5-year Cancer-specific Survival Research Articles

Association between surgery treatment delays and survival outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer in Hebei, China

IntroductionThe delays in cancer therapies have the potential to impact disease progression by allowing the unchecked growth and spread of cancer cells. However, the understanding of the association between treatment waiting time and survival outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is limited. This study aims to assess the impact of waiting time on survival outcomes among EC patients in Hebei province, which is recognized as one of the high-risk areas for EC in China.MethodsA total of 9,977 non-metastatic EC patients who underwent surgical treatment were identified between 2000 and 2020. The survival outcomes of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were determined using the Kaplan-Meier methodology. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was employed to evaluate the impact of treatment delays on OS and CSS.ResultsThe average delay time for initiating EC surgical treatment after diagnosis was 1.31 months (95%CI=1.29–1.34). Patients with a long delay (≥ 3 months) in treatment, comprising 9977 EC patients, exhibited significantly lower rates of 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS and CSS compared to those without any delay in treatment initiation. A long delay in EC treatment independently associated with an elevated risk of all-cause and cancer-cause mortality among various patient subgroups, including males, older individuals, single individuals, low-income patients, residents of nonmetropolitan counties, as well as those diagnosed with poorly differentiated and stage IV EC.DiscussionThe long delay of treatment initiation impacts the outcomes of OS and CSS in EC patients. Optimizing treatment timing may enhance life expectancy for individuals diagnosed with EC.

Mammographic Breast Density at Breast Cancer Diagnosis and Breast Cancer-Specific Survival

Background: Breast density impacts upon breast cancer risk and recurrence, but its influence on breast cancer-specific survival is unclear. This study examines the influence of mammographic breast density (MBD) at diagnosis on breast cancer-specific survival. Methods: The data of 224 patients diagnosed with breast cancer were analyzed. Two area-based MBD measurement tools—AutoDensity and LIBRA—were used to measure MBD via a mammogram of the contralateral breast acquired at the time of diagnosis. These patients were split into two groups based on their percent breast density (PBD): high (PBD ≥ 20%) versus low (PBD < 20%). Breast cancer-specific survival in each of these PBD groups was assessed at a median follow-up of 34 months using Kaplan–Meier analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: The proportion of women with low PBD who died from breast cancer was significantly higher than that seen with high PBD (p = 0.01). The 5-year breast cancer-specific survival was poorer among women with low PBD than those with high PBD (0.348; 95% CI: 0.13–0.94) vs. 0.87; 95% CI: (0.8–0.96); p < 0.001)]. Women with higher breast density demonstrated longer survival regardless of the method of PBD measurement: LIBRA [log-rank test (Mantel–Cox): 9.4; p = 0.002)]; AutoDensity [log-rank test (Mantel–Cox) 7.6; p = 0.006]. Multivariate analysis also demonstrated that there was a higher risk of breast cancer-related deaths in women with low PBD (adjusted HR: 5.167; 95% CI: 1.974–13.521; p = 0.001). Conclusion: Women with <20% breast density at breast cancer diagnosis demonstrate poor survival regarding the disease. The impact of breast density on survival is not influenced by the method of measurement.

A systematic review on the role of interventional radiotherapy for treatment of anal squamous cell cancer: multimodal and multidisciplinary therapeutic approach.

Aim was to compare the efficacy of interventional radiotherapy (IRT) boost vs. external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) boost after chemoradiation (CCRT) in patients with anal cancer (AC). The P.I.C.O. framework was: in patients with AC [P], is IRT boost [I] superior to EBRT boost [C] in terms of local control (LC), cancer specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), distant meta-static free Survival (DMFS), colostomy free survival (CFS) and toxicity [O]? 651 patients were analyzed. The median 5-year locoregional control rates was 87.8% in the IRT boost group versus 72.8% in the EBRT boost group. The 5-year cancer-specific survival rate was 91% in the IRT boost group versus 78% in the EBRT boost group. 5-years overall survival was 74.6% in IRT boost versus 67.7% in the EBRT boost. 5-years disease metastasis-free survival rate was 92.9% in IRT boost group vs. 85.6% for the EBRT boost group. Cancer-free survival rate was 76.8% in the IRT group vs. 63.1% in the EBRT boost group. Acute toxicity above grade 2 was less common in the IRT boost group while chronic toxicity was similar between both groups. IRT boost after CCRT could lead to better outcomes than EBRT boost in treating AC.

