5-year Cumulative Incidence Research Articles

Apixaban versus Aspirin for Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

BackgroundRivaroxaban and dabigatran were not superior to aspirin in trials of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). It is unknown whether apixaban is superior to aspirin in patients with ESUS and known risk factors for cardioembolism.MethodsWe conducted a multicenter, randomized, open-label, blinded-outcome trial of apixaban (5 mg twice daily) compared with aspirin (100 mg once daily) initiated within 28 days after ESUS in patients with at least one predictive factor for atrial fibrillation or a patent foramen ovale. Cardiac monitoring was mandatory, and aspirin treatment was switched to apixaban in case of atrial fibrillation detection. The primary outcome was any new ischemic lesion on brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) during 12-month follow-up. Secondary outcomes included major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding.ResultsA total of 352 patients were randomly assigned to receive apixaban (178 patients) or aspirin (174 patients) at a median of 8 days after ESUS. At 12-month follow-up, MRI follow-up was available in 325 participants (92.3%). New ischemic lesions occurred in 23 of 169 (13.6%) participants in the apixaban group and in 25 of 156 (16.0%) participants in the aspirin group (adjusted odds ratio, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.42 to 1.48; P=0.57). Major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding occurred in five and seven participants, respectively (1-year cumulative incidences, 2.9 and 4.2; hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.22 to 2.16). Serious adverse event rates were 43.9 per 100 person-years in those given apixaban and 45.7 per 100 person-years in those given aspirin. The Apixaban for the Treatment of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source trial was terminated after a prespecified interim analysis as a result of futility.ConclusionsApixaban treatment was not superior to cardiac monitoring-guided aspirin in preventing new ischemic lesions in an enriched ESUS population. (Funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Medtronic Europe; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02427126.)

Clinical factors for central nervous system progression and survival in primary vitreoretinal lymphoma.

Primary vitreoretinal lymphoma (PVRL) is a rare subtype of malignant lymphoma with a poor prognosis because of high frequency of central nervous system (CNS) progression. Identification of factors associated with CNS progression is essential to improve the prognosis of patients with PVRL. We conducted a retrospective study of 54 patients diagnosed with PVRL and treated at our hospital to identify factors associated with CNS progression and prognosis. All patients were treated with intravitreal methotrexate (MTX) injections in the affected eyes until lesion resolution. Twenty-four patients were treated with systemic administration of high-dose MTX (systemic HD-MTX) every other week for a total of five cycles following intravitreal MTX injection. Of 24 patients, 20 completed five cycles of systemic HD-MTX. The 5-year cumulative incidence of CNS progression and overall survival (OS) rate were 78.0% and 69.0% respectively. By univariate and multivariate analyses, bilateral disease and the detection of B-cell clonality confirmed by flow cytometric analysis were risk factors associated with CNS progression. Moreover, systemic HD-MTX completion reduced the risk of CNS progression and was identified as a factor affecting OS. In this study, factors for CNS progression identified may potentially contribute to the optimized therapeutic stratification to improve the survival of patients with PVRL.

Perioperative dose-dense methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (VESPER): survival endpoints at 5 years in an open-label, randomised, phase 3 study

