10-year Cardiovascular Mortality Research Articles

Supplementation with selenium and coenzyme Q10 in an elderly Swedish population low in selenium — positive effects on thyroid hormones, cardiovascular mortality, and quality of life

BackgroundSelenium-dependent deiodinases play a central role in thyroid hormone regulation and metabolism. In many European countries, insufficient selenium intake may consequently lead to adverse effects on thyroid function. In this randomised placebo-controlled double-blind study, we examined the effect of supplementation with selenium and coenzyme Q10 on thyroid hormonal status, cardiovascular (CV) mortality and health-related quality of life (Hr-QoL).MethodsFree T3, free T4, reverse T3, and TSH were determined in 414 individuals at baseline, and the effect of selenium yeast (200 µg/day) and coenzyme Q10 (200 mg/day) supplementation on hormone concentrations, CV mortality and Hr-QoL was evaluated after 48 months using Short Form 36 (SF-36). Pre-intervention plasma selenium was low, mean 67 µg/L, corresponding to an estimated intake of 35 µg/day. Changes in concentrations of thyroid hormones following the intervention were assessed using T-tests, repeated measures of variance, and ANCOVA analyses.ResultsIn the total population, the group with the lowest selenium concentration at baseline presented with significantly higher levels of TSH and lower levels of fT3 as compared to subjects with the highest selenium concentration. Supplementation with selenium and coenzyme Q10 for 4 years significantly increased fT3 and rT3, decreased fT4, and diminished the increase in TSH levels compared with placebo treatment (p = 0.03, all). In the placebo group, TSH and fT4 values above the median were associated with an increase in 10-year CV mortality, as compared with the mortality rate among those with TSH and fT4 below the median (p < 0.04, both), with no difference in mortality rate according to TSH and fT4 levels in the active intervention group. Similarly, TSH > median and fT3 < median were associated with a decline in mental Hr-QoL measures vs. TSH < and fT3 > median in the placebo group during 4 years of follow-up, but this was wiped out in the active group.ConclusionsSupplementation with selenium and coenzyme Q10 had a beneficial effect on thyroid hormones with respect to CV mortality and Hr-QoL outcomes. The initial deficient selenium status was associated with an impaired thyroid function and the changes in thyroid hormone levels can be explained by increased activity of deiodinases. We conclude that a substantial part of the elderly study population might suffer from suboptimal thyroidal function with adverse clinical implications due to selenium deficiency.Trial registrationThis study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov and has the identifier NCT01443780. Since it was not mandatory to register at the time the study began, the study has been registered retrospectively.

Muscle quality and major adverse cardiovascular events in post-acute myocardial infarction: A prospective cohort study

Background & aimsFunctional muscle quality, as assessed through the muscle quality index (MQI), represents a contemporary method to measure the capacity to generate force. Despite its potential, the prognostic significance of MQI remains uncertain in various clinical conditions, particularly among patients following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). In light of this, our study sought to evaluate the prognostic relevance of MQI concerning major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients following acute AMI. Methods and ResultsThis is a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study that included subjects aged ≥ 20 years from a Cardiovascular Unit Hospital. Functional muscle quality was estimated using MQI, defined as the ratio of handgrip strength (HGS) to muscle mass (MM) derived from bioelectrical impedance analysis. The outcomes included prolonged length of hospital stay, new adverse cardiovascular events (AMI, stroke and hospital readmission for unstable angina), and cardiovascular mortality. A composite score comprising all adverse events over the 1-year follow-up was calculated and defined as MACE. This study included 163 patients, with a median age of 61 years (IQ: 54-69 years), and the majority consisted of males (76.1%). Individual components of the functional muscle quality (HGS and MM) were not associated with any of the adverse outcomes. Only MQI was associated mortality over the 1-year follow-up. For each increase in MQI, the hazard of mortality decreases: adjusted HR: 0.08 (95% CI 0.01 – 0.84). ConclusionFunctional muscle quality assessed by the MQI may be a valuable clinical predictor of 1-year cardiovascular mortality in patients hospitalized post-acute AMI.

