30-day Mortality In Community-acquired Pneumonia Patients Research Articles

Distribution characteristics of human herpes viruses in the lower respiratory tract and their impact on 30-day mortality in community-acquired pneumonia patients.

Human herpes viruses (HHVs) are commonly detected in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients, particularly those with complex complications, attracting increased attention from clinical practitioners. However, the significance of detecting HHVs in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) with CAP patients is still unclear. This study retrospectively analyzed BALF samples from 64 CAP patients at the Kunming Third People's Hospital between August 2021 and December 2023. Metagenomic next generation sequencing (mNGS) was conducted on BALF samples during CAP onset. Multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify independent risk factors for 30-day all-cause mortality in CAP. HHVs were found in 84.4% of CAP patients, which were the most common pathogens (45.1%), followed by bacteria (30.2%) and fungi (11.5%). Bacterial-viral co-infections were most common, occurring in 39 patients. Notably, there was no significant difference in HHV presence between severe and non-severe CAP patients (EBV: P = 0.431, CMV: P = 0.825), except for HHV-7 (P = 0.025). In addition, there was no significant difference in the 30-day mortality between HHV positive and HHV negative groups (P = 0.470), as well as between the HHV-7 positive and HHV-7 negative groups (P = 0.910). However, neither HHVs nor HHV-7 was independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in CAP patients (HHVs: HR 1.171, P = 0.888; HHV-7: HR 1.947, P = 0.382). In summary, among the prevalent presence of multiple HHVs, EBV and CMV were the most prevalent in CAP patients. Patients with sCAP were more susceptible to HHV-7 than those with non-sCAP. These results provide valuable insights for clinicians in guiding appropriate interventions for CAP treatment.

Predictive Value of Lysophosphatidylcholine for Determining the Disease Severity and Prognosis of Elderly Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia.

To investigate the clinical value of serum lysophosphatidylcholine (LPC) as a predictive biomarker for determining disease severity and mortality risk in hospitalized elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). This prospective, single-center study enrolled 208 elderly patients, including 67 patients with severe CAP (SCAP) and 141 with non-SCAP between November 1st, 2020, and November 30th, 2021 at the Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Shandong Province, China. The demographic and clinical parameters were recorded for all the included patients. Serum LPC levels were measured on day 1 and 6 after admission using ELISA. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the baseline variables between SCAP and non-SCAP patient groups. Receiver operative characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to compare the predictive performances of LPC and other clinical parameters in discriminating between SCAP and non-SCAP patients and determining the 30-day mortality risk of the hospitalized CAP patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors associated with SCAP. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to determine if serum LPC was an independent risk factor for the 30-day mortality of CAP patients. The serum LPC levels at admission were significantly higher in the non-SCAP patients than in the SCAP patients (P = 0.011). Serum LPC level <24.36 ng/mL, and PSI score were independent risk factors for the 30-day mortality in the elderly patients with CAP. The risk of 30-day mortality in the elderly CAP patients with low serum LPC levels (< 24.36ng/mL) was >5-fold higher than in the patients with high serum LPC levels (≥ 24.36ng/mL). Low serum LPC levels were associated with significantly higher disease severity and 30-day mortality in the elderly patients with CAP. Therefore, serum LPC is a promising predictive biomarker for the early identification of elderly CAP patients with poor prognosis.

Prognostic Value of Plasma Presepsin and Pneumonia Severity Index in Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia in the Emergency Department.