The optimal perioperative chemotherapy for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer is not defined. The VESPER (French Genito-Urinary Tumor Group and French Association of Urology V05) trial reported improved 3-year progression-free survival with dose-dense methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin and cisplatin (dd-MVAC) versus gemcitabine and cisplatin (GC) in patients who received neoadjuvant therapy, but not in the overall perioperative setting. In this Article, we report on the secondary endpoints of overall survival and time to death due to bladder cancer at 5-year follow-up. VESPER was an open-label, randomised, phase 3 trial done at 28 university hospitals or comprehensive cancer centres in France, in which adults (age ≤18 years and ≤80 years) with primary bladder cancer and histologically confirmed muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma were randomly allocated (1:1; block size four) to treatment with dd-MVAC (every 2 weeks for a total of six cycles) or GC (every 3 weeks for a total of four cycles). Overall survival and time to death due to bladder cancer (presented as 5-year cumulative incidence of death due to bladder cancer) was analysed by intention to treat (ITT) in all randomly assigned patients. Overall survival was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method with the treatment groups compared with log-rank test stratified for mode of administration of chemotherapy (neoadjuvant or adjuvant) and lymph node involvement. Time to death due to bladder cancer was analysed with an Aalen model for competing risks and a Fine and Gray regression model stratified for the same two covariates. Results were presented for the total perioperative population and for the neoadjuvant and adjuvant subgroups. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01812369, and is complete. From Feb 25, 2013, to March 1, 2018, 500 patients were randomly assigned, of whom 493 were included in the final ITT population (245 [50%] in the GC group and 248 [50%] in the dd-MVAC group; 408 [83%] male and 85 [17%] female). 437 (89%) patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Median follow-up was 5·3 years (IQR 5·1-5·4); 190 deaths at the 5-year cutoff were reported. In the perioperative setting (total ITT population), we found no evidence of association of overall survival at 5 years with dd-MVAC treatment versus GC treatment (64% [95% CI 58-70] vs 56% [50-63], stratified hazard ratio [HRstrat] 0·79 [95% CI 0·59-1·05]). Time to death due to bladder cancer was increased in the dd-MVAC group compared with in the GC group (5-year cumulative incidence of death: 27% [95% CI 21-32] vs 40% [34-46], HRstrat 0·61 [95% CI 0·45-0·84]). In the neoadjuvant subgroup, overall survival at 5 years was improved in the dd-MVAC group versus the GC group (66% [95% CI 60-73] vs 57% [50-64], HR 0·71 [95% CI 0·52-0·97]), as was time to death due to bladder cancer (5-year cumulative incidence: 24% [18-30] vs 38% [32-45], HR 0·55 [0·39-0·78]). In the adjuvant subgroup, the results were not conclusive due to the small sample size. Bladder cancer progression was the cause of death for 157 (83%) of the 190 deaths; other causes of death included cardiovascular events (eight [4%] deaths), deaths related to chemotherapy toxicity (four [2%]), and secondary cancers (four [2%]). Our results on overall survival at 5 years were in accordance with the primary endpoint analysis (3-year progression-free survival). We found no evidence of improved overall survival with dd-MVAC over GC in the perioperative setting, but the data support the use of six cycles of dd-MVAC over four cycles of GC in the neoadjuvant setting. These results should impact practice and future trials of immunotherapy in bladder cancer. French National Cancer Institute.

Optimisation of protection in the medical exposure of recurrent adult patients due to computed tomography procedures: development of recurrent exposures reference levels.

To assess the incidence (1year) and the cumulative incidence (3years) of the condition of patients accruing cumulative effective doses (CED) of ≥ 100mSv and their variability among different hospitals. To establish and validate a reference level for the CED in patients with recurrent exposures (RERL) and provide a RERL value. Data of CT exposure was collected in 9 similar hospitals. The database included 294,222 patient*years who underwent 442,278 CT exams in 3years. The incidence proportion of patients with CED ≥ 100mSv in a given year (I100;1) and the 3-year cumulative incidence of patients with CED ≥ 100mSv over 3 consecutive years (I100;3) were calculated and compared among different institutions. I100;1 ranged from a minimum of 0.1% to a maximum of 5.1%. The percentage of recurrent patients was quite uniform among centres ranging from 23 to 38%. The I100;3 ranged from a minimum of 1.1 to 11.4%. There was a strong positive correlation between the third quartile values of yearly CED and yearly incidence (r = 0.90; R2 = 0.81; p < 0.0001). RERL value in our study was found at 34.0mSv. The management of patients with recurrent exposures is highly variable among hospitals leading to a 50-fold variation in I100;1 and to a tenfold variation in I100;3. RERL could be established and used by taking as a RERL quantity the CED and as a RERL value the 75th percentile of the third quartiles of the distribution of the yearly CED obtained by surveying different hospitals. This is the first ever multicentre study that quantifies recurrent exposures in terms of incidence and cumulative incidence of patients with CED ≥ 100mSv. RERL establishment and use could benefit the optimisation of radioprotection of patients with recurrent exposures. This is the first multicentre study estimating yearly incidence and 3-year cumulative incidence of patients with cumulative effective doses ≥ 100mSv. In this study, a 50-fold inter centre variation between the maximum (5.1%) and the minimum value (0.1%) of yearly incidence of patients with cumulative effective doses ≥ 100mSv was reported. The range of the 3-year cumulative incidence extended from 1.1 to 11.4% (a tenfold variation) The third quartile of the yearly cumulative effective doses in a centre showed a strong positive correlation with the yearly incidence of patients with cumulative effective doses ≥ 100mSv, with a potential of being used to set reference levels for recurrent exposures.

