Abstract
The impact of winter weather conditions on airport capacity involves a complex relationship among several factors including precipitation rate and type, temperature, deicing capabilities, snow removal equipment, and airport procedures. This paper describes an airport capacity model which accounts for winter weather conditions. The model is based on statistical relationships observed among weather conditions, historical departure counts, and derived weather-related metrics across three co nsecutive winter seasons. A set of linear coefficients is defined specific to each airport fo r relating reported winter weather conditions with observed deviations in airport departure rates . These coefficients are applied to translate winter weather forecasts into airport cap acity estimates accounting for empirical distributions in weather forecast uncertainty. Mode l predictions are compared against observed airport throughput during an actual winter weather event.
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