measure discriminating ability of the risk index.ResultsThe prevalence of AN in the study cohort was 6.8 %. The likelihood of detecting AN increased from 3.6 to 13.1 % for those with a risk score of 1 to 6 respectively. The c-statistic for the multivariable logistic model in our cohort was 0.64 (95 % CI = 0.61–067) indicating modest overlap between risk scores.ConclusionsThe risk index for AN using age, sex, family history, smoking history and BMI was found to be of limited discriminating ability upon external validation. The index requires further refinement to better predict AN in average risk persons of screening age.

Derivation and Validation of a Scoring System to Stratify Risk for Advanced Colorectal Neoplasia in Asymptomatic Adults: A Cross-sectional Study.

Several methods are recommended equally strongly for colorectal cancer screening in average-risk persons. Risk stratification would enable tailoring of screening within this group, with less invasive tests (sigmoidoscopy or occult blood tests) for lower-risk persons and colonoscopy for higher-risk persons. To create a risk index for advanced neoplasia (colorectal cancer and adenomas or serrated polyps ≥1.0 cm, villous histology, or high-grade dysplasia) anywhere in the colorectum, using the most common risk factors for colorectal neoplasia. Cross-sectional study. Multiple endoscopy units, primarily in the Midwest. Persons aged 50 to 80 years undergoing initial screening colonoscopy (December 2004 to September 2011). Derivation and validation of a risk index based on points from regression coefficients for age, sex, waist circumference, cigarette smoking, and family history of colorectal cancer. Among 2993 persons in the derivation set, prevalence of advanced neoplasia was 9.4%. Risks for advanced neoplasia in persons at very low, low, intermediate, and high risk were 1.92% (95% CI, 0.63% to 4.43%), 4.88% (CI, 3.79% to 6.18%), 9.93% (CI, 8.09% to 12.0%), and 24.9% (CI, 21.1% to 29.1%), respectively (P < 0.001). Sigmoidoscopy to the descending colon in the low-risk groups would have detected 51 of 70 (73% [CI, 61% to 83%]) advanced neoplasms. Among 1467 persons in the validation set, corresponding risks for advanced neoplasia were 1.65% (CI, 0.20% to 5.84%), 3.31% (CI, 2.08% to 4.97%), 10.9% (CI, 8.26% to 14.1%), and 22.3% (CI, 16.9% to 28.5%), respectively (P < 0.001). Sigmoidoscopy would have detected 21 of 24 (87.5% [CI, 68% to 97%]) advanced neoplasms. Split-sample validation; results apply to first-time screening. This index stratifies risk for advanced neoplasia among average-risk persons by identifying lower-risk groups for which noncolonoscopy strategies may be effective and efficient and a higher-risk group for which colonoscopy may be preferred. National Cancer Institute, Walther Cancer Institute, Indiana University Simon Cancer Center, and Indiana Clinical and Translational Sciences Institute.