5-year Patient Survival Research Articles

Optimal transplant strategy of pediatric liver transplantation for fibropolycystic liver disease: Multicenter retrospective study in Japan.

To assess the preoperative disease characteristics and indications for living donor liver transplantation (LDLT), complications, patient survival, and prognosis after LDLT for fibropolycystic liver disease (FLD) in children. We undertook a cross-sectional survey of patients who underwent LDLT for FLD between January 2002 and December 2020. A total of 35 patients (22 male and 13 female individuals) with FLD were included in this study, of whom 19 (54.3%) had isolated congenital hepatic fibrosis and 16 (45.6%) had Caroli syndrome. Refractory gastrointestinal bleeding was the most frequent symptom related to the indication for LDLT, being found in 48.6% of our patients, followed by uncontrollable cholangitis and ascites. The median age at the time of LDLT was 8.1years old. Of the 27 patients presenting with renal involvement, 13 patients required kidney transplantation (KT). Overall, the renal function after LDLT decreased regardless of renal involvement; however, patients with renal involvement had a significantly lower estimated glomerular filtration rate than those without renal involvement throughout the course of this study (p<0.01). The 5-year overall patient survival rate was 97.1%. Two patients died with a median follow-up of 8.9years after LDLT; one died due to sepsis 2weeks after simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation and the other committed suicide 10years after LDLT. The prognosis of the pediatric patients who underwent LDLT for FLD was excellent. However, an individualized treatment approach based on the status of the renal function and liver disease is important, as a certain proportion of patients require KT.

Definition of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma based on the concordance index and optimal treatment strategy

BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high rate of recurrence and requires multiple treatment options. Early recurrence has been associated with poor prognosis; however, the timing of early recurrence varies in the literature. Therefore, in this study, we aimed to determine the timing of early recurrence with the best prognostic value and clarify the appropriate treatment strategy. MethodsThis retrospective study conducted to determine prognosis and treatments included 274 patients with HCC who underwent liver resection at the Saitama Cancer Center. The prognostic value of early recurrence at each surveillance period was calculated using Harrell's concordance index (C-index). ResultsThe C-index at 9 months postoperatively was 0.656, which was the highest cut-off value for early recurrence. Notably, 122 patients had no recurrence, 58 had early recurrence (<9 months), and 94 had late recurrence (≥9 months). The 5-year overall survival (OS) of patients with early recurrence was worse (16.5 %, p<0.001), whereas that of those with late and no recurrences were similar (79.2 % vs. 70.9 %, p=0.86). The 5-year OS rate of patients with late intrahepatic recurrence in the surgery group was 100 %. ConclusionThe optimal cutoff value for the timing of early recurrence was 9 months postoperatively. The early recurrence group had a high rate of extrahepatic recurrence and poor OS, whereas late recurrences were mostly intrahepatic, with no difference in prognosis between the late and no recurrence groups. Patients with intrahepatic recurrence after >9 months are considered for rehepatectomy because of its good outcomes. SynopsisThe C-index-based optimal cutoff for the timing of early HCC recurrence was 9 months postoperatively. The early recurrence group had a high rate of extrahepatic recurrence and poor OS, whereas late recurrences were mostly intrahepatic with a good prognosis.

Laparoscopic Access in Radical Surgical Treatment of Complicated Gastric Cancer: a Single-Center Experience

Over the past decades, there has been an active introduction of minimally invasive surgical technologies in the treatment of various diseases, including gastric cancer. In Asian countries and Europe, laparoscopic gastrectomy is an alternative to open gastrectomy for early gastric cancer, with a tendency to displace the latter. In the Russian Federation, laparoscopic gastrectomy is performed in a few specialized centers. From 2013 to 2022, the surgeons of our Center treated 141 patients diagnosed with gastric cancer at different stages (64 men, 39 women, mean age of 60.5±10 years). Of these, 52 patients (50.5%) underwent open surgeries (group I), 51 (49.5%) — laparoscopic surgeries (group II). The study included patients diagnosed with gastric cancer complicated by bleeding or gastric outlet/cardioesophageal junction obstruction, over 18 years of age, who signed consent for the processing of personal data and inclusion of their clinical data in the research and underwent surgical treatment. We analyzed such parameters as the duration of surgical intervention and the duration of hospital stay, the rates of hospital/relapse-free 2-year survival, and uncomplicated postoperative period. Laparoscopic-assisted surgeries lasted longer; however, due to more precise technique and better visualization of anatomical structures, there was a smaller volume of intraoperative blood loss. During laparoscopic-assisted radical gastrectomy, it is possible to perform more precise lymph node dissection, increase the number of harvested lymph nodes and, thus, increase the probability of detecting lymph nodes with metastases; which, in turn, has a direct impact on increasing the 2-year relapse-free and 2-year overall survival of patients. There was no significant difference in the incidence or severity of postoperative complications and mortality. These data are an important indicator of the effectiveness of the minimally invasive surgical method of treatment, which indicates greater safety of the laparoscopic method compared to intervention from laparotomy access.

