30-day Postdischarge Mortality Research Articles

Adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with pneumonia at age 60 or more: A prospective multi-centric hospital-based study in India.

Limited data exists regarding risk factors for adverse outcomes in older adults hospitalized with Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) in low- and middle-income countries such as India. This multisite study aimed to assess outcomes and associated risk factors among adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with pneumonia. Between December 2018 and March 2020, we enrolled ≥60-year-old adults admitted within 48 hours for CAP treatment across 16 public and private facilities in four sites. Clinical data and nasal/oropharyngeal specimens were collected by trained nurses and tested for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and other respiratory viruses (ORV) using the qPCR. Participants were evaluated regularly until discharge, as well as on the 7th and 30th days post-discharge. Outcomes included ICU admission and in-hospital or 30-day post-discharge mortality. A hierarchical framework for multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models identified risk factors (e.g., demographics, clinical features, etiologic agents) associated with critical care or death. Of 1,090 CAP patients, the median age was 69 years; 38.4% were female. Influenza viruses were detected in 12.3%, RSV in 2.2%, and ORV in 6.3% of participants. Critical care was required for 39.4%, with 9.9% in-hospital mortality and 5% 30-day post-discharge mortality. Only 41% of influenza CAP patients received antiviral treatment. Admission factors independently associated with ICU admission included respiratory rate >30/min, blood urea nitrogen>19mg/dl, altered sensorium, anemia, oxygen saturation <90%, prior cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and private hospital admission. Diabetes, anemia, low oxygen saturation at admission, ICU admission, and mechanical ventilation were associated with 30-day mortality. High ICU admission and 30-day mortality rates were observed among older adults with pneumonia, with a significant proportion linked to influenza and RSV infections. Comprehensive guidelines for CAP prevention and management in older adults are needed, especially with the co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2.

Hospitalizations and Mortality From Myasthenia Gravis: Trends From 2 US National Datasets

Myasthenia gravis (MG) is a rare neuromuscular disorder where IgG antibodies damage the communication between nerves and muscles, leading to muscle weakness that can be severe and have a significant impact on patients' lives. MG exacerbations include myasthenic crisis with respiratory failure, the most serious manifestation of MG. Recent studies have found MG prevalence increasing, especially in older patients. This study examined trends in hospital admissions and in-hospital mortality for adult patients with MG and readmissions and postdischarge mortality in older (65 years or older) adults with MG. Data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), an all-payer national database of hospital discharges, were used to characterize trends in hospitalizations and in-hospital mortality related to MG exacerbations and MG crisis among adult patients aged 18 years or older. The Medicare Limited Data Set, a deidentified, longitudinal research database with demographic, enrollment, and claims data was used to assess hospitalizations, length of stay (LOS), readmissions, and 30-day postdischarge mortality among fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years or older. The study period was 2010-2019. Multinomial logit models and Poisson regression were used to test for significance of trends. Hospitalization rates for 19,715 unique adult patients and 56,822 admissions increased from 2010 to 2019 at an average annualized rate of 4.9% (MG noncrisis: 4.4%; MG crisis: 6.8%; all p < 0.001). Readmission rates were approximately 20% in each study year for both crisis and noncrisis hospitalizations; the in-hospital mortality rate averaged 1.8%. Among patients aged 65 years or older, annualized increases in hospitalizations were estimated at 5.2%, 4.2%, and 7.7% for all, noncrisis, and crisis hospitalizations, respectively (all p < 0.001). The average LOS was stable over the study period, ranging from 11.3 to 13.1 days, but was consistently longer for MG crisis admissions. Mortality among patients aged 65 years or older was higher compared with that in all patients, averaging 5.0% across each of the study years. Increasing hospitalization rates suggest a growing burden associated with MG, especially among older adults. While readmission and mortality rates have remained stable, the increasing hospitalization rates indicate that the raw numbers of readmissions-and deaths-are also increasing. Mortality rates are considerably higher in older patients hospitalized with MG.

Latin-American Registry of Cardiovascular Disease and COVID-19: Final Results.