Prognostic risk signature in patients with acute myeloid leukemia treated with hypomethylating agents and venetoclax

AbstractHypomethylating agents (HMAs) and venetoclax (Ven) represent the standard of care for patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) who are ineligible for intensive chemotherapy. However, the European LeukemiaNet (ELN) risk classifications have been validated for patients treated with intensive therapy. In this study, we validate a recently proposed new molecular prognostic risk signature (mPRS) for patients with AML treated with HMAs and Ven. This classification allocated patients to favorable, intermediate (N/KRAS or FLT3–internal tandem duplication mutations), and lower (TP53 mutations) benefit groups. We retrospectively analyzed 159 patients treated with HMA and Ven. The mPRS classification allocated 74 (47%), 31 (19%), and 54 (34%) patients to the higher, intermediate, and lower-benefit groups, respectively. The overall response rate was 71% (86%, 54%, and 59% in the higher, intermediate, and lower-benefit groups, respectively). The median overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) times were 30 and 19 months, respectively, in the higher-benefit group; 12 and 8 months in the intermediate-benefit group; and 5 and 4 months in the lower-benefit group (P < .001). The C-index for OS and EFS was higher when stratifying patients according to mPRS classification than with the ELN 2022 classification. The 2-year cumulative incidence of relapse was 35%, 70%, and 60% in the higher, intermediate, and lower-benefit groups, respectively (P = .005). The mPRS classification accurately segregated groups of patients with AML treated with HMA plus Ven. In these patients, N/KRAS and TP53 mutations appear to negatively affect outcomes; therefore, new treatment approaches are warranted.

Impact of the Lumbar Arteries on Aneurysm Diameter and Type 2 Endoleak after Endovascular Aneurysm Repair

Prophylactic embolization of the inferior mesenteric artery (IMA) during endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) is recommended to prevent type 2 endoleak (T2EL). However, the impact of patent lumbar arteries (LAs) on T2ELs and aneurysm diameter has not been elucidated. Fifty-seven consecutive patients who underwent EVAR at our institution between January 2013 and September 2022 and whose IMA had been occluded preoperatively or newly occluded postoperatively were included in the study. Predictive factors for aneurysm sac enlargement, sac shrinkage, and T2EL were investigated. T2ELs occurred in 22.8% of the patients. The 4-year cumulative incidence rates of sac enlargement and shrinkage were 6.7% and 64.6%, respectively. The number of postoperative patent LAs was identified as a risk factor for T2ELs (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54-12.7, P=0.0065). The number of postoperative patent LAs was found to be a significant predictor of sac enlargement (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] 3.15, 95% CI: 1.43-6.96, P=0.0045) and shrinkage (AHR 0.63, 95% CI: 0.43-0.91, P=0.014). The current study demonstrated that the number of postoperative patent LAs had a significant impact on the development of T2ELs and the change in aneurysm diameter in patients in whom the IMA was occluded after EVAR.

IDENTIFYING NEW ADRD DIAGNOSES IN HOME HEALTH CARE PATIENTS USING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING OF NURSES’ NOTES

Abstract Patients at risk of developing Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) admitted to home health care (HHC) may show signs of the disease before receiving a formal diagnosis. HHC nurses are uniquely positioned to observe signs of patients’ cognitive symptoms and may record them in free-text notes in the electronic health record (EHR). We applied natural language processing (NLP) to approximately 1.8 million nurses’ notes to identify signs and symptoms of ADRD in a retrospective cohort of 56,652 patients receiving care from a large HHC agency. In a subset of 38,032 patients starting HHC without an ADRD diagnosis, we used survival analysis competing risks models to examine associations between NLP-derived indicators of ADRD constructs during the HHC episode and new ADRD diagnoses during a four-year follow-up period, adjusting for patient demographics, clinical characteristics, and functional status derived from structured standard assessment tools. By the end of follow-up, 23% of the patients were newly diagnosed with ADRD, while 35% died without a diagnosis. We observed higher 4-year cumulative incidence rates of ADRD when more ADRD-related symptoms were present in the nurses’ notes (e.g., confusion only, 0.35, 95% CI: 0.32; 0.38, memory loss only, 0.38, 95% CI: 0.36, 0.39; both, 0.52, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.56; none, 0.10, 95% CI 0.097, 0.103). These findings indicate that data from free-text notes taken during HHC serve as significant predictors for potential ADRD diagnoses. Such information can facilitate prompt specialist referrals, allowing for early diagnosis and potentially more effective treatments during the disease’s initial stages.

Cumulative Incidence of Thiazide-Induced Hyponatremia : A Population-Based Cohort Study.

