Abstract

Abstract. In this study, the Weather Research and Forecasting model with online coupled chemistry (WRF-Chem) is applied to simulate an intense Saharan dust outbreak event that took place over the Mediterranean in May 2014. Comparison of a simulation using a physics-based desert dust emission scheme with a numerical experiment using a simplified (minimal) emission scheme is included to highlight the advantages of the former. The model was found to reproduce well the synoptic meteorological conditions driving the dust outbreak: an omega-like pressure configuration associated with a cyclogenesis in the Atlantic coasts of Spain. The model performances in reproducing the atmospheric desert dust load were evaluated using a multi-platform observational dataset of aerosol and desert dust properties, including optical properties from satellite and ground-based sun photometers and lidars, plus in situ particulate matter mass concentration (PM) data. This comparison allowed us to investigate the model ability in reproducing both the horizontal and the vertical displacement of the dust plume, as well as its evolution in time. The comparison with satellite (MODIS-Terra) and sun photometers (AERONET) showed that the model is able to reproduce well the horizontal field of the aerosol optical depth (AOD) and its evolution in time (temporal correlation coefficient with AERONET of 0.85). On the vertical scale, the comparison with lidar data at a single site (Rome, Italy) confirms that the desert dust advection occurs in several, superimposed "pulses" as simulated by the model. Cross-analysis of the modeled AOD and desert dust emission fluxes further allowed for the source regions of the observed plumes to be inferred. The vertical displacement of the modeled dust plume was in rather good agreement with the lidar soundings, with correlation coefficients among aerosol extinction profiles up to 1 and mean discrepancy of about 50 %. The model–measurement comparison for PM10 and PM2.5 showed a good temporal matching, although it revealed a marked overestimation of PM10 and PM2.5 (of the order of 70 % during the dust peak). For PM10, it was also possible to investigate the accordance between the model- and the measurement-based dust PM10, this confirming the model PM10 overestimation to be related to over-predicted dust mass up to a factor of 140 %. In all the model–measurement comparisons performed, the enhanced capabilities of the physics-based emission scheme with respect to its simplified, minimal version were evident and are documented.

Highlights

  • One of the main sources of uncertainty in our understanding of long-term climate variability is the role played by aerosols, since the related uncertainty greatly exceeds that of the other mechanisms combined all together (IPCC, 2001, 2007)

  • In this study we use level 2 (L2, i.e., cloud-screened and quality-assured) aerosol optical depth (AOD) measurements in the visible spectrum performed at those stations localized in the central Mediterranean fulfilling the following requirements: (i) consistence with the spatial pattern of the dust intrusion, i.e., location within the area affected by the investigated dust outbreak and (ii) availability of L2 data in the period considered

  • As “case study” representative of the springtime conditions, an intense dust episode affecting the central Mediterranean between 19 and 24 May 2014 was selected. This case corresponds to one of three different major cyclogenesis situations that are thought to be responsible for the northward transport of Saharan dust toward the Mediterranean (e.g., Engelstaedter et al, 2006), which is the cyclogenesis in the Atlantic coasts of Spain

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Summary

Introduction

One of the main sources of uncertainty in our understanding of long-term climate variability is the role played by aerosols, since the related uncertainty greatly exceeds that of the other mechanisms combined all together (IPCC, 2001, 2007). Despite many improvements in characterizing dust source regions thanks to satellite products (Ginoux et al, 2012; Schepanski et al, 2012), modeling dust emission and transport is still challenging due to the high uncertainties associated with the diffuse character of the emissions, re-suspension processes, the inherent complexity of aerosol chemistry, and meteorological conditions, which strongly influence dust outbreaks and their spatiotemporal fields (e.g., Knippertz and Todd, 2012).

The WRF-Chem model
Model setup
Physical parameterizations
Aerosol-related model settings
Dust emission parameterization
Observational dataset
Aerosol horizontal field
AERONET AOD dataset
MODIS AOD dataset
Lidar datasets
In situ PM10 data
Results and discussion
Identification of desert dust source areas
Comparison of WRF-Chem and MODIS AOD over the Mediterranean
Model capability to reproduce the desert dust plume vertical patterns
Conclusions
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