Background and Objectives: Presepsin (PSS) is an independent predictor for estimating disease severity and prognosis in septic patients. Few studies have reported the associations between plasma PSS and the severity and prognosis in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). We investigated whether a high plasma PSS level was associated with 30-day mortality in CAP patients. Materials and Methods: This retrospective single-center study was conducted in an emergency department. The PSS level was measured in 211 adult CAP patients admitted to the hospital and followed for up to 30 days. We recorded the pneumonia severity index (PSI) and the CURB-65 score. The primary outcome was death from any cause within 30 days. Results: The plasma PSS levels were significantly elevated in the high-risk group (PSI &gt; 130) compared with the low- (PSI &lt; 91) or moderate-risk groups (PSI 91-130). Forty-four patients (20.9%) died within 30 days of admission. Non-survivors had significantly higher plasma PSS levels than survivors among CAP patients: 1083 (697-1736) pg/mL vs. 385 (245-554) pg/mL (p &lt; 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) to predict 30-day mortality was highest for PSS (0.867), followed by procalcitonin (0.728) and lactate (0.616). The cutoff level of plasma PSS for 30-day mortality was &gt;754 pg/mL. The combination of PSI and plasma PSS level improved the predictive ability for 30-day mortality (AUC = 0.892). Cox regression analysis showed that higher PSS levels (&gt;754 pg/mL) and higher PSI (&gt;126) were associated with 30-day mortality in CAP patients (hazard ratios of 19.472 and 6.375, respectively). Conclusion: Elevated plasma PSS is associated with severity and 30-day mortality in hospitalized CAP patients. Combining plasma PSS level and PSI could significantly improve the predictive ability of PSS for 30-day mortality.

Association between neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and mortality among community acquired pneumonia patients: a meta-analysis.

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an emerging biomarker used in the prognosis of many conditions. We aimed to conduct a meta-analysis to assess the prognostic accuracy of the NLR in determining mortality in patients with community acquired pneumonia (CAP). The PubMed, EBSCO, and Scopus databases were searched to find all relevant articles; 10 articles with 5220 patients were included. The pooled area under the curve (AUC) of NLR admission levels to predict 30-Day mortality of CAP patients was 0.706; 95% CI (0.631 to 0.781), while the pooled AUC of NLR levels taken at 3-5 days was 0.882; 95% CI (0.818 to 0.945). Meta analysis also showed a significant difference in the NLR between the survivors and 30-day non-survivors. This difference was greater when NLR levels were taken at 3-5 days; standardized mean difference (SMD) = 1.646; 95% CI (0.451 to 2.840) compared to NLR levels at admission SMD = 1.139; 95% CI (0.514 to 1.764). These results show that the NLR has potential to be incorporated in the routine assessment and stratification of CAP patients, especially in the early-stage evolution (3-5 days), keeping in mind the availability and cost effectiveness of this test.

The alveolar-arterial gradient, pneumonia severity scores and inflammatory markers to predict 30-day mortality in pneumonia

ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to evaluate the association of elevated alveolar-arterial oxygen (A-a O2) gradient with risk of mortality in hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). MethodsThis prospective study included 206 patients diagnosed with CAP admitted to the ED. Demographics, comorbidities, arterial blood gas, serum electrolytes, liver-renal functions, complete blood count, NLR, PLR, CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, A-a O2 gradient, expected A-a O2 and A-a O2 difference were evaluated. PSI and CURB-65 scores were classified as follow: a) PSI low risk (I-III) and moderate-high risk (IV-V) groups; b) CURB-65; low risk (0–2) and high risk (3–5) groups. ResultsThe survival rates of the PSI class (I-III) were significantly higher than the ones of the PSI class (IV-V) (92.1% vs. 62.9%, respectively). The percentage of survivors of the CURB-65 score (0–2) group (81.9%) was higher than the survivors of CURB-65 score (3–5) group (27.8%). Creatinine, BUN, uric acid, phosphorus, RDW, CRP, CAR, procalcitonin, lactate, A-a 02 gradient, expected A-a 02 and A-a 02 difference were significantly higher and basophil was lower in non-survivors. A-a O2 gradient (AUC 0.78), A-a O2 difference (AUC 0.74) and albumin (AUC 0.80) showed highest 30-day mortality prediction. NLR (AUC 0.58) and PLR (AUC 0.55) showed lowest 30-day mortality estimation. Procalcitonin (AUC 0.65), PSI class (AUC 0.81) and PSI score (AUC 0.86) indicated statistically significant higher 30-day mortality prediction. ConclusionA-a O2 gradient, A-a O2 difference and albumin are potent predictors of 30-day mortality in CAP patients in the ED.