Socioeconomic factors contribute to a more severe impact of COVID-19 in Latin American and Caribbean (LA&C) countries than in developed countries. Patients with a severe or critical illness can develop respiratory and cardiovascular complications. To describe a LA&C population with COVID-19 to provide information related to this disease, in-hospital cardiovascular complications, and in-hospital mortality. The CARDIO COVID-19-20 Registry is an observational, multicenter, prospective, and hospital-based registry of patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection that required in-hospital treatment in LA&C. Enrollment of patients started on May 01, 2020, and ended on June 30, 2021. The CARDIO COVID-19-20 Registry included 3260 patients from 44 institutions of 14 LA&C countries. 63.2% patients were male and median age was 61.0 years old. Most common comorbidities were overweight/obesity (49.7%), hypertension (49.0%), and diabetes mellitus (26.7%). Most frequent cardiovascular complications during hospitalization or reported at discharge were cardiac arrhythmia (9.1%), decompensated heart failure (8.5%), and pulmonary embolism (3.9%). The number of patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) was 1745 (53.5%), and median length of their stay at the ICU was 10.0 days. Support required in ICU included invasive mechanical ventilation (34.2%), vasopressors (27.6%), inotropics (10.3%), and vasodilators (3.7%). Rehospitalization after 30-day post discharge was 7.3%. In-hospital mortality and 30-day post discharge were 25.5% and 2.6%, respectively. According to our findings, more than half of the LA&C population with COVID-19 assessed required management in ICU, with higher requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation and vasoactive support, resulting in a high in-hospital mortality and a considerable high 30-day post discharge rehospitalization and mortality.

Association of frailty index of laboratory tests (FI-LAB) and COVID-19 clinical outcomes in veterans with cancer.

e24023 Background: Veterans with cancer have high COVID-19-attributable mortality. Frailty, a multisystem syndrome characterized by vulnerability to stressors from loss of physiological reserve, is common in cancer patients and confers worse clinical outcomes. In hospitalized cancer patients with COVID-19 infection, the role of frailty remains unclear. Our study aim was to compare clinical and utilization outcomes of cancer patients hospitalized with COVID-19 according to frailty status. Methods: The retrospective cohort study included hospitalized veterans with cancer and acute COVID-19 infection at 7 VA facilities in Florida and Puerto Rico from March-August 2020. Frailty was assessed using a 31-item frailty index of laboratory tests and vital signs (FI-LAB) with scores grouped by tertiles. We chart reviewed VA databases to collect Veterans’ socio-demographics, COVID-19 Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) results, and clinical and utilization outcomes. We ran binomial logistic regression analyses to calculate the odds of inpatient death, ICU admission, ICU transfer, prolonged length of stay, new nursing home placement, 30-day readmission, 30-day mortality, 6-month,1-year, and 2-year mortality according to the tertiles, adjusted for age, BMI, sex, race, ethnicity, and other conditions with greater risk for poor COVID-19 outcomes. Patients were followed until death or August 13, 2022. Results: 143 older Veterans with cancer were hospitalized with a mean age of 74.4 years (SD = 11.5) years, 95.9% (n = 117) male, 66.4% white (n = 81), and 9.8% (n = 12) Hispanic. 122 (85.3%) met the inclusion criteria. There were no differences in baseline sociodemographic or clinical characteristics except for a higher prevalence of congestive heart failure. The upper FI-LAB tertile had a higher risk of inpatient death, OR 12.47 (95%CI:1.3-121.4), p = 0.03, 30-day post-discharge mortality, OR 9.78 (95%CI:.21-79.4), p = .03 and 2-yr post-discharge mortality OR 4.9 (1.2-19.6) p &lt; 0.03. There were no differences in other clinical and utilization outcomes. Conclusions: In hospitalized Veterans with cancer and coexistent COVID-19 infection, patients with higher levels of frailty have a greater risk of inpatient death, 30-day post-discharge mortality, and 2-year post-discharge mortality. More studies are needed to confirm the utility of FI-LAB in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and cancer.