Post-procedural elevated cardiac troponin I and the association with 5-year mortality in patients undergoing elective PCI

BackgroundThe clinically meaningful cardiac troponin I (cTnI) threshold associated with the long-term prognosis in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is still debated. ObjectiveTo assess the association between different thresholds for post-procedural cTnI and 5-year mortality. MethodsThe study included 4059 consecutive patients with normal baseline cTnI values who underwent elective PCI. The post-procedural cTnI level was measured at 8–48 h after PCI. The main study endpoints were 5-year all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. ResultsA cTnI ≥5 times the upper reference limit (URL) as defined by the fourth universal definition of myocardial infarction (4th UDMI), ≥35 times as defined by the Academic Research Consortium-2 criteria, and ≥70 times as defined by the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI [2014]) was identified in 33%, 6.6%, and 3.3% of patients, respectively. During 5 years of follow-up, the all-cause mortality rate was 3.4% (n = 132) and the cardiovascular mortality rate was 2.0% (n = 77). Both all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality increased with higher peak cTnI, and were independently predicted by a cTnI ≥70 times the URL (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.20–5.02 and adjusted HR 3.17, 95% CI 1.31–7.67, respectively; reference, cTnI <1 × URL]. The SCAI (2014) threshold was significantly associated with 5-year cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR 2.66, 95% CI 1.20–5.89; reference, cTnI, <70 × URL) and all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.16–4.30; reference, cTnI <70 × URL). ConclusionIn patients with normal pre-procedural cTnI who underwent elective PCI, a post-procedural cTnI ≥70 times the URL independently predicted 5-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Therefore, only the SCAI (2014) post-procedural cTnI threshold was independently associated with long-term mortality.

Effects of overhydration, Kt/Vurea, β2-microglobulin on coronary artery calcification and mortality in haemodialysis patients.

We studied the effects of overhydration (OH), Kt/Vurea and β2-microglobulin (β2-MG) on coronary artery calcification and mortality in patients undergoing haemodialysis (HD). The Agatston coronary artery calcium score (CACS), postdialysis body composition using bioimpedance analysis, single-pool Kt/Vurea and predialysis β2-MG at baseline were assessed and followed up for 3 years in patients undergoing HD. We performed logistic regression analyses for a CACS ≥400 and Cox proportional hazard analyses for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The study involved 338 patients with a median age of 67 (56-74) years, dialysis duration of 70 (33-141) months and diabetes prevalence of 39.1% (132/338). Patients with a CACS ≥400 (n = 222) had significantly higher age, dialysis duration, male prevalence, diabetes prevalence, C-reactive protein, predialysis β2-MG, OH, extracellular water/total body water and overhydration/extracellular water (OH/ECW) but significantly lower Kt/Vurea than patients with a CACS <400 (n = 116) (p < .05). OH/ECW, Kt/Vurea and predialysis β2-MG were significant predictors of a CACS ≥400 (p < .05) after adjusting for age, dialysis duration, serum phosphate and magnesium. In all patients, cut-off values of OH/ECW, Kt/Vurea and predialysis β2-MG for a CACS ≥400 were 16%, 1.74 and 28 mg/L, respectively. After adjusting for dialysis duration, OH/ECW ≥16%, Kt/Vurea ≥1.74 and β2-MG ≥28 mg/L were significant predictors of 3-year all-cause mortality but not 3-year cardiovascular mortality. Higher OH/ECW, higher predialysis β2-MG and lower Kt/Vurea values are significant risk factors for a CACS ≥400 and 3-year all-cause mortality in patients undergoing maintenance HD.

Absolute iron deficiency, coronary artery calcification and cardiovascular mortality in maintenance haemodialysis patients.

The effects of iron on vascular calcification in rats and vascular smooth muscle cells were recently reported, but clinical studies on iron and vascular calcification are scant. We studied the associations of absolute iron deficiency, coronary artery calcification and mortality in patients with maintenance haemodialysis (MHD). Transferrin saturation (TSAT), ferritin, mean corpuscular haemoglobin (MCH) and Agatston coronary artery calcium score (CACS) were studied at baseline in MHD patients and followed up for 3 years. Cox proportional hazard analyses for mortality and linear regression analyses for CACS were performed. In 306 patients, the median age was 67 (56-81) years, dialysis duration was 76 (38-142) months, and diabetes prevalence was 42.5%. Fifty-two patients had died by 3 years. Patients with absolute iron deficiency (TSAT <20% and ferritin <100 ng/mL) (n = 102) showed significantly higher CACS (p = .0266) and C-reactive protein (p = .0011), but a lower frequency of iron formulation administration compared with patients without absolute iron deficiency at baseline (n = 204). Absolute iron deficiency was a significant predictor for 3-year cardiovascular (CV) mortality (hazard ratio: 2.08; p = .0466), but not for 3-year all-cause mortality. CACS was significant predictor for both 3-year CV and all-cause mortality (p <.05). Absolute iron deficiency and MCH were significant determinants of CACS (p < .05). MHD patients with absolute iron deficiency showed significantly higher CACS than others, and absolute iron deficiency was a significant risk factor for coronary artery calcification and 3-year CV mortality in MHD patients, but was not a significant predictor for 3-year all-cause mortality.

