10-year Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score Research Articles

Cardiovascular disease risk management during COVID-19: in-person vs virtual visits.

Limited research has assessed how virtual care (VC) affects cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk management, especially in community clinic settings. Thisstudy assessed change in community clinic patients' CVD risk management during the COVID-19 pandemic and CVD risk factor control among patients who had primarily in-person or primarily VC visits. Retrospective interrupted time-seriesanalysis. Data came from an electronic health record shared by 52 community clinics for index (March 1, 2019, toFebruary 29, 2020) and follow-up (July 1, 2020, to February 28, 2022) periods. Analyses compared follow-up period changes in slope and level of population monthly means of 10-year reversible CVD risk score, blood pressure (BP), andhemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) among patients whose completed follow-up period visits were primarily in person vs primarily VC. Propensity score weighting minimizedconfounding. There were 10,028 in-person and 6593 VC patients in CVD risk analyses, 9874 in-person and 5390 VC patients in BP analyses, and 8221 in-person and 4937 VC patients in HbA1c analyses. The VC group was more commonly younger, female, White, and urban. Mean reversible CVD risk, mean systolic BP, and percentage of BP measurements that were 140/90 mm Hg or higher increased significantly from index to follow-up periods in both groups. Rate of change between these periods was the same for all outcomes in both groups, regardless of care modality. Among community clinic patients with CVD risk, receiving a majority of care in person vs a majority of care via VC was not significantly associated with longitudinal trends in reversible CVD risk score or key CVD risk factors.

Evaluation of treatment effectiveness and 10-year cardiovascular disease risk level in hypertensive outpatients

Hypertension represents a substantial risk factor for the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD), stroke, and chronic kidney disease. CVD stands as the primary cause of global mortality. This study employed a prospective cross-sectional design spanning 4 weeks. Data were collected using a pro forma designed to capture patients’ sociodemographic and clinical information. Prescribers’ adherence to anti-hypertensive prescription guidelines, as per the JNC8 guideline, and patients’ attainment of target blood pressure (BP) goals were assessed. Framingham 10-year CVD risk score estimation was employed to estimate patients’ 10-year CVD risk levels. Among the patients, 51 (59.3%) had anti-hypertensive prescriptions that adhered to the JNC8 guidelines. However, a majority, 54 (62.8%), failed to achieve their JNC8 target BP goals, and 44 (51.2%) exhibited intermediate 10-year CVD risk levels. Furthermore, 71 (98.6%) of the patients did not receive the recommended statin and/or aspirin therapy, despite its necessity. An association was found between patients’ achievement of JNC8 target BP goals and their 10-year CVD risk levels. The majority of patients received anti-hypertensive prescriptions that aligned with JNC8 guidelines. Nonetheless, most of them did not attain their JNC8 target BP goals and exhibited intermediate to high 10-year CVD risk levels.

Older PLHIV are at Higher Cardiovascular Risk with Poor Quality of Life.

People with HIV (PLHIV) face increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk due to inflammation and immune activation. Aging further amplifies this risk. Limited data exist on CVD risk in older PLHIV in India despite 2.14 million PLHIV with higher CVD risk factors. In a cross-sectional study in Bihar, India, 73 PLHIV and 30 control participants were enrolled. Demographics, social factors, clinical information, and CVD risk factors were collected. HbA1c levels and lipid profiles were analyzed, and 10-year CVD risk scores were calculated using the Framingham risk score (FRS) and Qrisk3. Quality of life (QoL) was assessed using WHOQOL- HIV-BREF. Results showed higher LDL levels in non-HIV older participants and higher HDL levels in younger PLHIV participants. BMI differed significantly, with higher BMI in non-HIV older individuals and lower BMI in younger PLHIV individuals. Older PLHIV participants had significantly higher mean FRS and Q-Risk scores compared to older non-PLHIV and younger PLHIV groups. Among older PLHIV participants, six had higher CVD risk per FRS, while none in the other groups were classified as high CVD risk. Psychological, social relations and spirituality domains were highly deteriorated in older PLHIV, scoring 44.48, 42.72, and 41.2, respectively. The physical domain scored 57.6, and the environment scored 52.72 in the WHOQOL-HIV bref. In conclusion, older PLHIV in Bihar, India, face higher CVD risk compared to younger PLHIV and non-HIV individuals. FRS and Q-Risk scores effectively assessed CVD risk, identifying higher risk in older PLHIV. Age and BMI were significant predictors of high CVD risk. These findings emphasize CVD risk assessment and tailored management for older PLHIV. The QoL assessment findings indicate moderate deterioration in psychological, social relations, and spirituality domains among older PLHIV individuals. These results suggest greater challenges in psychological well-being, social interactions, and spirituality compared to the overall sample. Further research with larger samples and longitudinal designs is needed to confirm and extend these findings.