Outcomes of Rapid Deployment Aortic Valve Replacement: Early Experience in Wellington Hospital

Rapid deployment (RD) aortic valve replacement (AVR) using the Edwards Intuity Elite Valve System is a significant breakthrough in advancement in comparison with other current conventional sutured surgical AVR. This study aimed to analyse early experiences using this novel bioprosthesis. This 60-month prospective study, between July 2017 and July 2022, found that 59 patients had RD bioprosthesis implanted at this institution. Median follow-up period was 12 months. Baseline preoperative characteristics, isolated or concomitant procedures, valve prosthesis-related events, survival rates, and valve haemodynamics were evaluated. Primary endpoints were pacemaker implantation (PPM) rates, neurological events, paravalvular leaks, and early 30-day mortality rates. Secondary endpoints were reintervention, valve degeneration, arrhythmia, hospital stay, and readmission rates. Approximately 64% were males, with the mean age of 75±3 years. Isolated AVR was performed in 54% and the rest were concomitant procedures. Cardiopulmonary bypass and cross-clamping times were acceptable. In the isolated AVR group, the early PPM implantation rates were 5%, with 1.7% of patients experiencing a minor stroke event. One patient had paravalvular leak, which was moderate in haemodynamics. Mean gradient at discharge was 11±3 mmHg. There was no early inpatient mortality in the isolated AVR group, and the 30-day post-discharge mortality was zero. Re-operation rates and valve degeneration rates were zero. This study found promising and excellent early results in this small cohort of patients, validating for more usage of rapid deployment AVR in suitable patients.

Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate at admission is associated with a worse outcome in older patients with hip fracture who undergo surgical treatment

We assessed the relationship of estimated glomerular filtration rate values at hospital admission on the outcome of surgically treated older adults who had suffered a hip fracture. Prospective study that included patients > 65 years of age, surgically treated for primary hip fracture, with no pathologic or high-energy trauma aetiology admitted to a tertiary teaching hospital between 2018 and 2019. We stratified patients based on their estimated glomerular filtration rate at admission and examined its association to demographic and clinical variables, including 90-day post-discharge mortality. The study included 942 hip fracture patients. Lowered estimated glomerular filtration rate was significantly associated to a worsening of the functional status, higher incidence of medical postoperative complications, higher postoperative renal dysfunction, and greater number of blood transfusions. Mortality displayed a staircase pattern, increasing with decreasing estimated glomerular filtration rate. Patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 had significantly higher mortality at 90 days after discharge. In-hospital mortality rate was 10.7% in hip fracture patients with chronic kidney disease who experienced a significant variation in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (>5 mL/min/1.73m2) on admission in comparison to baseline values. Older adult patients treated for hip fracture with lower glomerular filtration rate values have poorer functional status and worse prognosis. A significant clinical variation of estimated glomerular filtration rate upon hospital admission for hip fracture may be associated with increased in-hospital mortality of chronic kidney disease patients.

Real-World Safety and Effectiveness of Remdesivir and Corticosteroids in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19

Real-world effectiveness studies of remdesivir in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 conducted to date have produced conflicting findings which may be due, in part, to treatment heterogeneity within standard of care comparison groups. Our objective was to evaluate the comparative effectiveness and safety of remdesivir in a cohort of patients all treated with corticosteroids. We conducted a retrospective cohort study in the National Veterans Affairs Healthcare System. We included hospitalized patients (&gt;18 years old) with positive COVID-19 PCR tests and COVID-19 diagnosis codes, and corticosteroid treatment within 2 days of admission, from 1 May 2020 to 30 November 2021. Time-to-event outcomes included time to inpatient mortality (primary), discharge, mortality after discharge, readmission, and acute kidney injury and bacterial infection after treatment initiation. Propensity score (PS)-adjusted, PS-matched, and inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) Cox proportional hazards regression models controlled for study timeframe, supplemental oxygen, vaccination status, and other important confounders. We observed significantly lower inpatient mortality, 90-day post-discharge mortality, 30-day post-discharge readmission, and significantly longer hospital stays in the remdesivir group (n = 14,509) compared with the non-remdesivir group (n = 4365). Higher rates of bacterial infections were observed in the remdesivir group. Acute kidney injury was lower in subgroup analyses restricting the study population to index dates in 2021, on supplemental oxygen, and fully vaccinated, and higher in those without baseline supplemental oxygen. When comparing the effectiveness and safety of remdesivir plus corticosteroids to a homogenous comparison group, all also treated with corticosteroids, mortality and readmission were significantly lower in the remdesivir group. Longer length of stay corresponds with duration of remdesivir treatment and may impact the risk of developing infections during the hospitalization, which requires further study.