Prevalence of Sarcopenia in Chronic Heart Failure and Modulating Role of Chronic Kidney Disease

Introduction: Sarcopenia, heart failure (HF), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are common among the older people. Our objective was to evaluate the frequency of sarcopenia, among community-dwelling older adults with HF, possible causative factors, and the additive factor of CKD. Methods: A cross-sectional analysis of 1,420 older people living in the community was carried out. Participants (aged 75 years and more) came from a European multicenter prospective cohort (SCOPE study). Global geriatric assessment including short physical performance battery, handgrip strength test, and bioelectrical impedance analysis was performed. Previous known HF was defined as physician-diagnosed HF registered in the patient’s medical record or the use of HF-related medications, regardless of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Sarcopenia was defined by the updated criteria of the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2). Estimated glomerular filtration rate was calculated using Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) to define the stages of CKD. Two-year mortality was also collected. Results: A total of 226 (15.9%) participants had a prior chronic HF diagnosis, with a median age of 80.0 (5.0), and 123 (54.4%) were women. Using EWGSOP2 definition, 11.5% HF and 10.7% in non-HF participants met diagnostic criteria for sarcopenia. In multivariate analyses, only a lower body mass index (BMI) (odds ratios [OR], 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.73–0.93) and lower short physical performance battery score (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.69–0.96) were associated with sarcopenia. Patients with HF and sarcopenia have a similar all-cause mortality risk but higher 2-year cardiovascular mortality risk (p = 0.047). Discussion/Conclusion: One out of ten community-dwelling older adults with concurrent clinical stable chronic HF, without considering LVEF, have sarcopenia. Lower BMI and poor physical performance are associated with sarcopenia in this population, but not CKD.

Assessing Machine Learning for Diagnostic Classification of Hypertension Types Identified by Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring

BackgroundInaccurate blood pressure classification results in inappropriate treatment. We tested if machine learning (ML), using routine clinical data, can serve as a reliable alternative to Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring (ABPM) in classifying blood pressure status. MethodsThis study employed a multi-centre approach involving three derivation cohorts from Glasgow, Gdańsk, and Birmingham, and a fourth independent evaluation cohort. ML models were trained using office BP, ABPM, and clinical, laboratory, and demographic data, collected from patients referred for hypertension assessment. Seven ML algorithms were trained to classify patients into five groups: Normal/Target, Hypertension-Masked, Normal/Target-White-Coat, Hypertension-White-Coat, and Hypertension. The 10-year cardiovascular outcomes and 27-year all-cause mortality risks were calculated for the ML-derived groups using the Cox proportional hazards model. ResultsOverall XGBoost showed the highest AUROC of 0.85-0.88 across derivation cohorts, Glasgow (n=923; 43% females; age 50.7±16.3 years), Gdańsk (n=709; 46% females; age 54.4±13 years), and Birmingham (n=1,222; 56% females; age 55.7±14 years). But accuracy (0·57-0·72) and F1 scores (0·57-0·69) were low across the three patient cohorts. The evaluation cohort (n=6213, 51% females; age 51.2±10.8 years) indicated elevated 10-year risks of composite cardiovascular events in the Normal/Target-White-Coat and Hypertension-White-Coat groups, with heightened 27-year all-cause mortality observed in all groups except Hypertension-Masked, compared to the Normal/Target group. ConclusionsMachine learning has limited potential in accurate blood pressure classification when ABPM is unavailable. Larger studies including diverse patient groups and different resource settings are warranted.

