30-day Survival Research Articles

Are Current Survival Prediction Tools Useful When Treating Subsequent Skeletal-related Events From Bone Metastases?

Bone metastasis in advanced cancer is challenging because of pain, functional issues, and reduced life expectancy. Treatment planning is complex, with consideration of factors such as location, symptoms, and prognosis. Prognostic models help guide treatment choices, with Skeletal Oncology Research Group machine-learning algorithms (SORG-MLAs) showing promise in predicting survival for initial spinal metastases and extremity metastases treated with surgery or radiotherapy. Improved therapies extend patient lifespans, increasing the risk of subsequent skeletal-related events (SREs). Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. For these patients, a thorough evaluation, including accurate survival prediction, is essential to determine the most appropriate treatment and avoid aggressive surgical treatment for patients with a poor survival likelihood. Patients experiencing subsequent SREs often suffer from disease progression, indicating a deteriorating condition. However, some variables in the SORG prediction model, such as tumor histology, visceral metastasis, and previous systemic therapies, might remain consistent between initial and subsequent SREs. Given the prognostic difference between patients with and without a subsequent SRE, the efficacy of established prognostic models-originally designed for individuals with an initial SRE-in addressing a subsequent SRE remains uncertain. Therefore, it is crucial to verify the model's utility for subsequent SREs. We aimed to evaluate the reliability of the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in patients undergoing surgery or radiotherapy for a subsequent SRE for whom both the initial and subsequent SREs occurred in the spine or extremities. We retrospectively included 738 patients who were 20 years or older who received surgery or radiotherapy for initial and subsequent SREs at a tertiary referral center and local hospital in Taiwan between 2010 and 2019. We excluded 74 patients whose initial SRE was in the spine and in whom the subsequent SRE occurred in the extremities and 37 patients whose initial SRE was in the extremities and the subsequent SRE was in the spine. The rationale was that different SORG-MLAs were exclusively designed for patients who had an initial spine metastasis and those who had an initial extremity metastasis, irrespective of whether they experienced metastatic events in other areas (for example, a patient experiencing an extremity SRE before his or her spinal SRE would also be regarded as a candidate for an initial spinal SRE). Because these patients were already validated in previous studies, we excluded them in case we overestimated our result. Five patients with malignant primary bone tumors and 38 patients in whom the metastasis's origin could not be identified were excluded, leaving 584 patients for analysis. The 584 included patients were categorized into two subgroups based on the location of initial and subsequent SREs: the spine group (68% [399]) and extremity group (32% [185]). No patients were lost to follow-up. Patient data at the time they presented with a subsequent SRE were collected, and survival predictions at this timepoint were calculated using the SORG-MLAs. Multiple imputation with the Missforest technique was conducted five times to impute the missing proportions of each predictor. The effectiveness of SORG-MLAs was gauged through several statistical measures, including discrimination (measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]), calibration, overall performance (Brier score), and decision curve analysis. Discrimination refers to the model's ability to differentiate between those with the event and those without the event. An AUC ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating the worst discrimination and 1.0 indicating perfect discrimination. An AUC of 0.7 is considered clinically acceptable discrimination. Calibration is the comparison between the frequency of observed events and the predicted probabilities. In an ideal calibration, the observed and predicted survival rates should be congruent. The logarithm of observed-to-expected survival ratio [log(O:E)] offers insight into the model's overall calibration by considering the total number of observed (O) and expected (E) events. The Brier score measures the mean squared difference between the predicted probability of possible outcomes for each individual and the observed outcomes, ranging from 0 to 1, with 0 indicating perfect overall performance and 1 indicating the worst performance. Moreover, the prevalence of the outcome should be considered, so a null-model Brier score was also calculated by assigning a probability equal to the prevalence of the outcome (in this case, the actual survival rate) to each patient. The benefit of the prediction model is determined by comparing its Brier score with that of the null model. If a prediction model's Brier score is lower than the null model's Brier score, the prediction model is deemed as having good performance. A decision curve analysis was performed for models to evaluate the "net benefit," which weighs the true positive rate over the false positive rate against the "threshold probabilities," the ratio of risk over benefit after an intervention was derived based on a comprehensive clinical evaluation and a well-discussed shared-decision process. A good predictive model should yield a higher net benefit than default strategies (treating all patients and treating no patients) across a range of threshold probabilities. For the spine group, the algorithms displayed acceptable AUC results (median AUCs of 0.69 to 0.72) for 42-day, 90-day, and 1-year survival predictions after treatment for a subsequent SRE. In contrast, the extremity group showed median AUCs ranging from 0.65 to 0.73 for the corresponding survival periods. All Brier scores were lower than those of their null model, indicating the SORG-MLAs' good overall performances for both cohorts. The SORG-MLAs yielded a net benefit for both cohorts; however, they overestimated 1-year survival probabilities in patients with a subsequent SRE in the spine, with a median log(O:E) of -0.60 (95% confidence interval -0.77 to -0.42). The SORG-MLAs maintain satisfactory discriminatory capacity and offer considerable net benefits through decision curve analysis, indicating their continued viability as prediction tools in this clinical context. However, the algorithms overestimate 1-year survival rates for patients with a subsequent SRE of the spine, warranting consideration of specific patient groups. Clinicians and surgeons should exercise caution when using the SORG-MLAs for survival prediction in these patients and remain aware of potential mispredictions when tailoring treatment plans, with a preference for less invasive treatments. Ultimately, this study emphasizes the importance of enhancing prognostic algorithms and developing innovative tools for patients with subsequent SREs as the life expectancy in patients with bone metastases continues to improve and healthcare providers will encounter these patients more often in daily practice. Level III, prognostic study.