Frailty and Malnutrition in Surgical Outcomes of Elderly Breast Cancer Patients.

We evaluate the impact of frailty and malnutrition on breast cancer surgery outcomes in older adults using the ACS 5-factor modified frailty index (MFI) and Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) definition. Single institution retrospective review of a prospective database of the older adult (>60 years old) breast cancer surgery patients (2000-2016); cases stratified into groups as per MFI (0-2) and GLIM. Characteristics, 90-day post-op events, and 5-year follow-up data were analyzed to report survival and complication outcomes. Among 436 patients at diagnosis, 213 (48.9%) were >80 years old. 377 (86.5%) were alive at 5 years. 274 (62.8%) had MFI > 0, and 69 (15.8%) had malnutrition. Patients ≥ 80, MFI > 0, and PR-negative tumors had worse 5-year survival. There was no survival difference in patients >80 with/without malnutrition (HR = 1.01, p = 0.971), and there was no difference in mastectomy or lumpectomy (p = 0.560) between patients ≥ 80 or patients younger than 80; however, 94% of immediate reconstruction were in pts < 80. On multivariate regression, complications were associated with age < 80, readmission, MFI > 0, and history of HTN; serious complications were associated with age < 80, readmission, anticoagulation, and not receiving endocrine therapy. MFI showed a significant predictive value for 5-year survival for patients ≥ 80 and should be part of the preoperative evaluation.

8061 Factors Affecting Survival of Metastatic Medullary Thyroid Cancer: A Population-Based Study From Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program

Abstract Disclosure: A. Abdelhameed: None. H. Ibrahim: None. M. Mortagy: None. Introduction: Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) arises from parafollicular cells of the thyroid. 43% of patients with MTC have metastasis. It was shown that the overall 5-year survival of patients with MTC is 40.4%. The clinical course of MTC is highly variable. The Aim is to identify factors affecting survival of the metastatic MTC sub-population. Understanding these factors is important in treating these patients. Methods 340 patients: with metastatic MTC who were diagnosed from 1975 to 2020 were extracted from SEER after removing duplicates and those not diagnosed by positive histology or cytology. Survival analysis was conducted, and Kaplan-Meier graph was generated. Univariate Cox regression was performed for all variables and respective hazard ratios (HR) were produced. Multivariable cox regression was performed for statistically significant variables. Results: The cohort were 59% males with a median age of 60 years. Median survival for the cohort was 20 months with survival of 63%, 41% and 31% at 1, 3, and 5 years respectively. Univariate Cox regression was statistically significant for age (HR 1.02), brain metastasis (HR 2.70), liver metastasis (1.65), lung metastasis (1.42), not performing total thyroidectomy (HR 2.77), lymph node ratio (HR 2.45), and systemic therapy after surgery (HR 0.34). Univariate Cox regression was not statistically significant for sex, grade, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, treatment delay, bone metastasis, distant lymph node metastasis, multifocal cancer, total number of benign and malignant tumors, race/ethnicity, income, tumor size and living in rural areas. Multivariable cox regression was done after inclusion of all significant variables from univariate Cox regression. It was only significant for age (HR 1.04), presence of lung metastasis (HR 1.91), and systemic therapy before surgery (HR 14.41). Conclusion: Increasing age, presence of lung metastasis and systemic therapy before surgery lead to worse prognosis in metastatic MTC. Gender, grade, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, treatment delay, bone or brain or liver metastasis, presence of multifocal cancer, race, tumor size and surgery don't affect survival according to multivariable cox regression. Future research is needed to study this group of patients. Presentation: 6/2/2024

Assessment of Five-Year Relative Survival of Patients With Endometrial Cancer: A Period Analysis.