Transapical Mitral Valve Replacement: 1-Year Results of the Real-World Tendyne European Experience Registry

BackgroundEarly studies of the Tendyne transcatheter mitral valve replacement (TMVR) showed promising results in a small selective cohort. ObjectivesThe authors present 1-year data from the currently largest commercial, real-world cohort originating from the investigator-initiated TENDER (Tendyne European Experience) registry. MethodsAll patients from the TENDER registry eligible for 1-year follow-up were included. The primary safety endpoint was 1-year cardiovascular mortality. Primary performance endpoint was reduction of mitral regurgitation (MR) up to 1 year. ResultsAmong 195 eligible patients undergoing TMVR (median age 77 years [Q1-Q3: 71-81 years], 60% men, median Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality 5.6% [Q1-Q3: 3.6%-8.9%], 81% in NYHA functional class III or IV, 94% with MR 3+/4+), 31% had “real-world” indications for TMVR (severe mitral annular calcification, prior mitral valve treatment, or others) outside of the instructions for use. The technical success rate was 95%. The cardiovascular mortality rate was 7% at 30 day and 17% at 1 year (all-cause mortality rates were 9% and 29%, respectively). Reintervention or surgery following discharge was 4%, while rates of heart failure hospitalization reduced from 68% in the preceding year to 25% during 1-year follow-up. Durable MR reduction to ≤1+ was achieved in 98% of patients, and at 1 year, 83% were in NYHA functional class I or II. There was no difference in survival and major adverse events between on-label use and “real-world” indications up to 1 year. ConclusionsThis large, real-world, observational registry reports high technical success, durable and complete MR elimination, significant clinical benefits, and a 1-year cardiovascular mortality rate of 17% after Tendyne TMVR. Outcomes were comparable between on-label use and “real-world” indications, offering a safe and efficacious treatment option for patients without alternative treatments. (Tendyne European Experience Registry [TENDER]; NCT04898335)

Severe vs Nonsevere Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Induced Myocarditis: Contemporary 1-Year Outcomes

BackgroundThe long-term contemporary outcomes of patients with immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) myocarditis, spanning the spectrum of clinical severity, are undetermined. ObjectivesWe sought to investigate the characteristics and cardiovascular outcomes of patients with severe and nonsevere ICI myocarditis. MethodsThis was a retrospective cohort study of patients with suspected ICI myocarditis at Massachusetts General Brigham Health System conducted between 2015 and 2022. Cases were classified as severe, nonsevere, and negative based on the International Cardio-Oncology Society criteria. One-year cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular readmissions were evaluated. We also evaluated 1-year ICI resumption and left ventricular ejection fraction over a median follow-up of 18 (Q1-Q3: 8-67) weeks. ResultsThe study included 160 patients: 28 severe, 96 nonsevere, and 36 negative cases. Patients with severe myocarditis had an increased risk of 1-year cardiovascular mortality, particularly in the early post-myocarditis period (29% vs 5%; HR: 6.52; 95% CI: 2.2-19.6; P < 0.001). Patients with nonsevere myocarditis had a cardiovascular mortality rate similar to negative cases (HR: 0.61; 95% CI: 0.14-2.54). One-year all-cause mortality did not differ between severe, nonsevere, and negative cases (P = 0.74). Rates of 1-year cardiovascular readmissions and long-term left ventricular ejection fraction were also similar among the 3 groups. ICI resumption was low, even in negative cases. ConclusionsIn a contemporary analysis of patients with suspected ICI myocarditis, severe ICI myocarditis was associated with increased 1-year cardiovascular mortality, which was lower than previously reported. Patients with nonsevere ICI myocarditis had outcomes similar to negative cases. The optimal management strategies for nonsevere ICI myocarditis need to be re-evaluated.

Trends and Specific Causes of Cardiovascular Mortality after Kidney Transplantation in Finland.

Cardiovascular diseases are an important cause of mortality in patients who have undergone kidney transplantation, but the knowledge on trends of cardiovascular mortality and specific causes of cardiovascular death among these patients is scarce. Our aim was to compare the cardiovascular mortality rates after kidney transplantation in Finland between 1990-1999, 2000-2009, and 2010-2019 using data from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases. We analyzed 1-year and long-term cardiovascular mortality rates as well as the specific causes of cardiovascular death and the trends in them. In total, 4946 patients underwent first kidney transplantation in 1990-2019. During the follow-up time (median 8.3 years, interquartile range 4.0-14.5), there were 1392 deaths, of which 582 were cardiovascular deaths. In an unadjusted Cox regression model, the risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality was similar in the different periods. However, when adjusted for age, sex, duration of dialysis, and cause of kidney disease, the long-term cardiovascular mortality risk was significantly lower in 2000-2009 and 2010-2019 (hazard ratio 0.60 [95% confidence interval, 0.49 to 0.73] and hazard ratio 0.51 [95% confidence interval, 0.39 to 0.66], respectively) compared with 1990-1999. The results were similar regarding 1-year cardiovascular mortality. The distribution of different causes of cardiovascular death remained unchanged during the study period, with coronary artery disease accounting for 47% of deaths. During the first year after transplantation, pulmonary embolisms and arrhythmias were more common than in the long term. Cardiovascular disease remained the most common cause of death in kidney transplant recipients, but adjusted cardiovascular mortality risk has decreased significantly during the past three decades. Coronary artery disease was the most frequent cause of cardiovascular death, and the proportion of coronary artery disease-related cardiovascular deaths increased after the first year after transplantation.