External validation of a predictive algorithm for in-hospital and 90-day mortality after spinal epidural abscess

BACKGROUND CONTEXTMortality in patients with spinal epidural abscess (SEA) remains high. Accurate prediction of patient-specific prognosis in SEA can improve patient counseling as well as guide management decisions. There are no externally validated studies predicting short-term mortality in patients with SEA. PURPOSEThe purpose of this study was to externally validate the Skeletal Oncology Research Group (SORG) stochastic gradient boosting algorithm for prediction of in-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality in SEA. STUDY DESIGN/SETTINGRetrospective, case-control study at a tertiary care academic medical center from 2003 to 2021. PATIENT SAMPLEAdult patients admitted for radiologically confirmed diagnosis of SEA who did not initiate treatment at an outside institution. OUTCOME MEASURESIn-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality. METHODSWe tested the SORG stochastic gradient boosting algorithm on an independent validation cohort. We assessed its performance with discrimination, calibration, decision curve analysis, and overall performance. RESULTSA total of 212 patients met inclusion criteria, with a short-term mortality rate of 10.4%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the SORG algorithm when tested on the full validation cohort was 0.82, the calibration intercept was -0.08, the calibration slope was 0.96, and the Brier score was 0.09. CONCLUSIONSWith a contemporaneous and geographically distinct independent cohort, we report successful external validation of a machine learning algorithm for prediction of in-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality in SEA.

Readmissions and postdischarge mortality by race and ethnicity among Medicare beneficiaries with multimorbidity.

Disparities in readmission risk and reasons they might exist among diverse complex patients with multimorbidity, disability, and unmet social needs have not been clearly established. These characteristics may be underestimated in claims-based studies where individual-level data are limited. We sought to examine the risk of readmissions and postdischarge mortality by race and ethnicity after rigorous adjustment for multimorbidity, physical functioning, and sociodemographic and lifestyle characteristics. We used Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data linked to Medicare claims. To obtain ICD-9-CM diagnostic codes to compute the ICD-coded multimorbidity-weighted index (MWI-ICD) we used Medicare Parts A and B (inpatient, outpatient, carrier) files between 1991-2015. Participants must have had at least one hospitalization between January 1, 2000 and September 30, 2015 and continuous enrollment in fee-for-service Medicare Part A 1-year prior to hospitalization. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the association of MWI-ICD with 30-day readmissions and mortality 1-year postdischarge. Using HRS data, we adjusted for age, sex, BMI, smoking, physical activity, education, household net worth, and living arrangement/marital status, and examined for effect modification by race and ethnicity. The final sample of 10,737 participants had mean ± SD age 75.9 ± 8.7 years. Hispanic adults had the highest mean MWI-ICD (16.4 ± 10.1), followed by similar values for White (mean 14.8 ± 8.9) and Black (14.7 ± 8.9) adults. MWI-ICD was associated with a higher odds of readmission, and there was no significant effect modification by race and ethnicity. For postdischarge mortality, a 1-point increase MWI-ICD was associated with a 3% higher odds of mortality (OR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.03-1.04), which did not significantly differ by race and ethnicity. Multimorbidity was associated with a monotonic increased odds of 30-day readmission and 1-year postdischarge mortality across all race and ethnicity groups. There was no significant difference in readmission or mortality risk by race and ethnicity after robust adjustment.

Nutritional status and out-of-hospital mortality in vascular surgery patients.