Incidence and risk factors for cardiovascular events in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia

Objective: To explore the incidence, risk factors of cardiovascular events (CVE) and their impact on 30-day mortality in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: This is a multicenter, retrospective study. Patients hospitalized with CAP from 5 teaching hospitals in Beijing, Shandong and Yunnan provinces during 1 January 2013 to 31 December 2015 were included and clinical data were retrieved from the Hospital Information System (HIS), and patients were divided into CVE group and non-CVE group. Age, sex, comorbidities, pneumonia severity index(PSI)/CURB-65 score, routine blood test, biochemical examinations, radiological findings on admission and mortality on 30-day after admission were analyzed. The primary endpoint was acute CVE during hospitalization, the secondary endpoint was 30-day death after admission. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to explore the risk factors for CVE. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to compare the difference on 30-day mortality between CVE patients and non-CVE patients by Log-rank test. Multivariate Cox regression model was used to assess the impact of CVE on the 30-day mortality among CAP patients after adjustment with age, sex, comorbidities, PSI/CURB-65 score. Results: A total of 3 561 CAP patients were included into the final analysis, including 210 (5.9%) patients in CVE group and 3 351 (94.1%) patients in non-CVE group. Compared with patients in non-CVE group, patients in CVE group were older (P<0.001), prevalence of hypertension, coronary heart disease, chronic heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, aspiration risk and bedrid were significantly higher (all P<0.001); prevalence of CURB-65 score 3-5 and PSI risk class Ⅳ/Ⅴ were also significantly higher (both P<0.001). The proportion of axillary temperature<36 ℃, respiratory rate≥30 beats/minutes, confusion, leukocytes>10×10(9)/L, hemoglobin<100 g/L, platelets>300×10(9)/L, albumin<35 g/L, blood urea nitrogen>7 mmol/L, fasting blood glucose>11 mmol/L, serum C-reaction protein>100 mg/L, serum procalcitonin≥2 μg/L, arterial pH<7.35, arterial PO(2)/FiO(2)≤300 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), and multilobar infiltrates and pleural effusion on chest X-ray or CT scan were significantly higher in CVE group than in non-CVE group(all P<0.05); the 30-day mortality was significantly higher in CVE group than in non-CVE group(P<0.001). The incidence of CVE was significantly higher in patients with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease(CVD) than in patients without CVD (13.9%(150/1 079) vs. 2.4%(60/2 482), χ(2)=178.737, P<0.001). Meanwhile, the incidence of CVE increased with PSI in patients with Ⅰ/Ⅱ, Ⅲ and Ⅳ/Ⅴ class, respectively(χ(2)=228.350, P<0.001); and CURB-65 score 0-1, 2 and 3-5, respectively (χ(2)=387.154, P<0.001). Cox regression analysis revealed that age (HR=1.05, 95%CI 1.02-1.09, P=0.002), coronary heart disease (HR=1.88, 95%CI 1.01-3.51, P=0.048), chronic heart failure (HR=4.25, 95%CI 1.89-9.52, P<0.001), PSI risk class (HR=1.66, 95%CI 1.50-2.62, P=0.029) and serum procalcitonin≥ 2 μg/L (HR=3.72, 95%CI 1.60-8.66, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for CVE in CAP patients. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the survival probability of patients with CVE was significantly lower than patients without CVE (P<0.001). After adjustment for age, sex, comorbidities and PSI/CURB-65 score, Cox regression model showed that CVE was associated with increased 30-day mortality in CAP patients (HR=6.05, 95%CI 3.11-11.76, P<0.001). Conclusions: Although the incidence of CVE is not high in Chinese patients hospitalized with CAP, CVE is common in patients with severe pneumonia and in patients with CVD. Age, cardiovascular disease, PSI risk class and serum procalcitonin are the risk factors for CVE in this patient cohort. CVE is related to increased 30-day mortality in CAP patients.

