Our objective was to analysis the barycentremetry, obtained from the external envelope reconstruction of biplanar radiographs, in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) and to determine whether assessing would help predict the distinction between progressive and stable AIS at the early stage. A retrospective study with a multicentre cohort of 205 AIS was conducted. All AIS underwent a biplanar X-ray between 2013 and 2020. Inclusion criteria were Cobb angle between 10° and 25°; Risser sign lower than 3; age higher than 10years; and no previous treatment. A 3D spine reconstruction was performed, and the barycentremetry parameters were computed, i.e., the center of mass position at the apex and the axial torque at the apex, the upper and lower junction. A severity index, helping to distinguish stable and progressive AIS, was computed on the first radiograph, and weighted according to these parameters. A clinical and radiographic monitoring determined if AIS were classified such a stable or progressive scoliosis. One hundred and sixty-two AIS were included (i.e., 87 were classified as stable and 75 as progressive). The apex center of mass position was different between the stable and progressive AIS groups (6mm, SD = 4mm for the whole cohort; 5mm, SD = 4mm for stable AIS versus 7mm, SD = 4mm for progressive AIS; p = 0.02). In AIS thoracic, the specificity and positive predictive value of the severity index increased by 19% and 16%, respectively, by adding the apex vertebral axial torque. Early assessment of the external envelope from biplanar X-ray reconstruction of idiopathic scoliosis showed that the apex centre of mass position was significantly different between progressive and stable scoliosis. The inclusion of the axial torque of the apex vertebra in the severity index is promising to help the clinician distinguish between stable and progressive thoracic AIS at an early stage. II - Prognostic studies.
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