Abstract
The article presents statistics from the CSO studies illustrating the dynamic growth in the number of cars. A personal car saturation (NSO) index was calculated in Poland and selected EU countries in 1998–2011. NSO rate forecasts was made in Poland by 2025 on the basis of comparison with selected countries of the European Union. The forecasts were made for two variants on the basis of parabolic model with two paradigms: evolutionary development of the automotive industry in Poland and a rapid economic convergence with the EU. NSO ratio is a measure of volume, therefore, the analysis applies only to quantitative changes. In the studies was discussed the impact of the development of road transport on the environment and human health.
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