The assessment of B-type natriuretic peptide be used as a prognositic factor for community-acquired pneumonia

Objective To explore the value of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) be used as a prognostic factor for community-acquired pneumonia. Methods This was a multicenter, retrospective study. Data of patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia during 2014/1/1 to 2015/12/31 from four tertiary hospitals were reviewed, including demographic and clinical features, and outcomes. Univariate analysis and logistic regression analysis were performed to determine risk factors for 30-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) was performed to verify the accuracy of BNP>1 000 pg/ml, CURB-65 score and BNP>1 000 pg/ml+ CURB-65 score (B-CURB65) as 30-day mortality predictors in the study patients. Results 1 786 patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) were entered into the final analysis. The 30-day mortality was 4.7%. Logistic regression analysis confirmed blood BNP>1 000 pg/ml was an independent risk factor associated with 30-day mortality of CAP patients. The area under the curve (AUC) of B-CURB65 was 0.774, which was higher than CURB-65 score (AUC=0.625, P=0.002). Conclusions Blood BNP is a valuable biomarker related to the 30-day mortality of CAP patients, which can increase the predicting accuracy of CURB-65 score. Key words: Natriuretic peptide, brain; Community-acquired pneumonia; Mortality

Serum Prealbumin Improves the Sensitivity of Pneumonia Severity Index in Predicting 30-day Mortality of CAP Patients.

Serum prealbumin (PAB) is an effective tool to evaluate patients with malnutrition. In recent years, studies have shown that PAB is statistically reduced during the course of disease infection. The pneumonia severity index (PSI) scoring system is one of the most widely used scoring tools to evaluate the condition and prognosis of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients. However, few studies have reported on PSI combined with blood indicators to predict the prognosis of pneumonia. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of PAB combined with PSI in patients with CAP. We retrospectively analyzed the data of 400 patients who met the inclusion criteria. Death and survival were selected as prognostic indicators of pneumonia. On the first day after admission, venous blood samples were taken to test PAB and PSI scores. Subject operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate PSI, PAB, and PSI combined with PAB to predict 30-day mortality of CAP patients. The 30-day mortality rate of CAP patients was 10.5% (42/400). PAB and PSI score were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in CAP patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of PAB predicting the death of CAP patients were 86.3%, 79%, 50.74%, and 95.83%, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of PSI predicting the death of CAP patients were 74.80%, 63%, 33.71%, and 90.99%, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the combined index predicting the death of CAP patients were 95.20%, 77.80%, 51.70% and 98.41%, respectively. Serum prealbumin is a relatively simple acquired index and an independent risk factor for death in CAP patients. Serum prealbumin improves the sensitivity of pneumonia severity index in predicting 30-day mortality of CAP patients.

2237. Early Discontinuation of Antibacterials Is Safe for Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) Who Have a Positive Viral Test, Negative Tests for Bacteria, and Low Procalcitonin

