Abstract

Wet‐sclerophyll forests are unique ecosystems that can transition to dry‐sclerophyll forests or to rainforests. Understanding of the dynamics of these forests for conservation is limited. We evaluated the long‐term succession of wet‐sclerophyll forest on World Heritage listed K'gari (Fraser Island)—the world's largest sand island. We recorded the presence and growth of tree species in three 0.4 hectare plots that had been subjected to selective logging, fire, and cyclone disturbance over 65 years, from 1952 to 2017. Irrespective of disturbance regimes, which varied between plots, rainforest trees recruited at much faster rates than the dominant wet‐sclerophyll forest trees, narrowly endemic species Syncarpia hillii and more common Lophostemon confertus. Syncarpia hillii did not recruit at the plot with the least disturbance and recruited only in low numbers at plots with more prominent disturbance regimes in the ≥10 cm at breast height size. Lophostemon confertus recruited at all plots but in much lower numbers than rainforest trees. Only five L. confertus were detected in the smallest size class (<10 cm diameter) in the 2017 survey. Overall, we find evidence that more pronounced disturbance regimes than those that have occurred over the past 65 years may be required to conserve this wet‐sclerophyll forest, as without intervention, transition to rainforest is a likely trajectory. Fire and other management tools should therefore be explored, in collaboration with Indigenous landowners, to ensure conservation of this wet‐sclerophyll forest.

Highlights

  • Large spatio‐temporal variation, natural and anthropogenic distur‐ bances, and changes in tree population density may lead to different forest communities that are not predicted by current ecological and successional theory

  • Australian wet‐sclerophyll forests occur over a large latitudinal range in Australia and are typically dominated by canopy trees in the Eucalypteae tribe and wider Myrtaceae family (Ashton & Attiwill, 1994; Donders, Wagner, & Visscher, 2006) with varying understorey depending on climate and disturbance histories (Donders et al, 2006; Harrington & Sanderson, 1994; King, 1985)

  • Long‐term datasets like the one we explore here on forests in Australia are rare and have provided valuable insight into community assembly (Firn, Erskine, & Lamb, 2007; Wills et al, 2018), but their design presents some limitations as disturbance histories varied and an unlogged forest site was unavailable for comparison

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Summary

| INTRODUCTION

Large spatio‐temporal variation, natural and anthropogenic distur‐ bances, and changes in tree population density may lead to different forest communities that are not predicted by current ecological and successional theory (i.e., alternative stable states; Beisner, Haydon, & Cuddington, 2003). (Attiwill, 1994a), including fire that maintains savannas (e.g., Bond, Woodward, & Midgley, 2004, Russell‐Smith et al, 2013), forest and woodlands of North America (Ryan, Knapp, & Varner, 2013), and tall open forests of southwest Australia (Burrows & McCaw, 2013) One such fire‐dependent system is wet‐sclerophyll forests that form an ecotone between dry‐sclerophyll forest and rainforest (Peeters & Butler, 2014; Stanton, Parsons, Stanton, & Stott, 2014), and the focus of our study. We hypothesize that the current no/low disturbance regime will lead to (a) the eventual decline of focus species Syncarpia hillii and Lophostemon confertus as competi‐ tion by rainforest species increases; and (b) changes in tree species diversity, composition, and relative basal area

| MATERIALS AND METHODS
Findings
| DISCUSSION
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