The Mysterious Risk of Arterial Thrombosis With COVID-19: A Case Series of Acute Limb Ischaemia in Vaccinated Patients.

Introduction Coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) plays a vital role in viral-induced hypercoagulability through the initiation of a cytokine storm. This mechanism has been found to predispose unvaccinated patients to systemic complications including arterial thrombosis (AT) with poor 30-day amputation-free survival rates. There remains, however, little understanding regarding the incidence in patients who have received a COVID-19 vaccination. This study aims to assess the incidence, management and outcomes of vaccinated patients with COVID-19 who develop thrombotic complications to reduce amputation and direct mortality. Methods The case notes of all emergency patients with COVID-19 referred to the vascular services in a tertiary referral centre between November 2021 and April 2022 were reviewed. Patients who were unvaccinated or admitted with stroke or coronary thrombosis were excluded. The study was undertaken to measure 30-day outcomes. Results Between November 2021 and April 2022, 167,290 people tested positive for COVID-19 in Norfolk. Thirty-one patients under the vascular service had COVID-19, of which, one patient was unvaccinated. Only one vaccinated patient was referred with AT and had a positive COVID-19 result two days after admission. Above-knee amputation was performed within 30 days and he survived. Seventeen percent of patients contracted COVID-19 during their hospital admission. Conclusion The incidence of acute limb ischaemia in vaccinated patients is low; however, the 30-day outcomes remain poor. Compared to unvaccinated patients, there was a significant reduction in the presentation of AT in vaccinated patients during that timeframe, despite a higher background number of COVID-19 cases. Therefore, vaccination may minimise the risk of AT.

Identification and analysis of genes associated with the severity and prognosis of sepsis.

With rapid progression, severe illness and high fatality rate, sepsis has become an acute and critical condition that seriously threatens human life and health. To detect miR-210 and miR-494 expression in patients with sepsis and their relationship with severity and prognosis. A total of 165 sepsis patients participated, including 105 patients with septic non-shock and 60 patients with septic shock. 53 sepsis patients died in 28 days, and 112 patients survived. The clinical information of all sepsis patients was retrospectively searched and reviewed. Based on the status of 28-day survival, they were categorized into survival group and death group. The expression levels in each group were compared on the first, third and seventh day. The ROC curve was applied to know the expression level of plasma miR-210 and miR-494 to predict the death. The two miRNAs expression of the septic shock group were significantly higher than that in sepsis non-shock group on the first, third and seventh day (all were P< 0.05). The ROC curve found that the AUC combined to predict the death on the third day was the largest, which was 0.925 (95%CI: 0.864-0.983). The sensitivity and specificity were 94.6% and 86.3%, respectively. The increased expression levels of plasma miR-210 and miR-494 are closely relevant to the severity and prognosis of sepsis patients. Combining the two items on the third day can predict the death of sepsis patients.