BackgroundStudies using molecular testing methods have found monomicrobial infection with a virus as the etiology of CAP in adult patients admitted to the hospital in 6–30% of cases. The use of antibacterial agents in such patients is unnecessary, and can lead to untoward consequences. A test confirming a viral etiology may reduce the needless use of antibiotics, especially if the procalcitonin (PCT) level is low, suggesting that bacterial co-infection is unlikely. Our Antimicrobial Stewardship Program (ASP) routinely follows patients admitted with respiratory tract infections, and provides recommendations for appropriate therapy based on diagnostic test results as well as PCT levels. We present a retrospective evaluation of our experience.MethodsA retrospective review of ASP interventions on patients admitted to Summa Health System—Akron Campus was performed for the time frame of January 2018–March 2019. Patients were included if they had a positive viral PCR result (VERIGENE™, BioFire™), a PCT level <0.25 ng/mL (BioMérieux™, Abbott™), negative bacterial studies, and an accepted intervention to discontinue antimicrobial therapy made by the ASP.ResultsThe ASP assessed 131 patients with positive viral PCR studies and low PCT levels who had antimicrobials discontinued based on ASP recommendations; 68 with CAP and 63 without pneumonia (WPNA) as demonstrated on imaging. Most patients in the WPNA category had acute exacerbation of COPD. Common viruses identified were Influenza A or B, Rhinovirus and RSV. Mean duration of antibiotics was 2.6 days for CAP and 2.4 days for WPNA (Table 1). The 30-day readmission rate was similar for each group, and for CAP patients was similar for all-cause pneumonia patients at our institution (14% during similar time period). 30-day Mortality of CAP patients was low.ConclusionWhile national guidelines recommend a minimum of 5 days of antimicrobial therapy for CAP patients, we have observed that discontinuing antibiotics well before that is safe if a viral etiology is identified without evidence of bacterial co-infection (including low PCT) and results in less antibiotic usage. Reduction in unnecessary antibiotic use has the potential to improve the quality of care for adults with CAP. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.

A new prediction model for assessing the clinical outcomes of ICU patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a decision tree analysis

Purpose: We aimed to develop a new scoring index based on decision-tree analysis to predict clinical outcomes of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).Methods: Data of 3519 ICU patients with CAP were obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC III) 2001–2012 database and analysed between 30-d survivors and non-survivors. Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the new decision tree model were compared with those of CURB-65 and SOAR.Results: The newly developed classification and regression tree (CART) model identified coexisting illnesses as the most important single discriminating factor between survivors and non-survivors. The CART model area under the curve (AUC) 0.661 was superior to that of CURB-65 (0.609) and SOAR (0.589). CART sensitivity was 73.4%, and specificity 49.0%. CURB-65 and SOAR sensitivity for predicting 30-d mortality were 74.5 and 80.7%, and specificity was 42.3 and 33.9%, respectively. After smoothing, the CART model had higher sensitivity and specificity than both CURB-65 and SOAR.Conclusions: The new CART prediction model has higher specificity and better receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves than CURB-65 and SOAR score indices although its accuracy and sensitivity are only moderately better than the other systems.Key messagesThe new CART prediction model has higher specificity and better ROC curves than CURB-65 and SOAR score indices.However, accuracy and sensitivity of the new CART prediction model are only moderately better than the other systems in predicting 30-day mortality in CAP patients.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Improves the Accuracy and Sensitivity of Pneumonia Severity Index in Predicting 30-Day Mortality of CAP Patients.

The pneumonia severity index (PSI) scoring system is one of the tools used to evaluate and predict the prognosis of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Although PSI has been widely used in clinical studies of pneumonia, it is still rare to combine it with blood indexes to predict the prognosis of pneumonia. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a promising candidate predictor of mortality in CAP patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the efficacy of pneumonia severity index combined with NLR in predicting 30-day mortality in CAP patients. We conducted a retrospective study. We analyzed data on 400 non-immune individuals over the age of 18 in this study. All patients received blood routine measurement and PSI score calculation after admission. The primary outcome measures were mortality and survival in CAP patients. The sensitivity and specificity of PSI score, NLR, and the combination of PSI score and NLR in predicting 30-day mortality were assessed using the subject operating characteristic curve (ROC). Data from 400 patients were analyzed, in which the 30-day mortality was 10.5% (42/400). The AUC of NLR and PSI in predicting 30-day mortality of CAP patients were 0.81 (95% CI 0.73 - 0.89) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.90 - 0.98), respectively, with statistically significant differences (p = 0.00). The sensitivity and specificity of NLR were 0.80 and 0.7, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of PSI were 0.78 and 0.94, respectively. The combined AUC of the two indicators for predicting death in CAP patients was 0.95 (95% CI 0.92 - 0.99), and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.85 and 0.94, respectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio improves the accuracy and sensitivity of the pneumonia severity index in predicting 30-day mortality of CAP patients.