The effect of education based on a health belief model and motivational interviews on cardiovascular disease risk factors and healthy lifestyle behaviour changes in patients with essential hypertension: A randomized controlled trial

ObjectiveTo determine the effects of "Health Belief Model (HBM)-based education" and "education and motivational interviews (MIs)" by comparing the two methods on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and healthy lifestyle behaviour changes of patients diagnosed with essential hypertension. MethodsThe study was a single-centre, single-blind, parallel-group, 6-month follow-up, randomized controlled trial. It was conducted on 80 individuals (40 in the study group, 40 in the control group). Both groups received HBM-based education and an educational booklet on healthy lifestyle behaviour changes at the beginning of the study. Additionally, the study group underwent a total of 6 MIs. ResultsThe decrease in the study group's 10-year Framingham CVD risk scores (mean difference 5,33) compared to the baseline values was higher than that observed in the control group (mean difference 3,95). Over the six-month follow-up period, the study group's knowledge of CVD risk factors increased, and healthy lifestyle behaviour improved. ConclusionHBM-based education and an educational booklet, either alone or in combination with MI, supported patients with essential hypertension in lowering their CVD risk through lifestyle modifications. Practice implicationsHealthcare professionals within primary healthcare settings can use HBM-based health education and short-term MIs to reduce CVD risk and improve health outcomes.

TCT-223 Incidence of Coronary Artery Spasm According to the Stratified 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score in Patients With Chest Pain With Near Normal Coronary Artery Stenosis

TCT-223 Incidence of Coronary Artery Spasm According to the Stratified 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score in Patients With Chest Pain With Near Normal Coronary Artery Stenosis

A Retrospective Five-Year Study of Cardiovascular Risk Assessment and Risk-Based Interventions Among Hypertensive Patients in Nairobi Hospital, Kenya.

Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of global morbidity and mortality. It is projected that the prevalence of CVD will continue to rise in developing countries, largely driven by an increase in the prevalence of potentially modifiable risk factors. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular risk assessment among individuals with risk factors for CVD but without CVD is an inexpensive and viable strategy in CVD risk stratification and prevention. Despite the known benefits of CVD risk assessment, it is not well established whether physicians/ cardiologists in Kenya comply with the guideline-recommended practice of CVD risk stratification as a prerequisite for initiation of primary CVD preventive interventions. Aims and objectives This study was designed to audit the utilization of cardiovascular risk assessment tools in risk stratification of hypertensive individuals and physician provision of risk-based primary CVD prevention interventions. Results A five-year (2017-2022) retrospective study of patients' medical records was conducted in December 2022 at the PrimeCare cardiology clinic in Nairobi Hospital, Kenya. Data were collected from 373 patients' medical records retrospectively. The data were analyzed using IBMSPSSStatistics for Windows, Version 25 (Released 2017; IBM Corp., Armonk, New York, United States). The mean age of the patients was 60 years with the majority being female (54%). The mean BMI was 30.3 kg/m2 while the mean systolic and diastolic pressurewas 140mmHg and 80mmHg, respectively. Only 2.1% of participants were current smokers. The national or alternative guideline-recommended CVD risk assessment tool was used in 0.3% and 2.4%, respectively. The 10-year CVD risk score was documented in only 1.3%. The majority of the participants (93%) had low CVD risk. Half of the patients were taking statins for primary prevention while > 60% of them had been offered therapeutic lifestyle advice. Conclusion The study revealed poor compliance with guideline-recommended CVD risk assessment tools and documentation of the CVD risk level. However, there was above-average adherence to documentation of therapeutic lifestyle measures for primary CVD prevention.