Centre-level variation in the survival of patients receiving haemodialysis in India: findings from a nationwide private haemodialysis network

There are no large studies examining survival in patients receiving haemodialysis in India or considering centre-level effects on survival. We measured survival variation between dialysis centres across India and evaluated the extent to which differences are explained by measured centre characteristics. This is a multilevel analysis of patient survival in centres of the NephroPlus dialysis network consisting of 193 centres across India. Patients receiving haemodialysis at a centre for ≥90 days between April 2014 and June 2019 were included, with analyses restricted to centres with ≥10 such patients. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, measured from 90 days after joining a centre. Proportional hazards models with shared frailty were used to model centre- and patient-level effects on survival. Amongst 23,601 patients (median age 53 years; 29% female), the unadjusted centre-specific 180-day Kaplan-Meier survival estimates ranged between 55% (95% confidence interval [CI] 38-80%) and 100%, with a median of 88% (interquartile interval 83%-92%). After accounting for multilevel factors, estimated 180-day survival ranged between 83% (73-89%) and 97% (95-98%), with 90% 180-day survival in the average centre. The mortality rate in patients attending rural centres was 32% (Hazard Ratio 1.32; 95% CI 1.06-1.65) higher than those at urban centres in adjusted analyses. Multiple patient characteristics were associated with mortality. This is the first national benchmark for survival amongst dialysis patients in India. Centre- and patient-level characteristics are associated with survival but there remains unexplained variation between centres. As India continues to widen dialysis access, ongoing quality improvement programs will be an important part of ensuring that patients experience the best possible outcomes at the point of care. This project received no external funding.

Higher Postoperative Mortality and Inferior Survival After Right-Sided Liver Resection for Perihilar Cholangiocarcinoma: Left-Sided Resection is Preferred When Possible.

A right- or left-sided liver resection can be considered in about half of patients with perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA), depending on tumor location and vascular involvement. This study compared postoperative mortality and long-term survival of right- versus left-sided liver resections for pCCA. Patients who underwent major liver resection for pCCA at 25 Western centers were stratified according to the type of hepatectomy-left, extended left, right, and extended right. The primary outcomes were 90-day mortality and overall survival (OS). Between 2000 and 2022, 1701 patients underwent major liver resection for pCCA. The 90-day mortality was 9% after left-sided and 18% after right-sided liver resection (p<0.001). The 90-day mortality rates were 8% (44/540) after left, 11% (29/276) after extended left, 17% (51/309) after right, and 19% (108/576) after extended right hepatectomy (p<0.001). Median OS was 30 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 27-34) after left and 23 months (95% CI 20-25) after right liver resection (p<0.001), and 33 months (95% CI 28-38), 27 months (95% CI 23-32), 25 months (95% CI 21-30), and 21 months (95% CI 18-24) after left, extended left, right, and extended right hepatectomy, respectively (p<0.001). A left-sided resection was an independent favorable prognostic factor for both 90-day mortality and OS compared with right-sided resection, with similar results after excluding 90-day fatalities. A left or extended left hepatectomy is associated with a lower 90-day mortality and superior OS compared with an (extended) right hepatectomy for pCCA. When both a left and right liver resection are feasible, a left-sided liver resection is preferred.

Vascular Reactivity Index as an Effective Predictor of Mortality in Patients With Septic Shock: A Retrospective Study.

Sepsis is a serious complication that occurs after trauma, burns, and infections, and it is an important cause of death in intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Despite many new measures being proposed for sepsis treatment, its mortality rate remains high; sepsis has become a serious threat to human health, and there is an urgent need to carry out in-depth clinical research related to sepsis. In recent years, it has been found that septic shock-induced vasoplegia is a result of vascular hyporesponsiveness to vasopressors. Therefore, this study intended to establish an objective formula related to vasoplegia that can be used to assess the prognosis of patients and guide clinical treatment. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from 106 septic shock patients admitted to the ICU of Jining No. 1 People's Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022. The patients were divided into mortality and survival groups based on 28-day survival, and hemodynamics were monitored by the pulse index continuous cardiac output system. The dose and duration of vasopressors, major hemodynamic parameters, lactic acid (Lac) levels, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores were recorded within 48 h of hospital admission. Multifactorial logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of patients, and the predictive value of the vascular response index (VRI) was analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The differences between the survival and mortality groups in terms of age, sex ratio, body weight, ICU length of stay, distribution of infection sites, underlying disease conditions, baseline Lac levels, and some hemodynamic parameters were not statistically significant (P > .05). The results of multifactorial logistic regression showed that the admission Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, Lac level at 24 h of treatment, maximal vasoactive inotropic score at 24 h (VISmax24), maximal vasoactive inotropic score at 48 h (VISmax48), and VRI were independent risk factors affecting 28-day mortality. Within 48 h of receiving vasopressor therapy, the VRI was lower in the mortality group than in the survival group. The area under the ROC curve for the VRI was 0.86, and the best cutoff value of the VRI for predicting 28-day mortality was 32.50 (YI = 0.80), with a sensitivity of 0.90, a specificity of 0.90, and a better prediction of mortality than the other indicators. The VRI is a good predictor of mortality in patients with septic shock, and a lower VRI indicates more severe vasoplegia, poorer prognosis, and higher mortality in patients with septic shock.