Elevated Red Blood Cell Distribution Width Combined White Blood Cell in Peripheral Blood Routine Have a Better Sensitivity than CURB-65 Scores in Predicting ICU Admission and Mortality in Adult Community-Acquired Pneumonia Patients.

<p><strong><em>Background</em></strong>: Scoring systems including CURB-65 and Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and novel or traditional biomarkers including procalcitonin (PCT) and c-reactive protein (CRP) are very significant for understanding the severity and prognosis in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients, while prognostic items are useful for CAP prognostication and point-of-care decisions. The aim of this study was to investigate the usefulness of peripheral blood routine items in predicting ICU admission and 30-day mortality in CAP patients.</p> <p><strong><em>Methods</em></strong>: A retrospective study was conducted. All adult patients with a primary diagnosis of CAP were included and peripheral blood routine tests were evaluated. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to explore association of risk factors with 30-day mortality among CAP patients. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were used to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of peripheral blood routine items and compared with CURB-65 scores in predicting ICU admission and/or 30-day mortality.</p> <p><strong><em>Results</em></strong>: One hundred fifty patients were included and compared with non-ICU admission patients. There was a statistically significant difference in age, co-existing illness, RDW, WBC, and CURB-65 scores ranking in ICU admission patients (p < 0.05). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, we found RDW, WBC, and CURB-65 ≥ 3 scores increased the risk of 30-day mortality by 4.01, 1.65, and 3.43 times, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of ROC curves of RDW combined with WBC and CURB-65 was 0.786 (95% CI 0.701 to 0.876) and 0.836 (95% CI 0.764 to 0.908), respectively and the sensitivity was 84.0% and 60.0%, respectively, and the specificity 66.7% and 93.7%, respectively.</p> <p><strong><em>Conclusions</em></strong>: Elevated RDW and WBC increased mortality in adult CAP patients, RDW combined with WBC had a better sensitivity than CURB-65 scores in predicting ICU admission and/or mortality in CAP patients.</p>.

Functional status and mortality prediction in community-acquired pneumonia.

Poor functional status (FS) has been suggested as a poor prognostic factor in both pneumonia and severe pneumonia in elderly patients. However, it is still unclear whether FS is associated with outcomes and improves survival prediction in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the general population. Data on hospitalized patients with CAP and FS, assessed by the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) scale were prospectively collected between January 2008 and December 2012. The independent association of FS with 30-day mortality in CAP patients was evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. Improvement in mortality prediction when FS was added to the CRB-65 (confusion, respiratory rate, blood pressure and age 65) score was evaluated for discrimination, reclassification and calibration. The 30-day mortality of study participants (n = 1526) was 10%. Mortality significantly increased with higher ECOG score (P for trend <0.001). In multivariable analysis, ECOG ≥3 was strongly associated with 30-day mortality (adjusted OR: 5.70; 95% CI: 3.82-8.50). Adding ECOG ≥3 significantly improved the discriminatory power of CRB-65. Reclassification indices also confirmed the improvement in discrimination ability when FS was combined with the CRB-65, with a categorized net reclassification index (NRI) of 0.561 (0.437-0.686), a continuous NRI of 0.858 (0.696-1.019) and a relative integrated discrimination improvement in the discrimination slope of 139.8 % (110.8-154.6). FS predicted 30-day mortality and improved discrimination and reclassification in consecutive CAP patients. Assessment of premorbid FS should be considered in mortality prediction in patients with CAP.

Low T3 syndrome is a strong predictor of poor outcomes in patients with community-acquired pneumonia.