Approaches to risk ratio estimation in a regression discontinuity design: Application to the prescription of statins for cholesterol reduction in UK primary care.

In recent years regression discontinuity designs have been used increasingly for the estimation of treatment effects in observational medical data where a rule-based decision to apply treatment is taken using a continuous assignment variable. Most regression discontinuity design applications have focused on effect estimation where the outcome of interest is continuous, with scenarios with binary outcomes receiving less attention, despite their ubiquity in medical studies. In this work, we develop an approach to estimation of the risk ratio in a fuzzy regression discontinuity design (where treatment is not always strictly applied according to the decision rule), derived using common regression discontinuity design assumptions. This method compares favourably to other risk ratio estimation approaches: the established Wald estimator and a risk ratio estimate from a multiplicative structural mean model, with promising results from extensive simulation studies. A demonstration and further comparison are made using a real example to evaluate the effect of statins (where a statin prescription is made based on a patient's 10-year cardiovascular disease risk score) on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol reduction in UK Primary Care.

Association of Lipoprotein Subfractions With Presence and Severity of Coronary Artery Disease in Patients Referred for Coronary Angiography

Lipoprotein subfractions (LS) can be used for better risk stratification in subjects deemed not at high risk for coronary artery disease (CAD). In this study, we evaluated the correlation between LS with CAD presence and severity. This is a prospective case-control study of 157 patients referred for coronary angiography who were not on lipid-lowering therapy and had LS measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Synergy between PCI with Taxus and Cardiac Surgery (SYNTAX) scores were calculated to estimate CAD severity. Univariate and multivariable regression analysis was performed to determine correlation of LS with CAD presence and severity and acute coronary syndrome (ACS). There was significant association of certain LS (positive for total low-density lipoprotein particle [LDL-P], small LDL-P and apolipoprotein B, negative for large high-density lipoprotein particle [HDL-P] and apolipoprotein A1 [ApoA1]) with the presence of obstructive CAD and CAD severity. Small LDL-P and HDL-P were still predictive for obstructive CAD after adjusting for traditional risk factors, 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score and in those with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol <100mg/100ml. Total LDL-P and ApoA1 were predictive of CAD severity on multivariable analysis. Higher small LDL-P and lower large HDL-P were associated with ACS presence, although only large HDL-P had a significant inverse correlation with ACS on adjusted analysis (odds ratio 0.74 95% confidence interval 0.58, 0.95) In conclusion, in our cohort of patients referred for coronary angiography, total LDL-P, small LDL-P, and apolipoprotein B had significant direct correlation, and large HDL-P and ApoA1 had significant inverse correlation with obstructive CAD and CAD severity.

Longitudinal Changes in the Myocardial T1 Relaxation Time, Extracellular Volume Fraction, and Left Ventricular Function in Asymptomatic Men.