Granulocyte Transfusions in Neutropenic Infections: Insights From a Single-Center Study.

Introduction Despite the development of modern antibiotic and antifungal therapies, neutropenic infections remain life-threatening. Granulocyte transfusion (GTX) is a less frequently used treatment modality in patients with refractory neutropenic infections. The role of donor GTX remains controversial, partly because of the lack of proper clinical trials. This study aimed to contribute to the literature by evaluating the efficacy and side effects of granulocyte transfusions in our center. Methods Eight febrile neutropenic patients with confirmed infections received granulocyte transfusions from ABO-compatible related and unrelated donors. Donors received filgrastim and dexamethasone stimulation, and granulocyte suspensions were irradiated and administered within six hours. Monitoring, antibiotic therapy, and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) support were maintained. Results Our study observed a 28-day survival rate of 25%, which was lower than that reported in previous literature. The median number of transfusions was 3, with an average eight-day duration post-infection diagnosis, and no side effects were observed. Conclusion While some patients benefited from GTX, overall survival rates remained modest, indicating the need for further research. Prospective, well-powered randomized controlled trials are essential to address patient selection, dosing, and duration to determine the clinical utility of GTX. This study underscores the complexity of GTX in real-world clinical practice and provides insight into the ongoing debate regarding its efficacy in treating severe neutropenic infections.

Risk factors for neurological disability outcomes in patients under extracorporeal membrane oxygenation following cardiac arrest: An observational study

ObjectivesThis study aimed to identify factors associated with neurological and disability outcomes in patients who underwent ECMO following cardiac arrest. MethodsThis retrospective, single-center, observational study included adult patients who received ECMO treatment for in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) or out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) between February 2016 and March 2020. Factors associated with neurological and disability outcomes in these patients who underwent ECMO were assessed. SettingHamad General Hospital, Qatar. Main outcome measuresNeurological disability outcomes were assessed using the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) scale. ResultsAmong the 48 patients included, 37 (77 %) experienced OHCA, and 11 (23 %) had IHCA. The 28-day survival rate was 14 (29.2 %). Of the survivors, 9 (64.3 %) achieved a good neurological outcome, while 5 (35.7 %) experienced poor neurological outcomes. Regarding disability, 5 (35.7 %) of survivors had no disability, while 9 (64.3 %) had some form of disability. The results showed significantly shorter median time intervals in minutes, including collapse to cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) (3 vs. 6, P = 0.001), CPR duration (12 vs. 35, P = 0.001), CPR to extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) (20 vs. 40, P = 0.001), and collapse-to-ECPR (23 vs. 45, P = 0.001), in the good outcome group compared to the poor outcome group. ConclusionThis study emphasizes the importance of minimizing the time between collapse and CPR/ECMO initiation to improve neurological outcomes and reduce disability in cardiac arrest patients. However, no significant associations were found between outcomes and other demographic or clinical variables in this study. Further research with a larger sample size is needed to validate these findings. Implications for clinical practiceThe study underscores the significance of reducing the time between collapse and the initiation of CPR and ECMO. Shorter time intervals were associated with improved neurological outcomes and reduced disability in cardiac arrest patients.

Foreign body airway obstruction resulting in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Denmark – Incidence, survival and interventions

BackgroundForeign body airway obstruction (FBAO) stands as an important contributor to accidental fatalities, yet prompt bystander interventions have been shown to improve survival. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence, interventions, and survival outcomes of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) related to FBAO in comparison to patients with non-FBAO OHCA. MethodsIn this population-based cohort study, we included all OHCAs in Denmark from 2016 to 2022. Cases related to FBAO were identified and linked to the patient register. Descriptive and multivariable analyses were performed to evaluate prognostic factors potentially influencing survival. ResultsA total of 30,926 OHCA patients were included. The incidence rate of FBAO-related OHCA was 0.78 per 100,000 person-years. Among FBAO cases, 24% presented with return of spontaneous circulation upon arrival of the emergency medical services. The 30-day survival rate was higher in FBAO patients (30%) compared to non-FBAO patients (14%). Bystander interventions were recorded in 26% of FBAO cases. However, no statistically significant association between bystander interventions or EMS personnels’ use of Magill forceps and survival was shown, aOR 1.47 (95 % CI 0.6–3.6) and aOR 0.88 (95% CI 0.3–2.1). ConclusionFBAO-related OHCA was rare but has a higher initial survival rate than non-FBAO related OHCA, with a considerable proportion of patients achieving return of spontaneous circulation upon arrival of the emergency medical service personnel. No definitive associations were established between survival and specific interventions performed by bystanders or EMS personnel. These findings highlight the need for further research in this area.