Endometrial cancer is one of the most common female cancers globally and in China. Although timely assessment of 5-year relative survival is crucial for guiding secondary prevention and early screening programs for endometrial cancer patients, those kinds of data are scarce in China. We aimed to provide a timely and accurate assessment of 5-year relative survival for patients with endometrial cancer from eastern China. Overall, 945 patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer during 2004 - 2018 from four cancer registries with high-quality data from Taizhou, eastern China were included. Period analysis was used to calculate 5-year relative survival for overall and the stratification by age at diagnosis and region. Model-based period analysis was used to predict the 5-year relative survival for the upcoming period of 2019 - 2023. We found that 5-year relative survival during 2014 - 2018 reached 86.4% for overall, while urban areas had higher survival compared to rural areas (91.3% vs. 85.3%). Furthermore, there was a clear age gradient, decreasing from 89.3% for age < 55 years to 80.5% for age > 74 years. Predicted 5-year relative survival for the upcoming period 2019 - 2023 could reach 88.4%. We provide, a timely and accurate assessment of 5-year relative survival for patients with endometrial cancer from Taizhou, eastern China, reaching 86.4% for overall. Our finding has important implications for the overall evaluation of early detection and screening programs for patients with endometrial cancer in eastern China.

Optimizing the fairness of survival prediction models for racial/ethnic subgroups: A study on predicting post-operative survival in stage IA and IB non-small cell lung cancer.

380 Background: The recent surge of utilizing machine learning (ML) to develop prediction models for clinical decision-making aids is promising. However, these models can demonstrate racial bias due to inequities in real-world training data. In lung cancer, multiple models have been developed to predict prognosis, but none have been optimized to mitigate bias in performance among racial/ethnic subgroups. We developed a ML model to predict five-year survival in Stage 1A-1B non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), ensuring fairness on race. Methods: In the National Cancer Database, we identified patients with histopathologically confirmed stage 1A -1B NSCLC who underwent curative intent lobectomy from 2004 – 2017. We split the study cohort into a training and test sets (70%/30%). We trained and compared various ML models to predict 5-year overall survival. Patient demographic, clinical, and disease characteristics were used as input features for the models. To evaluate model fairness, we used the equalized odds ratio (eOR), which compares the true positive and false positive rates across groups; an eOR value of 1 represents equivalent rates across racial groups. We utilized 3 approaches to mitigate model bias and optimize for fairness of the best “naïve” model: grid search, threshold optimizer, and the exponentiated gradient methods. We evaluated model performance before and after bias mitigation using the area under the curve (AUC). Results: 124,298 patients fit our inclusion/exclusion criteria; 87% of patients were White, 8% were Black/African American, 3% Hispanic, and 2% Asian. Eighty percent of patients were diagnosed with stage 1A cancer; 20% had stage 1B cancer. The best naïve ML model, not optimized for fairness on race, had an eOR of 0.25 with an AUC of 0.66 (95% CI 0.65-0.66) overall. This model demonstrated an AUC of 0.65 (0.65-0.66) among white patients, 0.64 (0.62-0.66) among Black patients, 0.64 (0.60-0.68) among Asian patients, and 0.71 (0.68-0.74) among Hispanic patients. The threshold optimizer bias mitigation strategy improved fairness the most while maintaining similar overall performance of AUC 0.65 (0.64-0.66). With this strategy the eOR improved to 0.83 while AUC remained relatively stable across racial subgroups. Conclusions: We developed a ML model to predict 5-year survival in patients undergoing surgery for stage IA-IB NSCLC and employed model bias mitigation strategies that significantly improved model fairness, without diminishing overall performance. These strategies should be considered when developing prediction models for clinical decision making to avoid perpetuating disparities in care due to algorithm bias. Model performance metrics. Equalized Odds Ratio True Positive Rate False Positive Rate AUC Naive model 0.25 0.61 0.30 0.66 Threshold optimizer mitigated model 0.83 0.62 0.32 0.65

