WINTER FOOD SUPPLY LIMITS GROWTH OF NORTHERN VOLE POPULATIONS IN THE ABSENCE OF PREDATION

Abstract

Mathematical models have suggested that population cycles of northern voles are generated by a combined effect of delayed and direct density-dependent mechanisms. Predation is considered to be the most likely mechanism affecting vole populations in a delayed density-dependent manner. We conducted a replicated two-factor experiment with the field vole (Microtus agrestis) during 1999-2001 in western Finland, manipulating both predation rate and winter food supply to evaluate whether a shortage of winter food has the potential to limit the growth of vole populations in a direct density-dependent manner. Vole populations in fenced predator exclosures rapidly attained higher densities than in unfenced areas, with the difference persisting until the end of the experiment. In the first winter, food supplementation increased vole population growth in fenced areas, but not in unfenced areas. The growth of vole populations in both supplemented and nonsupplemented fenced areas became limited in a direct density-dependent manner during the first winter. During the second winter, food supplementation prevented the crash of vole populations within fences, whereas again no obvious effect was found in the areas exposed to predation. Furthermore, supplemental winter food increased the overwinter survival of voles in fenced areas in both winters. Our results indicate that Microtus vole populations that have succeeded in escaping regulation by predators are limited in growth by a lack of winter food. This factor is thus a strong candidate for the direct density dependence inherently necessary for the occurrence of population cycles.