Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure Research Consortium Research Articles

Clinical profile of adult and pediatric patients with hepatic Wilson's disease.

The clinical profile varies in patients with Wilson's disease (WD). There is paucity of data regarding adult and pediatric patients with hepatic WD. As many as 140 consecutive patients diagnosed with hepatic WD between December 2006andJanuary 2021 were included in the study. Data was collected regarding the demographic parameters, clinical presentation, extrahepatic organ involvement, liver histology and laboratory investigations. Adult and children (0-14years) with hepatic WD were compared regarding thesefeatures. Eighty-eight adults and 52 children were included in the study. The median age of presentation was 17 years (range: 1.1-42years). Male preponderance was seen (adult 68/88, 69%; children 40/52, 77%). Adults as compared to children presented more commonly as cirrhosis (52/88 vs. 15/52, p = 0.0005) and with hepatic decompensation (35/88 vs. 9/52, p = 0.005). Presentation with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was more common in children (10/52 vs. 2/88, p = 0.0005). Twenty-eight-day mortality was 50% (5/10) in children and none in adults presenting with ACLF. Nazer's Prognostic Index (≥ 7) and New Wilson Index were more accurate in predicting mortality among children with ACLF with AUROC 1, while AARC (APASL ACLF Research Consortium) was less accurate with AUROC 0.45. Liver histology findings were similar in adults and children. Extrahepatic involvement was also similar. (8/88 in adults vs. 3/52 children, p value 0.48). Most patients with WD present as cirrhosis in adulthood. ACLF is more common in children. Nazer's prognostic index and new Wilson Index score are accurate in predicting mortality in children with ACLF.

Dynamic Assessment of Modified Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment in Acutely Deteriorated Patients with Chronic Liver Disease.

Quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) has been suggested to identify those who have poor outcomes in patients with suspected infection. We aimed to evaluate the ability of the modified qSOFA (m-qSOFA) to identify high-risk patients in acutely deteriorated patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), especially acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We used the data of both Korean Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (KACLiF) and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) cohorts. qSOFA was modified by replacing the Glasgow Coma Scale with hepatic encephalopathy, and m-qSOFA≥2 was considered high. Patients with high m-qSOFA had a significantly lower 1-month transplant-free survival (TFS) in both cohorts and higher organ failure development in KACLiF than patients with low m-qSOFA (Ps<0.05). Subgroup analysis by ACLF showed that patients with high m-qSOFA had lower TFS than patients with low m-qSOFA. m-qSOFA was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratios (HR)=2.604, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.353-5.013, P=0.004 in KACLiF and HR=1.904, 95% CI 1.484-2.442, P<0.001 in AARC). The patients with low m-qSOFA at baseline but high m-qSOFA on the 7th day had a significantly lower 1-month TFS than the patients with high m-qSOFA at baseline but low m-qSOFA on the 7th day (52.6% vs. 89.4%, P<0.001 in KACLiF and 26.9% vs. 61.5%, P<0.001 in AARC). Baseline and dynamic changes in m-qSOFA were useful to identify patients with a high risk of organ failure development and short-term mortality among CLD patients with acute deterioration.

Ammonia is associated with liver-related complications and predicts mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

The relationship between ammonia and liver-related complications (LRCs) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is not clearly established. This study aimed to evaluate the association between ammonia levels and LRCs in patients with ACLF. The study also evaluated the ability of ammonia in predicting mortality and progression of LRCs. The study prospectively recruited ACLF patients based on the APASL definition from the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) from 2009 to 2019. LRCs were a composite endpoint of bacterial infection, overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and ascites. A total of 3871 cases were screened. Of these, 701 ACLF patients were enrolled. Patients with LRCs had significantly higher ammonia levels than those without. Ammonia was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and ascites, but not in those with bacterial infection. Multivariate analysis found that ammonia was associated with LRCs. Additionally, baseline arterial ammonia was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, but it was not associated with the development of new LRCs within 30 days. In summary, baseline arterial ammonia levels are associated with 30-day mortality and LRCs, mainly overt HE and ascites in ACLF patients.