A European multicentre study evaluating the prognosis of peripheral early-stage lung adenocarcinoma patients operated on by segmentectomy or lobectomy.

To analyze impact of segmentectomy on oncological outcomes of different peripheral early-stage lung adenocarcinoma patterns. Retrospective multicentre study including patients who underwent either lobectomy or segmentectomy in 6 European centres from 2015-2021, for ≤ 2 cm pathological peripheral lung adenocarcinoma. Overall and disease-free survivals were assessed by cox-regression and lung cancer specific survival by competing regression analyses to adjust for patient- and tumour- related factors both in the entire dataset and the in aggressive adenocarcinoma patterns dataset. Lobectomy and segmentectomy were performed in 481 (71%) and 193 (29%) patients, respectively. Propensity score matching was performed (n = 191). 108 patients had a least an aggressive pattern. 5-year disease-free, overall and lung cancer specific survivals were similar between patients who underwent lobectomy or segmentectomy in both entire and aggressive pattern datasets. In patients with aggressive pattern, 5-year disease-free (lobectomy 87.3%; segmentectomy 86.6%, p = 0.62), overall (lobectomy 86.4%; segmentectomy 95.6%, p = 0.61) and lung cancer specific (lobectomy 100%; segmentectomy 95.6%, p = 0.13) survivals did not differ.Segmentectomy was not an independent risk factor for disease-free survival, neither for overall survival nor for lung cancer specific survival in any of the 2 datasets.In patients with aggressive pattern, loco-regional recurrence (linearized risks: lobectomy 8.21; segmentectomy 11.3) was higher in patients who underwent segmentectomy. Resection should not be extended (to lobectomy) on patients who underwent segmentectomy for pathologically proven early-stage adenocarcinoma with aggressive patterns.

FOXP3+/CD8+ ratio associated with aggressive behavior in RUNX3-methylated diffuse esophagogastric junction tumor.

The tumor immune microenvironment is increasingly becoming a key consideration in developing treatment regimens for aggressive cancers, with evidence that regulatory T cells (Tregs) attenuate the antitumor response by interrupting cytotoxic T cells (CD8+). Here, we hypothesized the prognostic relevance of the proportions of Tregs (marked by forkhead box protein 3 [FOXP3]) and CD8+ cells in diffuse, non-Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)/non-microsatellite instability (MSI)-high gastroesophageal adenocarcinomas (GEAs), which are clinically characterized as more aggressive, immunologically inactive tumors as compared with their intestinal counterparts. Cell-count ratios of FOXP3+/CD8+ expression were calculated at the intratumoral region and invasive margin discretely on digital images from 303 chemo-naive non-EBV/non-MSI-high esophagogastric junction (EGJ) adenocarcinomas. A significant modifying prognostic effect of tumor histology was observed between 5-year EGJ cancer-specific survival and the FOXP3+/CD8+ ratio at the invasive margin in pStage I-III tumors (p for interaction = 0.022; hazard ratio [HR] = 8.47 and 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.04-35.19 for high ratio [vs. low] for diffuse; HR = 1.57 and 95% CI, 0.88-2.83 for high ratio [vs. low] for intestinal). A high FOXP3+/CD8+ ratio at the invasive margin was associated with RUNX3 methylation (p = 0.035) and poor prognosis in RUNX3-methylated diffuse histological subtype (5-year EGJ cancer-specific survival, 52.3% for high and 100% for low, p = 0.015). Multiomics data from The Cancer Genome Atlas linked CCL28 with RUNX3-suppressed diffuse histological subtypes of non-EBV/non-MSI-high GEA. Our data suggest that a high FOXP3+/CD8+ ratio at the invasive margin might indicate tumor immune escape via CCL28, particularly in the RUNX3-methylated diffuse histological subtype.

