Wind power access site selection method based on scenario probability

Abstract

The fluctuation of new energy output makes the power system operation more complex, and the traditional power system tide calculation is no longer fully applicable. Therefore, the determination of wind farm output and site selection is important and fundamental research at present. Based on this, a combination of wind farm output scenario and probability is proposed. The site selection model with the minimum network loss of the distribution network as the optimization objective is proposed. First, the wind farm output is clustered into several typical scenarios by K-Means, and the output time series model and the probability of each typical scenario are obtained. The probabilities of each scenario are multiplied by the network losses under that scenario. Then, the network losses obtained for all individual scenarios are summed up and used as the minimum objective function. The model is solved by a genetic algorithm with tidal current constraint and node voltage constraint to derive the optimal wind farm access point. With the IEEE33 node, simulations are performed to derive the minimum value of the daily average network loss, which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the optimized model.