Adult-to-adult right lobe graft living donor liver transplantation for acute-on-chronic liver failure: a single-centre retrospective study in Vietnam.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has a high mortality rate, and liver transplantation is considered a definite treatment for patients with this condition. This study aims to evaluate the outcomes of living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) in ACLF patients in a single centre in a lower middle-income country, Vietnam. This was a retrospective study at the 108 Military Central Hospital (Hanoi, Vietnam), enroling 51 patients diagnosed with ACLF based on Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria who underwent LDLT with a right lobe graft from December 2019 to December 2022. The authors utilize the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) scores to evaluate and stratify the severity of ACLF. The average age of all patients was 47.27±13.61, with 88.24% being male. The average BMI was 22.78±2.61. The most common underlying liver disease was chronic viral hepatitis B (88.2%). The average MELD score of the patients was 34.90±5.61, with 33.3% having MELD score greater than or equal to 40. In terms of ACLF severity, five patients (9.8%) had grade I ACLF, 35 patients (68.6%) had grade II ACLF, and 11 patients (21.6%) had grade III ACLF. The average AARC score was 9.43±1.68. The duration of treatment in the ICU was 8.59±7.27 days, and the length of hospital stay was 28.02±13.45 days. The most common post-transplant complication was biliary complication (19.61%). Death occurred in 7 patients (13.7%). The survival rates at 6 months, 1 year, and 3 years were 84%, 81.7%, and 81.7%, respectively. Living donor liver transplantation for ACLF patients is safe and has a high post-transplant survival rate. Multidisciplinary care before, during, and after surgery, and the decision to do a liver transplant early, is essential in saving the lives of ACLF patients.

Comparison of a Novel Score “NOD−ACLF” to Other Established Prognostic Scores for Prediction of Mortality in APASL−ACLF Patients: A Cohort Study from a Tertiary Care Center of North India

Commonly used prognostic scores for acute on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have complex calculations. We tried to compare the simple counting of numbers and types of organ dysfunction to these scores, to predict mortality in ACLF patients. In this prospective cohort study, ACLF patients diagnosed on the basis of Asia Pacific Association for Study of the Liver (APASL) definition were included. Severity scores were calculated. Prognostic factors for outcome were analysed. A new score, the Number of Organ Dysfunctions in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (NOD-ACLF) score was developed. Among 80 ACLF patients, 74 (92.5%) were male, and 6 were female (7.5%). The mean age was 41.0±10.7 (18-70) years. Profile of acute insult was; alcohol 48 (60%), sepsis 30 (37.5%), variceal bleeding 22 (27.5%), viral 8 (10%), and drug-induced 3 (3.8%). Profiles of chronic insults were alcohol 61 (76.3%), viral 20 (25%), autoimmune 3 (3.8%), and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis 2 (2.5%). Thirty-eight (47.5%) were discharged, and 42 (52.5%) expired. The mean number of organ dysfunction (NOD-ACLF score) was ->4.5, simple organ failure count (SOFC) score was >2.5, APASL ACLF Research Consortium score was >11.5, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Lactate (MELD-LA) score was >21.5, and presence of cardiovascular and respiratory dysfunctions were significantly associated with mortality. NOD-ACLF and SOFC scores had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic to predict mortality among all these. The NOD-ACLF score is easy to calculate bedside and is a good predictor of mortality in ACLF patients performing similar or better to other scores.