Outcomes of laparoscopic, robotic and open nephroureterectomy with bladder cuff excision in patients with T3T4 upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma: a multi-center retrospective study

BackgroundNephroureterectomy with bladder cuff excision is the standard treatment for high-risk upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). The role of minimally invasive surgery in treating locally advanced UTUC remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the outcomes of open, laparoscopic, and robotic surgeries for managing locally advanced UTUC.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed 705 patients with locally advanced UTUC from multiple institutions throughout Taiwan. Perioperative outcomes and oncological outcomes, such as cancer-specific survival, overall survival, disease-free survival and bladder-free survival, were compared between the open, laparoscopic and robotic groups.ResultsThe minimally invasive group had better overall and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates. The 2-year CSS rates of the open, laparoscopic and robotic groups were 71%, 83%, and 77% respectively (p < 0.001). The robotic group had similar outcomes to the laparoscopic group. (p = 0.061, 0.825, 0.341 for OS, CSS, DFS respectively.) More lymph node dissections were performed and more lymph nodes were harvested in the robotic group (p = 0.009).ConclusionsOur results demonstrated that minimally invasive surgery, including laparoscopic and robotic surgery, for locally advanced UTUC resulted in oncological outcomes that are non-inferior to those of open surgery.

Staging Paradox and recurrence pattern among stage IIB, IIC, and IIIA Colon cancers: a retrospective cohort study

PurposeThe survival rates of patients with stage IIB and IIC colon cancer are paradoxically inferior to that of patients with stage IIIA colon cancer. This study aimed to examine the oncological outcomes and investigate the factors that could affect the staging paradox among stage IIB, IIC, and IIIA colon cancers based on a 9-year cancer database.MethodsPatients with stage IIB (pT4aN0M0), IIC (pT4bN0M0), or IIIA (pT1-2N1M0) colon cancer were retrospectively selected from a prospectively maintained medical database from January 2011 to December 2019. Factors that might influence the staging paradox, including radicality, harvested lymph nodes, and chemotherapy administration, were examined.ResultsA total of 282 patients (stage IIB, n = 59; stage IIC, n = 46; and stage IIIA, n = 177) were enrolled. Patients with stage IIB/C cancer demonstrated higher carcinoembryonic antigen levels, larger tumor size, more frequent tumor obstruction, and higher locoregional recurrence than those with stage IIIA cancer. With respect to 10-year locoregional recurrence-free survival and cancer-specific survival, patients with stage IIB and IIC cancers had significantly lower survival rates than did those with stage IIIA cancer (73.7% vs. 66.3% vs. 91.2%, P = 0.0003; 5.4% vs. 10.9% vs. 11.2%, P = 0.0023). The staging paradox persisted in patients who underwent R0 resection, had harvested lymph nodes ≥ 12, and received chemotherapy, as confirmed by multivariate regression analysis.ConclusionsBased on the inferior oncological outcomes and higher locoregional recurrence rate, this study highlighted the need for intensified cytotoxic chemotherapy specific to this recurrence pattern for patients with stage IIB/C colon cancer.

Population-based long-term prognosis analysis of subcutaneous gastrointestinal stromal tumors.