According to drug labels, the frequency of thiazide-induced hyponatremia is unknown or uncommon to very rare (that is, <1 in 10 000 to <1 in 100), but the exact burden remains unclear. To estimate the increase in the cumulative incidence of hyponatremia using thiazide diuretics compared with nonthiazide antihypertensive drugs in routine clinical practice. Population and register-based cohort study using target trial emulation. Denmark, 1 January 2014 to 31 October 2018. Two target trials were emulated among persons aged 40 years or older who had no recent prescription for any antihypertensive drug, had no previous hyponatremia, and were eligible for the studied antihypertensive treatments. The first target trial emulation compared new use of bendroflumethiazide (BFZ) versus a calcium-channel blocker (CCB). The second target trial emulation compared new use of hydrochlorothiazide plus a renin-angiotensin system inhibitor (HCTZ-RASi; that is, combination pill) versus a RASi alone. Two-year cumulative incidences of sodium levels less than 130 mmol/L using stabilized inverse probability of treatment-weighted survival curves. The study compared 37 786 new users of BFZ with 44 963 of a CCB and 11 943 new users of HCTZ-RASi with 85 784 of a RASi. The 2-year cumulative incidences of hyponatremia were 3.83% for BFZ and 3.51% for HCTZ-RASi. The risk differences were 1.35% (95% CI, 1.04% to 1.66%) between BFZ and CCB and 1.38% (CI, 1.01% to 1.75%) between HCTZ-RASi and RASi; risk differences were higher with older age and higher comorbidity burden. The respective hazard ratios were 3.56 (CI, 2.76 to 4.60) and 4.25 (CI, 3.23 to 5.59) during the first 30 days since treatment initiation and 1.26 (CI, 1.09 to 1.46) and 1.29 (CI, 1.05 to 1.58) after 1 year. The study assumed that filled prescriptions equaled drug use, and residual confounding is likely. Treatment initiation with thiazide diuretics suggests a more substantial excess risk for hyponatremia, particularly during the first months of treatment, than indicated by drug labeling. Independent Research Fund Denmark.

Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for B-thalassemia major with alemtuzumab

While matched related donor (MRD) allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is a curative option for transfusion-dependent beta-thalassemia (TDT), the use of alternative sources has increased, resulting in the exploration of novel transplant-conditioning regimens to reduce the contribution of graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) and graft failure (GF) to transplant-related morbidity and mortality. Alemtuzumab is a CD52 monoclonal antibody that has been successfully incorporated into myeloablative conditioning regimens for other hematologic conditions, yet there have been limited studies regarding the use of alemtuzumab in HSCT for TDT. The purpose of this study was to evaluate engraftment, incidence of GVHD, and transplant related morbidity and mortality in patients with TDT who received alemtuzumab in addition to standard busulfan-based conditioning. The primary endpoint was severe GVHD-free, event-free survival (GEFS). Our cohort included 24 patients with a median age of 6.8 years (range 1.5-14.9). Eleven patients received a 10/10 MRD HSCT, eleven 10/10 unrelated donor (UD), and two mismatched UD. All patients achieved primary engraftment. For all patients, 5-year GEFS was 77.4% and 5-year overall survival (OS) was 91%. The 5-year cumulative incidence of GF (attributed to poor graft function) without loss of donor chimerism was 13.8% (95% CI: 4.5, 35.3). We report low rates of significant acute GVHD grade II–IV (12.5%) and chronic GVHD (4.4%). Younger age and MRD were associated with significantly improved GEFS, OS and EFS. Our results show that the use of alemtuzumab promotes stable engraftment, may reduce rates of severe GVHD, and results in acceptable GEFS, OS, and EFS.

Treatment-related cardiovascular events in patients with non-small cell lung cancer: Evidence from real-world data with a competing risks approach.