Pediatric Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by an acute hepatic insult happening in a patient with underlying cirrhosis with compromised hepatic reserve leading to development of systemic inflammation, sepsis, and organ failure resulting in poor outcome in majority. While Asia Pacific Association for Study of Liver Diseases (APASL) emphasizes on early diagnosis before development of organ failure, European Association for Study of Liver Diseases (EASL) mandates the presence of organ failures to define ACLF. There is a lack of consensus definition of pediatric ACLF although recent APASL guidelines have tried to address the issue. While Wilson disease (WD) and autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) are the most common cause of underlying cirrhosis in children, acute viral hepatitis and flares of WD and AIH are the commonest acute precipitating events. Poor outcomes [death and liver transplantation (LT)] ranging from 19 to 59% have been reported. Prognosis in pediatric ACLF is usually better than that in adults due to greater proportion of treatable etiologies, lesser organ failures, comorbidities and better hepatic reserves. APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score more than or equal to 11 is predictive of poor 28-90 d mortality. Treatment of pediatric ACLF relies mainly on prompt diagnosis and medical management of a potentially treatable etiology of underlying cirrhosis. Bridging therapies, especially high volume plasma exchange can be initiated early as a bridge to LT or native liver recovery. Those with no improvement in 4-7 d should undergo LT before development of sepsis or multi-organ failure.

Healthcare utilization and outcomes of living donor liver transplantation for patients with APASL-defined acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Liver transplantation (LT) is associated with excellent survival in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). There is a lack of data assessing the healthcare utilization and outcomes of patients with APASL-defined ACLF undergoing living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). Our aim was to assess pre-LT healthcare utilization and post-LT outcomes in such patients. Patients with ACLF who underwent LDLT at our center between 1st April 2019 and 1st October 2021 were included. Seventy-three ACLF patients willing to undergo LDLT were listed; eighteen patients died within 30days. Fifty-five patients underwent LDLT (age:38.05 ± 14.76years; alcohol:52.7%; males:81.8%). Most were in grade II ACLF (87.3%) at the time of LDLT (APASL ACLF Research Consortium [AARC] score: 9.05 ± 1; MELD NA: 28.15 ± 4.13). Survival rate was 72.73%; mean follow-up period of 925.21days; 58.2% (32/55) developed complications during the first year post-LT; 45% (25/55) and 12.7% (7/55) developed infections within and after 3months. Pre-LT, each patient required a median of 2 (1-4) admissions for 17 (4-45) days. Fifty-six percent (31/55) of patients underwent plasma exchange pre-LDLT. A median amount of Rs. 8,25,090 (INR 26,000-43,58,154) was spent to stabilize the patient (who were sicker and waited longer to undergo LDLT); though post-LT survival benefit was not observed. LDLT was associated with 73% survival and, thus, is a viable option in those with APASL-defined ACLF. There was a pre-LT high healthcare resource utilization of plasma exchange, with the intention of optimization, while survival benefit has not been demonstrated.

Acute kidney injury in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: clinical significance and management.

Acute-on-chronic-liver failure (ACLF) refers to a phenomenon in which patients with chronic liver disease develop multiple organ failure due to acute exacerbation of underlying liver disease. More than 10 definitions of ACLF are extant around the world, and there is lack of consensus on whether extrahepatic organ failure is a main component or a consequence of ACLF. Asian and European consortiums have their own definitions of ACLF. The Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver ACLF Research Consortium does not consider kidney failure as a diagnostic criterion for ACLF. Meanwhile, the European Association for the Study of the Liver Chronic Liver Failure and the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease do consider kidney failure as an important factor in diagnosing and assessing the severity of ACLF. When kidney failure occurs in ACLF patients, treatment varies depending on the presence and stage of acute kidney injury (AKI). In general, the diagnosis of AKI in cirrhotic patients is based on the International Club of Ascites criteria: an increase of 0.3 mg/dL or more within 48 hours or a serum creatinine increase of 50% or more within one week. This study underscores the importance of kidney failure or AKI in patients with ACLF by reviewing its pathophysiology, prevention methods, and treatment approaches.