Subcutaneous gastrointestinal stromal tumors (scGISTs) are extremely rare tumors, and the analysis of their long-term prognosis remains unreported. Therefore, our objective is to analyze the long-term prognosis of patients with scGISTs using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Patients diagnosed with GISTs between 2000 and 2019 were included in the study. To handle missing data, multiple imputation techniques were employed. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), and subgroup analyses were conducted for various variables. A total of 12,882 patients were enrolled, with 12,636 diagnosed with GISTs and 246 with scGISTs. In comparison to GISTs patients, scGISTs patients exhibited inferior OS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.45-1.98, P < 0.001] and CSS (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.78-2.61, P < 0.001). Across various subgroups, including age, sex, surgical intervention, marital status, and chemotherapy, scGISTs patients consistently demonstrated significantly poorer OS and CSS outcomes compared to GISTs patients (P < 0.05). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates for scGISTs patients were 78.4%, 60.3%, and 49.3%, respectively, with corresponding CSS rates of 83.3%, 67.8%, and 57.4%. Notably, scGISTs patients who received surgical treatment had significantly higher 5-year OS rates (62.1% vs 30.9%, P < 0.001) and CSS rates (67.8% vs 40.0%, P < 0.001) compared to those who did not undergo surgery. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age, surgical status, and mitotic rate as risk factors influencing OS in scGISTs patients, while surgical status and mitotic rate were identified as risk factors affecting CSS. Compared to GISTs patients, scGIST patients exhibit a less favorable prognosis; nonetheless, surgical intervention has been demonstrated to enhance their prognosis.

Assessment of Radiotherapy as a Standalone Treatment Following Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Nonmetastatic Breast Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis.

Traditional breast cancer management involves surgery followed by systemic therapies. However, advancements in neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) raise questions about the necessity of surgery in cases with an excellent response to NACT. This study investigates the outcomes of radiotherapy without surgery in selected patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer after a complete or substantial response to NACT. A retrospective study was conducted using the SEER database, reviewing records from 2010 to 2020 for patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer who received NACT, associated with a clinical response, followed by radiotherapy alone. The population included 123 patients, stratified into complete clinical response (cCR) and non-cCR (partial or unspecified clinical response) cohorts. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. The median follow-up was 41 months. Among the patients, 17 (13.82%) achieved cCR. The 5-year OS and CSS for the entire cohort were 65.8% and 71%, respectively, with the cCR group achieving 100% rates for both. Age above 60 and larger tumor size (T3 to T4) were associated with lower OS. The non-cCR group showed a 5-year OS of 61.5% and CSS of 67.1%. This study indicates that omitting surgery in patients with a cCR to NACT may be feasible, as evidenced by this subgroup's 100% OS and CSS rates at 5 and 10 years. These promising results support further research into less invasive breast cancer management. However, prospective studies must validate these findings and identify suitable patients for nonsurgical approaches.

The impact of non-structured PSA testing on prostate cancer-specific mortality on New Zealand Māori men

ObjectivesTo assess the impact of differences in Prostate-Specific Antigen (PSA) testing rates on prostate cancer (PCa) diagnosis and PCa-specific mortality among Māori men in a New Zealand (NZ) population.Patients and MethodsMāori men aged 40 years or older, without a history of PCa, with a PSA test between 2006 and 2018 were included. The cohort was divided into two groups; the “screened group” (ScG) consisting of men who had at least one PSA test every four years or less, and the “non-screened group” (non-SG). We measured the rate of cancer diagnoses and used competing risk analysis to assess survival.ResultsThe study cohort included 63,939 Māori men, with 37,048 (58%) in the ScG. PCa was more frequently diagnosed in the ScG (3.7% vs. 3.0%, P < 0.001). A higher proportion of high-grade cancers were found in the non-SG (32.7% vs. 25.6%, P = 0.001). The 10-year cancer-specific survival was significantly higher in the ScG (99.4% vs. 98.5%, P < 0.001). In a multivariable risk model, PSA testing frequency was an independent predictor of PCa mortality. (HR 2.43, [95% CI 1.97–3.01], P < 0.001).ConclusionsIn a cohort of only Māori men, lower PSA testing rates were associated with a higher risk of PCa-related death. Therefore, regular PSA testing for Māori could improve cancer-specific survival among Māori men. Regular PSA testing should be considered a priority area for improving PCa survival in this population.