Impact of splenectomy on long-term outcomes after gastrectomy for gastric cancer: a population-based study

BackgroundNo national studies comparing long-term survival after total or partial gastrectomy with splenectomy due to injury or oncologic reasons or spleen preservation exist. This study aimed to examine the 5-year overall survival (OS) of patients with gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent total or partial gastrectomy with splenectomy due to injury or oncologic reasons or spleen preservation in a population-based nationwide setting. MethodsThis study included all patients undergoing total or partial gastrectomy with splenectomy or spleen preservation for gastric adenocarcinoma in Finland from 2005 to 2016, with follow-up until December 31, 2019. A total of 2196 patients with gastric cancer diagnosis and total or partial gastrectomy were identified in the registries. Of these patients, 2118 were applicable for this study. Cox proportional hazard models provided hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs of 5-year OS. The results were adjusted for age, sex, year of operation, comorbidities, tumor location, pathologic stage, and neoadjuvant therapy. ResultsThe observed 5-year OS rates were 38.7% in patients with no or minor spleen injury, 39.7% in patients with splenectomy due to injury, and 30.8% in patients with splenectomy due to oncologic reasons (P = .032). Patients who underwent R0 gastrectomy with splenectomy due to oncologic reasons had higher 5-year mortality (the adjusted model HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.01–1.56) than patients who underwent spleen preservation. ConclusionThe OS was worst in patients who underwent gastrectomy with splenectomy due to oncologic reasons, highlighting the poor prognosis in patients with advanced gastric cancer. Splenectomy due to injury does not compromise the prognosis.

Solar elastosis correlates with high tumor mutation burden and better 5-year disease-specific survival in patients with stage II/III melanoma

ObjectiveTo evaluate the relation between solar elastosis and tumor mutation burden (TMB) in a large clinically annotated cohort of stage II and III melanoma patients. MethodsPrimary cutaneous melanomas from 469 AJCC (8th edition) stage II and III patients with clinical annotation including outcome at 5 years of diagnosis were histopathologically evaluated for solar elastosis. Next-generation sequencing assay MSK-IMPACTTM was employed to determine TMB. Analysis by Fisher’s exact test, chi-square, and Kruskal-Wallis were performed, as well as uni- and multivariate logistic regression. ResultsTumors stratified by low and high TMB showed marked and statistically significant differences in presence and extent of associated solar elastosis. Lower risk patient stage (II versus III by AJCC 8th edition) as well as better 5-year melanomaspecific survival (as binary variable of controls-survivors versus cases-dead of disease at 5 years of diagnosis) were associated with severe solar elastosis. On univariate and multivariate logistic regression models, severe solar elastosis predicted significantly decreased odds of dying of melanoma within 5 years of diagnosis (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39-0.89; and OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.20-0.83, respectively; both p<0.05) ConclusionThe association of solar elastosis to TMB and 5-year melanoma specific survival points to its potential as a biomarker of clinical relevance that can be assessed by routine histopathology.

Acceptable outcomes of liver transplantation in uninsured patients under the coverage of a state assistance program.

The lack of health insurance is a major barrier in the access to healthcare even in case of life-saving procedures such as liver transplantation (LT). Concerns about worse outcomes in uninsured patients have also discouraged the evaluation and transplantation of patients without adequate health insurance coverage. The aim of this study is to evaluate outcomes from the largest cohort of uninsured patients who underwent LT with the support of a state payment assistance program (also called charity care). This study included all consecutive patients who underwent LT at a single center from 2002 to 2020. Demographic, clinical, social variables and outcome metrics were collected and compared between insured and uninsured patients. Among a total of 978 LT recipients, 594 had private insurance, 324 government insurance (Medicare/Medicaid), 60 were uninsured and covered under a state charity care program. In the charity care group, there was a higher proportion of Hispanic subjects, single marital status, younger age, and high-MELD score patients. The 1- and 3-year patient survival rates were 89.0% and 81.8% in private insurance patients, 88.8% and 80.1% in government insurance recipients, and 93.3% and 79.6% in those with charity care (p=0.49). There was no difference in graft survival between insured and uninsured patients (p=0.62). The three insurance groups presented similar hospital length-of-stay and 30-day readmission rates. In both univariate and multivariate analysis, uninsured status (charity care) was not associated with worse patient survival (HR:1.23, 95%CI: 0.84-1.80, p=0.29) or graft survival (HR:1.22, 95%CI:0.84-1.78, p=0.29). In conclusion, there was no difference in outcomes after LT between insured and uninsured patients. A charity care program may be an effective tool to mitigate socio-economic disparities in both outcomes and access to LT.