Identifying the early predictors of non-response to steroids in patients with flare of autoimmune hepatitis causing acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Early identification of non-response to steroids is critical in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We assessed if this non-response can be accurately identified within first few days of treatment. Patients with AIH-ACLF without baseline infection/hepatic encephalopathy were identified from APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) database. Diagnosis of AIH-ACLF was based mainly on histology. Those treated with steroids were assessed for non-response (defined as death or liver transplant at 90days for present study). Laboratory parameters, AARC, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were assessed at baseline and day 3 to identify early non-response. Utility of dynamic SURFASA score [-6.80 + 1.92*(D0-INR) + 1.94*(∆%3-INR) + 1.64*(∆%3-bilirubin)] was also evaluated. The performance of early predictors was compared with changes in MELD score at 2weeks. Fifty-five out of one hundred and sixty-five patients (age-38.2 ± 15.0years, 67.2% females) with AIH-ACLF [median MELD 24 (IQR: 22-27); median AARC score 7 (6-9)] given oral prednisolone 40 (20-40) mg per day were analyzed. The 90day transplant-free survival in this cohort was 45.7% with worse outcomes in those with incident infections (56% vs 28.0%, p = 0.03). The AUROC of pre-therapy AARC score [0.842 (95% CI 0.754-0.93)], MELD [0.837 (95% CI 0.733-0.94)] score and SURFASA score [0.795 (95% CI 0.678-0.911)] were as accurate as ∆MELD at 2weeks [0.770 (95% CI 0.687-0.845), p = 0.526] and better than ∆MELD at 3days [0.541 (95% CI 0.395, 0.687), p < 0.001] to predict non-response. Combination of AARC score > 6, MELD score > 24 with SURFASA score ≥ -1.2, could identify non-responders at day 3 (concomitant- 75% vs either -42%, p < 0.001). Baseline AARC score, MELD score, and the dynamic SURFASA score on day 3 can accurately identify early non-response to steroids in AIH-ACLF.

Therapeutic plasma exchange is a safe and effective bridge therapy in patients with alcohol-associated ACLF not having immediate prospects for liver transplantation-A case-control, pilot study.

Therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) is a well-established treatment modality in acute liver failure patients, but its efficacy in treating acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is yet to be established. To assess the efficacy and safety of TPE in patients with alcohol-associated ACLF who were nonresponders to standard medical treatment (SMT) and without immediate prospects for liver transplantation. Twenty-eight alcohol-related ACLF (grade II) patients (14 cases and 14 controls) were enrolled in the study. Cases underwent standard volume TPE along with SMT while the controls were on SMT alone. The change (baseline to day 10) in laboratory parameters, cytokine concentrations, clinical severity scores along with 30 and 90 day mortality rates were noted and compared between the two groups. The adverse events (AEs) were noted in the groups and analyzed. A total of 51 TPE procedures were performed in 14 patients (average of 3.62 procedures/patient). TPE was effective in reduction of serum bilirubin, ammonia, activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, and severity scores (ACLF Research Consortium, Maddrey's discriminant function, and model for end-stage liver disease) (P < .05). There was no significant difference in the reduction of serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-10, and tumor necrosis factor-α concentrations among cases. Among the cases who received the complete TPE interventions, 30- and 90-day mortality rates were lower in the cases as compared to controls albeit only the 90-day mortality was significantly different. Procedure-related AEs was observed in 2% of procedures. TPE is an effective and well-tolerated bridge therapy in patients with alcohol-associated ACLF of moderate severity not improving on SMT and without immediate prospects for liver transplantation.

Assessment Value of Short-Term Prognosis of Six Predictive Models for Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Treated with Artificial Liver Support System

