Abstract
Significance However, events on the ground in recent days, including the intensification of air strikes by the Saudi-led coalition and the Huthis' defiant firing of a Scud missile into Saudi Arabia, signal that both sides are determined to continue the seven-month long war. Impacts Even if Sana'a falls, the Huthis may fight on in their heartland. The war is empowering local groups who are likely to complicate attempts to reimpose central authority. In Saudi Arabia the campaign's failure would be blamed on Defence Minister Mohammed bin Salman, reducing his prospects of becoming king. Southern separatists, al-Qaida and Islamic State group will be empowered by the conflict.
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