30-day Mortality Research Articles

Correction Rates and Clinical Outcomes in Hospitalized Adults With Severe Hyponatremia

ImportanceHyponatremia treatment guidelines recommend limiting the correction of severe hyponatremia during the first 24 hours to prevent osmotic demyelination syndrome (ODS). Recent evidence suggests that slower rates of correction are associated with increased mortality.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association of sodium correction rates with mortality among hospitalized adults with severe hyponatremia.Data SourcesWe searched MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Library, LILACS, Web of Science, CINAHL, and international congress proceedings for studies published between January 2013 and October 2023.Study SelectionComparative studies assessing rapid (≥8-10 mEq/L per 24 hours) vs slow (<8 or 6-10 mEq/L per 24 hours) and very slow (<4-6 mEq/L per 24 hours) correction of severe hyponatremia (serum sodium <120 mEq/L or <125 mEq/L plus severe symptoms) in hospitalized patients.Data Extraction and SynthesisPairs of reviewers (N.A.F., J.R.M., J.M.A., A.C.) independently reviewed studies, extracted data, and assessed each included study’s risk of bias using ROBINS-I. Cochrane methods, PRISMA reporting guidelines, and the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach to rate the certainty of evidence were followed. Data were pooled using a random-effects model.Main Outcomes and MeasuresPrimary outcomes were in-hospital and 30-day mortality, and secondary outcomes were hospital length of stay (LOS) and ODS.ResultsSixteen cohort studies involving a total of 11 811 patients with severe hyponatremia were included (mean [SD] age, 68.22 [6.88] years; 56.7% female across 15 studies reporting sex). Moderate-certainty evidence showed that rapid correction was associated with 32 (odds ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.55-0.82) and 221 (odds ratio, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.11-0.79) fewer in-hospital deaths per 1000 treated patients compared with slow and very slow correction, respectively. Low-certainty evidence suggested that rapid correction was associated with 61 (risk ratio, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.45-0.67) and 134 (risk ratio, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.28-0.44) fewer deaths per 1000 treated patients at 30 days and with a reduction in LOS of 1.20 (95% CI, 0.51-1.89) and 3.09 (95% CI, 1.21-4.94) days, compared with slow and very slow correction, respectively. Rapid correction was not associated with a statistically significant increased risk of ODS.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this systematic review and meta-analysis, slow correction and very slow correction of severe hyponatremia were associated with an increased risk of mortality and hospital LOS compared to rapid correction.

The NACA score predicts mortality in polytrauma patients before hospital admission: a registry-based study

Abstract Background The early assessment of the severity of polytrauma patients is key for their optimal management. The aim of this study was to investigate the discriminative performance of the NACA score in a large dataset by stratifying the severity of polytraumatized patients in correlation to injury severity score (ISS), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and mortality. Methods This study on the Swiss Trauma Registry investigated 2239 polytraumatized patient (54.3 ± 22.8 years) enrolled from 2015 to 2023: 0.5% were NACA 3, 76.7% NACA 4, 21.4% NACA 5, and 1.4% NACA 6. The NACA predictive value of patients’ mortality was investigated, as well as the correlation of ISS and GCS scores, and other factors influencing patients’ survival at discharge and after 28 days. Results In NACA 4 and 5 the survival rate during hospitalization was 97.7% and 82.5%, respectively, and 28-day mortality 3.5% and 23.5%, respectively (p < 0.0005). NACA correlated with GCS in the prehospital phase and in the emergency room (p < 0.0005), as well as with ISS (p < 0.0005). NACA 4 and 5 presented different injury patterns (fall < 3 m vs vehicle accident) with NACA 5 requiring more CPR and intubation (p < 0.001, p < 0.0005). The ROC AUC analysis showed the prehospital NACA and GCS values as the strongest variables predicting patients’ survival. Conclusions This study provides valuable evidence supporting the effectiveness of the NACA score in assessing the severity of polytrauma patients in both the pre-ER and ER condition. Considering the statistical significant correlation with the GCS and with the ISS, NACA is a valid score for assessing polytrauma patients.

Association between D-dimer-to-albumin ratio and 28-days all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis.