The Possible Role of PM2.5 Chronic Exposure on 5-Year Survival in Patients with Left Ventricular Dysfunction Following Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

The survival benefit of surgical revascularization in multivessel coronary artery disease is well understood, though it can be modified by left ventricular dysfunction. Chronic exposure to air pollutants has gained more attention recently as a possible non-traditional morbidity and mortality cardiovascular risk factor. This study identified possible 5-year mortality risk factors related to postoperative left ventricular performance, including air pollutants. There were 283 patients (244 (86%) males) with a median age of 65 (60-70) years enrolled in the retrospective analysis. All patients were referred for off-pump coronary artery revascularization due to chronic coronary syndrome that presented as a multivessel coronary artery disease. They were divided into three groups depending on the postoperative course of left ventricular fraction (LVEF 50% or more (169 patients), LVEF between 41 and 49% (61 patients), and LVEF 40% or less (53 patients)). The overall survival rate was 84% (237 patients) in a median follow-up time of 5.3 (4.8-6.1) years. The median (Q1-Q3) chronic air pollution exposures for the analyzed group were 19.3 (16.9-22.4) μg/m3 for fine particles such as PM2.5, 25.8 (22.5-29.4) μg/m3 for coarse particles such as PM10, and 12.2 (9.7-14.9) μg/m3 for nitric dioxide (NO2). The mortality in the first group (LVEF at least 50%) was 23 (13.6%), in the second group (LVEF 41-49%) was 9 (15%), and in the third group (LVEF 40% or less) was 14 (26%). The multivariable regression analysis for the five-year mortality risk in the first group revealed the predictive value of dyslipidemia (HR: 3.254, 95% CI: 1.008-10.511, p = 0.049). The multivariable regression analysis for five-year mortality risk in the second group revealed the predictive value of dyslipidemia (HR: 3.391, 95% CI: 1.001-11.874, p = 0.050) and PM2.5 (HR: 1.327, 95% CI: 1.085-1.625, p = 0.006). In the third group (severely decreased LVEF), chronic PM2.5 exposure was found to be significant (HR: 1.518, 95% CI: 1.50-2.195, p = 0.026) for 5-year mortality prediction. Traditional risk factors, such as dyslipidemia, are pivotal in the 5-year mortality risk following surgical revascularization. Chronic exposure to ambient air pollutants such as PM2.5 may be an additional risk factor in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

Kidney Transplant Outcome Following Donation After Euthanasia.

In the Netherlands, organ donation after euthanasia (donation after circulatory death type V [DCD-V]) has been increasingly performed since 2012. However, the outcomes of DCD-V kidney grafts have not been thoroughly investigated. It is critical to assess the outcomes of these kidney grafts to ascertain whether DCD-V is a safe and valuable way to increase the kidney donor pool. To investigate the outcomes of DCD-V kidney transplantation and compare them with outcomes of kidney transplantation after circulatory death after withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies (DCD type III [DCD-III]) and donation after brain death (DBD). A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the database from the Dutch Transplant Foundation. All kidney transplants in the Netherlands between January 2012 (start of the euthanasia program) and July 2023 were included. Follow-up was obtained through 5 years after transplantation. Data analysis was performed from November 2023 until February 2024. Kidney transplantation with a DCD-V graft compared with DCD-III and DBD grafts. The primary outcome was death-censored graft survival until 5 years after transplantation. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of delayed graft function (DGF), permanent nonfunction (PNF), serum creatinine concentration, and patient survival until 5 years after kidney transplantation. A total of 145 DCD-V kidney transplants were compared with 1936 DCD-III and 1255 DBD kidney transplants. Median (IQR) recipient age was 59 (46-66) years in the DCD-V cohort, compared with 61 (50-68) years in the DCD-III cohort and 61 (50-68) years in the DBD cohort. The incidence of DGF with DCD-V kidney transplants (26%) was significantly less than that with DCD-III kidney transplants (49%; P < .001) and similar to that with DBD kidney transplants (22%; P = .46). PNF occurrence with DCD-V kidneys (6%) was similar to that with DCD-III kidneys (6%; P = .79) and higher than in DBD kidneys (4%; P < .001). There was no difference in 5-year death-censored graft survival between DCD-V grafts (82%) and DCD-III (86%; P = .99) or DBD (84%; P = .99) grafts. There was no difference in 5-year patient survival between DCD-V kidney transplants (69%) and DCD-III (76%; P = .45) or DBD (73%; P = .74) kidney transplants. A propensity score analysis was performed to match the DCD-V and DCD-III cohort, showing results similar to those of the unmatched cohort. This study found that DCD-V kidney transplantation yielded a lower incidence of DGF compared with DCD-III kidney transplantation and yielded long-term results similar to those of DCD-III and DBD kidney transplantation. The findings suggest that DCD-V is a safe and valuable way to increase the kidney donor pool.