Understanding cancer treatment-related cardiovascular (CV) events is important for cancer care; however, comprehensive evaluation of CV events in patients with lung cancer is limited. This study aimed to assess the cumulative incidence and associated risks of various CV event types in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). A total of 7868 individuals aged 40years and older, recently diagnosed with NSCLC (2007-2018), were assessed with data obtained from the National Cancer Center, Korea. This study included nine types of CV events. A 2-year cumulative incidence function (CIF) of CV events was estimated, with death as a competing event. The associated risks were assessed by subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) in the Fine-Gray competing risks model. CV events were observed in 7.8% of patients with NSCLC, with the most frequently observed types being atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) (2.7%), venous thromboembolic disease (2.0%), and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD) (1.5%). Overall, all CV events were highest in the group treated with systemic therapy (CIF, 10.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 9.5%-11.8%), followed by those treated with surgery (CIF, 10.0%; 95% CI, 8.6%-11.6%); the incidence of AF (CIF, 5.7%; 95% CI, 4.6%-7.0%) was highest in patients treated with surgery. Individuals treated with systemic therapy were found to exhibit a higher CeVD risk than those treated with surgery (sHR, 4.12; 95% CI, 1.66-10.23). Among the patients who underwent surgery, those with lobectomy and pneumonectomy had a higher AF risk (vs. wedge resection/segmentectomy; sHR, 7.79; 95% CI, 1.87-32.42; sHR, 8.10; 95% CI, 1.60-40.89). These findings revealed treatment-related CV event risks in patients with NSCLC, which suggests that the risk of AF in surgery and CeVD in systemic therapy should be paid more attention to achieve a better prognosis and improve cancer survivorship outcomes. Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AF) is the most common cardiovascular event, particularly at a high risk in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing surgery. Patients receiving surgery with poor performance status, diagnosed with regional stage, and undergoing lobectomy or pneumonectomy are at a high risk of AF. Systemic/radiotherapy is associated with cerebrovascular and ischemic heart disease in patients with NSCLC.

Age-Related Incidence and Peak Occurrence of Contralateral Breast Cancer

Young patients with breast cancer have higher risk for developing contralateral breast cancer (CBC) and have epidemiologic characteristics different from those of older patients. To examine the incidence and peak occurrence of CBC according to age at primary breast cancer (PBC) surgery. This cohort study included patients who were diagnosed with and underwent surgery for unilateral nonmetastatic breast cancer at Asan Medical Center, Korea, between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2013, with follow-up through December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from December 1, 2021, through April 30, 2023. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to their age at surgery for PBC: younger (≤35 years) vs older (>35 years). The main outcomes were cumulative incidence and hazard rate of CBC in the entire study population and in subgroups divided by cancer subtype, categorized according to hormone receptor (HR) and ERBB2 status. A total of 16 251 female patients with stage 0 to III breast cancer were analyzed; all patients were Korean. The mean (SD) age was 48.61 (10.06) years; 1318 patients (8.11%) were in the younger group, and 14 933 (91.89%) were in the older group. Median follow-up was 107 months (IQR, 79-145 months). Compared with the older group, the younger group had significantly higher incidence of CBC (10-year cumulative incidence, 7.1% vs 2.9%; P < .001) and higher risk (hazard ratio, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.62-2.74) of developing CBC. The hazard rate, which indicates risk for developing CBC at a certain time frame, differed according to the subtype of primary cancer. In patients with the HR+/ERBB2- subtype, the risk increased continuously in both age groups. In patients with the triple negative subtype, the risk increased until approximately 10 years and then decreased in both age groups. Meanwhile, in the HR-/ERBB2+ subtype, risk peaked earlier, especially in the younger group (1.7 years since first surgery in the younger group and 4.8 years in the older group). In this cohort study, patients aged 35 years or younger with breast cancer had a higher risk of developing CBC than older patients. Moreover, young patients with the HR-/ERBB2+ subtype tended to have a shorter interval for developing CBC. These findings might be useful in guiding treatment decisions, such as contralateral prophylactic mastectomy.

Risk of Postoperative Ischemic Stroke and Myocardial Infarction in Patients Operated for Cancer.

Risk assessment for ischemic stroke (IS) and myocardial infarction (MI) is done routinely before surgery, but the increase in risks associated with surgery is not known. The aim of this study is to assess the risk of arterial ischemic events during the first year after oncological surgery. We used Swedish healthcare databases to identify 443,300 patients who underwent cancer surgery between 1987 and 2016 and 4,127,761 matched comparison subjects. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) for myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke during the hospitalization with logistic regression and calculated 1-year cumulative incidences and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the outcomes after discharge. The cumulative incidences of myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke during the first postoperative year were 1.33% and 1.25%, respectively. In the comparison cohort, the corresponding 1-year cumulative incidences were 1.04% and 1.00%. During the hospitalization, the OR for myocardial infarction was 8.81 (95% CI 8.24-9.42) and the OR for ischemic stroke was 6.71 (95% CI 6.22-7.23). After discharge, the average HR during follow-up for 365 days was 0.90 (95% CI 0.87-0.93) for myocardial infarction and 1.02 (95% CI 0.99-1.05) for ischemic stroke. We found an overall increased risk of IS and MI during the first year after cancer surgery that was attributable to events occurring during the hospitalization period. After discharge from the hospital, the overall risk of myocardial infarction was lower among the cancer surgery patients than among matched comparison subjects.