We aimed to investigate the correlation between the serum D-dimer (D-D) to albumin (ALB) ratio (DAR) and 28-day all-cause mortality in patients with sepsis. Data from sepsis patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Wuhan Fourth Hospital from October 2021 to January 2024 were collected. Univariate cox analysis was performed for mortality factors in sepsis patients, and multiple cox regression models were used to analyze independent mortality risk factors. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to analyze the value of DAR in predicting sepsis mortality, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curve. A total of 833 patients with sepsis in the ICU of our hospital were selected and divided into alive group (n = 574) and death group (n = 171) according to their 28-day survival. In the death group, D-D and DAR levels were higher, while ALB levels was lower than in the alive group. Spearman analysis found that DAR level were positively correlated with APACHE II and SOFA scores. Multivariate cox regression analysis showed that DAR was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality within 28 days of admission for sepsis patients (HR = 17.956, 95% CI 3.435-93.851, p < 0.001). The ROC curve results showed that the cut-off value of DAR was 0.068, with a sensitivity of 78.4% and a Youden index of 0.375, predicting mortality in sepsis patients, with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.767 (95% CI 0.744-0.790, P < 0.001). Further analysis divided patients into low DAR (DAR < 0.068) and high DAR (DA ≥ 0.068) groups based on the optimal cut-off value. Kaplan-Meier analysis found higher mortality in the high DAR group. DAR is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality within 28 days of admission in sepsis patients. Combining these two indicators can improve clinical treatment guidance and reduce the risk of death.

Etiology, risk factors and outcomes of bacteremia in patients with hematologic malignancies and febrile neutropenia in Uganda

Abstract Background We determined the etiology, risk factors and outcomes associated with bacteremia in patients with hematologic malignancies and febrile neutropenia (FN) at the Uganda Cancer Institute (UCI). Methods UCI adult and pediatric inpatients with hematologic malignancies and FN were prospectively enrolled and followed up to determine 30-day mortality. Blood drawn from participants with FN was cultured in the BACTEC 9120 blood culture system. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed with the disk diffusion method on identified bacteria. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression were applied to estimate associations between participant characteristics and FN, bacteremia, and mortality. Results Of 495 participants, majority (N=306, 62%) were male. Median age was 23 years (IQR:11-42 years). Of the 132 participants who experienced FN, 43 (33%) had bacteremia. Participants with younger age (OR:0.98, p=0.05), severe neutropenia (OR: 2.9, p=0.01), hypotension (OR: 2.46, p=0.04), mucositis (OR: 2.77, p=0.01) and receiving chemotherapy (OR:2.25, p=0.03) were more likely to have bacteremia. Fifty (78%) bacteria isolated were Gram negative. E. coli (n=25, 50%) was predominant. Thirty-seven (86%) out of 43 episodes were caused by multidrug resistant (MDR) bacteria. 30-day overall survival for participants with bacteremia was significantly lower than that for participants with no bacteremia (p=0.05). MDR bacteremia (HR=1.84, p=0.05) was associated with increased risk of death. Conclusion Bacteremia was frequent in patients with hematologic cancer and FN and was associated with poor survival. MDR bacteria were the main cause of bacteremia and mortality. There is a need for robust infection control and antimicrobial stewardship programs in cancer centers in sub-Saharan Africa.

Clinical Outcomes and Practicality of Transferring Patients Immediately to Originating Hospitals After Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention-A Retrospective Study.

Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PPCI) is the preferred treatment for ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) patients in both PCI centers and those transferred from non-PCI centers, provided it can be performed in a timely manner. The challenges in transferring patients from non-PCI centers include not only potential delays beyond 120 min but also the risk of overwhelming the resources at the PPCI hospital. We report a novel strategy implemented within the Serdang STEMI Network involving immediate transfer of patients back to the originating hospitals within 2 h post procedure. This study aims to evaluate the clinical outcomes and practicality of immediately transferring stable STEMI patients back to their originating hospitals within 2 h postprimary PCI, within the Serdang STEMI Network. Specifically, it seeks to assess the in-hospital mortality rate and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) among these patients to determine the safety and feasibility of this novel early transfer strategy. This retrospective cohort study involved 1374 STEMI patients participating in the Serdang STEMI network from May 2015 to December 2022, including 570 patients admitted directly to Hospital Sultan Idris Shah, Serdang (HSIS) and 804 transferred from non-PCI centers. Of the 804 transferred patients, 415 (52%) were transferred back to referring hospitals within 2 h of PPCI. These patients met specific criteria including hemodynamic stability, absence of procedural complications, and fit for transfer at the discretion of the attending cardiologist. The primary outcomes measured were in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates, as well as major adverse cardiac events (MACE). MACE was defined as a composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or repeat revascularization. In the early return group, there was no in-hospital or 30-day mortality. No patient required repeat revascularization or readmission within 30 days. Our results indicate that carefully selected patients can be safely returned to their originating hospitals very early following successful PPCI. These findings have important implications for large regional STEMI networks worldwide, particularly in areas where PPCI centers may have limited resources to handle high STEMI volumes.

Transradial versus transfemoral access for mechanical thrombectomy: A single institution experience.

There has been debate in the literature regarding the adoption of a "radial-first" approach for mechanical thrombectomy (MT) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Conflicting reports suggest that transradial access (TRA) may allow for shorter times to reperfusion while others conclude that long-term functional outcomes may favor transfemoral access (TFA). Here, we report a single-institution experience with the adoption of TRA as the primary route for acute stroke intervention. We retrospectively reviewed a single-institution database of patients undergoing MT for AIS from March 2020 to April 2023. This time period was selected to capture the change in clinical practice at our institution from TFA to TRA. Primary and secondary outcomes included technical success, procedural complications, and long-term functional outcomes. Patients were stratified into two cohorts from initial access. Cohorts were compared utilizing inferential statistics. A total of 192 consecutive cases were identified, with 80 in the TFA cohort and 112 in the TRA cohort. There was no difference in outcomes with respect to time from puncture to recanalization, rates of successful recanalization (TICI ≥ 2b), number of passes, rates of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH), modified Rankin scale (mRS) at discharge and 90 days, and 90-day mortality (p ≥ 0.05, all). The TRA had a higher rate of access conversion (p < 0.001), while the TFA cohort had a higher rate of access site complications (p < 0.05).

A pooled analysis of pancreatic resection for metastatic renal cell carcinoma

BackgroundPancreatic metastasis from renal cell carcinoma (PMRCC) is unusual and there is no consensus on its treatment. The present study aims to evaluate the clinical outcomes of surgical resection for PMRCC.MethodsPubMed and Web of Science were searched for Eligible studies from January 1980 to January 2024. Individual-patient data were pooled.ResultsA total of 436 participants were identified. The morbidity and 90-day mortality were 38.1% and 3.4%, respectively. Post-pancreatectomy recurrence occurred in 44.1% of the patients. The overall median survival was 116 months, with a 3-, 5- and 10-year survival rate of 85.3%, 76.6%, and 46.5% respectively. On univariate analysis, repeat metastasectomy was associated with a significantly better prognosis (P =0.003).ConclusionThese data suggest that surgical resection is a safe and effective therapeutic option for PMRCC. Repeat metastasectomy is positively suggested for recurrent disease provided all metastases can be removed curatively. Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42024525218.

Incidence of colistin heteroresistance among carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii clinical isolates in a tertiary care hospital in Pakistan.

The emergence of colistin-resistant and heteroresistant strains of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) complicates treatment and exacerbates the global health crisis of drug-resistant bacteria. This study aims to investigate the incidence and clinical implications of colistin heteroresistance in carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii isolates from a tertiary hospital in Pakistan. A total of 130 CRAB isolates were collected from December 2022 to December 2023. Colistin susceptibility was assessed using broth microdilution, and heteroresistance was detected through population analysis profiling. Heteroresistance (HR) was identified in 31.5% (41/130) of the isolates, while 7.7% were colistin-resistant, despite initial susceptibility indicated by broth microdilution. Clinical data revealed that HR was associated with significant 14-day clinical failure but not with 30-day all-cause mortality. Heteroresistant strains showed extensive multidrug resistance, posing a serious threat to effective treatment. The study highlights the critical need for accurate detection of colistin HR to prevent treatment failure and improve patient outcomes. The prevalence of colistin HR underscores the necessity for revised diagnostic and treatment strategies in Pakistan, emphasizing the importance of recognizing and addressing this emerging threat in healthcare settings.