BackgroundMalnutrition is often present in vascular surgery patient during hospital admission. The present evidence of the consequence malnutrition has on morbidity and mortality is limited.AimThe purpose of this study was to determine the effect of nutritional status on out-of-hospital mortality in vascular surgery patients.MethodsAn observational cohort study was performed, studying non-cardiac vascular surgery patients surviving hospital admission 18 years or older treated in Boston, Massachusetts, USA. The exposure of interest was nutritional status categorized as well nourished, at-risk for malnutrition, nonspecific malnutrition or protein-energy malnutrition. The all cause 90-day mortality following hospital discharge was the primary outcome. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models.ResultsThis cohort included 4432 patients comprised of 48% women and a mean age 61.7 years. After evaluation by a registered dietitian, 3819 patients were determined to be well nourished, 215 patients were at-risk for malnutrition, 351 had non-specific malnutrition and 47 patients had protein-energy malnutrition. After adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, medical versus surgical Diagnosis Related Group type, Deyo-Charlson index, length of stay, and vascular Current Procedural Terminology code category, the 90-day post-discharge mortality odds ratio for patients with non-specific malnutrition OR 1.96 (95%CI 1.21, 3.17) and for protein-energy malnutrition OR 3.58 (95%CI 1.59, 8.06), all relative to patients without malnutrition.DiscussionNutritional status is a strong predictor of out-of-hospital mortality. This suggests that patient with vascular disease suffering from malnutrition could benefit from more intensified In-hospital and out-of-hospital dietary guidance and interventions.

In-hospital hyperglycemia but not diabetes mellitus alone is associated with increased in-hospital mortality in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP): a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies prior to COVID-19.

The objective of this review was to quantify the association between diabetes, hyperglycemia, and outcomes in patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) prior to the COVID-19 pandemic by conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis. Two investigators independently screened records identified in the PubMed (MEDLINE), EMBASE, CINAHL, and Web of Science databases. Cohort and case–control studies quantitatively evaluating associations between diabetes and in-hospital hyperglycemia with outcomes in adults admitted to hospital with CAP were included. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, effect size using random-effects models, and heterogeneity using I2 statistics. Thirty-eight studies met the inclusion criteria. Hyperglycemia was associated with in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.50) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission (crude OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.17 to 2.84). There was no association between diabetes status and in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.51), 30-day mortality (adjusted OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.67), or ICU admission (crude OR 1.91, 95% CI 0.74 to 4.95). Diabetes was associated with increased mortality in all studies reporting >90-day postdischarge mortality and with longer length of stay only for studies reporting crude (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.11 to 2.01) results. In adults hospitalized with CAP, in-hospital hyperglycemia but not diabetes alone is associated with increased in-hospital mortality and ICU admission. Diabetes status is associated with increased >90-day postdischarge mortality. Implications for management are that in-hospital hyperglycemia carries a greater risk for in-hospital morbidity and mortality than diabetes alone in patients admitted with non-COVID-19 CAP. Evaluation of strategies enabling timely and effective management of in-hospital hyperglycemia in CAP is warranted.

Efficacy and safety of fibrinogen administration in acute post-traumatic hypofibrinogenemia in isolated severe traumatic brain injury: A randomized clinical trial

AimThis study was conducted to evaluate clinical outcomes after fibrinogen administration in hypofibrinogenemia following severe traumatic brain injury. BackgroundPost traumatic coagulopathy (PTC) is a common but devastating medical condition in patients with severe head injury. Hypofibrinogenemia is considered as an indicator for poor clinical outcomes in traumatic brain injury (TBI). MethodsIn this randomized clinical trial (RCT), primarily 137 patients with severe traumatic brain injury (Glasgow coma scale score: GCS < 9) were enrolled. Thereafter, their plasma fibrinogen level was measured. The patients with primary hypofibrinogenemia (<200 mg/dL) with no concurrent coagulopathy were randomly allocated into fibrinogen-receiving (n = 50) and control (n = 54) groups. P-value < 0.05 was considered as statistically significant. ResultsSeventy-one patients were analyzed in the final step of the study. The mean value for age in fibrinogen and control groups was 25.64 ± 10.71 and 28.91 ± 12.25 years old, respectively. Male – female patients in both groups were equally distributed. In the fibrinogen receiving group, GCS scores were significantly higher after 24, 48, and 72 h compared to the control group (p = 0.000). Hematoma expansion was better controlled in the fibrinogen receiving group (p = 0.000). Notably, the number needed to treat (NNT) for fibrinogen infusion and hematoma expansion control was 2.3. Glasgow outcome scale-extended (GOSE) was significantly better in the fibrinogen group (p = 0.25). Multiple regression tests showed intracerebral hematoma (ICH) and severe brain edema had the most detrimental effect on GOSE outcomes. The need for cranial surgery, hospital stay duration, mechanical ventilator dependency, in hospital and 90-day post discharge mortality rates were similar in both study groups. ConclusionIn severe TBI, hypofibrinogenemia correction (>200 mg/dL) could improve GOSE, GCS score progression within 3 days after primary head injury and hematoma expansion controllability.

