Abstract

IntroductionCaring for patients is inevitably fraught with uncertainties. These may result from clinicians not having or not using the available knowledge, from the incompleteness of the medical science base as a whole, or from the inevitable randomness of biological, psychological and social phenomena. Advances in science promise to reduce uncertainty by making ever more precise diagnosis and treatment possible. MethodsHere, we discuss two typical examples of scientific progress and on how they impact on clinical uncertainty: first, the stratification of chemotherapy for early breast cancer by a 70-gene signature, and second, the interpretation of knee MRI regarding meniscal damage. ResultsAccording to a large randomized trial, the 70-gene -signature successfully differentiates between strata for invasive treatments. The quantitative results and related trade-offs, however, pose considerable difficulties for patient information and shared decision-making, thus increasing uncertainty. Knee complaints are only weakly associated with MRI findings. Pathological findings are highly prevalent in symptom-free individuals. ConclusionRecent advances in diagnostic methods increase the cognitive demands on clinicians and thus their uncertainty. By uncritically using advanced technologies in their practice, physicians exploit their archetypical healing powers. In a paradoxical way, modern technologies reduce uncertainties felt by doctors and their patients in an archaic fashion.

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