Clinical impact of ceftazidime/avibactam on the treatment of suspected or proven infections in a large cohort of patients with haematological malignancies: a multicentre observational real-world study.

To evaluate clinical impact of ceftazidime/avibactam on treating infections due to MDR Gram-negative bacteria in patients with haematological malignancies (HMs). We conducted a retrospective, observational study at 17 Italian haematological wards that included patients with HMs receiving ceftazidime/avibactam for the treatment of suspected or proven infections. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality 30 days after infection onset. Secondary endpoints included the development of in vitro ceftazidime/avibactam resistance, adverse reactions and infection relapse. Of 198 patients enrolled, 66 had fever of unknown origin and 132 had microbiologically proven infections (MPIs). Enterobacterales were responsible for 98 MPIs, with KPC producers accounting for 75% of these, and carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa caused 25% of MPIs. The overall 30-day mortality rate was 17.7%. Infection relapse occurred in four patients with MPI. Patients who died within 30 days of infection onset tended to have pre-existing cerebrovascular diseases, a Charlson Comorbidity Index > 4 and septic shock at infection onset and had received inadequate initial antibiotic therapy. Thirty-day mortality was independently associated with septic shock at infection onset and inappropriate initial antibiotic therapy. Our study provides further evidence about the effectiveness of ceftazidime/avibactam in treating infections in patients with HMs.

Total Antioxidant Status in Critically Ill Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury and Secondary Organ Failure—A Systematic Review

Introduction: The available literature indicates that oxidant–antioxidant imbalance plays a significant role in the pathophysiology of traumatic brain injury and the subsequent secondary organ dysfunctions. However, there is a lack of studies summarizing the knowledge in this area, and no clear guidelines exist regarding the use of biomarkers of oxidative stress as diagnostics tools. Methods: The present work aims to provide a systematic review of the literature on the use of total antioxidant capacity (TAC) assays in predicting the outcomes of traumatic brain injury (TBI). A literature search was conducted up to 1 September 2024, according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA 2020) guidelines, using the PubMed and Scopus databases. Based on the inclusion criteria, 24 studies were used for the final review. Results: Promising data indicate that TAC assays are useful in predicting 30-day mortality and neurological outcomes. Moreover, they correlate with radiological findings on CT scans in brain injury and the clinical classifications of injuries, as well as the parameters of organ failure. Conclusions: Total antioxidant capacity assays can be used to assess the extent of brain damage and prognosticate general vital functions. Future experiments should include long-term randomized clinical trials on larger populations of TBI patients.

Machine learning-based model for predicting the occurrence and mortality of nonpulmonary sepsis-associated ARDS.

The objective was to establish a machine learning-based model for predicting the occurrence and mortality of nonpulmonary sepsis-associated ARDS. 80% of sepsis patients selected randomly from the MIMIC-IV database, without prior pulmonary conditions and with nonpulmonary infection sites, were used to construct prediction models through machine learning techniques (including K-nearest neighbour, extreme gradient boosting, support vector machine, deep neural network, and decision tree methods). The remaining 20% of patients were utilized to validate the model's accuracy. Additionally, local data were employed for further model validation. A total of 11,409 patients were included, with the most common type of infection being bloodstream infection. A total of 7,632 (66.9%) patients developed nonpulmonary sepsis-associated ARDS (NPS-ARDS). Patients with NPS-ARDS had significantly longer ICU stays (6.2 ± 5.2 days vs. 4.4 ± 3.7 days, p < 0.01) and higher 28-day mortality rates (19.5% vs. 14.9%, p < 0.01). Both internal and external validation demonstrated that the model constructed with the extreme gradient boosting method had high accuracy. In the internal validation, the model predicted NPS-ARDS and mortality in such patients with accuracies of 77.5% and 71.8%, respectively. In the external validation, the model predicted NPS-ARDS and mortality in these patients with accuracies of 78.0% and 81.4%, respectively. The model established via the extreme gradient boosting method can predict the occurrence and mortality of nonpulmonary sepsis-associated ARDS to a certain extent.