Persistent kidney dysfunction after acute kidney injury predicts short-term outpatient mortality.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) during hospitalisation is frequent and associated with adverse outcomes. To evaluate the association between renal function recovery after AKI and short-term post-discharge mortality. This is a retrospective study of all AKI episodes codified in the electronic records of a single centre in 2013 and 2014. Epidemiological data and comorbidities at baseline and laboratory values at admission and discharge were collected. Persistent kidney dysfunction after AKI was defined as a last serum creatinine equal or above 1.2-fold over baseline level. Patients were followed for 30 days after discharge. Out of 1720 evaluated patients, 1541 (89%) were analysed. Of them, 869 (56%) recovered renal function. Independent predictors of renal function recovery after AKI were lower baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (P < 0.001), higher admission eGFR (P < 0.001) and haemoglobin (P = 0.016), milder AKI (P = 0.037), absence of a history of heart failure (P < 0.001) and lower admission blood pressure (P < 0.001). After discharge, 46 (3%) patients died in the first 30 days. Persistent kidney dysfunction was associated (P = 0.01) with and independently predicted (odds ratio 2.6; 95% confidence interval 1.2-5.4; P = 0.01) short-term post-discharge mortality. Persistent kidney dysfunction after an AKI episode is an independent predictor of 30-day post-discharge mortality. This information might help select AKI patients who require closer follow up and monitoring after discharge.

Readmission After ACS: Burden, Epidemiology, and Mitigation.

The past decade has brought increased efforts to better understand causes for ACS readmissions and strategies to minimize them. This review seeks to provide a critical appraisal of this rapidly growing body of literature. Prior to 2010, readmission rates for patients suffering from ACS remained relatively constant. More recently, several strategies have been implemented to mitigate this including improved risk assessment models, transition care bundles, and development of targeted programs by federal organizations and professional societies. These strategies have been associated with a significant reduction in ACS readmission rates in more recent years. With this, improvements in 30-day post-discharge mortality rates are also being appreciated. As we continue to expand our knowledge on independent risk factors for ACS readmissions, further strategies targeting at-risk populations may further decrease the rate of readmissions. Efforts to understand and reduce 30-day ACS readmission rates have resulted in overall improved quality of care for patients.

Predictors of in-hospital and 90-day post-discharge stroke mortality in Lusaka, Zambia

BackgroundFactors associated with stroke mortality are understudied in sub-Saharan Africa but have implications for designing interventions that improve stroke outcomes. We investigated predictors of in-hospital and 90-day post-discharge stroke mortality in Lusaka, Zambia. MethodsData from consecutive adults admitted with stroke at University Teaching Hospital in Lusaka, Zambia between October 2018 and March 2019 were retrospectively reviewed for clinical in-hospital outcomes. Vital status at 90-days post-discharge was determined through phone calls. Factors associated with stroke mortality were included in multivariable logistic regression models utilizing multiple imputation analysis to determine independent predictors of in-hospital and 90-days post-discharge mortality. ResultsIn-hospital mortality was 24%, and 90-day post-discharge mortality was 22% among those who survived hospitalization. Hemorrhagic and unknown strokes, ICU care, seizures, and aspiration pneumonia were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality. Among these, hemorrhagic stroke (OR 2.88, 95% CI 1.27–6.53, p = 0.01) and seizures (OR 29.5, 95% CI 2.14–406, p = 0.01) remained independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in multivariable analyses. Ninety-day post-discharge mortality was significantly associated with older age, previous stroke, atrial fibrillation, and aspiration pneumonia, but only older age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01–1.06, p = 0.007) and aspiration pneumonia (OR 3.93, 95% CI 1.30–11.88, p = 0.02) remained independently associated with 90-day mortality in multivariable analyses. ConclusionThis Zambian stroke cohort had high in-hospital and 90-day post-discharge mortality that were associated with several in-hospital complications. Our data indicate the need for improvement in both acute stroke care and post-stroke systems of care to improve stroke outcomes in Zambia.