Proton Pump Inhibitors Worsen Colorectal Cancer Outcomes in Patients Treated with Bevacizumab

Background: Approximately one-third of patients with advanced colorectal cancer (CRC) and treated with bevacizumab are prescribed proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) or H2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs). However, there is limited data on the effects of PPIs and H2RAs in these patients. To investigate the oncological outcomes of PPI and H2RA use in CRC patients treated with bevacizumab, we performed a retrospective cohort study using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database and Taiwan Cancer Registry Database from 2005 to 2020. Methods: In CRC patients treated with bevacizumab, the PPI users and H2RA users were matched with patients without acid-reducing agents (ARAs) by 1:4 propensity score matching. PPI users and H2RA users were matched with propensity scoring in a 1:1 ratio. We divided patients into 4 cumulative PPI dosage levels to assess the dose–response relationship. The primary endpoints were 5-year overall survival and cancer-specific survival. Results: Compared with ARA non-users, both H2RA users and PPI users were associated with reduced overall survival. PPI users were associated with more significant negative effects on overall survival. Compared with H2RA users, PPI users were associated with lower 5-year overall survival (aHR: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.09–1.31) and cancer-specific survival (aHR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.09–1.31). A similar dose–response relationship was observed for PPI users in terms of 5-year overall survival and cancer-specific overall survival. Conclusions: Compared to H2AR use, PPI use was associated with dose-dependent poorer oncological outcomes in metastatic CRC patients treated with bevacizumab.

Impact on Prognosis of Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Secondary to Delays in Diagnostic Workup.

Background Diagnostic workup of small pulmonary nodules often requires follow-up CT scans to confirm nodule growth before invasive diagnostics or treatment. Purpose To confirm prior results from the International Early Lung Cancer Action Program (I-ELCAP) on quantifying decreases in lung cancer prognosis by using two large databases, the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) and International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC). Materials and Methods In this retrospective study, a model was developed to predict cure rates based on size of solid nodules using the NLST (August 2002 to summer 2007) and IASLC (January 2011 to December 2019) databases, focusing on stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Kaplan-Meier methods were used to calculate 10-year lung cancer-specific survival and 5-year overall survival rates for different tumor sizes. Tumor diameter increases after 90-, 180-, and 365-day delays were estimated using volume doubling times (VDTs) of 60, 120, and 240 days corresponding to fast, moderate, and slow tumor growth. Initial and delayed lung cancer cure rates were assessed across nine scenarios of time delays and tumor growth rates and compared with the previous results of the I-ELCAP database. Results Using regression models based on 166 NLST and 22 590 IASLC patients with NSCLC, 10-year lung cancer-specific survival and 5-year overall survival, respectively, for tumors 4.0-20.0 mm in diameter were estimated. For a 20.0-mm tumor with a 60-day VDT in the NLST database, the lung cancer-specific survival decreased from 83.4% to 76.5%, 66.8%, and 32.3% after 90, 180, and 365 days, respectively. The IASLC database showed similar decreases in 5-year overall survival, from 81.2% to 73.4%, 62.4%, and 23.3% after 90, 180, and 365 days, respectively. Comparison across NLST, IASLC, and I-ELCAP databases revealed minor variations in lung cancer cure rates between 79.9% and 83.4%, with reductions of 6.9%-8.3% after a 180-day delay with a 120-day VDT. Conclusion The NLST and IASLC databases confirmed prior estimates from the I-ELCAP database for the decrease in lung cancer prognosis due to diagnostic delays. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Park and Lee in this issue.

Retrospective Analysis of Radiofrequency Ablation in Patients with Small Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Survival Outcomes and Development of a Machine Learning Prognostic Model.

