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Climate indices as predictors of global soil organic carbon stocks

ABSTRACT Global soils store more carbon than the atmosphere and terrestrial vegetation combined, with a significant proportion located in colder regions. Earth system models incorporating climate-carbon feedback suggest that a warming climate can potentially destabilize soil carbon storage, leading to carbon release into the atmosphere. However, existing models are based on limited measurements of soil organic carbon (SOC) loss and a comprehensive global-scale climate indices that effectively characterizes climate-SOC relationships is currently lacking. In this study, we present a synthetic analysis that evaluates the effectiveness of different climate indices in estimating SOC stocks using a global compilation of SOC data and the Boltzmann Sigmoidal Model (BSM). Our findings reveal that a climate index, defined as TD - Index = exp ( − 0.002 T − 0.8 D ) , where T and D are mean century temperature (MCT) and dryness respectively, serves as the most reliable predictor for SOC stocks. Furthermore, we observed temperature tipping points for SOC, ranging from −4.5 to −3°C for different soil layers. As the temperature transitions from being below to above the tipping point, the SOC shifts from a stable, high state to a rapid decline. An analysis of the projected temperatures for SOC under various future greenhouse gas emissions scenarios showed a northward shift in the northern hemisphere, potentially opening up vast areas of arctic territory to increased SOC loss from the soils, with corresponding emissions of the stored carbon into the atmosphere. Our findings open up new avenues for research on and management strategies for climate-related SOC dynamics.

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Summer snowline altitude gradients in Western Norway are influenced by maritime climate

ABSTRACT Mountain snowline dynamics are relatively underreported with few studies exploring spatial snowline dynamics. Whilst clear regional-scale relationships between snowline location and temperature exist in European mountains, recent research at higher latitudes reports no response to climate change. In maritime mountains, snowlines occupy complex environmental gradients. Using timeseries of satellite data from Landsat missions 5–8 (151 images between 1984 and 2021), we explored sub-regional summer snowline dynamics across the maritime-continental climate gradient in the Western Norwegian mountains. We characterize spatio-temporal snowline altitude dynamics and investigate the climate factors altering snowline patterns. Summer snowline altitudes were found to increase inland at around double the rate of the 0°C summer isotherm. Data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) land component of the fifth generation of European Reanalysis (ERA5-Land), showed a potential ‘maritime-mountain’ effect with coastal orographic snowfall and cloud cover-induced surface solar downwelling radiation amplifying maritime-continental snowline altitude gradients alongside surface atmospheric temperature. This was replicated in the Canadian Rocky Mountains. Between 1984 and 2021, we found spatial summer snowline gradients in Norway decreased and propose multiple climate forcings are responsible, potentially masking links between snowlines and climate change. Although non-significant, the data also suggest regional summer snowline altitudes increased. This study demonstrates the complex spatial heterogeneity in snow-climate relationships and highlights how long-term snow dynamics can be queried using fine-grain (Landsat) resolution satellite data. We share our approach through a Google Earth Engine web-app that rapidly executes spatial snowline analyses for global mountain regions via a graphical user interface.

Open Access
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Glacier–rock glacier interactions in the eastern Hindu Kush, Nuristan, Afghanistan [35.92,71.13] in the period 1976–2019

ABSTRACT Landsystem relationships between glaciers and rock debris supply in a mountain landscape domain, (), are described. Decimal latitude-longitude [dLL] geolocations are used to identify features and transects in an information landscape. Geo-located features are coded, enabling transects between a 1976 expedition and 2019 Google Earth imagery to be compared. Rock debris is progressively added to 1-3 km long glaciers which become debris-covered. Cirque glaciers eventually assume rock glacier (RG) forms when supraglacial debris loads are high. Some rock glacier snouts reach main valley floors and still advance over meadows. This behaviour is attributed to high geomorphic activity producing rock detritus and transport to glaciers in the early Little Ice Age. The advances of rock glacier snouts are a consequence of thinning; low-angle glaciers still moving beneath debris-covered glaciers (GLd) covers. Persistent melt pools continue to develop within the surface debris cover of glaciers and rock glaciers and expose glacier ice. All the rock glaciers are below the regional snowline and permafrost can be discounted for rock glacier formation. Scree slope (SS) development may ultimately be sufficient to cover bare glacier ice moving from a glacier (GL) to debris-covered glacier (GLd) to rock glacier (RG). Reverse slopes in the debris at the foot of screes mark the mass continuum of glacier flow below the debris cover, not the ‘rooting zone’ of a permafrost-derived RG. Scree slopes themselves show no evidence of rock glacier-like flow. A simple glacier ice-debris transport continuum model is sufficient and necessary for rock glacier formation and flow.

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Topographical dynamics based on global and UAV-SfM derived DEM products: a case study of transboundary Teesta River, Bangladesh

ABSTRACT Topographical changes in riverine floodplains need to be measured for assessing geomorphological dynamics and protecting floodplain areas, although topographic evaluation in disaster-prone floodplain in South Asia has been limited due to the lack of multitemporal, high-definition digital elevation models (DEMs) derived from modern techniques including airborne laser scanning, structure-from-motion (SfM) photogrammetry accompanied with Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV, often referred as drone), and field-based mapping approaches. Here we conducted a preliminary study at two locations of Teesta River (Brahmaputra’s tributary) in Bangladesh using the UAV-SfM techniques and generated high-resolution DEMs. The selected locations represent dynamic changes of sediment and water on the floodplain over the years, and the UAV-SfM approach can be an effective method for monitoring those changes, but an archive of the past data has been unavailable. Here we evaluated the topographic changes by comparing the UAV-SfM-derived DEMs of 2022 with global DEM products (NASADEM of 1999), which are often the only available choice of DEMs in this river floodplain. The elevation differences of these two sets of DEMs were in the range of −5.23 to −84.66 m, and volumetric changes of −4.11 ± 0.15 to −86.25 ± 0.20 million m3, likely dominated by erosional processes towards the left side bank where the elevation errors are supposed to be several meters for UAV-DEM and ca. 5–12 m for NASADEM. Although it is not easy to accurately evaluate the absolute values of the changes, these changes may be associated with the upper basin’s morphodynamics.