PREDICTORS OF STROKE MORTALITY AT UNIVERSITY TEACHING HOSPITAL IN LUSAKA, ZAMBIA

<h3>Background</h3> Stroke burden in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is one of the highest in the world. However, systematic studies of stroke mortality and outcomes in SSA are lacking. <h3>Aim</h3> Determine predictors of mortality amongst patients with stroke in Zambia. <h3>Methods</h3> We completed a retrospective cohort study of consecutive stroke patients admitted to University Teaching Hospital in Lusaka, Zambia between October 2018 – April 2019. Standardized data collection instruments were used to prospectively capture pertinent. Clinic registers were used to determine ninety-day outcomes. Descriptive statistics are reported. T-tests were used to compare continuous variables and chi-square analyses for categorical variables. <h3>Results</h3> 324 stroke patients were enrolled with an average age of 60 (SD 18) years and 62% (n=201) female. Stroke subtypes were 58% ischemic, 28% hemorrhagic, and 14% unknown (i.e. no CT scan performed during hospitalization). Risk factors for both in-hospital and ninety-day post-discharge mortality included lower GCS [in-hospital: 8.0±3 (dead) vs 11±3 (alive), p<0.001; 90-day: 9.8±3.4 vs 11.7±3.3, p=0.02], fever during hospitalization (in-hospital: 27% vs 12%, p=0.001; 90-day: 22% vs 9%, p=0.01),abnormal mental status exam (in-hospital: 93% vs 49%, p<0.001; 90-day: 72% vs 41%, p<0.001), aspiration pneumonia (in-hospital: 34% vs 10%; 90-day: 31% vs 5%; p's<0.001) and NG tube placement during hospital admission (in-hospital: 35% vs 16%; 90-day: 41% vs 9%, p's<0.001). <h3>Conclusion</h3> Our results show higher mortality in patients with severe stroke symptoms and in-hospital complications such as aspiration pneumonia and fever. Our data highlights necessity of optimizing in-hospital stroke management in order to minimize in-hospital complications that will subsequently reduce in-hospital and 90-day post-discharge mortality.

Early post-discharge mortality in CAP: frequency, risk factors and a prediction tool

There are few data on mortality after discharge with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Therefore, we evaluated risk factors for 30-day post-discharge mortality after CAP. We included all patients of the prospective multi-national CAPNETZ study between 2002 and 2018 with (1) hospitalized CAP, (2) survival until discharge, and (3) complete follow-up data. The study endpoint was death within 30 days after discharge. We evaluated risk factors including demographics, comorbidities, admission CAP severity, and laboratory values and treatment-related factors in uni- and multivariable analyses. A total of 126 (1.6%) of 7882 included patients died until day 30 after discharge, corresponding to 26% of all 476 deaths. After multivariable analysis, we identified 10 independent risk factors: higher age, lower BMI, presence of diabetes mellitus, chronic renal or chronic neurological disease (other than cerebrovascular diseases), low body temperature or higher thrombocytes on admission, extended length of hospitalization, oxygen therapy during hospitalization, and post-obstructive pneumonia. By addition these factors, we calculated a risk score with an AUC of 0.831 (95%CI 0.822–0.839, p < 0.001) for prediction of post-discharge mortality. Early post-discharge deaths account for ¼ of all CAP-associated deaths and are associated with patient- and CAP-severity-related risk factors. Additional studies are necessary to replicate our findings in independent cohorts. Study registration: NCT 02139163.

Clinical and prognostic significance of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio in hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients : Data on 2309patients from atertiary center and validation in an independent cohort.

