Wind power forecasting method of large-scale wind turbine clusters based on DBSCAN clustering and an enhanced hunter-prey optimization algorithm

Abstract

As the large-scale grid connection of wind turbines poses challenges to the safe and stable operation of the power grid, it is necessary to forecast the power of wind turbine clusters. However, with the rapid increase in the installed capacity of wind turbines, simultaneously improving the accuracy and efficiency of large-scale wind-turbine cluster power prediction models has become a challenge. In this research, a novel hybrid power-forecasting model for wind-turbine clusters has been designed using density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) and an enhanced hunter-prey optimization algorithm (ENHPO). First, the Pearson correlation coefficient was used to select multiple variables that significantly affected the wind power. Second, multiple wind turbines are clustered into different groups using the DBSCAN clustering algorithm, and ENHPO is employed to optimize the DBSCAN parameters to strengthen the clustering performance. Finally, one wind turbine with a high correlation was selected as the representative wind turbine in each group, and power prediction was achieved using the multivariate long short-term memory. Simulation results of four datasets in different seasons show that, compared with other clustering methods, such as fuzzy C-means, balanced iterative reduction, and clustering using hierarchies, K-means, and density peak clustering, the prediction accuracy and prediction efficiency of the proposed hybrid prediction model are improved by 21.85% and 18.07%, respectively, on average. The experimental results effectively demonstrate that the designed model can enhance the accuracy and efficiency of power forecasting simultaneously.