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The effect of valley confluence and bedrock geology upon the location and depth of glacial overdeepenings

ABSTRACT Overdeepenings are erosional landforms, cut by glaciers into bedrock in basins and valleys. Overdeepening is the glaciological and geomorphological process that produces these landforms. The overdeepening process is important because it has the potential to influence the response of ice masses to climatic changes. In this paper, we analyze topographic and bathymetric digital elevation models to examine several hundred glacial overdeepenings in Labrador, Canada. We investigate controls upon the location and depth of overdeepenings. Our analyses show that the location of overdeepenings correlate strongly with confluences of glacial valleys and, importantly, that the correlation is strongest where confluence geometry requires the speed-up of ice-flow due to change in valley cross-sectional area. Further, we find that the magnitude of ice-flow speed-up correlates with depth of overdeepenings only for confluences situated in or near major geological fault-zones. Our findings therefore support the hypothesis that overdeepening can be initiated by an increase in ice velocity. Further, we conclude that overdeepening is most efficacious where fractured bedrock enables efficient quarrying. In summary, we find that the primary control upon the location of overdeepenings arises from confluences of glacial valleys due to ice speeding up at these locations, and that the depth of overdeepenings are controlled by rock mass strength. These findings are relevant for landscape evolution modelling and may be used in model testing.

Open Access
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Establishing a record of extreme debris flow events in a high Alpine catchment since the end of the Little Ice Age using lichenometric dating

ABSTRACT Establishing a record of large debris flow events in high Alpine areas prior to the availability of high resolution remote sensing data can be very challenging. In this study, we investigate the debris flow activity in two tributary valleys of the Horlachtal catchment in Tyrol, Austria between the end of the Little Ice Age at about 1850 and the first available area wide aerial images from 1947. To accomplish this, we calculated a local lichenometric calibration curve using the long axis diameters of the five largest Rhizocarpon lichen thalli at 51 different reference locations. Because of the interval-censored dating of most of the reference sites, we established a bootstrapping approach within the calibration curve calculation process. With the help of the lichenometric calibration data, we were able to date 47 old debris flow deposits in the study area. The results indicate no increasing or decreasing trends in frequencies of extreme debris flow events. In addition, the results point to a very local character of debris flow triggering precipitation events, as we can detect major differences in neighbouring valleys. Lichenometric derived datings also provide temporal informations about the end of debris flow activity at some sites in the study area and thus can contribute to a better understanding of debris flow systems.

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Using fallout 137Cs and OSL as sediment tracers in badlands: a case study of Tepezalá volcano (Central Mexico)

ABSTRACT Badlands are dynamic landforms that cause soil loss over extensive areas. In this study, we analyze recent sediment mobilization in a badland area by using a novel approach that integrates fallout 137Cs and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL). We assess how erosion and sediment storage operate over the Tepezalá volcano, a tephra cone located in central Mexico. We analyzed a set of sediment samples extracted from the surface of an altitudinal sequence with different land uses to explore how landscape management practices relate to erosion and, depth profiles from local sinks, to detect patterns of sediment mobilization and sedimentation. We compared 137Cs and OSL results with reference values to evaluate whether erosion or deposition is predominant and to assess how deep the erosive processes in the landscape are. Results from fallout 137Cs values indicate that in those badlands with implemented actions to mitigate erosion, sediment is retained. The high luminescence values show that the edaphic soil has been flushed away, and subsoil crops out in some of the sampled sites. For the case of depth profiles, maximum values of 137Cs coincide with high luminescence values, suggesting that in such sites, the sediment was mobilized during rapid incision episodes that caused widespread erosion of the landscape. We detected at least three episodes of rapid incision in 10 years of sediment record. We propose that using 137Cs and OSL together can provide valuable information of the sediment transport in settings dominated by fast erosion as do occur for the case of badlands.

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Reconstruction of post-little ice age glacier recession in the Lahaul Himalaya, north-west India

ABSTRACT Understanding past glaciation and deglaciation is vital for assessing present-day glacier dynamics and response to climate change. We focus on reconstructing past glacier fluctuations in Lahaul, north-west India, a region located between arid Ladakh and the humid the Pir-Panjal range. We focus specifically on six glaciers in the Miyar and Thirot catchments of varying size, aspect and debris cover. To reconstruct past terminus fluctuations of these glaciers, we used repeat terrestrial photography and historical archives as data sets and mapped the terminus positions and latero-terminal moraines in the field along with glacier terminus mapping from high to medium resolution satellite images (e.g. Corona, Hexagon, Landsat and LISS IV). Results show that since the little ice age, all the studied glaciers have experienced terminus retreat and area loss, with average values of 1.46 and 0.9 km2, respectively. Precipitation data show a statistically significant decreasing trend during the last century with an increasing trend in annual average maximum (T max) and minimum (T min) temperature. This warming trend is more statistically significant for T min. Although total ice loss at the six studied glaciers is considerable (5.48 km2), this varies both spatially (i.e. from glacier to glacier) and temporally. We attribute this variability to topographic controls such as glacier hypsometry and another non-climatic factor, i.e. varying degree of debris cover.

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