Characterizing patients ineligible for mitral valve intervention: Phenotypic clustering sub-analysis from the CHOICE-MI Registry

Abstract Background/Introduction Transcatheter mitral valve replacement (TMVR) is emerging as a therapeutic option for surgcal high-risk patients with mitral regurgitation (MR). However, a large proportion of these patients are still rejected due to clinical or anatomical reasons. The majority of these patients remain ineligible for any mitral valve (MV) intervention and continue medical treatment. Phenotypic characterization of these patients may assist in the identification of the anatomical challenges and drive future innovation efforts as well as assist in the risk stratification process of these patients. Purpose To characterize patients ineligible for TMVR and other MV interventions from a large international registry using an unsupervised phenotypic clustering approach integrating clinical, echocardiographic and computed tomography data to unveil differences between phenogroups. Methods Between 2014 and 2022, the CHOICE-MI registry included 984 patients undergoing screening for TMVR at 33 international sites. For this study, only patients with screening failure resulting in medical therapy alone were included. Patients receiving transcatheter or surgical treatment were excluded (Figure 1). A cluster analysis using K-means algorithm was performed on baseline clinical and imaging variables, and predictors of all-cause mortality within these clusters were assessed. Results Among 284 patients (77.4±8.82 years, 56.0% female, EuroSCORE II 6.6±5.8%) considered ineligible for any MV intervention, two clinically distinct phenogroups (PG) were identified using unsupervised hierarchical clustering of principal components (Figure 2): (PG1) Elderly women with primary MR, high left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, and annular calcification (N=173, 60.9%); (PG2) Patients with secondary or mixed MR, LV and annular dilation, and high prevalence of comorbidities (N=111, 39.1%). There were no differences regarding Kaplan-Meier estimated 1-year all-cause mortality (PG1 vs. PG2, 21.4% vs. 23.4%, p=0.89) and 1-year cardiovascular mortality (10.4% vs. 13.5%, p=0.53). Predictors of mortality were albumin, renal function, extracardiac arteriopathy for PG1, and albumin, coronary artery disease, and prior myocardial infarction for PG2. Conclusions Using cluster analysis, this study identified two major subgroups among patients ineligible for mitral interventions with profound differences in clinical and anatomical profiles, and predictors of outcome. The combination of elderly women with primary MR, preserved LV ejection fraction and annular calcification was the most common phenogroup among patients rejected for mitral intervention. Identifying these factors may drive technological evolution to address unmet clinical and technical needs.

Prognostic association supports indexing size measures in echocardiography by body surface area

Body surface area (BSA) is the most commonly used metric for body size indexation of echocardiographic measures, but its use in patients who are underweight or obese is questioned (body mass index (BMI) < 18.5 kg/m2 or ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively). We aim to use survival analysis to identify an optimal body size indexation metric for echocardiographic measures that would be a better predictor of survival than BSA regardless of BMI. Adult patients with no prior valve replacement were selected from the National Echocardiography Database Australia. Survival analysis was performed for echocardiographic measures both unindexed and indexed to different body size metrics, with 5-year cardiovascular mortality as the primary endpoint. Indexation of echocardiographic measures (left ventricular end-diastolic diameter [n = 230,109] and mass [n = 224,244], left atrial volume [n = 150,540], aortic sinus diameter [n = 90,805], right atrial area [n = 59,516]) by BSA had better prognostic performance vs unindexed measures (underweight: C-statistic 0.655 vs 0.647; normal weight/overweight: average C-statistic 0.666 vs 0.625; obese: C-statistic 0.627 vs 0.613). Indexation by other body size metrics (lean body mass, height, and/or weight raised to different powers) did not improve prognostic performance versus BSA by a clinically relevant magnitude (average C-statistic increase ≤ 0.02), with smaller differences in other BMI subgroups. Indexing measures of cardiac and aortic size by BSA improves prognostic performance regardless of BMI, and no other body size metric has a clinically meaningful better performance.

