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Cost-effectiveness analysis of dupilumab versus omalizumab, mepolizumab, and benralizumab added to the standard of care in adults with severe asthma in Colombia

ABSTRACT Background Cost-effectiveness studies evaluate health technologies and help choose treatments. The current study compared dupilumab to omalizumab, mepolizumab, and benralizumab in Colombian adults with severe uncontrolled type 2 asthma. Methods Over a 5-year period, a Markov model was utilized to assess the costs of biological treatments and management of exacerbations, comparing various doses of exacerbations, comparing various doses of dupilumab, omalizumab, mepolizumab, and benralizumab as add-on treatments. It included a 5% annual discount rate per local HTA, and set willingness-to-pay at three times GDP per capita per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) in Colombia. Results Dupilumab (200 mg) exhibited greater QALYs and reduced overall costs compared to mepolizumab (100 mg), benralizumab (30 mg), and omalizumab (450 mg and 600 mg), with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per QALYgained being -$5.429, -$6.269, -$196.567 and -$991.007, respectively. Dupilumab had greater QALYs and costs versus omalizumab 300 mg (ICERof $200.653 per QALY, above the willingness-to-pay threshold of 3 × GDP per capita). Sensitivity analyses were consistent with base case results. Conclusions Dupilumab 200 mg was strongly dominant versus omalizumab 450 mg and 600 mg, mepolizumab 100 mg, and benralizumab 30 mg; however, cost-effectiveness was not demonstrated versus omalizumab 300 mg. These results could assist healthcare professionals in choosing an appropriate biologic for treating severe type 2 asthma.

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Long-term survival in venous thromboembolic disease: rivaroxaban vs. warfarin – propensity score matching study

BackgroundVenous thromboembolic disease (VTE) is characterized by obstruction of venous blood flow by a thrombus. Survival data, frequency of disease recurrence, and bleeding rate in patients on anticoagulant therapy with warfarin compared to rivaroxaban in the Latin American population are limited in VTE.MethodsA retrospective cohort study with propensity score matching analysis was conducted in patients with pulmonary embolism and/or deep vein thrombosis anticoagulated with warfarin or rivaroxaban treated. Survival analysis was performed using a Kaplan-Meier curve for each of the intervention groups, and it was compared using a Log Rank test.ResultsOf 2193 potentially eligible patients with a suspected diagnosis of VTE, 505 patients entered the analysis; of these, 285 subjects were managed with warfarin and 220 anticoagulated with rivaroxaban. Major bleeding at 12 months occurred in 2.7% (6/220) of patients treated with Rivaroxaban, compared to 10.2% (29/285) in the Warfarin group in the unmatched population (p = 0.001). In the matched population, bleeding at 12 months occurred in 2.9% (6/209) of patients on Rivaroxaban and in 11.0% (23/209) of patients on Warfarin (p = 0.001). The survival rates at 6 months were 97.1% for Rivaroxaban and 97.6% for Warfarin (p = 0.76). At 12 months, the survival rates were 94.7% for Rivaroxaban and 95.7% for Warfarin (p = 0.61).ConclusionIn the treatment of VTE, there is no differences on 6 and 12-month survival or a reduction in the occurrence of new thromboembolic events when comparing rivaroxaban to warfarin. However, a lower risk of major bleeding is observed at 12 months with Rivaroxaban.

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The effect of combining different sampling tools on the performance of electromagnetic navigational bronchoscopy for the evaluation of peripheral lung lesions and factors associated with its diagnostic yield

BackgroundWe assessed the performance of Electromagnetic navigational bronchoscopy (ENB) as a standalone diagnostic technique and the performance of different sampling tools used during the procedure.MethodsWe recruited 160 consecutive patients who underwent ENB for peripheral lung lesions (PLL) at a tertiary care centre. The diagnostic performance of ENB and sampling tools was assessed using a logistic regression model and a ROC-curve in which the dependent variable was diagnostic success. A multivariate model was built to predict diagnostic success before performing ENB to select the best candidates for the procedure.ResultsMost patients with PLLs in the study were male (65%), with a mean age of 67.9 years. The yield was 66% when the most common techniques were used together as suction catheter + transbronchial biopsy forceps (TBBx) + bronchoalveolar lavage + bronchial washing (p < 0.001) and increased to 69% when transbronchial needle aspiration (TBNA) and cytology brush were added (p < 0.001). Adding diagnostic techniques such as TBBx and TBNA resulted in an increase in diagnostic performance, with a statistically significant trend (p = 0.002). The logistic model area-under the ROC-curve for diagnostic success during ENB was 0.83 (95% CI:0.75–0.90; p < 0.001), and a logit value ≥ 0.12 was associated with ≥ 50% probability of diagnostic success.ConclusionsENB, as a stand-alone diagnostic tool for the evaluation of PLLs when performed by experienced operators using a multi-modality technique, has a good diagnostic yield. The probability of having a diagnostic ENB could be assessed using the proposed model.