To apply 6 predictive models on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients treated with artificial liver support system (ALSS), and to compare their assessment values for the short-term prognosis of patients. A total of 258 ACLF patients who underwent ALSS therapy between January 2018 and December 2019 were selected from the ALSS clinical database established by West China Hospital, Sichuan University, and their clinical data and 90-day prognosis information were collected. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the association between the six predictive models, including Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF (COSSH ACLF), European Association for the Study of the Liver--Chronic Liver Failure-Consortium (CLIF-C) ACLF, CLIF-C Organ Failure (OF), Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) ACLF, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Simplified MELD (sMELD), and 90-day mortality, which included death or receiving liver transplantation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve ( AUC), Harrell's C-index and Brier scores were calculated and compared to evaluate the predictive power. A total of 258 ACLF patients were enrolled. Of these patients, who had a mean age of (46.2±11.7) years old, 37 (14.3%) patients were female, 202 (78.3%) patients had a diagnosis of liver cirrhosis, and 107 (41.5%) patients died during the 90-day follow-up period. The six predictive models all yielded higher scores for patients who died than those for patients who survived (all P<0.001). The six predictive models were all independent risk factors for the short-term prognosis of ACLF patients treated with ALSS (all adjusted hazard ratio [HR]>1, all P<0.001). The AUC (0.806, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.753-0.853) and Harrell's C-index (0.772, 95% CI: 0.727-0.816) of COSSH ACLF were much higher than those of the five other predictive models (all AUCs<0.750, P<0.01; all Harrell's C-indices<0.750, P<0.001). The Brier score of COSSH ACLF was 0.18 (95% CI: 0.15-0.20). The 90-day mortality of patients defined as having low risk, moderate risk, and high risk according to the risk stratification of COSSH ACLF were 22.2%, 56.3%, and 90.2%, respectively. The COSSH ACLF could more accurately predict short-term prognosis in ACLF patients who received ALSS therapy, and could facilitate clinical decision-making.

Acute variceal bleeding portends poor outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: a propensity score matched study from the APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC).

Limited data exist regarding outcomes of acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), especially in those with hepatic failure. We evaluated the outcomes of AVB in patients with ACLF in a multinational cohort of APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC). Prospectively maintained data from AARC database on patients with ACLF who developed AVB (ACLF-AVB) was analysed. This data included demographic profile, severity of liver disease, and rebleeding and mortality in 6 weeks. These outcomes were compared with a propensity score matched (PSM) cohort of ACLF matched for severity of liver disease (MELD, AARC score) without AVB (ACLF without AVB). Of the 4434 ACLF patients, the outcomes in ACLF-AVB (n = 72) [mean age-46 ± 10.4years, 93% males, 66% with alcoholic liver disease, 65% with alcoholic hepatitis, AARC score: 10.1 ± 2.2, MELD score: 34 (IQR: 27-40)] were compared with a PSM cohort selected in a ratio of 1:2 (n = 143) [mean age-44.9 ± 12.5years, 82.5% males, 48% alcoholic liver disease, 55.7% alcoholic hepatitis, AARC score: 9.4 ± 1.5, MELD score: 32 (IQR: 24-40)] of ACLF-without AVB. Despite PSM, ACLF patients with AVB had a higher baseline HVPG than without AVB (25.00 [IQR: 23.00-28.00] vs. 17.00 [15.00-21.75] mmHg; p = 0.045). The 6-week mortality in ACLF patients with or without AVB was 70.8% and 53.8%, respectively (p = 0.025). The 6-week rebleeding rate was 23% in ACLF-AVB. Presence of ascites [hazard ratio (HR) 2.2 (95% CI 1.03-9.8), p = 0.026], AVB [HR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-2.5, p = 0.03)], and MELD score [HR 1.7 (95% CI 1.1-2.1), p = 0.001] independently predicted mortality in the overall ACLF cohort. Development of AVB confers poor outcomes in patients with ACLF with a high 6-week mortality. Elevated HVPG at baseline represents a potential risk factor for future AVB in ACLF.

The Relationship between FT3 Level and Severity of HBV-ACLF.