Failure to Rescue Pediatric Recipients of Living Donor Liver Transplantation: A Single-Center Study of Technical Complications in 500 Primary Grafts.

The concept of failure to rescue (FTR) has been used to evaluate the quality of care in several surgical specialties but has not been well-studied after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) in children. This study retrospectively reviewed 500 pediatric LDLT performed at a single center between 1993 and 2022. The recipient outcomes were assessed by means of patient and graft survival rates, retransplantation rates, and arterial/portal/biliary complication rates. Graft and patient losses secondary to these complications were calculated regarding FTR for patients (FTRp) and grafts (FTRg). Overall 1- and 5-year patient survival rates were 94.5% and 92.1%, respectively, the corresponding figures for graft survival being 92.7% and 89.8%. One-year hepatic artery complication rate was 3.6% (n = 18 cases), the respective rates for portal vein complications and biliary complications being 5.7% (n = 57) and 15.6% (n = 101). One-year FTRp rates for hepatic artery thrombosis, portal vein thrombosis, anastomotic biliary stricture, and intrahepatic biliary stricture were 28.6%, 9.4%, 3.6%, and 0%, respectively. The corresponding FTRg rates being 21.4%, 6.3%, 0%, and 36.4%. Such novel analytical method may offer valuable insights for optimizing quality of care in pediatric LDLT.

Complex Relationships between Diagnostics and Survival in Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia in Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is a common hematological malignancy with highly variable clinical presentation. Many patients never require any treatment but for the others, chemotherapy, immunochemotherapy, and newer targeted therapies have changed the treatment landscape. Diagnostic age influences the applied treatment, and we thus wanted to analyze age-specific survival trends through 50 years up to 2020s. We used 1- and 5-year relative survival from the NORDCAN database, with data from Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE). Because of the variable presentation of CLL, we also considered incidence and mortality trends. For comparison, US SEER data were used. The large age-specific survival differences in 1972-76 almost disappeared by 2017-21. While 5-year survival in younger patients exceeded 90%, for those diagnosed at age 80-89 years, survival reached 90% in DK and SE women, 80% in NO and SE men, but only 50% in FI. DK 5-year overall survival for men was 92.4%, and for women, it was 96.3%. These survival figures were higher than age-group-specific US survival data. The DK data are probably global top figures for national survival which could be achieved by boosting survival even among the oldest patients. The qualification to these figures and international comparisons is that survival needs to be considered in terms of incidence, which is high in DK and NO. Low survival of the FI 80-89-year-old patients, even in the first year after diagnosis, may suggest delayed diagnosis, which should call for a closer national scrutiny.

