Abstract
Polio is one of the most important issues which have caught the global attention. It has been eradicated globally except Pakistan and Afghanistan. Its quiet alarming, where whole world is polio free, still polio cases are emerging from Pakistan. The major motivation behind this research is to study and analyze the past cases (trend analysis) and to predict the number of future cases and obstacles hindering Pakistan to eliminate polio. The areas with peak level of influx could be prioritized for effective tracking, planning and monitoring of vaccination activities and better utilization of human resources for targeted and controlled interventions. It shall provide better management and resource allocation decisions for speedy eradication of this epidemic syndrome. Polio cases are displayed on Google Maps for localization and clustering, and trend analysis is performed for future prediction using linear regression.
Highlights
Poliomyelitis causes lifelong paralysis and once suffered it cannot be cured
Polio is confined to only two countries i.e. Pakistan and Afghanistan
Pakistan caught the global attention of the world in the year 2014 when 306/359 confirmed polio cases were reported
Summary
Poliomyelitis causes lifelong paralysis and once suffered it cannot be cured It can be prevented by getting proper and in time vaccination. In 2014 only three countries reported confirmed polio cases i.e. Afghanistan, Nigeria and Pakistan [1]. Pakistan caught the global attention of the world in the year 2014 when 306/359 confirmed polio cases were reported. Developing countries are facing very serious health issues along with severe shortage of resources. One of such serious health threats is named as „Poliomyelitis‟ [2]. „polio‟ (meaning grey), „myelon‟ (meaning marrow) that of spinal cord and Latin suffix „itis‟ (meaning inflammation) [4] It is one the most deadly and stable virus. Patients of poliomyelitis are mostly in the age between two and five years old in the developing countries where the hygienic conditions are pathetic [5]
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