We aimed to explore the relationship between free triiodothyronine (FT3) level and severity of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). A total of 122 patients with HBV-ACLF who were hospitalized in Beijing You'an Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University from September 2018 to February 2020 were included in this study. The FT3 level and the number of organs involved in patients with different stages of liver failure were analyzed. The patients were divided into four groups, Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4, according to FT3 level. Correlation analysis was used to compare the correlation between FT3 level and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score, CLIF-consortium organ failure (CLIF-COF) score, and Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) Research Consortium (AARC) score. Multiple linear regression, logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to analyze the effect of FT3 on MELD score. The FT3 level was the lowest in patients with advanced HBV-ACLF, but the highest in patients with early-stage HBV-ACLF (P < 0.01). The more organs involved, the lower the level of FT3 (P < 0.01). The MELD score of Q4 group was the lowest, whereas that of Q1 group was the highest (P < 0.01). Pearson correlation coefficients of FT3 with MELD score, CLIF-SOFA score, CLIF-COF score and AARC score were -0.477, -0.359, -0.347, and -0.391, respectively (P < 0.001). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that the partial regression coefficients of FT3, natural log total bilirubin in milligrams per decaliter {ln[TBIL (mg/dL)]}, natural log creatinine in milligrams per decaliter {ln[CR (mg/dL)]}, and natural log international normalized ratio {ln[INR]} were -0.215, 0.346, 0.231, and 0.667, respectively (P < 0.001). The odds ratio (OR) values of FT3, ln[TBIL (mg/dL)], ln[CR (mg/dL)], and ln[INR] were 0.141 (0.082-0.244), 5.426 (2.697-9.059), 4.535 (2.432-8.455), and 8.642 (6.679-10.267) in the MELD ≥ 30 group compared with MELD < 30 group (P < 0.001). Furthermore, their area under the ROC curve (AUROC) values were 0.739 (0.686-0.792), 0.748 (0.696-0.800), 0.632 (0.562-0.702), and 0.933 (0.903-0.963), respectively (P < 0.001). FT3 level is correlated with the severity of HBV-ACLF, which may be one of the factors to judge the severity of this disease.

Clinical profile of patients with hepatic Wilson’s disease in a public tertiary care centre in Western India

Background and Aim: The clinical profile varies in patients with Wilson’s disease (WD). There is paucity of data regarding adult and pediatric patients with hepatic WD. Methods: A total of huned forty consecutive patients diagnosed with hepatic WD between December 2006-January 2021 were included in the study. Data were collected regarding the demographic parameters, clinical presentation, extrahepatic organ involvement, liver histology and laboratory investigation. Adult and children (0-14 years) with hepatic WD were compared regarding different features Results: Eight-eight adults and fifty-two children were included in the study. The median age of presentation 17 years (range: 1.1-42 years). Male preponderance was seen (adult 68/88, 69 %; children 40/52, 77%). Adults as compared to children presented more commonly as cirrhosis (52/88 vs 15/52, p =0.0005) and with hepatic decompensation (35/88 vs 9/52, p=0.005). Presentation with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was more common in children (10/52 vs 2/88, p = 0.0005). 28-day mortality was 50% (5/10) in children and none in adults presenting with ACLF. Nazer’s Prognostic Index (>7) and New Wilson Index were more accurate in predicting mortality among children with ACLF with AUROC 1 while AARC (APASL ACLF research consortium) was less accurate with AUROC 0.45. Liver histology findings were similar in adults and children. Extra-hepatic involvement was also similar. (8/88 in adults vs 3/52 children, p value 0.48) Conclusions: Most patients with WD present as cirrhosis in adulthood. ACLF is more common presentation in children. Nazer’s prognostic index and New Wilson Index score are accurate in predicting mortality in children with ACLF.

A neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio-based prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BackgroundAlthough the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) research consortium (AARC) ACLF score is easy to use in patients with hepatitis b virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF), serum lactate is not routinely tested in primary hospitals, and its value may be affected by some interference factors. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to assess the status of bacterial infection (BI) or outcomes in patients with various diseases. We developed an NLR-based AARC ACLF score and compared it with the existing model.MethodsA total of 494 HBV-ACLF patients, enrolled in four tertiary academic hospitals in China with 90-day follow-up, were analysed. Prognostic performance of baseline NLR and lactate were compared between cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic subgroups via the receiver operating curve and Kaplan–Meier analyses. A modified AARC ACLF (mAARC ACLF) score using NLR as a replacement for lactate was developed (n = 290) and validated (n = 204).ResultsThere were significantly higher baseline values of NLR in non-survivors, patients with admission BI, and those with higher grades of ACLF compared with the control groups. Compared with lactate, NLR better reflected BI status in the cirrhotic subgroup, and was more significantly correlated with CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, and the AARC score. NLR was an independent predictor of 90-day mortality, and was categorized into three risk grades (< 3.10, 3.10–4.78, and > 4.78) with 90-day cumulative mortalities of 8%, 21.2%, and 77.5% in the derivation cohort, respectively. The mAARC ACLF score, using the three grades of NLR instead of corresponding levels of lactate, was superior to the other four scores in predicting 90-day mortality in the derivation (AUROC 0.906, 95% CI 0.872–0.940, average P < 0.001) and validation cohorts (AUROC 0.913, 95% CI 0.876–0.950, average P < 0.01), with a considerable performance in predicting 28-day mortality in the two cohorts.ConclusionsThe prognostic value of NLR is superior to that of lactate in predicting short-term mortality risk in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients with HBV-ACLF. NLR can be incorporated into the AARC ACLF scoring system for improving its prognostic accuracy and facilitating the management guidance in patients with HBV-ACLF in primary hospitals.

Prognostic Factors Related to the Mortality Rate of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Patients.

BackgroundCritical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency (CIRCI) is known to be a common complication in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, factors that predict the survival rate of ACLF patients remain unclear. The present study aims to determine the prognostic factors that impinge on the survival rate of ACLF patients.MethodsA total of 90 patients with ACLF at different stages, with or without CIRCI, were prospectively evaluated.ResultsVarious clinical factors were found to be significantly different among patients at early, mid and late stages of ACLF, as well as between the same population of patients with and without CIRCI. Specifically, patients at later stages of ACLF and patients with CIRCI had significantly higher Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)-ACLF scores. CIRCI was observed in 20% of the enrolled patients (18 out of 90). In addition, the 90-day mortality rate was higher in mid- and late-stage ACLF patients, as well as patients with CIRCI.ConclusionACLF stage and CIRCI predict early mortality in patients with ACLF and could be actively monitored in these patients for prioritized liver transplantation.

Role of ammonia in predicting the outcome of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUNDHigh venous ammonia (VA) values have been proven to be a part of the mechanism of hepatic encephalopathy in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) as well as acute hepatitis. Moreover, VA has been associated with poor prognosis and high mortality in these clinical settings. However, the role of ammonia in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has not yet been clearly established. AIMTo assess the role of VA in predicting the outcome of cirrhotic patients with ACLF in a tertiary care center.METHODSWe performed a retrospective observational study including consecutive patients with LC hospitalized for acute non-elective indications such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), upper gastrointestinal bleeding, or bacterial infections that fulfilled the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria for ACLF. The study was conducted in “St. Spiridon” University Hospital, Iasi, Romania, a tertiary care center, between January 2017 and January 2019. The APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score was calculated and ACLF grade was established accordingly. West-haven classification was used for HE. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS version 22.0.RESULTSFour hundred and forty-six patients were included, aged 59 (50-65) years, 57.4% men. Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and AARC scores were 11 (10-12), 19.13 ± 6.79, and 7 (6-8), respectively. 66.4% had ACLF grade I, 31.2% ACLF grade II, and 2.5% ACLF grade III. HE was diagnosed in 83.9%, 34% grade I, 37.2% grade II, 23.5% grade III, and 5.3% grade IV. Overall mortality was 7.8%. VA was 103 (78-148) μmol/L. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed good accuracy for the prediction of in-hospital mortality for the AARC score [Area under the curve (AUC) = 0.886], MELD score (AUC = 0.816), VA (AUC = 0.812) and a fair accuracy for the Child-Pugh score (AUC = 0.799). Subsequently, a cut-off value for the prediction of mortality was identified for VA (152.5 μmol/L, sensitivity = 0.706, 1-specificity = 0.190). Univariate analysis found acute kidney injury, severe HE (grade III or IV), VA ≥ 152.5 μmol/L, MELD score ≥ 22.5, Child-Pugh score ≥ 12.5, and AARC score ≥ 8.5 to be associated with in-hospital mortality. Multivariate analysis identified AARC score ≥ 8.5 and venous ammonia ≥ 152 μmol/L to be independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.CONCLUSIONVA could be used as an inexpensive predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with ACLF. Patients with both ACLF and VA > 152.5 μmol/L have a high risk for a poor outcome.