Effect of chemotherapy and surgery timing on mortality in upper and lower extremity osteosarcoma

Abstract Background Surgery with neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy represents the standard of care for extremity osteosarcoma despite a lack of high-quality evidence for its use, and trial evidence that suggests upfront surgery may result in better outcomes. This study estimated the difference in overall survival for the standard of care (neoadjuvant first) vs upfront surgery first followed by adjuvant chemotherapy (surgery first). Methods Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we identified patients aged 5-29 years diagnosed with a primary cancer of upper or lower extremity osteosarcoma between 2007 and 2019 who received surgery and chemotherapy. Our primary endpoint was the 5-year survival difference between the surgery first and neoadjuvant first groups. Results Adjusted 5-year survival was 74% for surgery first patients and 67% for neoadjuvant first patients, with a survival difference of 6.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] = −4.2% to 16.1%). In sensitivity analyses of 5-year survival, the results were consistent, showing a 6.8%-13.7% higher 5-year survival in surgery first patients. Statistically significant mortality risk factors included older age, larger tumor size, the type of resection (salvage vs amputation), and stage III-IV disease (vs stage I-II disease). Conclusion The evidence supporting neoadjuvant therapy in osteosarcoma care is weak. However, there is evidence that pausing chemotherapy in the perisurgical period might affect outcomes. Consequently, this study, and its consistency with the results from the only randomized trial to address this question, suggests that there is reason to revisit a prospective, randomized trial of osteosarcoma treatment regarding the timing of surgery and chemotherapy.

Effect of radiation after surgery on the prognosis of children with Wilms tumor

Background To explore the association between radiation after surgery and the 5-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with Wilms tumor. Methods In this cohort study, 1564 participants were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The univariate and multivariable COX proportional risk model as well as competitive risk model were used to explore the covariates associated with 5-year OS and 5-year CSS of patients with Wilms tumor and the correlation between radiation after surgery and 5-year OS or 5-year CSS of patients with Wilms tumor, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curves of participants were plotted. Results The median follow-up was 126.00 (84.00, 178.00) months. Patients receiving surgery had higher 5-year survival probability than those not receiving surgery, while participants receiving radiation after surgery showed poor 5-year survival than those not. After adjusting for covariates including age and SEER stage, increased risk of 5-year overall mortality in patients with Wilms tumor [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.62, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10–2.41). After the adjustment for confounding factors including age, SEER stage and ethnicity, increased risk of 5-year cancer-specific mortality of patients with Wilms tumor was observed in those receiving radiation after surgery (HR = 1.77, 95%CI: 1.13–2.79). Conclusion Radiation after surgery was associated with poor prognosis of patients with Wilms tumor, which indicated that the clinicians should assess whether the patient was suitable for using radiation after surgery.

Impact of Medicaid expansion on kidney transplantation in the State Oklahoma.

There is no data evaluating the impact of Medicaid expansion on kidney transplants (KT) in Oklahoma. To investigate the impact of Medicaid expansion on KT patients in Oklahoma. The UNOS database was utilized to evaluate data pertaining to adult KT recipients in Oklahoma in the pre-and post-Medicaid eras. Bivariate analysis, Kaplan Meier analysis was used to estimate, and cox proportional models were utilized. There were 2758 pre- and 141 recipients in the post-Medicaid expansion era. Post-expansion patients were more often non-United States citizens (2.3% vs 5.7%), American Indian, Alaskan, or Pacific Islander (7.8% vs 9.2%), Hispanic (7.4% vs 12.8%), or Asian (2.5% vs 8.5%) (P < 0.0001). Waitlist time was shorter in the post-expansion era (410 vs 253 d) (P = 0.0011). Living donor rates, pre-emptive transplants, re-do transplants, delayed graft function rates, kidney donor profile index values, panel reactive antibodies levels, and insurance types were similar. Patients with public insurance were more frail. Despite increased early (< 6 months) rejection rates, 1-year patient and graft survival were similar. In Cox proportional hazards model, male sex, American Indian, Alaskan or Pacific Islander race, public insurance, and frailty category were independent risk factors for death at 1 year. Medicaid expansion was not associated with graft failure or patient survival (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.07; 95%CI: 0.26-4.41). Medicaid expansion in Oklahoma is associated with increased KT access for non-White/non-Black and non-United States citizen patients with shorter wait times. 1-year graft and patient survival rates were similar before and after expansion. Medicaid expansion itself was not independently associated with graft or patient survival outcomes. Ongoing research is necessary to determine the long-term effects of Medicaid expansion.

Patient Factors Associated with 10-Year Survival After Arthroplasty for Hip Fracture: A Population-Based Study in Ontario, Canada.