Epidemiological and clinical management aspects related to urinary tract infections diagnosed in the emergency department in elderly patients in Spain: Results of the EDEN-36 study

To estimate the incidence of urinary tract infections (UTI) in elderly patients in Spanish emergency departments (ED), the need for hospitalization, diagnostic confirmation in hospitalized patients, adverse events and the predictive capacity of several biomarkers. In this a posteriori substudy of a generic study of reasons for ED visits in elderly patients, we included patients aged ≥65 years seen in 52 Spanish EDs for 1 week, selecting those diagnosed with UTI. As adverse events, in-hospital and 30-day mortality and combined adverse event (death or hospitalization) at 30 days post-discharge were collected. Relative risks (RR) were calculated. The predictive capacity of 10 variables and 6 biomarkers was investigated. A total of 25,375 patients were included, 1058 with UTI (annual incidence: 24.7 per 1000 inhabitants aged ≥65 years and year, 95%CI: 24.5-24.9). A total of 36.5% were hospitalized, and in 80% the diagnosis of UTI was confirmed at discharge. Overall 30-day mortality was 5.4% and in-hospital mortality was 3.4%. Functional dependence was associated with both events (RR:2.91;1.18-7.17 and RR:12.61;1.47-108.11, respectively), as was having a CRP greater than 100 mg/L (RR:2.24;1.17-4.30 and RR:3.21;1.37-7.51, respectively). The combined post-high event occurred in 10.6%, and was associated with functional dependence (RR:2.05;1.04-4.06). CRP and hemoglobin had significant value in predicting 30-day post-discharge mortality or hospitalization. UTI is a frequent diagnosis in elderly patients consulting in the ED. Functional dependence is the best factor associated with adverse events. The biomarkers analyzed do not have a good predictive capacity.

Risk factors and prognostic impact of new decompensated events in hospitalized patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Decompensated cirrhosis (DC) is prone to recurrent episodes of decompensation following the initial event. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for subsequent decompensation and assess their impact on the outcomes of patients hospitalized for DC. Patients with DC were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of new decompensated events during hospitalization. Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify risk factors for new decompensation. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the relationship between new decompensation and short-term mortality risk in these patients. The study cohort consisted of 339 patients with DC, with a median age of 57 years. During hospitalization, 83 patients (24.5%) experienced new decompensated events, with bacterial infections (BIs) being the most common (n = 46, 13.6%). Multivariate analysis revealed that the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score at admission (OR = 1.06, 95% CI: 1.02-1.11, P = 0.005) was the sole risk factor for new decompensation during hospitalization. Patients who experienced new decompensation had significantly higher 28-day (28.9% vs. 7.0%, P < 0.001) and 90-day (33.7% vs. 15.2%, P < 0.001) transplant-free mortality compared to those who did not. After adjusting for white cell count, C-reactive protein, and MELD score, new decompensation during hospitalization was identified as an independent risk factor for 28-day and 90-day mortality (HR = 2.63, 95% CI: 1.42-4.87, P = 0.002 and HR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.04-2.88, P = 0.033, respectively). Patients with high MELD scores are susceptible to new decompensation during hospitalization, and the occurrence of new decompensation adversely affects short-term mortality in patients with DC.