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Utilization of spontaneous breathing trial, objective cough test, and diaphragmatic ultrasound results to predict extubation success: COBRE-US trial

BackgroundThe results of clinical and weaning readiness tests and the spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) are used to predict the success of the weaning process and extubation.MethodsWe evaluated the capacity of the cuff leak test, rate of rapid and shallow breathing, cough intensity, and diaphragmatic contraction velocity (DCV) to predict the success of the SBT and extubation in a prospective, multicenter observational study with consecutive adult patients admitted to four intensive care units. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to assess the tests’ predictive capacity and built predictive models using logistic regression.ResultsWe recruited 367 subjects who were receiving invasive mechanical ventilation and on whom 456 SBTs were performed, with a success rate of 76.5%. To predict the success of the SBT, we derived the following equation: (0.56 × Cough) − (0.13 × DCV) + 0.25. When the cutoff point was ≥ 0.83, the sensitivity was 91.5%, the specificity was 22.1%, and the overall accuracy was 76.2%. The area under the ROC curve (AUC-ROC) was 0.63. To predict extubation success, we derived the following equation: (5.7 × SBT) + (0.75 × Cough) − (0.25 × DCV) − 4.5. When the cutoff point was ≥ 1.25, the sensitivity was 96.8%, the specificity was 78.4%, and the overall accuracy was 91.5%. The AUC-ROC of this model was 0.91.ConclusionObjective measurement of cough and diaphragmatic contraction velocity could be used to predict SBT success. The equation for predicting successful extubation, which includes SBT, cough, and diaphragmatic contraction velocity values, showed excellent discriminative capacity.

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In-hospital clinical outcomes in kidney transplant recipients with COVID-19 infection

Introduction: The coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) increased mortality in organ solid transplant patients due to chronic immunosuppression and significant comorbidity burden. We aim to evaluate patient and graft survival in kidney transplant (KT) recipients who were hospitalized or treated in Intensive Care Units (ICU) after contracting COVID-19. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on adult KT recipients diagnosed with COVID-19 between June 1 and July 31, 2021. The study reported demographics, symptoms, laboratory parameters, and clinical outcomes 30 days after a positive test. Risk factors for mortality were identified through comparisons between hospitalization-in-wards and ICU groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate graft and patient survival. Results: 55 KT patients were analysed, recipient age and history of diabetes showed significant differences between groups (p = 0.0124 and p = 0.0506, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that diabetes (p = 0.002) and dialysis requirement (p = 0.0006) were significantly associated with mortality risk. The overall mortality rate was 25.5%, with graft loss at 12.7%. Patient survival after 30 days was 74.5%, with significantly higher survival in the hospitalization-in-wards group (p = 0.0001) compared to the ICU group. Conclusions: KT patients diagnosed with COVID-19 are at higher mortality risk than the general population. Our study found that patients in the ICU group experienced worse clinical outcomes and higher mortality rates compared to those in the hospitalization-in-wards group. These findings underscore the importance of closely monitoring COVID-19-implicated KT patients and tailoring treatment plans to minimize risk and improve outcomes.

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Image harmonization and deep learning automated classification of plus disease in retinopathy of prematurity.

Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a retinal vascular disease affecting premature infants that can culminate in blindness within days if not monitored and treated. A disease stage for scrutiny and administration of treatment within ROP is "plus disease" characterized by increased tortuosity and dilation of posterior retinal blood vessels. The monitoring of ROP occurs via routine imaging, typically using expensive instruments ($50 to $140K) that are unavailable in low-resource settings at the point of care. As part of the smartphone-ROP program to enable referrals to expert physicians, fundus images are acquired using smartphone cameras and inexpensive lenses. We developed methods for artificial intelligence determination of plus disease, consisting of a preprocessing pipeline to enhance vessels and harmonize images followed by deep learning classification. A deep learning binary classifier (plus disease versus no plus disease) was developed using GoogLeNet. Vessel contrast was enhanced by 90% after preprocessing as assessed by the contrast improvement index. In an image quality evaluation, preprocessed and original images were evaluated by pediatric ophthalmologists from the US and South America with years of experience diagnosing ROP and plus disease. All participating ophthalmologists agreed or strongly agreed that vessel visibility was improved with preprocessing. Using images from various smartphones, harmonized via preprocessing (e.g., vessel enhancement and size normalization) and augmented in physically reasonable ways (e.g., image rotation), we achieved an area under the ROC curve of 0.9754 for plus disease on a limited dataset. Promising results indicate the potential for developing algorithms and software to facilitate the usage of cell phone images for staging of plus disease.

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Tropical high altitude and severe asthma in adults: house dust mite sensitization and phenotypic distribution

Background There is a lack of information on house dust mite (HDM) sensitization and phenotype distribution in patients with severe asthma (SA) living permanently at high-altitude (HA) in tropical regions, which may be different. Objective The aim of this study was to characterize adults with SA in a tropical high altitude city (2,640 m): Bogotá, Colombia. Material and Methods This observational cross-sectional study included severe asthmatic outpatients (n = 129) referred to the ASMAIRE program of the Fundación Neumológica Colombiana in Bogotá (2,640 m). Clinical history, spirometry, total IgE, blood eosinophils, and skin prick test (SPT), including HDM allergens, were performed. Phenotype definitions: Allergic/atopic (AA): IgE ≥100 IU/mL and/or at least one positive SPT; eosinophilic (EOS): blood eosinophils ≥300 cells/µL; type 2-high: AA and/or EOS phenotype; type 2-low: non-AA/non-EOS phenotype (IgE <100 IU/mL, negative SPT, and blood eosinophils <300 cells/µL). Results A total of 129 adults with SA were included, 79.8% female. Phenotype distribution: AA: 61.2%; EOS: 37.2%; type 2-high: 72.1%; type 2-low: 27.9%. Among AA patients, HDM sensitization was present in 87% and 34.9% were non-eosinophilic. There was a significant overlap between the phenotypes. Conclusions In contrast to non-tropical high-altitude regions, we found a high frequency of HDM sensitization in patients with AA phenotype living in a tropical high-altitude city. We also found a discrete lower frequency of EOS phenotype with no other significant differences in the phenotypic distribution compared to that described at low altitudes. We propose that tropical location may modify the effect of high altitude on HDM concentrations and allergenicity.

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