(1) Background: Longitudinal changes in myocardial T1 relaxation time are unknown. We aimed to assess the longitudinal changes in the left ventricular (LV) myocardial T1 relaxation time and LV function. (2) Methods: Fifty asymptomatic men (mean age, 52.0 years) who underwent 1.5 T cardiac magnetic resonance imaging twice at an interval of 54 ± 21 months were included in this study. The LV myocardial T1 times and extracellular volume fractions (ECVFs) were calculated using the MOLLI technique (before and 15 min after gadolinium contrast injection). The 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk score was calculated. (3) Results: No significant differences in the following parameters were noted between the initial and follow-up assessments: LV ejection fraction (65.0 ± 6.7% vs. 63.6 ± 6.3%, p = 0.12), LV mass/end-diastolic volume ratio (0.82 ± 0.12 vs. 0.80 ± 0.14, p = 0.16), native T1 relaxation time (982 ± 36 vs. 977 ± 37 ms, p = 0.46), and ECVF (24.97 ± 2.38% vs. 25.02 ± 2.41%, p = 0.89). The following parameters decreased significantly from the initial assessment to follow-up: stroke volume (87.2 ± 13.7 mL vs. 82.6 ± 15.3 mL, p = 0.01), cardiac output (5.79 ± 1.17 vs. 5.50 ± 1.04 L/min, p = 0.01), and LV mass index (110.16 ± 22.38 vs. 104.32 ± 18.26 g/m2, p = 0.01). The 10-year ASCVD risk score also remained unchanged between the two timepoints (4.71 ± 0.19% vs. 5.16 ± 0.24%, p = 0.14). (4) Conclusion: Myocardial T1 values and ECVFs were stable over time in the same middle-aged men.

Ten-Year Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score and Cognitive Function Among Older Adults: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011 to 2014.

Background The Framingham 10-year cardiovascular disease risk score, which is based on age, sex, smoking, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, blood pressure, and diabetes, has been found to be associated with cognitive health, but these findings have not been validated in a representative sample in the United States. We aimed to examine the associations of Framingham risk score with cognitive function among older adults in a nationally representative sample, as well as by race or ethnicity, education, and family income. Methods and Results A total of 2254 older adults ≥60 years (57% female, 79% non-Hispanic White) in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011 to 2014 were included in the final sample for analysis. All components of the Framingham risk score were obtained with questionnaire or measured in the laboratory. Cognitive function was examined using the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease Word List Memory Task (immediate and delayed memory), Digit Symbol Substitution Test, and Animal Fluency Test. Multivariable linear regression models were used to assess the associations between Framingham risk score and test-specific and global cognition Z scores. Each incremental 5% in Framingham 10-year cardiovascular disease risk was associated with lower Z scores for Digit Symbol Substitution Test (β=-0.06 [95% CI, -0.09 to -0.03]), delayed memory (β=-0.05 [95% CI, -0.08 to -0.01]), immediate memory (β=-0.07 [95% CI, -0.10 to -0.03]), and global cognition (β=-0.05 [95% CI, -0.09 to -0.02]). Socioeconomic status, particularly race or ethnicity and monthly income levels, were strong effect measure modifiers of the associations. Conclusions Lower cardiovascular risk factors are associated with better cognitive function.

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors Predict the Development and Numbers of Common Musculoskeletal Disorders in a Prospective Cohort.

The aim of the study is to assess risk of common musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) based on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores. Data from a 9-year prospective cohort of 1224 workers in three states were analyzed. Baseline data included questionnaires, structured interviews, physical examinations, anthropometric measurements, nerve conduction studies, and individualized measurement of job physical factors. Monthly follow-ups were conducted. Framingham risk scores were calculated. A priori case definitions were constructed for carpal tunnel syndrome, lateral epicondylopathy, medial epicondylopathy, and rotator cuff tendinopathy. Adjusted RRs for one or more MSDs increased to 3.90 (95% confidence interval, 2.20-6.90) among those with 10-year cardiovascular disease risk scores greater than 15% and 17.4 (95% confidence interval, 3.85-78.62) among those with more than 4 disorders. Cardiovascular disease factors are strongly associated with the subsequent development of common MSDs. Risks among those with multiple MSDs are considerably stronger.