Long-term findings of rectal endoscopy and rectal bleeding after moderately hypofractionated, intensity-modulated radiotherapy for prostate cancer

To present rectal endoscopic findings and toxicity after definitive moderately hypofractionated, intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for prostate cancer. We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent IMRT for prostate cancer and underwent post-radiotherapy endoscopies between 2008 and 2018. Endoscopic findings were reviewed and graded using Vienna Rectoscopy Score (VRS). We have analyzed the association between endoscopic findings and rectal bleeding, and investigated risk factors for rectal bleeding. Total 162 patients met the inclusion criteria of this study. There was a trend of VRS worsening during the initial 3 years after radiotherapy followed by recovery. Rectal bleeding was highest at 1 year after radiotherapy and improved thereafter. The 5-year cumulative incidence of grade ≥ 2 rectal bleeding was 14.8%. In the multivariable Cox regression analysis, cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [HR] 2.732, P = 0.037), rectal wall V65 (HR 1.158, P = 0.027), and VRS ≥ 3 in first post-radiotherapy endoscopy (HR 2.573, P = 0.031) were significant risk factors for rectal bleeding. After IMRT for prostate cancer, VRS and rectal bleeding worsened over 1–3 years after radiotherapy and recovered. Cardiovascular disease, rectal wall V65, and VRS ≥ 3 in first post-radiotherapy endoscopy were significant risk factors for rectal bleeding.

Salvage Treatment of Recurrent or Persistent Anal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: The Role of Multi-modality Therapy

BackgroundThe standard treatment for recurrent or persistent anal squamous cell carcinoma is surgical salvage, but disease control and survival are suboptimal. Patients/MethodsPatients treated for recurrent or persistent anal squamous cell carcinoma at our institution from 2002 to 2022 were included. Patients were classified by type of salvage treatment received: surgery alone vs. reirradiation followed by surgery and by whether they received intraoperative radiation at the time of surgery. Clinical and pathologic variables were collected and assessed for association with risk of second local recurrence and death from any cause. ResultsSixty four patients were included; 55(85.9%) were treated with surgery alone and 9 (14.1%) were treated with reirradiation followed by surgery. Median (IQR) follow up from the time of salvage treatment was 40.0 (20.3-68.0) months. The 3-year cumulative incidence of second local recurrence (95% CI) after salvage surgery was 36% (24%-48%); 39% (26%-52%) for patients treated with surgery alone and 15% (0.46%-51%) for patients treated with reirradiation followed by surgery. Factors associated with increased second local recurrence after salvage surgery included a locoregional recurrence, lymphovascular space invasion and positive surgical margins. The 3-year overall survival (95% CI) after salvage surgery was 70% (59%-83%); 68% (7%-56%) after surgery alone and 89% (10.5%-70.6%) after reirradiation followed by surgery. Factors associated with worse overall survival included male sex, a larger recurrent tumor and positive surgical margins. ConclusionsApproximately 60% of patients achieved pelvic control after salvage therapy for recurrent or persistent anal squamous cell carcinoma. Although receipt of reirradiation and intraoperative radiation were not associated with improved second local recurrence or overall survival in our cohort, patients with positive surgical margins and lymphovascular space invasion on surgical pathology had higher rates of pelvic recurrence after salvage surgery and may benefit from escalated salvage therapy.

Combined Impact of Migraine and Pregnancy-Induced Hypertension on Long-term Risk of Premature Myocardial Infarction and Stroke.

Migraine and pregnancy-induced hypertension (PIH) are known to increase cardiovascular risk on their own. However, evidence is limited on the combined impact of migraine and PIH on risk of cardiovascular disease. The aim of this study was to examine the combined impact of migraine and PIH on risk of premature (age 60 years and younger) major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), a composite end point consisting of myocardial infarction, stroke, or death due to one of these diseases. We conducted a population-based cohort study in Denmark (1996-2018) among women who had delivered at least one child. This population was stratified into 4 cohorts: women with neither migraine nor PIH, women with migraine, women with PIH, and women with both migraine and PIH. As a measure of absolute risk, we computed the 20-year cumulative incidence of premature MACCE, treating death by other causes than myocardial infarction and stroke as a competing risk. We used Cox regression to compute 20-year adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of premature MACCE. Women with neither migraine nor PIH served as the comparison cohort. The 20-year absolute risk of premature MACCE was 1.3% (95% CI 1.2%; 1.3%) for women without migraine and without PIH (n = 1,288,541), 2.2% (95% CI 2.0%; 2.4%) for women with migraine (n = 54,827), 2.8% (95% CI 2.6%; 3.1%) for women with PIH (n = 49,008), and 3.1% (95% CI 2.1%; 4.4%) for women with both migraine and PIH (n = 3,140). The adjusted HR of premature MACCE was 1.66 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50-1.84) for women with migraine, 2.76 (95% CI 2.52-3.03) for women with PIH, and 2.41 (95% CI 1.61-3.61) for women with both migraine and PIH. Migraine and PIH separately increased the risk of premature MACCE. The risk of premature MACCE among women who had both migraine and PIH was similar to that among women with PIH only.