Dynamic Prognostication in Transplant Candidates with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

We aimed to extensively investigate clinical markers that are sufficiently dynamic for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Defined by the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria, patients with ACLF on the liver transplant waitlist in a tertiary center were retrospectively reviewed. Laboratory results and severity scores at three time points (days 1, 7, and 14 after admission) were analyzed. From 2015 to 2019, 64 patients with ACLF were enrolled, of which 24 received a liver transplant from 22 live donors. The hospital mortality rate was 31% (8% for transplant; 45% for nontransplant groups), and the 3-month survival was crucial for determining long-term outcomes. The number of significant variables for mortality, and, specifically, the hazards of international normalized ratio of prothrombin time (INR) and APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) score were increased within two weeks. In multivariable analysis, INR and AARC score (D-14) were associated with poor survival and liver transplant was a protective factor in all patients, while AARC score (D-14) was significant in the nontransplant group. AARC score at day 14 is an independent risk factor for mortality in ACLF. Liver transplant from live donors reversed poor outcomes in patients with ACLF in a timely manner.

Prevalence, profile and predictors of invasive fungal infections in acute-on-chronic liver failure; analysis of Asia Pacific Association for Study of the Liver, Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Research Consortium (AARC) data base

Prevalence, profile and predictors of invasive fungal infections in acute-on-chronic liver failure; analysis of Asia Pacific Association for Study of the Liver, Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Research Consortium (AARC) data base

Adipocyte Fatty Acid–Binding Protein as a Predictor of Outcome in Alcohol-induced Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure

Alcohol is the leading cause of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Several severity scores predict the outcome of ACLF. However, there is a lack of simple biomarkers in predicting the outcome of these sick patients. Fatty acid-binding proteins (FABPs) are small cytosolic proteins that play a major role in lipid metabolism, energy homeostasis, and inflammation, but, have not been investigated in alcohol-induced ACLF (A-ACLF). The primary objective was to assess the correlation between serum adipocyte-FABP (A-FABP) and liver-FABP (L-FABP) levels on mortality at day 90. Secondary objectives were to compare the levels between controls and A-ACLF, correlate L-FABP, and A-FABP levels on the development of organ failure/sepsis at day 90. In this prospective observational pilot study, we included patients with A-ACLF and age-matched healthy controls. FABP's were analyzed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assaymethod. The patients were followed up for 90 days. Twenty-five patients with A-ACLF (mean age: 40years; mean model for end-stage liver disease NA: 29.8; median Modified Maddrey's discriminant function [mDF]: 95) and 12 controls (mean age: 36.83yrs) were included in the study. A-FABP and L-FABP levels were significantly high in patients with A-ACLF than controls. Forty-four percent of patients with A-ACLF developed sepsis, 48% developed organ failure, and 44% expired by day 90. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, A-FABP (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.27 [1.08-1.5]; P = 0.003), Asian Pacific Association for the Study of Liver ACLF research consortium score (HR: 3.3[1.15-9.54]; P = 0.02), L-FABP (HR: 0.69 [0.52-0.91]; P = 0.009), and serum protein levels (HR: 0.03 [0.003-0.36]; P = 0.005) predicted mortality. A-FABP (1.17 [1.07-1.29]; P = 0.001), and serum bilirubin (1.05 [0.99-1.12]; P = 0.06) predicted development of organ failure, and only mDF (HR: 1.04 [1.01-1.07]; P = 0.009) predicted the development of sepsis on multivariate analysis. Fifteen patients received steroid therapy, of which 13.34% were nonresponders. In a selected group of patients with A-ACLF, A-FABP is highly sensitive at predicting mortality and outcome. If validated in a large, diverse sample, A-FABP can be used as a simple biomarker for prognostication in A-ACLF.