The effectiveness of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in improving long-term survival outcomes for patients with a solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) measuring 5 cm or less remains uncertain. This study was designed to elucidate the impact of RFA therapy on the survival outcomes of these patients and to construct a prognostic model for patients following RFA. This study was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2017, focusing on patients diagnosed with a solitary HCC lesion ≤5 cm in size. We compared the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates of these patients with those of patients who received hepatectomy, radiotherapy, or chemotherapy or who were part of a blank control group. To enhance the reliability of our findings, we employed stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (sIPTW) and stratified analyses. Additionally, we conducted a Cox regression analysis to identify prognostic factors. XGBoost models were developed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS. The XGBoost models were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA) curves and so on. Regardless of whether the data were unadjusted or adjusted for the use of sIPTWs, the 5-year OS (46.7%) and CSS (58.9%) rates were greater in the RFA group than in the radiotherapy (27.1%/35.8%), chemotherapy (32.9%/43.7%), and blank control (18.6%/30.7%) groups, but these rates were lower than those in the hepatectomy group (69.4%/78.9%). Stratified analysis based on age and cirrhosis status revealed that RFA and hepatectomy yielded similar OS and CSS outcomes for patients with cirrhosis aged over 65 years. Age, race, marital status, grade, cirrhosis status, tumor size, and AFP level were selected to construct the XGBoost models based on the training cohort. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for 1, 3, and 5 years in the validation cohort were 0.88, 0.81, and 0.79, respectively. Calibration plots further demonstrated the consistency between the predicted and actual values in both the training and validation cohorts. RFA can improve the survival of patients diagnosed with a solitary HCC lesion ≤5 cm. In certain clinical scenarios, RFA achieves survival outcomes comparable to those of hepatectomy. The XGBoost models developed in this study performed admirably in predicting the CSS of patients with solitary HCC tumors smaller than 5 cm following RFA.

Clinical significance of the CALLY index in patients with gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy.

The aim of this study was to elucidate the clinical impact of the CALLY index in patients with gastric cancer (GC) undergoing gastrectomy. Between January 2014 and December 2020, 617 patients who underwent gastrectomy for GC at the Osaka City General Hospital were enrolled in this study. The CALLY index was calculated using the following formula: [albumin (g/dL)×lymphocytes (/μl)]/[CRP (mg/dL)×104]. We compared the predictive value of four biomarkers [CALLY index, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR)] for short- and long-term outcomes and focused on the CALLY index to elucidate its clinical value. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed that the area under the curve for the CALLY index was the highest among the four biomarkers. The 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates in the low and the high CALLY groups were statistically significant. Multivariate analysis identified the CALLY index as an independent factor for OS and CSS but not NLR or PLR. The mGPS was an independent factor for OS but not for CSS in multivariate analysis. Regarding complications, only the CALLY index was an independent predictor of major complications (≧ Clavien-Dindo grade 3) in multivariate analysis but not others. The CALLY index may have a clinical value in predicting OS, CSS, and major complications in GC patients undergoing gastrectomy.

Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer in Non-Curative Patients: A Study on Survival and Palliative Care Needs.

To assess the survival outcomes of patients diagnosed with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) who are not candidates for curative treatment and to identify the factors influencing these outcomes. We conducted an analysis of patients diagnosed with MIBC who were either unable or unwilling to undergo curative therapy. We evaluated overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) and examined their associations with various clinical variables. Additionally, we assessed emergency department visits and palliative procedures. The study included 142 patients with a median age of 79.4 years and a Charlson Comorbidity Index of 9.8. At diagnosis, 59.2% of the patients had localized disease, 23.2% had metastatic disease, and 49.3% presented with hydronephrosis. Curative treatment was excluded due to comorbidities in 40.1% of cases and advanced disease stage in 36.6%. The 1-year and 2-year OS rates were 42.8% and 23.6%, respectively, with a median survival of 10.6 months. The 1-year and 2-year CSS rates were 49.6% and 30.2%, respectively, with a median survival of 11.9 months. Worse survival outcomes were associated with advanced disease stage and the presence of hydronephrosis. Patients excluded from curative treatment solely due to age had a relatively better prognosis. On average, patients visited the emergency department three times: 19% underwent palliative transurethral resection of the bladder tumor, 14.8% received radiotherapy to control hematuria, and nephrostomy tubes were placed in 26.1% of cases. Patients with MIBC who are unable or unwilling to undergo curative treatment have a median overall survival of less than one year, with worse outcomes observed in those with advanced disease stage and hydronephrosis.