Decline in Incidence of Extra-Articular Manifestations of Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

The focus of this study was to assess changes in the cumulative incidence of extra-articular manifestations of rheumatoid arthritis (ExRAs) and associated mortality risk. This study evaluated trends in occurrence of ExRAs using a population-based inception cohort that included all adult patients with incident rheumatoid arthritis (RA) from 1985 through 2014 meeting the 1987 American College of Rheumatology criteria. Patients were divided into two cohorts based on the incidence date of RA, 1985 to 1999 and 2000 to 2014. The occurrence of ExRAs was determined by manual chart review, and the 10-year cumulative incidence was estimated for each ExRA in both cohorts. Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine associations between specific demographic and RA disease characteristics and ExRAs and between ExRAs and mortality. There were 907 patients included, 296 in the 1985 to 1999 cohort and 611 in the 2000 to 2014 cohort. The 10-year cumulative incidence of any ExRA decreased significantly between the earlier and later cohorts (45.1% vs 31.6%, P < 0.001). This was largely driven by significant declines in subcutaneous rheumatoid nodules (30.9% vs 15.8%, P < 0.001) and nonsevere ExRAs (41.4% vs 28.8%, P = 0.001). Identified risk factors for the development of any ExRAs include rheumatoid factor positivity (hazard ratio [HR] 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-2.86) and current smoking (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.10-2.34). Mortality was increased in patients with either nonsevere (HR 1.83, 95% CI 1.18-2.85) or severe ExRAs (HR 3.05, 95% CI 1.44-6.49). The incidence of ExRAs has decreased over time. Mortality remains increased in patients with ExRAs.

Robotic Versus Thoracoscopic Sub-lobar Resection for Octogenarians with Clinical Stage IA Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Propensity Score-Matched Real-World Study.

Minimally invasive sub-lobectomy is sufficient in treating small early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, comparison of the feasibility and oncologic efficacy between robot-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (RATS) and video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) in performing sub-lobectomy for early-stage NSCLC patients age 80 years or older is scarce. Octogenarians with clinical stage IA NSCLC (tumor size, ≤2 cm) undergoing minimally invasive wedge resection or segmentectomy at Shanghai Chest Hospital from 2011 to 2020 were retrospectively reviewed from a prospectively maintained database. Propensity score-matching (PSM) with a RATS versus VATS ratio of 1:4 was performed. Perioperative and long-term outcomes were analyzed. The study identified 594 patients (48 RATS and 546 VATS patients), and PSM resulted in 45 cases in the RATS group and 180 cases in the VATS group. The RATS patients experienced less intraoperative bleeding (60 mL [interquartilerange(IQR), 50-100 mL] vs. 80 mL [IQR, 50-100 mL]; P = 0.027) and a shorter postoperative hospital stay (4 days [IQR, 3-5 days] vs. 5 days [IQR, 4-6 days]; P = 0.041) than the VATS patients. The two surgical approaches were comparable concerning other perioperative outcomes and postoperative complications (20.00% vs. 26.11%; P = 0.396). Additionally, during a median follow-up period of 66 months, RATS and VATS achieved comparable 5-year overall survival (90.48% vs. 87.93%; P = 0.891), recurrence-free survival (83.37% vs. 83.18%; P = 0.782), and cumulative incidence of death. Further subgroup comparison also demonstrated comparable long-term outcomes between the two approaches. Finally, multivariate Cox analysis indicated that the surgical approach was not independently correlated with long-term outcomes. The RATS approach shortened the postoperative hospital stay, reduced intraoperative bleeding by a statistically notable but clinically insignificant amount, and achieved long-term outcomes comparable with VATS in performing sub-lobectomy for octogenarians with early-stage small NSCLC.