Temporal trends of severity and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19 after the emergence of variants of concern: A comparison of two waves.

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants led to subsequent waves of COVID-19 worldwide. In many countries, the second wave of COVID-19 was marked by record deaths, raising the concern that variants associated with that wave might be more deadly. Our aim was to compare outcomes of critically-ill patients of the first two waves of COVID-19. This retrospective cohort included critically-ill patients admitted between March-June 2020 and April-July 2021 in the largest academic hospital in Brazil, which has free-access universal health care system. We compared admission characteristics and hospital outcomes. The main outcome was 60-day survival and we built multivariable Cox model based on a conceptual causal diagram in the format of directed acyclic graph (DAG). We included 1583 patients (1315 in the first and 268 in the second wave). Patients in the second wave were younger, had lower severity scores, used prone and non-invasive ventilatory support more often, and fewer patients required mechanical ventilation (70% vs 80%, p<0.001), vasopressors (60 vs 74%, p<0.001), and dialysis (22% vs 37%, p<0.001). Survival was higher in the second wave (HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.50-0.76). In the multivariable model, admission during the second wave, adjusted for age, SAPS3 and vaccination, was not associated with survival (aHR 0.85, 95%CI 0.65-1.12). In this cohort study, patients with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU in the second wave were younger and had better prognostic scores. Adjusted survival was similar in the two waves, contrasting with record number of hospitalizations, daily deaths and health system collapse seen across the country in the second wave. Our findings suggest that the combination of the burden of severe cases and factors such as resource allocation and health disparities may have had an impact in the excess mortality found in many countries in the second wave.

Association between albumin-corrected anion gap and in-hospital mortality of intensive care patients with trauma: A retrospective study based on MIMIC-Ⅲ and Ⅳ databases.

To investigate the correlation between albumin-corrected anion gap(ACAG) within the first 24 hours of admission and in-hospital mortality in trauma patients in intensive care unit(ICU). We utilized the MIMIC-Ⅲ and MIMIC-Ⅳ databases to examine trauma patients admitted to the ICU. The relationship between ACAG and in-hospital mortality in trauma patients was analyzed using Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC) curve, Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curve, and Cox regression model. Propensity score matching (PSM) and subgroup analysis were conducted to enhance stability and reliability of the findings. Mortality at 30-day and 90-day served as secondary outcomes. The study enrolled a total of 1038 patients. The AUC for ACAG (0.701, 95%CI: 0.652-0.749) was notably higher than that for anion gap and albumin. The Log-rank test revealed that the optimal cut-off point of ACAG for predicting in-hospital mortality was determined to be 20.375mmol/L. The multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated an independent association between high ACAG level and a higher risk of in-hospital mortality (HR = 3.128, 95% CI: 1.615-6.059). After PSM analysis, a matched cohort consisting of 291 subjects was obtained. We found no signifcant interaction in most stratas. Finally, The in-hospital, 30-day, and 90-day survival rates in the high ACAG group exhibited a statistically decrease compared to those in the low ACAG group both pre- and post-matching. The elevated level of ACAG was found to be independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality among trauma patients in the ICU.

Implementation of a Standardized Management Protocol Improved the Survival of Patients with Necrotizing Fasciitis

Abstract Background Necrotizing fasciitis (NF) is a life-threatening soft tissue infection requiring urgent interventions. This study aimed to investigate the effect of implementation of a standardized management protocol on the outcome of NF patients admitted to the intensive care unit. Methods We initiated a management protocol for NF patients in 2012 at our institution. The protocol consisted of early surgical intervention, initial board-spectrum antibiotic regimen, daily wound inspection, repeated debridement, and inter-professional collaboration. Herein, we reviewed the NF cases admitted between 2005 and 2018 and compared their clinical features and outcome before and after the protocol implementation. All of the NF cases underwent were confirmed by intraoperative findings. Results We included 134 NF patients before (2005 to 2011, n = 62) and after (2013 to 2018, n = 72) the protocol implementation. The baseline patient profile from these two periods were largely similar, except that after protocol implementation, more patients presented with erythema (64.5% vs 84.7%) and a higher C-reactive protein level (65.5% vs 85.5%) on admission. Notably, the day 28-censored mortality was significantly lower after protocol implementation (40.3% vs 13.9%). By analyzing the 28-day mortality with univariate and multivariate model, initial presentation with neutropenia was identified as a risk factor [hazard ratio (HR) = 8.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.76-40.6], while protocol implementation (HR = 0.27, 95% CI = 0.11-0.71) was a protective factor. Conclusions A multidisciplinary bundle care protocol for NF including board-spectrum empirical antibiotic regimen and inter-professional collaboration was feasible, which was associated with improved overall and 28-day survival.