Long-term effects of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor therapy in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction: A retrospective cohort study.

Heart failure is an increasing public health issue with substantial morbidity and mortality rates. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy, safety, and long-term outcomes of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNi) in the treatment of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) 5 years after treatment initiation. This retrospective study analyzed a cohort of 75 patients diagnosed with HFrEF over a period of 5 years after the initiation of ARNi therapy. The initial clinical condition, laboratory and echocardiographic measurements including left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), New York Heart Association functional classes (NYHA-FC) and the prognostic nutritional index were compared to the corresponding values obtained after a 5-year period of ARNi therapy. In addition, the number of annual hospitalizations, mortality rates and any history of adverse effects during the follow-up period were recorded. The N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level, LVEF, and NYHA-FC values demonstrated significant improvement at the end of the 5-year follow-up period (all parameters, P < .001). Although the observed increase in the prognostic nutritional index was not statistically significant (P = .077), it is worth noting. A significant reduction in daily diuretic doses and hospitalizations due to heart failure was observed following the use of ARNi (all comparisons, P < .001). The prevalence of hypotension was around 16% (being symptomatic in 4%), making it the most frequently observed adverse event. The 5-year cardiovascular mortality rate was 17.3%. The use of ARNi in HFrEF patients was associated with a notable improvement in NYHA-FC, LVEF, and NT-proBNP levels in the long-term, while also leading to a better nutritional status and reduced need for diuretics and annual hospitalization. Additionally, ARNi usage has been associated with improved nutritional status, decreased reliance on diuretics, and reduced frequency of annual hospitalizations. These effects were associated with a lack of significant increase in adverse effects. These results may contribute to a better understanding of ARNi's long-term effects on patient outcomes.

A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is the most frequently performed cardiovascular diagnostic test, but it is unclear how much information resting ECGs contain about long term cardiovascular risk. Here we report that a deep convolutional neural network can accurately predict the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and disease based on a resting ECG alone. Using a large dataset of resting 12-lead ECGs collected at Stanford University Medical Center, we developed SEER, the Stanford Estimator of Electrocardiogram Risk. SEER predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 in a held-out test set at Stanford, and with AUCs of 0.78 and 0.83 respectively when independently evaluated at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center and Columbia University Irving Medical Center. SEER predicts 5-year atherosclerotic disease (ASCVD) with an AUC of 0.67, similar to the Pooled Cohort Equations for ASCVD Risk, while being only modestly correlated. When used in conjunction with the Pooled Cohort Equations, SEER accurately reclassified 16% of patients from low to moderate risk, uncovering a group with an actual average 9.9% 10-year ASCVD risk who would not have otherwise been indicated for statin therapy. SEER can also predict several other cardiovascular conditions such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Using only lead I of the ECG it predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an AUC of 0.80. SEER, used alongside the Pooled Cohort Equations and other risk tools, can substantially improve cardiovascular risk stratification and aid in medical decision making.

Renin-angiotensin system inhibitors reduce cardiovascular mortality in hypertensive patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation: insights from the EffecTAVI registry.

Arterial hypertension is associated with the triggering of the renin-angiotensin system, leading to left ventricle fibrosis and worse cardiovascular outcomes. In this study, patients with comorbid arterial hypertension and severe aortic stenosis (AS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) were selected from the EffecTAVI registry to evaluate the impact of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) on cardiovascular mortality. We enrolled 327 patients undergoing TAVI from the EffecTAVI registry. Using Kaplan-Meier event rates and study-stratified multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models, we evaluated 2-year clinical outcomes according to the ACEI/ARB therapy status at enrollment. Among the included patients, 222 (67.9%) were on ACEIs/ARBs at baseline, whereas 105 (32.1%) were not. Treatment with ACEIs/ARBs was significantly associated with a 2-year decrease in the rate of cardiovascular mortality (HR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.23-0.81, p = 0.009). This association remained stable after both multivariable adjustment and propensity score matching. In a cohort of hypertensive patients with severe AS who were selected from the EffecTAVI registry, ACEI/ARB treatment at baseline was found to be independently associated with a lower risk of 2-year cardiovascular mortality, suggesting a potential benefit of this treatment. More trials are needed to validate this finding and to understand the full benefit of this treatment.