Comparing gastrointestinal dysfunction score and acute gastrointestinal injury grade for predicting short-term mortality in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND The prognosis of critically ill patients is closely linked to their gastrointestinal (GI) function. The acute GI injury (AGI) grading system, established in 2012, is extensively utilized to evaluate GI dysfunction and forecast outcomes in clinical settings. In 2021, the GI dysfunction score (GIDS) was developed, building on the AGI grading system, to enhance the accuracy of GI dysfunction severity assessment, improve prognostic predictions, reduce subjectivity, and increase reproducibility. AIM To compare the predictive capabilities of GIDS and the AGI grading system for 28-day mortality in critically ill patients. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted at the general intensive care unit (ICU) of a regional university hospital. All data were collected during the first week of ICU admission. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analyzed whether GIDS and AGI grade were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. The predictive abilities of GIDS and AGI grade were compared using the receiver operating characteristic curve, with DeLong’s test assessing differences between the curves’ areas. RESULTS The incidence of AGI in the first week of ICU admission was 92.13%. There were 85 deaths (47.75%) within 28 days of ICU admission. There was no initial 24-hour difference in GIDS between the non-survival and survival groups. Both GIDS (OR 2.01, 95%CI: 1.25-3.24; P = 0.004) and AGI grade (OR 1.94, 95%CI: 1.12-3.38; P = 0.019) were independent predictors of 28-day mortality. No significant difference was found between the predictive accuracy of GIDS and AGI grade for 28-day mortality during the first week of ICU admission (Z = -0.26, P = 0.794). CONCLUSION GIDS within the first 24 hours was an unreliable predictor of 28-day mortality. The predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality from both systems during the first week was comparable.

Dysmagnesemia with acute kidney injury among older adults: clinical characteristics and prognostic importance.

The relationship between dysmagnesemia and all-cause mortality probability in individuals with acute kidney injury (AKI) have not been investigated. In this study, we evaluated the correlation of varying magnesium levels with mortality in older adults undergoing AKI. Older adults receiving treatment at the Chinese PLA General Hospital between 2007 and 2018 were retrospectively recruited. All-cause mortality was evaluated at four preset magnesium concentrations: <0.8, 0.8-0.9, 0.9-1.0, and ≥ 1.0 mmol/L. Using multivariable-adjusted Cox assessment, the all-cause mortality risk was approximated by setting the reference magnesium concentration at 0.8-0.9 mmol/L. Totally 744 participants were enrolled, whose median age was 88 years, with most of them being male (94.2%). Among them, 184 patients were assigned into the < 0.8 mmol/L group, 156 into the 0.8-0.9 mmol/L group, 206 into the 0.9-1.0 mmol/L group, and 198 into the ≥ 1.0 mmol/L group. After 28 days, the mortality rates in the four strata were 26.6, 17.9, 17.5, and 37.4%, respectively. The corresponding mortalities after 90 days were 42.4, 23.7, 26.7, and 45.5%, respectively. Compared with patients who had magnesium levels of 0.8-0.9 mmol/L, those with magnesium levels < 0.8 mmol/L (P = 0.048), and ≥ 1.0 mmol/L (P < 0.001) exhibited higher 28-day mortalities. Significant correlations also showed that patients with magnesium levels < 0.8 mmol/L (P = 0.017) and ≥ 1.0 mmol/L (P < 0.001) were significantly related to the increased 90-day mortality. Magnesium levels outside the interval of 0.8-1.0 mmol/L were related to the higher risks of 28- and 90-day mortalities among older adults with AKI.

The development of a C5.0 machine learning model in a limited data set to predict early mortality in patients with ARDS undergoing an initial session of prone positioning.

Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) has a high morbidity and mortality. One therapy that can decrease mortality is ventilation in the prone position (PP). Patients undergoing PP are amongst the sickest, and there is a need for early identification of patients at particularly high risk of death. These patients may benefit from an in-depth review of treatment or consideration of rescue therapies. We report the development of a machine learning model trained to predict early mortality in patients undergoing prone positioning as part of the management of their ARDS. Prospectively collected clinical data were analysed retrospectively from a single tertiary ICU. The records of patients who underwent an initial session of prone positioning whilst receiving invasive mechanical ventilation were identified (n = 131). The decision to perform prone positioning was based on the criteria in the PROSEVA study. A C5.0 classifier algorithm with adaptive boosting was trained on data gathered before, during, and after initial proning. Data was split between training (85% of data) and testing (15% of data). Hyperparameter tuning was achieved through a grid-search using a maximal entropy configuration. Predictions for 7-day mortality after initial proning session were made on the training and testing data. The model demonstrated good performance in predicting 7-day mortality (AUROC: 0.89 training, 0.78 testing). Seven variables were used for prediction. Sensitivity was 0.80 and specificity was 0.67 on the testing data set. Patients predicted to survive had 13.3% mortality, while those predicted to die had 66.67% mortality. Among patients in whom the model predicted patient would survive to day 7 based on their response, mortality at day 7 was 13.3%. Conversely, if the model predicted the patient would not survive to day 7, mortality was 66.67%. This proof-of-concept study shows that with a limited data set, a C5.0 classifier can predict 7-day mortality from a number of variables, including the response to initial proning, and identify a cohort at significantly higher risk of death. This can help identify patients failing conventional therapies who may benefit from a thorough review of their management, including consideration of rescue treatments, such as extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. This study shows the potential of a machine learning model to identify ARDS patients at high risk of early mortality following PP. This information can guide clinicians in tailoring treatment strategies and considering rescue therapies. Further validation in larger cohorts is needed.