Extracorporeal Versus Conventional Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation for In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Propensity Score Matching Cohort Study.

Comparing the effects of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) and conventional cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CCPR) on outcomes in patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in China. The benefits of ECPR over CCPR in patients with IHCA remain controversial. This article analyzed data from the BASeline Investigation of In-hospital Cardiac Arrest (BASIC-IHCA) study, which consecutively enrolled patients with IHCA from July 1, 2019, to December 31, 2020. Patients who received ECPR were selected as the case group and matched with patients who received CCPR as the control group by propensity score at a ratio of 1:4. A parallel questionnaire survey of participating hospitals was conducted, to collect data on ECPR cases from January 1, 2021 to November 30, 2021. The primary outcome was survival to discharge or 30-day survival. We included 39 hospitals across 31 provinces in China. Patients receiving cardiopulmonary resuscitation and without contraindications to ECPR were selected from the BASIC-IHCA database. Patients older than 75 years, not witnessed, or with cardiopulmonary resuscitation duration less than 10 min were excluded. None. A total of 4853 patients met the inclusion criteria before matching, with 34 undergoing ECPR (median age, 56.5 yr; 67.65% male) and 4819 underwent CCPR (median age, 59 yr; 64.52% male). There were 132 patients receiving CCPR and 33 patients receiving ECPR who were eventually matched. The ECPR group had significantly higher survival rates at discharge or 30-day survival (21.21% vs. 7.58%, p = 0.048). The ECPR group had significantly lower mortality rates (hazard ratio 0.57; 95% CI, 0.38-0.91) than the CCPR group at discharge or 30 days. Besides the BASIC-IHCA study, the volume of ECPR implementations and the survival rate of patients with ECPR (29.4% vs. 10.4%. p = 0.004) in participating hospitals significantly improved. ECPR may be beneficial compared with CCPR for patient survival after IHCA and should be considered for eligible patients with IHCA.

Prognostic effects of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) start time and the interval between CPR to extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) on patient outcomes under extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO): a single-center, retrospective observational study

BackgroundThe impact of the chronological sequence of events, including cardiac arrest (CA), initial cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), and extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) implementation, on clinical outcomes in patients with both out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), is still not clear. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic effects of the time interval from collapse to start of CPR (no-flow time, NFT) and the time interval from start of CPR to implementation of ECPR (low-flow time, LFT) on patient outcomes under Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO).MethodsThis single-center, retrospective observational study was conducted on 48 patients with OHCA or IHCA who underwent ECMO at Hamad General Hospital (HGH), the tertiary governmental hospital of Qatar, between February 2016 and March 2020. We investigated the impact of prognostic factors such as NFT and LFT on various clinical outcomes following cardiac arrest, including 24-hour survival, 28-day survival, CPR duration, ECMO length of stay (LOS), ICU LOS, hospital LOS, disability (assessed using the modified Rankin Scale, mRS), and neurological status (evaluated based on the Cerebral Performance Category, CPC) at 28 days after the CA.ResultsThe results of the adjusted logistic regression analysis showed that a longer NFT was associated with unfavorable clinical outcomes. These outcomes included longer CPR duration (OR: 1.779, 95%CI: 1.218–2.605, P = 0.034) and decreased survival rates for ECMO at 24 h (OR: 0.561, 95%CI: 0.183–0.903, P = 0.009) and 28 days (OR: 0.498, 95%CI: 0.106–0.802, P = 0.011). Additionally, a longer LFT was found to be associated only with a higher probability of prolonged CPR (OR: 1.818, 95%CI: 1.332–3.312, P = 0.006). However, there was no statistically significant connection between either the NFT or the LFT and the improvement of disability or neurologically favorable survival after 28 days of cardiac arrest.ConclusionsBased on our findings, it has been determined that the NFT is a more effective predictor than the LFT in assessing clinical outcomes for patients with OHCA or IHCA who underwent ECMO. This understanding of their distinct predictive abilities enables medical professionals to identify high-risk patients more accurately and customize their interventions accordingly.

Early and long-term outcomes following redo mitral valve surgery in patients with prior minimally invasive mitral valve surgery.