Low T3 syndrome was previously reported to be linked to poor clinical outcomes in critically ill patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive power of low T3 syndrome for clinical outcomes in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Data for 503 patients were analyzed retrospectively, and the primary end point was 30-day mortality. The intensive care unit (ICU) admission rate and 30-day mortality were 8.3% and 6.4% respectively. The prevalence of low T3 syndrome differed significantly between survivors and nonsurvivors (29.1% vs 71.9%, P < 0.001), and low T3 syndrome was associated with a remarkable increased risk of 30-day mortality and ICU admission in patients with severe CAP. Multivariate logistic regression analysis produced an odds ratio of 2.96 (95% CI 1.14–7.76, P = 0.025) for 30-day mortality in CAP patients with low T3 syndrome. Survival analysis revealed that the survival rate among CAP patients with low T3 syndrome was lower than that in the control group (P < 0.01). Adding low T3 syndrome to the PSI and CURB-65 significantly increased the areas under the ROC curves for predicting ICU admission and 30-day mortality. In conclusion, low T3 syndrome is an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality in CAP patients.

Multimarker Prognostication for Hospitalized Patients with Community-acquired Pneumonia.

The optimal prognostic model for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains unclear. In this study, we sought to identify independent predictors of 30-day mortality in patients with CAP and to determine whether adding specific prognostic factors to each of the two clinical prediction scores could improve the prognostic yield. This retrospective study involved 797 CAP patients who had been hospitalized at a tertiary referral center. The patients were categorized into two groups: those who survived and those who had died on or before 30 days after admission. Select clinical parameters were then compared between the two groups. During the 30-day period, there were 72 deaths (9%). We constructed two models for a multivariate analysis: one was based on a high CURB-65 score (3-5) and the other on a high pneumonia severity index (PSI) class (V). In both models, a high CURB-65 score or a high PSI class, along with the presence of dyspnea, high Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (3-4), and a low serum albumin level, were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. In both the CURB-65-based and PSI-based models, the addition of dyspnea, high ECOG performance status, and hypoalbuminemia (<3 g/dL) enhanced the prognostic assessment, and subsequently, the c-statistics calculated with the use of three- or four- predictor combinations exceeded 0.8. In addition to the CURB-65 or PSI, the clinical factors of dyspnea, the ECOG performance status, and serum albumin level may be independent predictors of 30-day mortality in CAP patients. When combined with the CURB-65 or PSI, these parameters provide additional evidence for predicting poor prognoses.

Importance of functional assessment in the management of community-acquired and healthcare-associated pneumonia.

In Japan, the number of elderly people who have difficulties performing the activities of daily living (ADLs) is increasing. The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between ADL and the clinical characteristics of pneumonia. We conducted a retrospective study of 219 adult patients hospitalized due to pneumonia [151 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and 68 patients with healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP)]. CAP, HCAP, and all the patients were stratified into two groups using a modified version of the Katz index of five ADLs as follows: independent in all ADLs or dependent in one to three ADLs (CAP-A, HCAP-A, and All-A groups) and dependent in four or five ADLs (CAP-B, HCAP-B, and All-B groups). Disease severity, microbiological findings, and mortality were compared between the groups. As the ability to perform ADLs declined, A-DROP scores (the CAP severity measurement index) increased significantly in CAP (CAP-A: 1.1±1.1, CAP-B: 2.6±1.1), HCAP (HCAP-A: 2.0±1.0, HCAP-B: 2.8±1.0), and all patients (All-A: 1.3±1.1, All-B: 2.8±1.0). Thirty-day mortality was higher in the CAP-B (23.1%) and All-B (19.2%) groups than in the CAP-A (0.7%) and All-A (1.8%) groups, respectively. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed an ADL score ≥ four to be a significant predictor of 30-day mortality in CAP patients [hazard ratio (HR), 19.057; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.930-188.130] and in all patients (HR, 8.180; 95% CI, 1.998-33.494). A functional assessment using a modified version of the Katz index is useful for the management of CAP and HCAP patients.