Wind power prediction using time-series analysis base on rough sets

Abstract

In long-term prediction, dealing with the relevant factors correctly is the key point to improve the wind power prediction accuracy. The key factors that affect the wind power prediction are identified by rough set theory and then the additional inputs of the prediction model are determined. To test the approach, the weather data from Beijing area are used for this study. The prediction results are presented and compared to the chaos neural network model and persistence model. The results show that rough set method will be a useful tool in long-term prediction of wind power.