The frequency of minimally invasive mitral valve surgery (MVS) has steadily increased over the last decades and therefore surgeons are now encountering an increasing number of patients requiring mitral valve (MV) reoperations post-minimally invasive MVS. The aim of this study was to analyse the early postoperative outcomes and the long-term survival in patients who undergo reoperative MVS following previous minimally invasive surgery. Patients who underwent redo MVS following prior minimally invasive MVS between January 2002 and December 2021 were included in our analysis. Study data were prospectively collected and retrospectively analysed. The primary outcomes were 30-day mortality and long-term survival. Among the 187 included patients, 34 (18.2%) underwent repeat MV repair and 153 (81.8%) MV replacement. The median age was 66 years (interquartile range 56-74) and 80 (42.8%) patients were female. Redo MVS was performed through median sternotomy in 169 patients (90.4%). A total of 77 (41.2%) patients had additional concomitant procedures. The median intensive care unit stay was 1 day (1-5). The 30-day mortality was 6.4% (12/187). Estimated survival at 5 and 12 years was 61.8% and 38.3%, respectively. Preoperative stroke (hazard ratio 3.28, 95% confidence interval 1.37-7.85, P = 0.007) as well as infective endocarditis (hazard ratio 1.85; 95% confidence interval 1.09-3.11, P = 0.021) were independent predictors of long-term mortality. Redo MVS following prior minimally invasive MVS can be performed safely with low early perioperative mortality and acceptable long-term survival. Preoperative stroke, infective endocarditis and concomitant tricuspid valve surgery are independent predictors of long-term mortality.

Outcomes of Severe ARDS COVID-19 Patients Denied for Venovenous ECMO Support: A Prospective Observational Comparative Study.

Background: Few data are available concerning the outcome of patients denied venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) relative to severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) due to COVID-19. Methods: We compared the 90-day survival rate of consecutive adult patients for whom our center was contacted to discuss VV-ECMO indication. Three groups of patients were created: patients for whom VV-ECMO was immediately indicated (ECMO-indicated group), patients for whom VV-ECMO was not indicated at the time of the call (ECMO-not-indicated group), and patients for whom ECMO was definitely contraindicated (ECMO-contraindicated group). Results: In total, 104 patients were referred for VV-ECMO support due to severe COVID-19 ARDS. Among them, 32 patients had immediate VV-ECMO implantation, 28 patients had no VV-ECMO indication, but 1 was assisted thereafter, and 44 patients were denied VV-ECMO for contraindication. Among the 44 patients denied, 30 were denied for advanced age, 24 for excessive prior duration of mechanical ventilation, and 16 for SOFA score >8. The 90-day survival rate was similar for the ECMO-indicated group and the ECMO-not-indicated group at 62.1 and 61.9%, respectively, whereas it was significantly lower (20.5%) for the ECMO-contraindicated group. Conclusions: Despite a low survival rate, 50% of patients were at home 3 months after being denied for VV-ECMO for severe ARDS due to COVID-19.

Persistent high sepsis-induced coagulopathy and sequential organ failure assessment scores can predict the 28-day mortality of patients with sepsis: A prospective study

BackgroundThe performance of the sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores in predicting the prognoses of patients with sepsis has been validated. This study aimed to investigate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and their association with outcomes in patients with sepsis.MethodsThis prospective study enrolled 209 patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency department. The SIC and SOFA scores of the patients were assessed on days 1, 2, and 4. Patients were categorized into survivor or non-survivor groups based on their 28-day survival. We conducted a generalized estimating equation analysis to evaluate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and the corresponding differences between the two groups. The predictive value of SIC and SOFA scores at different time points for sepsis prognosis was evaluated.ResultsIn the non-survivor group, SIC and SOFA scores gradually increased during the first 4 days (P < 0.05). In the survivor group, the SIC and SOFA scores on day 2 were significantly higher than those on day 1 (P < 0.05); however, they decreased on day 4, dropping below the levels observed on day 1 (P < 0.05). The non-survivors showed higher SIC scores on days 2 (P < 0.05) and 4 (P < 0.001) than the survivors, whereas no significant differences were found between the two groups on day 1 (P > 0.05). The performance of SIC scores on day 4 for predicting mortality was more accurate than that on day 2, with areas under the curve of 0.749 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.674–0.823), and 0.601 (95% CI: 0.524–0.679), respectively. The SIC scores demonstrated comparable predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality to the SOFA scores on days 2 and 4. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that SIC on day 4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.736; 95% CI: 2.025–6.891) was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality.ConclusionsThe time course of SIC and SOFA scores differed between surviving and non-surviving patients with sepsis, and persistent high SIC and SOFA scores can predict 28-day mortality.

