Abstract

Problem. The most effective energy management strategies for hybrid vehicles and electric vehicles are optimization-based strategies. These strategies require prior knowledge of the driving cycle, which is not easy to predict. Goal. The goal is to combine the Worldwide harmonized light vehicles test cycle (WLTC) with short trips on small sections with real traffic levels to predict the energy and fuel consumption of hybrid vehicles and electric vehicles. Methodology. Research methods are experimental and mathematical. First of all, eight characteristic parameters are extracted from real speed profiles used on urban road sections in the city of Kharkiv under various road conditions, as well as on short WLTC trips. The minimum distance algorithm is used to compare parameters and determine three traffic levels (heavy, medium, and low traffic) for short WLTC trips. Thus, for each route determined using Google Maps, the energy and fuel consumption of hybrid vehicles and electric vehicles are estimated using short trips by the WLTC, adjusted for distances and traffic levels. In addition, a numerical model of the vehicle was implemented. It was used to test the accuracy of predicting fuel and energy consumption in accordance with the proposed methodology. Originality. For the methodology using only GM information is required as input data; no other device or software is required. This aspect makes the methodology extremely economical. Then, the algorithm regulating traffic levels shown by GM is unique and valid in all urban centers. This aspect makes the methodology universal. WLTC takes into account the driving styles of drivers around the world, so the methodology can be applied to any car driver. Prediction accuracy can be increased by taking into account other input information, such as the distribution of traffic light signals or the driver's typical gear shifting style. Results. The results are promising, as the average absolute percentage error between experimental driving cycles and projected ones is 3.89 % for fuel consumption, increasing to 6.80 % for energy consumption. Practical value. The possibility of energy forecasting and fuel consumption for a hybrid vehicle and an electric vehicle makes it possible to develop energy consumption management systems for HEVs that can manage the energy reserve to ensure full travel by electric traction in limited traffic zone (LTZ) or minimize local air pollution; increase the service life of energy reserves (usually batteries) by maintenance costs and disposal problems reducing; optimize the transmission-use efficiency due to fuel consumption and pollutants emissions reduction.

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