Ability of the DANCAMI to predict the risk ischemic stroke and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation/flutter

ObjectivesComparison of the danish comorbidity index for acute myocardial infarction (DANCAMI), the charlson comorbidity index (CCI), the elixhauser comorbidity index (ECI), and the CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict ischemic stroke, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality after atrial fibrillation/flutter. Materials and MethodsA population-based cohort study of all Danish patients with incident atrial fibrillation/flutter during 2000–2020 (n=361,901). C-Statistics were used to evaluate the discriminatory performance for predicting 1 and 5-year risks of the outcomes for a baseline model (including age and sex) +/- the individual indices. ResultsFor the DANCAMI, the 5-year risk did not increase with comorbidity burden for ischemic stroke (5.9% for low vs. 5.6% for severe) but did increase for cardiovascular mortality (10% for low vs. 16% for severe) and all-cause mortality (33% for low vs. 61% for severe). C-Statistics for predicting 5-year ischemic stroke risk were similar for all models (0.64). C-Statistics for predicting 5-year cardiovascular mortality risk were also similar for the baseline (0.76), the DANCAMI (0.77), the CCI (0.76), the ECI (0.76), and the CHA2DS2-VASc (0.76) models. C-Statistics for predicting 5-year all-cause mortality risk were lower for the baseline (0.71) and the CHA2DS2-VASc (0.71) models than for the DANCAMI (0.75), the CCI (0.74), and the ECI (0.74) models. The 1-year C-Statistics were comparable. ConclusionThe DANCAMI predicted ischemic stroke and cardiovascular mortality risks similar to the CCI, the ECI, and the CHA2DS2-VASc. The DANCAMI predicted all-cause mortality risk similar to the CCI and the ECI, but better than the baseline and the CHA2DS2-VASc.

Male rheumatoid arthritis patients at substantially higher risk for cardiovascular mortality in comparison to women

BackgroundPatients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are at an increased risk for developing cardiovascular diseases. While advice regarding cardiovascular risk screening and management in RA patients has been incorporated in several guidelines in recent years, its implementation and adherence is still poor. ObjectivesTo assess the cardiovascular disease risk in new diagnosed RA patients and evaluate whether advice to initiate preventive medical treatment of high risk patients was followed. MethodsAll patients with a recent diagnosis of RA, aged 40–70 years, were screened between May 2019 and December 2022 for cardiovascular diseases and risk factors within the first year after diagnosis at the outpatient rheumatology clinic, as part of standard care. Screening included a physical examination with blood pressure measurement, and laboratory tests with lipid profile tests. All patients and their general practitioner (GP) received an overview with their cardiovascular risk profile and a calculated 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk. Cardiovascular risk was defined as low (<1%), intermediate (1–5%), high (5–10%) and very high (>10%). The national pharmacy network was consulted to check whether or not patients started preventive medication after screening. ResultsA total of 125 RA patients was included in this study. The mean age was 56 years and 78% was female. Median RA disease duration at screening was 6 months. Six patients (5%) indicated to have been screened before, and used antihypertensive medication. During screening, hypertension was found in 57% of male patients and 43% of female patients and dyslipidemia was found in 36% in male and 32% in female patients. 46% of male patients and 21% of female patients currently smoked. A high or very high 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk was found in 50% of male patients, but in only 4% of female patients. Only 26% of (very) high risk patients started antihypertensive or statin medication after screening. ConclusionsAn increased cardiovascular disease risk is often present in newly diagnosed RA patients, especially male patients, with a large proportion having undiagnosed and untreated hypertension and hypercholesterolemia. Even with structural screening and informing of the patients and GPs, treatment of cardiovascular risk factors in high risk patients remains insufficient. CV risk screening needs to be part of standard care for RA patients, with clear agreement on the responsibilities between primary and secondary care. Awareness of the importance of CVD risk screening needs to improve among both RA patients themselves and the GPs to ultimately reduce the cardiovascular burden of our patients. Obviously, a better collaboration between GPs and rheumatologists is urgently needed to lower the cardiovascular burden of our patients.