C‑reactive protein (CRP) and albumin are inflammation sensitive parameters that are regulated by interleukin‑6 inflammatory pathways. The CRP to albumin ratio (CAR) integrates these two into a potent clinical parameter whose clinical and prognostic association in the context of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have not been well defined. We aimed to investigate the clinical and prognostic significance of CAR in the context of COVID-19 infection.We retrospectively analyzed 2309 consecutive COVID-19 patients hospitalized at a tertiary level hospital in the period from March 2020 to March 2021 who had baseline data for a CAR assessment. Findings were validated in an independent cohort of 1155 patients hospitalized from March 2021 to June 2021.The majority of patients (85.8%) had severe or critical COVID-19 on admission. Median CRP, albumin and CAR levels were 91 mg/L, 32 g/L and 2.92, respectively. Higher CAR was associated with a tendency for respiratory deterioration during hospitalization, increased requirement of high-flow oxygen treatment and mechanical ventilation, higher occurrence of bacteriemia, higher occurrence of deep venous thrombosis, lower occurrence of myocardial infarction, higher 30-day mortality and higher postdischarge mortality rates. We defined and validated four CAR prognostic categories (< 1.0, 1.0–2.9, 3.0–5.9 and ≥ 6.0) with distinct 30-day survival. In the series of multivariate Cox regression models we could demonstrate robust prognostic properties of CAR that was associated with inferior 30-day survival independently of COVID-19 severity, age and comorbidities and additionally independently of COVID-19 severity, CURB-65 and VACO index in both development and validation cohorts.The CAR seems to have a good potential to improve prognostication of hospitalized COVID-19 patients.Supplementary InformationThe online version of this article (10.1007/s00508-021-01999-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Impact of multimorbidity and frailty on adverse outcomes among older delayed discharge patients: Implications for healthcare policy

ObjectiveTo assess the impacts of multiple chronic conditions (MCC) and frailty on 30-day post-discharge readmission and mortality among older patients with delayed discharge. Data source/extractionWe used a retrospective cohort of older patients in the Discharge Abstract Database (DAD) between 2004 and 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We extracted data on patients aged ≥ 65 who experienced delayed discharge during hospitalization (N = 353,106). Study designWe measured MCC and frailty using the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) and the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), respectively. We used multinomial logistic regression to model the main and interactive effects of MCC and frailty on the adverse outcomes. Principal findingsAfter adjusting for sex, discharge destination, urban/rural residency, wait time for alternative care, and socioeconomic status, the coexistence of MCC and high frailty increased the relative risk of 30-day mortality and readmission when compared to the references group, i.e., non-MCC patients with low-to-moderate frailty. ConclusionsMultimorbidity and frailty each provide unique information about adverse outcomes among older patients with delayed discharge but are most informative when examined in unison. Implications for health policyTo minimize the risk of adverse outcomes among older delayed discharge patients, discharge planning must be tailored to their concurrent multimorbidity and frailty status.

Impact of COVID-19 on Hospital Admissions for COPD Exacerbation: Lessons for Future Care.

Background and Objectives: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of death worldwide. Acute exacerbations (AECOPD) are common and often triggered by viral infection. During the COVID-19 pandemic social restrictions, including ‘shielding’ and ‘lockdowns’, were mandated. Multiple, worldwide studies report a reduction in AECOPD admissions during this period. This study aims to assess the effect of the pandemic and Lockdown on the rates of admission with AECOPD and severity of hospitalised exacerbations in the North-East of England. Materials and Methods: Data were extracted for patients presenting with a diagnosis of AECOPD or respiratory failure secondary to AECOPD during the ‘COVID-19 period’ (26/3/20–31/12/20) and a date-matched control period from the year previous. We present descriptive statistics and regression analysis of the effects of the COVID-19 period on the rates of hospital admission. Results: Compared to the matched control period, the COVID-19 period was associated with fewer AECOPD admissions (COVID-19 = 719, control = 1257; rate ratio 0.57, p < 0.001) and shorter length of stay (COVID-19 = 3.9 ± 0.2, control = 4.78 ± 0.2 days; p = 0.002), with similar in-hospital plus 30-day post-discharge mortality. Demographics were similar between periods. Only six patients had a positive COVID-19 PCR test. Conclusion: During the COVID-19 period there was a substantial reduction in AECOPD admissions, but no increase in overall severity of exacerbations or mortality. Rather than fear driving delayed hospital presentation, physical and behavioural measures taken during this period to limit transmission of COVID-19 are likely to have reduced transmission of other respiratory viruses. This has important implications for control of future AECOPD.