Endoscopic-assisted, minimally invasive versus sternotomy total arterial multivessel bypass grafting.

This single center study compared the perioperative outcomes after total arterial multivessel revascularization through endoscopic-assisted, minimally invasive surgery compared to a conventional sternotomy approach. In this retrospective, propensity score matched (PSM) cohort study, a total of 740 patients were analyzed (Endo-CAB, N = 92; Sternotomy N = 648). After PSM (1:2 ratio), 73 Endo-CAB and 137 sternotomy patients were compared with an equal number of distal anastomoses (Endo-CAB 2.3 vs Sternotomy 2.4 anastomoses per patient, p = 0.082). We used "textbook outcome" as a patient-orientated outcome measure, defined as the absence of 30-day mortality, re-exploration for bleeding, postoperative ischaemia, cardiac tamponade, cerebrovascular events, wound infection, new onset arrhythmias, pneumonia, placement of chest drains and prolonged hospital stay (>7 days). Patients undergoing Endo-CAB had significantly more often a textbook outcome compared to the sternotomy group (78.1% vs 59.1%, p = 0.009). Endo-CAB patients had shorter hospital stay (4.0 vs 6.0 days, p < 0.001), less postoperative blood loss (360 vs 490 ml, p < 0.001) and a significant reduction of new onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (5.5% vs 17.5%, p = 0.015). Other postoperative outcomes were comparable for both groups. Total arterial Endo-CAB demonstrates excellent postoperative outcomes compared to a sternotomy approach for multivessel coronary artery disease. These findings provide a strong basis for further expanding the multivessel Endo-CAB program.

EGS SO30 - Management of Iatrogenic Oesophageal Perforations in the era of Endo-Vacuum Therapy- Preliminary Results of a Single-Institution Study

Abstract Background Iatrogenic oesophageal perforation (IOP) following diagnostic and therapeutic interventions at the oesophagus or adjacent organs are responsible for nearly half of oesophageal perforations. If not recognised within 24 hours of injury, then they are associated with devastating morbidity and mortality. Available treatment options encompass non-operative for early perforation without sepsis, endoscopic with endoclip/stent and surgical including primary repair, exclusion and diversion or oesophagectomy. Recently, Endoscopic Vacuum Therapy (EVT) has been introduced as safe and effective alternative approach. We sought to assess treatment outcomes in patients with IOPs prior to and during periods where EVT was available as treatment option. Method A single-centre retrospective cohort study incorporating all consecutive patients (N=30) presented or transferred to our tertiary oesophagogastric unit for IOP management between 01/01/2009-31/12/2023 was undertaken. Patients with anastomotic leak post-surgery or spontaneous perforation secondary to malignancy or benign pathology were excluded. Primary study-outcomes were treatment type including non-operative, EVT after 01/01/2018 or other endoscopic therapy, surgical operation including laparotomy, thoracotomy, primary defect repair or over a T-tube, disconnection with oesophagostomy, stenting or other interventional radiology procedures and their rate of success or failure. Secondary outcomes were length of stay, 90-day complications requiring re-intervention or re-admission, 30-, 90-day and 1-year mortality. Results In 2009-2017 pre-EVT period, 11/30 patients were managed a) non-surgically 7/11, b) endoclip 3/11 and stenting 1/11. 30-day and 90-day mortality were 1/11, 90-day morbidity Clavien-Dindo &amp;gt;IIIa 3/11 (27.3%), 90-day reintervention 8/11 (72.7%), median LOS 27 days. In 2018-2023 EVT period, 19/30 patients were treated with a) laparotomy, left thoracotomy, defect repair over t-tube, chest drainage in 5/19, b) non-surgical 7/19, c) IR NJT, stent or PEG in 6/19 d) EVT in 4/19. 30-day mortality was 0/19, 90-day mortality 1/19 (5.2%), 90-day morbidity Clavien-Dindo &amp;gt;IIIa 7/19 (36.8%), 90-day reintervention 9/19 (47.4%), median LOS 61 days. 1-year mortality was 0/19 for both. Conclusion EVT therapy appears to be a feasible additional treatment modality in the management of iatrogenic oesophageal perforations. Careful patient selection, therapeutic endoscopic expertise, knowledge of the technique, multidisciplinary approach and team collaboration are essentials for favourable outcomes. Of note, management of oesophageal perforations in a dedicated UGI centre is directly related to patient outcomes and is a sine qua non.