Nomogram predicting overall and cancer specific prognosis for poorly differentiated lung adenocarcinoma after resection based on SEER cohort analysis

The prognosis of poorly differentiated lung adenocarcinoma (PDLA) is determined by many clinicopathological factors. The aim of this study is identifying prognostic factors and developing reliable nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with PDLA. Patient data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database was collected and analyzed. The SEER database was used to screen 1059 eligible patients as the study cohort. The whole cohort was randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 530) and a test cohort (n = 529). Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify variables and construct a nomogram based on the training cohort. C-index and calibration curves were performed to evaluate the performance of the model in the training cohort and test cohorts. For patients with PDLA, age at diagnosis, gender, tumor size were independent prognostic factors both for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), while race and number of nodes were specifically related to OS. The calibration curves presented excellent consistency between the actual and nomogram-predict survival probabilities in the training and test cohorts. The C-index values of the nomogram were 0.700 and 0.730 for OS and CSS, respectively. The novel nomogram provides new insights of the risk of each prognostic factor and can assist doctors in predicting the 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS and CSS in patients with PDLA.

Revisiting the survival paradox between stage IIB/C and IIIA colon cancer.

Patients with stage IIB/C (T4a-bN0) colon cancer often exhibit worse survival rates compared to those with stage IIIA (T1-2N1, T1N2a) colon cancer. This study re-evaluates the survival paradox using the latest Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data (released on April 17, 2024) to inform potential revisions to the staging criteria. Utilizing SEER data with 8th edition TNM staging criteria, 4692 colon cancer patients diagnosed between 2018 and 2021 were analyzed with chi-square test. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were employed to assess factors associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). The 3-year CSS rates for stage IIB and IIC were 73.1% and 70.3%, respectively, whereas stage IIIA had a substantially higher CSS rate of 91% (P < 0.001). Similarly, the OS rates were 64.9% and 63.0% for stage IIB and IIC, respectively, compared to 83.1% for stage IIIA (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed stage IIIA patients had significantly lower risks of cancer-specific mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.374, 95% CI: 0.296-0.473, P < 0.001) and overall mortality (HR = 0.575, 95% CI: 0.483-0.685, P < 0.001) compared to stage IIB patients. The upcoming 9th edition of the AJCC staging system should address this paradox by integrating advanced diagnostic markers and emphasizing the aggressive biology of T4 tumor, providing more accurate prognostic information and guiding more effective treatment strategies for colon cancer patients.

Construction and validation of a nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in middle-aged patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A SEER-based study.

Hepatocellular carcinoma is the predominant form of primary liver cancer and is the leading cause of cancer-related death. The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in middle-aged patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. Clinical data were downloaded from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database for middle-aged patients diagnosed with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (AJCC stage III and IV) from 2000 to 2019. The patients were randomized in a 7:3 ratio into training cohort and validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed in the training cohort to screen for independent risk factors associated with cancer-specific survival for the construction of nomogram. The nomogram was examined and evaluated using the consistency index (C-index), area under the curve (AUC), and calibration plots. The clinical application value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA). A total of 3026 patients were selected, including 2244 in the training cohort and 962 in the validation cohort. Multivariate analysis revealed gender, marital status, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, tumor size, bone metastasis, lung metastasis, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy as independent risk factors, which were all included in the construction of the nomogram. In the training cohort, the AUC values were 0.74 (95% CI: 0.76-0.72), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.82-0.75), and 0.82 (95% CI: 0.86-0.78) at 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS, respectively. The calibration plots showed good consistency between the actual and predicted values. The DCA curves indicated that the nomogram model could more accurately predict CSS at 1-, 3-, and 5-year in middle-aged patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma compared with the AJCC staging system. Highly similar results to the training cohort were also observed in the validation cohort. In the risk stratification system, good differentiation was shown between the 2 groups, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that surgery could prolong patient survival. In this study, we developed a nomogram and risk stratification system for predicting CSS in middle-aged patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. The prediction model has good predictive performance and can help clinicians in judging prognosis and clinical decision making.