Predictors of unsustained measurable residual disease negativity in patients with multiple myeloma

AbstractThe prognostic impact of achieving and in particular maintaining measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity in multiple myeloma is now established; therefore, identifying among MRD-negative patients the ones at higher risk of losing MRD negativity is of importance. We analyzed predictors of unsustained MRD negativity in patients enrolled in the FORTE trial (NCT02203643). MRD was performed by multiparameter flow cytometry (sensitivity of 10−5) at premaintenance and every 6 months thereafter. The cumulative incidence (CI) of MRD resurgence and/or progression was analyzed in MRD-negative patients. A total of 306 of 474 (65%) MRD-negative patients were analyzed. After a median follow-up of 50.4 months from MRD negativity, 185 of 306 (60%) patients were still MRD negative and progression free, 118 (39%) lost their MRD-negative status, and 3 patients (1%) died without progression. Amp1q vs normal (4-year CI, 63% vs 34), ≥2 concomitant high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities vs 0 (4-year CI, 59% vs 33%), circulating tumor cells at baseline (high vs low at 4-year CI, 62% vs 32%), and time-to-reach MRD negativity postconsolidation vs preconsolidation (4-year CI, 46% vs 35%) were associated with a higher risk of unsustained MRD negativity in a multivariate Fine-Gray model. During the first 2 years of maintenance, patients receiving carfilzomib-lenalidomide vs lenalidomide alone had a lower risk of unsustained MRD negativity (4-year CI, 20% vs 33%).

Trends and age, sex, and race disparities in time to second primary cancer from 1990 to 2019.

Despite the growth in primary cancer (PC) survivors, the trends and disparities in this population have yet to be comprehensively examined using competing risk analysis. The objective is to examine trends in time to second primary cancer (SPC) and to characterize age, sex, and racial disparities in time-to-SPC. A retrospective analysis was conducted based on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER). Two datasets for this study are (1) the discovery dataset with patients from SEER-8 (1990-2019) and (2) the validation dataset with patients from SEER-17 (2000-2019), excluding those in the discovery dataset. Patients were survivors of lung, colorectal, breast (female only), and prostate PCs. The 5-year SPC cumulative incidences of lung PC increased from 1990 to 2019, with the cumulative incidence ratio being 1.73 (95% confidence intervals [CI], 1.64-1.82; p < 0.001). Age disparities among all PCs remained from 2010 to 2019, and the adjusted HRs (aHRs) of all PCs were above 1.43 when those below 65 were compared with those 65 and above. Sex disparity exists among colorectal and lung PC survivors. Racial disparities existed among non-Hispanic (NH) Black breast PC survivors (aHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.07-1.17; p < 0.001). The types of SPC vary according to PC and sex. Over the past three decades, there has been a noticeably shortened time-to-SPC among lung PC survivors. This is likely attributed to the reduced number of lung cancer deaths due to advancements in effective treatments. However, disparities in age, sex, and race still exist, indicating that further effort is needed to close the gap.

A novel clinical model for risk prediction and stratification of new-onset diabetes mellitus after distal pancreatectomy.

The incidence of new-onset diabetes mellitus (NODM) after distal pancreatectomy (DP) remains high. Few studies have focused on NODM in patients with pancreatic benign or low-grade malignant lesions (PBLML). This study aimed to develop and validate an effective clinical model for risk prediction and stratification of NODM after DP in patients with PBLML. A follow-up survey was conducted to investigate NODM in patients without preoperative DM who underwent DP. Four hundred and forty-eight patients from Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH) and 178 from Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (GDPH) met the inclusion criteria. They constituted the training cohort and the validation cohort, respectively. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression, as well as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analyses, were used to identify the independent risk factors. The nomogram was constructed and verified. Concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to assess its predictive performance and clinical utility. Accordingly, the optimal cut-off point was determined by maximally selected rank statistics method, and the cumulative risk curves for the high- and low-risk populations were plotted to evaluate the discrimination ability of the nomogram. The median follow-up duration was 42.8 months in the PUMCH cohort and 42.9 months in the GDPH cohort. The postoperative cumulative 5-year incidences of DM were 29.1% and 22.1%, respectively. Age, body mass index (BMI), length of pancreatic resection, intraoperative blood loss, and concomitant splenectomy were significant risk factors. The nomogram demonstrated significant predictive utility for post-pancreatectomy DM. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.739 and 0.719 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. ROC curves demonstrated the predictive accuracy of the nomogram, and the calibration curves revealed that prediction results were in general agreement with the actual results. The considerable clinical applicability of the nomogram was certified by DCA. The optimal cut-off point for risk prediction value was 2.88, and the cumulative risk curves of each cohort showed significant differences between the high- and low-risk groups. The nomogram could predict and identify the NODM risk population, and provide guidance to physicians in monitoring and controlling blood glucose levels in PBLML patients after DP.