The aim of this study was to describe long-term (10-year) patient survival after arthroplasty for hip fracture and to determine what patient factors are associated with that outcome. We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of patients ≥60 years old who underwent either hemiarthroplasty or total hip arthroplasty for femoral neck fracture between 2002 and 2009. We used routinely collected, validated health-care databases linked through ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences). We estimated the association between baseline variables and survival 10 years post-fracture using Poisson regression. Restricted cubic spline functions modeled the probability of 10-year survival by age and tested whether there was an inflection point after which the probability of 10-year survival decreased more rapidly. We estimated 10-year survival probabilities for different patient groups. There were 19,659 patients in the final cohort. Eighteen percent (3,564) of the patients were alive at 10 years postoperatively. Factors associated with a higher likelihood of 10-year survival included younger age, female sex (risk ratio [RR] = 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.46 to 1.68), lower American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class (ASA I or II versus IV or V: RR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.76 to 2.19), independent living status (RR = 2.68, 95% CI = 2.23 to 3.22), and fewer specific comorbidities. A threshold age of 73 years was the inflection point after which the probability of 10-year survival decreased more rapidly in females. Estimated 10-year survival probabilities ranged from 79.0% (95% CI = 75.5% to 82.5%) to 0.8% (95% CI = 0.6% to 1.0%). Approximately 1 in 6 patients live at least 10 years following a hip fracture. This study identifies baseline characteristics that predict survival greater than 10 years, including an age of <75 years, an ASA class of I or II, and independent living status prior to the hip fracture. Results can inform discussions around treatment choices, anticipated outcomes, and the natural history of hip fractures. Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Incidence, survival, and prognostic nomogram of patients with small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors: A SEER population-based study.

Small intestinal neuroendocrine tumors (SI-NETs) are a group of rare and significantly heterogeneous tumors with limited research currently available. This study aimed to investigate the incidence, survival, and prognostic factors of SI-NETs. We selected data from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database between 2000 and 2019 and evaluated the incidence trend of SI-NETs during this period. We utilized the Kaplan-Meier method to examine the association between clinical variables and survival rates. Based on the multivariable Cox regression analysis results, we developed a nomogram to predict the 1-, 2-, and 3-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) of SI-NETs patients. We evaluated the consistency, accuracy, and clinical utility of the nomogram by drawing calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) curves. The incidence of SI-NETs showed an upward trend in recent years. Age, grade, T stage, M stage, and primary tumor surgery were independent risk factors for CSS in SI-NETs patients. The nomogram model based on these risk factors showed high accuracy and clinical benefit. SI-NETs are rare tumors with an increasing incidence rate. The nomogram model is expected to be an effective tool for personalized prognosis prediction in SI-NETs patients, which may benefit clinical decision-making.

Perioperative blood transfusions associated with reduced survival in gastroesophageal cancers – A Swedish population-based study

BackgroundBlood transfusion has been associated with decreased long-term survival in cancer patients, possibly due to various immunological factors. We aimed to evaluate if perioperative transfusions decrease survival in patients who undergo resection for esophageal or gastric cancer and to identify factors associated with such events. MethodsA population-based cohort study was conducted based on the Swedish National Registry for Esophageal and Gastric Cancer, which prospectively collects clinical data of patients with these tumors. Almost all patients (96 %) resected for esophageal or gastric cancer in Sweden between 2017 and 2022 were included. Survival data were acquired from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry. Multivariable Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CI), adjusted for age, fitness, neoadjuvant therapy, surgical access, and pathological TNM stage. ResultsOf all 1365 patients, 227 (17 %) received perioperative transfusions. Transfusion was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality within 3 years of surgery (adjusted HR 1.50, 95 % CI 1.17–1.91). To exclude the influence of surgery-related postoperative complications, a sensitivity analysis was performed excluding patients who died within 30 days of resection and the negative impact of transfusions on 3-year mortality remained (adjusted HR 1.30, 95 % CI 1.01–1.68). Increasing age, open surgery, esophagectomy, perioperative bleeding, and nodal tumor involvement were all associated with an increased likelihood of receiving transfusions. ConclusionPerioperative blood transfusions might have a negative impact on 3-year survival in patients who undergo surgery for esophageal or gastric cancer.