Non-femoral focused transaxillary access in TAVI: GARY data analysis and future trends.

In patients not suitable for transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI), several access strategies can be chosen. To evaluate the use and patient outcomes of transaxillary (TAx), transapical (TA), and transaortic (TAo) as alternative access for TAVI in Germany; to further evaluate surgical cutdown vs. percutaneous TAx access. All patients entered the German Aortic Valve Registry (GARY) between 2011 and 2019 who underwent non-transfemoral TAVI were included in this analysis. Patients with TA, TAo, or TAx TAVI were compared using a weighted propensity score model. Furthermore, a subgroup analysis was performed for TAx regarding the percutaneous or surgical cutdown approach. Overall, 9686 patients received a non-transfemoral access. A total of 8918 patients (92.1%) underwent TA, 398 (4.1%) TAo, and 370 (3.8%) TAx approaches. Within the TAx subgroup, 141 patients (38.1%) received subclavian cutdown, while 200 (54.1%) underwent a percutaneous approach. The TA patients had a significantly lower 30-day survival than TAx patients (TA 90.92% vs. TAx 95.59%, p = 0.006; TAo 92.22% vs. TAx 95.59%, p = 0.102). Comparing percutaneous and cutdown TAx approaches, no significant differences were seen. However, more vascular complications occurred (TA 1.8%, TAo 2.4%, TAx 12.2%; p < .001), and the hospital length of stay was shorter (TA 12.9days, TAo 14.1days, TAx 12days; p < .001) after TAx access. It may be reasonable to consider TAx access first in patients not suitable for TF-TAVI, because the 30-day survival was higher compared with TA access and the 1-year survival was higher compared with TAo access. It remains important for the heart teams to offer alternative access modalities for patients not amenable to the standard TF-TAVI approaches.

A Joint Model Based on Post-Treatment Longitudinal Prognostic Nutritional Index to Predict Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma.

a low PNI in patients with NPC is linked to poor survival, but prior studies have focused on single-timepoint measurements. Our study aims to employ joint modeling to analyze longitudinal PNI data from each routine visit, exploring its relationship with overall survival. In this retrospective study using data from the Chang Gung Research Database (2007-2019), we enrolled patients with NPC undergoing curative treatment. We analyzed the correlation between patient characteristics, including the PNI, and overall survival. A joint model combining a longitudinal sub-model with a time-to-event sub-model was used to further evaluate the prognostic value of longitudinal PNI. A total of 2332 patient were enrolled for the analysis. Separate survival analyses showed that longitudinal PNI was an independent indicator of a reduced mortality risk (adjusted HR 0.813; 95% CI, 0.805 to 0.821). Joint modeling confirmed longitudinal PNI as a consistent predictor of survival (HR 0.864; 95% CI, 0.850 to 0.879). An ROC analysis revealed that a PNI below 38.1 significantly increased the risk of 90-day mortality, with 90.0% sensitivity and 89.6% specificity. Longitudinal PNI data independently predicted the overall survival in patients with NPC, significantly forecasting 90-day survival outcomes. We recommend routine PNI assessments during each clinic visit for these patients.

Thrombosis and Bleeding Risk Scores Are Strongly Associated with Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19: A Multicenter Cohort Study.

Background: Internationally established guidelines mention pharmacological prophylaxis for all hospitalized COVID-19 patients. However, there are concerns regarding the efficacy and safety of anticoagulants. This study investigated the associations between thrombosis/bleeding risk scores and clinical outcomes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective review of adult patients admitted to two hospitals between 2021 and 2022. We analyzed clinical data, laboratory results, low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) use, thrombosis, bleeding, and 30-day survival. Results: Of the 160 patients, 69.4% were female, and the median age was 59 years. The rates of thrombotic complications and mortality were 12.5% and 36.3%, respectively. LMWH prophylaxis was administered to 73 of the patients (45.6%). The patients with high Padua prediction scores (PPS) and high IMPROVEVTE scores had a significantly higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared to those with low scores (30.8% vs. 9.0%, p = 0.006 and 25.6% vs. 7.7%, p = 0.006). Similarly, elevated IMPROVEVTE and IMPROVEBRS scores were associated with increased mortality (hazard ratios of 7.49 and 6.27, respectively; p < 0.001). Interestingly, LMWH use was not associated with a decreased incidence of VTE when stratified by risk groups. Conclusions: this study suggests that COVID-19 patients with high thrombosis and bleeding risk scores have a higher mortality rate.