Clostridioides difficile infection increases in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and hospital cost but not 30-day mortality in cirrhotic patients.

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a leading cause of nosocomial infection and is associated with both higher morbidity and mortality. Cirrhotic patients are more susceptible to CDI because of impaired gut immune response, use of proton pump inhibitor, and frequent hospitalization. We aim to investigate the impact of CDI on cirrhotic patients' in-hospital and 30-day mortality, length of stay, and hospital cost. Potentially eligible studies were identified from Embase, Medline, and Web of Sciences databases. A total of 2320 articles were identified. After reviewing, nine studies reporting in-hospital mortality and three reporting 30-day mortality of cirrhotic patients with CDI versus those without CDI were included. The meta-analysis of nine studies, consisting of 7 746 126 patients, revealed a significant association between CDI and in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients with the pooled OR of 1.68 (95% CI 1.29-1.85, I2 94%). Length of stay and hospital cost were also higher in the CDI group (pooled MD of 6.56days [95% CI 5.75-7.36, I2 94%] and 27.85 (×$1000) [95% CI 10.41-45.29, I2 100%], respectively). The funnel plots for the meta-analysis of the association between CDI and in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and hospitalization cost were not suggestive of publication bias. From three studies consisting of 3694 patients, we found that CDI was not associated with 30-day mortality in cirrhotic patients (pooled OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.75-2.24, I2 74%). CDI is associated with increased in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and hospital costs, but not with 30-day mortality in cirrhotic patients.

Association of dementia with the 28-day mortality of sepsis: an observational and Mendelian randomization study

BackgroundObservational research suggests that individuals with dementia who have sepsis face a higher likelihood of death. However, whether there is a causal relationship between the two remains unknown.MethodsWe analyzed data from patients diagnosed with sepsis and dementia, extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. To examine the correlation between dementia and 28-day mortality in sepsis, we utilized Cox proportional hazards models. Following this, we performed a Mendelian randomization (MR) study with two samples to investigate the potential link between dementia and mortality within 28 days in sepsis.ResultsThis study included a total of 22,189 patients diagnosed with sepsis, among whom 1,346 cases (6.1%) had dementia. After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, dementia was associated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality in sepsis (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.12–1.39, p &amp;lt; 0.001). In the MR analysis, there appeared to be a causal relationship between genetically predicted dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) (OR = 1.093, 95% CI = 1.016–1.177, p = 0.017) and 28-day mortality in sepsis. However, there was no evidence of causality between any dementia (OR = 1.063, 95% CI = 0.91–1.243, p = 0.437), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) (OR = 1.126, 95% CI = 0.976–1.299, p = 0.103), vascular dementia (VD) (OR = 1.008, 95% CI = 0.93–1.091, p = 0.844), and the risk of 28-day mortality in sepsis.ConclusionIn the observational analysis, dementia was associated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality in septic patients. However, in the MR analysis, only DLB was associated with increased 28-day mortality in septic patients, with no observed correlation for other dementia subtypes.