Relationship of Missed Statin Therapy and 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score to Retear Rate After Arthroscopic Rotator Cuff Repair

Background: There is no practical consensus on managing cholesterol in patients with rotator cuff repair despite hyperlipidemia and statin therapy being well-known factors in rotator cuff healing. The 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score is a commonly used guideline to determine statin administration for hyperlipidemia. Purpose: To identify the relationship between retear and preoperative factors, including 10-year ASCVD risk score and statin administration status, and to compare clinical outcomes and retear rates between patients who are taking and not taking statins. Study Design: Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3. Methods: This study enrolled 182 patients with a symptomatic full-thickness rotator cuff tear who underwent arthroscopic repair. Serum lipid profile, 10-year ASCVD risk score, statin eligibility, and statin administration status were assessed. Patients were categorized into 2 groups based on magnetic resonance imaging to evaluate cuff integrity at postoperative 6 months: a healed group and a retear group. Radiographic and intraoperative factors related to retear were analyzed. Multiple regression analysis was performed to evaluate factors related to rotator cuff retear. For the subgroup analysis, patients eligible for statin therapy were divided into 2 subgroups according to administration status. Results: There were 149 (81.9%) patients in the healed group and 33 (18.1%) in the retear group. In the multiple regression analysis, missed statin therapy, 10-year ASCVD risk score, and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus muscle were the independent factors related to retear. The cutoff value for 10-year ASCVD risk score was 11.85%, with a sensitivity of 0.75 and a specificity of 0.62. In the subgroup analysis of 104 patients eligible for statin therapy, 66 (63.5%; group 1) received statin therapy and 38 (36.5%; group 2) missed it. Group 2 showed a significantly higher retear rate than group 1 (36.8% vs 13.6%; P = .006). Conclusion: Missed statin therapy, 10-year ASCVD risk score, and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus were the independent factors associated with rotator cuff retear. Patients who missed statin therapy showed a higher retear rate than patients receiving statin therapy. Optimal statin therapy for patients who undergo arthroscopic rotator cuff repair might improve repair integrity.

Metabolomics profile and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score.

The intermediate metabolites associated with the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remain largely unknown. Thus, we conducted a large panel of metabolomics profiling to identify the new candidate metabolites that were associated with 10-year ASCVD risk. Thirty acylcarnitines and twenty amino acids were measured in the fasting plasma of 1,102 randomly selected individuals using a targeted FIA-MS/MS approach. The 10-year ASCVD risk score was calculated based on 2013 ACC/AHA guidelines. Accordingly, the subjects were stratified into four groups: low-risk (n = 620), borderline-risk (n = 110), intermediate-risk (n = 225), and high-risk (n = 147). 10 factors comprising collinear metabolites were extracted from principal component analysis. C4DC, C8:1, C16OH, citrulline, histidine, alanine, threonine, glycine, glutamine, tryptophan, phenylalanine, glutamic acid, arginine, and aspartic acid were significantly associated with the 10-year ASCVD risk score (p-values ≤ 0.044). The high-risk group had higher odds of factor 1 (12 long-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.103), factor 2 (5 medium-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.063), factor 3 (methionine, leucine, valine, tryptophan, tyrosine, phenylalanine, OR = 1.074), factor 5 (6 short-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.205), factor 6 (5 short-chain acylcarnitines, OR = 1.229), factor 7 (alanine, proline, OR = 1.343), factor 8 (C18:2OH, glutamic acid, aspartic acid, OR = 1.188), and factor 10 (ornithine, citrulline, OR = 1.570) compared to the low-risk ones; the odds of factor 9 (glycine, serine, threonine, OR = 0.741), however, were lower in the high-risk group. "D-glutamine and D-glutamate metabolism", "phenylalanine, tyrosine, and tryptophan biosynthesis", and "valine, leucine, and isoleucine biosynthesis" were metabolic pathways having the highest association with borderline/intermediate/high ASCVD events, respectively. Abundant metabolites were found to be associated with ASCVD events in this study. Utilization of this metabolic panel could be a promising strategy for early detection and prevention of ASCVD events.

