Abstract

Objective Prior studies found that young adult chest pain patients without known cardiac disease with either no cardiac risk factors or a normal electrocardiogram (ECG) are at low risk (<1%) for acute coronary syndromes (ACS) and 30-day cardiovascular events. Longer-term event rates in this subset of patients are unknown. We hypothesized that patients younger than 40 years without past cardiac history and a normal ECG are at less than 1% risk for 1-year adverse cardiovascular events. Methods We conducted a prospective cohort study in an urban university emergency department evaluating patients younger than 40 years who received an ECG for evaluation of potential ACS. Cocaine users, cancer patients, and patients with a history of myocardial infarction or revascularization were excluded. Structured data collection at presentation included demographics, chest pain description, history, laboratory results, and ECG data. Hospital course was followed. Follow-up was obtained by telephone, record review, and social security death index search. Our main outcome was 1-year adverse cardiovascular events (death; acute myocardial infarction [AMI]; or revascularization—percutaneous coronary intervention [PCI] or coronary artery bypass graft). Descriptive statistics and 95% confidence intervals were used. Results Of 3846 chest pain patients, 609 met criteria. Of those, 35.5% were admitted. Patients had a mean age of 34.8 years (SD, 3.8 years). They were most often female (57.6%) and black (69.5%). There were 7 patients (1.1%; 95% CI, 0.5%-2.4%) with adverse cardiovascular events over the year. Of the subset of 560 patients with a normal/nonspecific ECG, there were 2 deaths (0.4%), 3 AMI (0.5%), and 2 PCIs (0.4%) by 1 year for a composite adverse cardiovascular event rate of 6 (1.1%; 95% CI, 0.4%-2.3%). Of the subset of 269 patients with no cardiac risk factors and a normal/nonspecific ECG, there were no deaths, 1 AMI, and 1 PCI for a composite adverse cardiovascular event rate at 1 year of 0.3% (0.01%-2.1%). The addition of an initial cardiac marker to this group resulted in a cohort that was event-free at 1 year (95% CI, 0%-1.4%). Conclusions Patients younger than 40 years without a cardiac history who present to the ED with symptoms consistent with ACS but have either no risk factors or a normal or nonspecific ECG have a very low rate of adverse events during the subsequent year.

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