Cardiovascular mortality in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease with and without diabetes: a nationwide cohort study

BackgroundCardiovascular mortality and the impact of cardiac risk factors in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) remain poorly investigated. We examined the risk of cardiovascular mortality in patients with advanced CKD with and without diabetes as well as the impact of albuminuria, plasma hemoglobin, and plasma low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels.MethodsIn a Danish nationwide registry-based cohort study, we identified persons aged ≥ 18 years with an estimated glomerular filtration rate < 30 mL/min/1.73m2 between 2002 and 2018. Patients with advanced CKD were age- and sex-matched with four individuals from the general Danish population. Cause-specific Cox regression models were used to estimate the 1-year risk of cardiovascular mortality standardized to the distribution of risk factors in the cohort.ResultsWe included 138,583 patients with advanced CKD of whom 32,698 had diabetes. The standardized 1-year risk of cardiovascular mortality was 9.8% (95% CI 9.6–10.0) and 7.4% (95% CI 7.3–7.5) for patients with and without diabetes, respectively, versus 3.1% (95% CI 3.1–3.1) in the matched cohort. 1-year cardiovascular mortality risks were 1.1- to 2.8-fold higher for patients with diabetes compared with those without diabetes across the range of advanced CKD stages and age groups. Albuminuria and anemia were associated with increased cardiovascular mortality risk regardless of diabetes status. LDL-cholesterol was inversely associated with cardiovascular mortality risk in patients without diabetes, while there was no clear association in patients with diabetes.ConclusionsDiabetes, albuminuria, and anemia remained important risk factors of cardiovascular mortality whereas our data suggest a limitation of LDL-cholesterol as a predictor of cardiovascular mortality in advanced CKD.

Habitual physical activity improves outcomes among patients with myocardial infarction.

This study evaluates the association between habitual physical activity (HPA) and the outcomes of patients with myocardial infarction (MI). Patients newly diagnosed with MI were divided into two groups based on whether they engaged in HPA, defined as an aerobic activity with a duration of no less than 150 min/week, before the index admission. The primary outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), cardiovascular (CV) mortality, and cardiac readmission rate 1 year following the index date of admission. A binary logistic regression model was applied to analyze whether HPA was independently associated with 1-year MACEs, 1-year CV mortality, and 1-year cardiac readmission rate. Among the 1,266 patients (mean age 63.4 years, 72% male), 571 (45%) engaged in HPA, and 695 (55%) did not engage in HPA before MI. Patients who participated in HPA were independently associated with a lower Killip class upon admission (OR = 0.48: 95% CI, 0.32-0.71, p < 0.001) and a lower prevalence of 1-year MACEs (OR = 0.74: 95% CI, 0.56-0.98, p = 0.038) and 1-year CV mortality (OR = 0.50: 95% CI, 0.28-0.88, p = 0.017) than those who did not participate in HPA. HPA was not associated with cardiac-related readmission (OR = 0.87: 95% CI, 0.64-1.17, p = 0.35). HPA before MI was independently associated with a lower Killip class upon admission, 1-year MACEs, and 1-year CV mortality rate.

Left main bifurcation stenting: impact of residual ischaemia on cardiovascular mortality.

The present study sought to determine the rate and prognostic implications of post-procedural physiologically significant residual ischemia according to Murray law-based quantitative flow ratio (μQFR) after left main (LM) bifurcation percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Consecutive patients undergoing LM bifurcation stenting at a large tertiary care center between January 2014 and December 2016 with available post-PCI μQFR were included. Physiologically significant residual ischemia was defined by post-PCI μQFR values ≤0.80 in the left anterior descending (LAD) or left circumflex artery (LCX). The primary outcome was 3-year cardiovascular death. The major secondary outcome was 3-year bifurcation-oriented composite endpoint (BOCE). Among 1170 included patients with analyzable post-PCI μQFR, 155 (13.2%) had residual ischemia in either LAD or LCX. Patients with vs. those without residual ischemia had a higher risk of 3-year cardiovascular mortality [5.4% vs. 1.3%; adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.20, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.16-8.80]. The 3-year risk of BOCE was significantly higher in the residual ischemia group (17.8% vs. 5.8%; adjusted HR 2.79, 95% CI: 1.68-4.64), driven by higher incidence of the composite of cardiovascular death and target bifurcation-related myocardial infarction (14.0% vs. 3.3%; adjusted HR 4.06, 95% CI: 2.22-7.42). A significant, inverse association was observed between continuous post-PCI μQFR and the risk of clinical outcomes (per 0.1 μQFR decrease, HR of cardiovascular death 1.27, 95% CI: 1.00-1.62; HR of BOCE 1.29, 95% CI: 1.14-1.47). After angiographically successful LM bifurcation PCI, residual ischemia assessed by μQFR was identified in 13.2% of patients and was associated with higher risk of 3-year cardiovascular death, indicating the superior prognostic value of post-PCI physiological assessment.