Effect of 2018 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guideline Change on Statin Prescription for People Living with HIV

The American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines were updated in 2018 to explicitly recommend statin use for primary cardiovascular disease prevention among people living with HIV (PLWH), but little is known about the effect of this guideline change. We aimed to assess the effect of the 2018 ACC/AHA guideline change on statin prescription among PLWH. We used data from an institutional HIV registry to identify PLWH aged 40–75 years, engaged in HIV care between June 2016 and May 2021, had a LDL cholesterol between 70 and 189 mg/dl, 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score ≥7.5%, no prior statin prescription, and no history of diabetes or ASCVD. Our outcome of interest was a new statin prescription within 12 months of eligibility. We estimated standardized risk difference (RD) with 95% confidence limits (CL) by comparing prescription probabilities before and after guideline change. Our study population comprised 251 PLWH (171 before, 80 after the guideline change), of whom 57% were aged <55 years, 82% were male, and 45% were non-Hispanic black. The standardized 12-month statin prescription risk was 43% (95% CL: 31%, 60%) after the guideline change and 19% (95% CL: 13%, 26%) before the guideline change (RD = 25%, 95% CL: 9.1%, 40%). Our results suggest that the 2018 ACC/AHA guideline change increased statin prescription among PLWH, but a sizable proportion of eligible PLWH were not prescribed statin. Future studies are needed to identify strategies to enhance implementation of statin prescription guidelines among PLWH.

A phase II trial modifying metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular risk for patients with prostate cancer on ADT using a risk factor modification program and continuous Fitbit monitoring (ProTrio).

TPS273 Background: Prostate cancer is a disease of older age, and there is significant overlap with age-related illnesses. Androgens play a critical role in prostate cancer but also have been linked to cardiovascular (CV) disease, metabolic syndrome, bone health, and frailty. ADT is associated with an increased risk of CV events primarily due to increased rates of diabetes, dyslipidemia, and adverse changes in body composition. We assume that prostate cancer and age-related illnesses share biology with therapeutic implications in a subset of men. The ProTrio trial will test the hypothesis that a 16-week digital risk factor modification program will improve 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score as compared to usual care in men with potentially lethal prostate cancer receiving ADT. Methods: This single center, open-label, randomized phase II trial is evaluating a 16-week digital risk factor modification program, which includes an exercise prescription (150 minutes of titrated cardiovascular exercise and resistance exercise 2 times a week) with support via a smart phone application (Moving Analytics) and Fitbit, in patients with prostate cancer who are receiving ADT compared to usual care with Fitbit monitoring. Eligible patients are men receiving ADT +/- an androgen signaling inhibitor for at least 3 months prior to enrollment. The study will enroll to two cohorts: (1) distant metastatic disease and (2) biochemically recurrent or regional lymph node disease. Patients will be stratified according to their baseline ASCVD risk score. The primary endpoint is the difference in ASCVD risk score post-intervention. Secondary endpoints include difference in metabolic severity index z-score, PSA velocity, 6-minute walk, 5X Sit-to-Stand, body composition, physical activity measured by Fitbit, and health-related quality of life. Up to 100 patients will be enrolled in each cohort. A clinically relevant improvement in ASCVD score reduction is 2.5%. With 44 men per arm, after 12% dropout, we can detect an improvement of 2.5% vs. 0% at a 2-sided 5% significance level with 80% power assuming a standard deviation (SD) of 4.125%. A sample size adjustment is planned based on the SD of the first cohort to reach 44 patients. Each cohort will undergo futility analysis once half the men are enrolled. The study is enrolling at MD Anderson Cancer Center. Clinical trial information: NCT05054296 .

Improved HDL Cholesterol through Vitamin D Status Correction Substantially Lowers 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk Score in Vitamin D-Deficient Arab Adults.