Effect of radiation after surgery on the prognosis of children with Wilms tumor

Background To explore the association between radiation after surgery and the 5-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with Wilms tumor. Methods In this cohort study, 1564 participants were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The univariate and multivariable COX proportional risk model as well as competitive risk model were used to explore the covariates associated with 5-year OS and 5-year CSS of patients with Wilms tumor and the correlation between radiation after surgery and 5-year OS or 5-year CSS of patients with Wilms tumor, respectively. The Kaplan-Meier curves of participants were plotted. Results The median follow-up was 126.00 (84.00, 178.00) months. Patients receiving surgery had higher 5-year survival probability than those not receiving surgery, while participants receiving radiation after surgery showed poor 5-year survival than those not. After adjusting for covariates including age and SEER stage, increased risk of 5-year overall mortality in patients with Wilms tumor [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.62, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10–2.41). After the adjustment for confounding factors including age, SEER stage and ethnicity, increased risk of 5-year cancer-specific mortality of patients with Wilms tumor was observed in those receiving radiation after surgery (HR = 1.77, 95%CI: 1.13–2.79). Conclusion Radiation after surgery was associated with poor prognosis of patients with Wilms tumor, which indicated that the clinicians should assess whether the patient was suitable for using radiation after surgery.

Machine learning to predict distant metastasis and prognostic analysis of moderately differentiated gastric adenocarcinoma patients: a novel focus on lymph node indicators.

Moderately differentiated gastric adenocarcinoma (MDGA) has a high risk of metastasis and individual variation, which strongly affects patient prognosis. Using large-scale datasets and machine learning algorithms for prediction can improve individualized treatment. The specific efficacy of several lymph node indicators in predicting distant metastasis (DM) and patient prognosis in MDGA remains obscure. We collected data from MDGA patients from the SEER database from 2010 to 2019. Additionally, we collected data from MDGA patients in China. We used nine machine learning algorithms to predict DM. Subsequently, we used Cox regression analysis to determine the risk factors affecting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in DM patients and constructed nomograms. Furthermore, we used logistic regression and Cox regression analyses to assess the specific impact of six lymph node indicators on DM incidence and patient prognosis. We collected data from 5,377 MDGA patients from the SEER database and 109 MDGC patients from hospitals. T stage, N stage, tumor size, primary site, number of positive lymph nodes, and chemotherapy were identified as independent risk factors for DM. The random forest prediction model had the best overall predictive performance (AUC = 0.919). T stage, primary site, chemotherapy, and the number of regional lymph nodes were identified as prognostic factors for OS. Moreover, T stage, number of regional lymph nodes, primary site, and chemotherapy were also influential factors for CSS. The nomograms showed good predictive value and stability in predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS and CSS in DM patients. Additionally, the log odds of a metastatic lymph node and the number of negative lymph nodes may be risk factors for DM, while the regional lymph node ratio and the number of regional lymph nodes are prognostic factors for OS. The random forest prediction model accurately identified high-risk populations, and we established OS and CSS survival prediction models for MDGA patients with DM. Our hospital samples demonstrated different characteristics of lymph node indicators in terms of distant metastasis and prognosis.