This interventional study aimed to determine whether correcting vitamin D status in deficient Arab adults [25(OH)D <50 nmol/L] improves their 10-year risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk scores. Saudi adults (58 males 62 females) with baseline vitamin D deficiency (<50 nmol/L) were given 50,000 IU cholecalciferol weekly for 2 months, then twice a month, followed by daily 1000 IU until month 6. Fasting blood samples were collected pre- and post-intervention and assessed for glucose, lipids, and 25(OH)D levels. The predicted 10-year ASCVD risk scores were calculated at baseline and after intervention. At baseline, significantly higher 10-year ASCDV risk scores were observed in males than females (9% vs. 3%, p < 0.001). After 6 months, only 21% (25 out of 120) achieved 25(OH)D levels above optimal level (≥75 nmol/L). While modest improvements were seen in glucose and lipid profiles, only HDL cholesterol showed favorable significant changes in all participants, which translated to significantly improved 10-year ASCVD risk scores independent of whether they achieved optimum vitamin D status. Still, those who achieved optimal vitamin D levels had a modestly larger decrease in ASCVD risk scores than those with less optimal 25(OH)D levels (-23% versus -18%) and this improvement was slightly more pronounced in males (-26% versus -10%, or 16% improvement) than females (-47% versus -32%, or 15% improvement). In conclusion, vitamin D status correction significantly enhances HDL cholesterol which prospectively reduces 10-year ASCVD risk as vitamin D levels approach optimum status among adult Arabs with baseline vitamin D deficiency. This improvement appears to be slightly more apparent in males than females.

The Association of Cardiovascular Diseases Risk Scores and Osteosarcopenia Among Older Adult Populations: The Results of Bushehr Elderly Health (BEH) Program.

Considering the association of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with both osteoporosis and sarcopenia, this study aimed to explore the association between a newly developed CVD risk score and osteosarcopenia in the elderly population. Participants in the second phase of the Bushehr Elderly Health (BEH) program were included. Osteosarcopenia was defined as having both osteopenia/osteoporosis and sarcopenia. The 10-year CVD risk score was estimated using the WHO lab-based model. The participants were considered as high-risk if the CVD risk was ≥ 20%. The estimated risks were compared in individuals with and without osteosarcopenia. The association of CVD risk and osteosarcopenia was investigated using a logistic regression model, adjusted by potential confounders. In all, 2392 participants (1161 men) with a mean age of 69.3 (± 6.3) years were studied and 532 [242 (45.5%) men] individuals were diagnosed with osteosarcopenia. The median (IQR) CVD risks were 0.340 (0.214) and 0.229 (0.128) in men with and without osteosarcopenia, respectively (P < 0.001); In women, the corresponding values were 0.260 (0.147) and 0.207 (0.128), respectively (P < 0.001). Adjusted by confounders, CVD risk ≥ 20% in women, increased the odds of osteosarcopenia by 72%. Body mass index showed an inverse association with osteosarcopenia in both men (0.81, 95%CI: 0.78-0.85) and women (0.66, 95%CI: 0.62-0.70). Considering the area undertheROCcurve,the models showed adiscriminative ability of 82% in men and 89% in women. This study displayed a significant association between WHO CVD risk score and osteosarcopenia. Due to the difficult diagnosis of osteosarcopenia, the high association of cardiovascular risk score with this disease can help identify high-risk individuals and refer them for further diagnostic procedures. Considering the high prevalence of osteosarcopenia and its complications in the older population, comprehensive strategies are needed to find high-risk populations.

Sex-Specific Survival Bias and Interaction Modeling in Coronary Artery Disease Risk Prediction.

The 10-year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease risk score is the standard approach to predict risk of incident cardiovascular events, and recently, addition of coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic scores has been evaluated. Although age and sex strongly predict the risk of CAD, their interaction with genetic risk prediction has not been systematically examined. This study performed an extensive evaluation of age and sex effects in genetic CAD risk prediction. The population-based Norwegian HUNT2 (Trøndelag Health Study 2) cohort of 51 036 individuals was used as the primary dataset. Findings were replicated in the UK Biobank (372 410 individuals). Models for 10-year CAD risk were fitted using Cox proportional hazards, and Harrell concordance index, sensitivity, and specificity were compared. Inclusion of age and sex interactions of CAD polygenic score to the prediction models increased the C-index and sensitivity by accounting for nonadditive effects of CAD polygenic score and likely countering the observed survival bias in the baseline. The sensitivity for females was lower than males in all models including genetic information. We identified a total of 82.6% of incident CAD cases by using a 2-step approach: (1) Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease risk score (74.1%) and (2) the CAD polygenic score interaction model for those in low clinical risk (additional 8.5%). These findings highlight the importance and complexity of genetic risk in predicting CAD. There is a need for modeling age- and sex-interaction terms with polygenic scores to optimize detection of individuals at high risk, those who warrant preventive interventions. Sex-specific studies are needed to understand and estimate CAD risk with genetic information.

Atherogenic lipoprotein profile associated with anthropometric indices of obesity and their association with cardiometabolic risk markers: a cross-sectional study in community

Abstract Background Obesity, especially abdominal fat accumulation, is strongly associated with various metabolic comorbidities. Whether simple anthropometric measures are independently associated with atherogenic lipoproteins is not completely clear. Methods We randomly recruited 505 participants (51.5% women; mean age: 48.8 years) from the Flemish community, who had undergone lipoprotein particle measurements by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy and conventional lipid measurements. Each lipoprotein fraction was subgrouped into large, medium, and small subclass. Anthropometric measures included body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and defined BMI obesity as BMI ≥30 kg/m2, and WHR obesity as WHR ≥0.85 (women) or 0.9 (men). Results In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, total very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) particle and its subclasses were positively associated with BMI obesity (adjusted odds ratio [OR] for total VLDL: 2.37; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.70–3.31) and WHR obesity (OR for total VLDL: 2.06 [95% CI: 1.55–2.73]). The level of total high-density lipoprotein (HDL) particle and its subclass was negatively associated with BMI (OR for total HDL: 0.63 [95% CI: 0.45–0.90), but not with WHR (P≥0.11). None of the low-density lipoprotein (LDL) particles was associated with the two types of obesity (P≥0.092). BMI was inversely associated with the size of LDL and HDL particles, whereas high WHR was significantly associated with smaller VLDL and HDL sizes. For conventional lipid measures, both BMI and WHR were independently associated with high triglyceride and remnant cholesterol, both mainly driven from VLDL particles, and low HDL cholesterol (P≤0.008). These associations were confirmed in multivariable linear regression analysis, except the association of BMI with HDL number and the association of WHR with HDL size. With partial least squares analysis, the lipoprotein profiles of BMI and WHR were significantly associated with a high 10-year cardiovascular disease risk score, the homeostasis model assessment-estimated insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), and C-reactive protein. Conclusion BMI and WHR were independently associated with high triglyceride-rich lipoproteins, decreased HDL cholesterol. The size of LDL and HDL was more consistently associated with BMI than WHR. The lipoprotein alterations may link obesity with high cardiometabolic risk. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): The European Research Council; the European Research Area Net for Cardiovascular Diseases

Ten-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk prediction for postmenopausal women: Impacts of isolated postchallenge hyperglycemia.

Isolated postchallenge hyperglycemia (IPH) is a type of diabetes mellitus defined as 2-h glucose ≥200 mg/dL but fasting glucose <126 mg/dL. The purpose of the study was to assess impacts of IPH on 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk scores in postmenopausal women. This study analyzed data from 428 postmenopausal women who underwent oral glucose tolerance test at a medical center. Ten-year ASCVD risk was evaluated by using Pooled Cohort Equations. Logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate odds ratios for having high 10-year ASCVD risk scores (≥5%) among these women. The subjects with IPH had higher systolic blood pressure and worse lipid profile than those without IPH. Ten-year ASCVD risk scores for postmenopausal women with IPH were calculated under 2 scenarios: the IPH women were considered non-diabetic, they were designated as patients with DM. The median ASCVD risk score of the participants with IPH increased significantly from 3.7% under scenario 1 to 7.1% under scenario 2. Approximately 20% women with IPH were re-categorized from risk category of <5% to ≥7.5% once they were identified as patients with DM (scenario 2). The results of logistic regression analyses showed that IPH was independently positively associated with 10-year ASCVD risk scores ≥5% under both scenarios. Postmenopausal women with IPH were characterized by unfavorable cardiovascular risk profile and high predicted 10-year ASCVD risk. Knowing the women's hidden DM status would significantly alter their risk categorization.