Abstract

BackgroundNull Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is the most familiar statistical procedure for making inferences about population effects. Important problems associated with this method have been addressed and various alternatives that overcome these problems have been developed. Despite its many well-documented drawbacks, NHST remains the prevailing method for drawing conclusions from data. Reasons for this have been insufficiently investigated. Therefore, the aim of our study was to explore the perceived barriers and facilitators related to the use of NHST and alternative statistical procedures among relevant stakeholders in the scientific system.MethodsIndividual semi-structured interviews and focus groups were conducted with junior and senior researchers, lecturers in statistics, editors of scientific journals and program leaders of funding agencies. During the focus groups, important themes that emerged from the interviews were discussed. Data analysis was performed using the constant comparison method, allowing emerging (sub)themes to be fully explored. A theory substantiating the prevailing use of NHST was developed based on the main themes and subthemes we identified.ResultsTwenty-nine interviews and six focus groups were conducted. Several interrelated facilitators and barriers associated with the use of NHST and alternative statistical procedures were identified. These factors were subsumed under three main themes: the scientific climate, scientific duty, and reactivity. As a result of the factors, most participants feel dependent in their actions upon others, have become reactive, and await action and initiatives from others. This may explain why NHST is still the standard and ubiquitously used by almost everyone involved.ConclusionOur findings demonstrate how perceived barriers to shift away from NHST set a high threshold for actual behavioral change and create a circle of interdependency between stakeholders. By taking small steps it should be possible to decrease the scientific community’s strong dependence on NHST and p-values.

Highlights

  • Empirical studies often start from the idea that there might be an association between a specific factor and a certain outcome within a population

  • The aim of our study was to explore the perceived barriers and facilitators related to the use of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) and alternative statistical procedures among relevant stakeholders in the scientific system

  • Several interrelated facilitators and barriers associated with the use of NHST and alternative statistical procedures were identified

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Summary

Introduction

Empirical studies often start from the idea that there might be an association between a specific factor and a certain outcome within a population This idea is referred to as the alternative hypothesis (H1). When the p-value is smaller than a prespecified value (labelled as alpha, usually set at 5% (0.05)), results are generally declared to be statistically significant At this point, researchers commonly reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis [2]. Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is the most familiar statistical procedure for making inferences about population effects. Despite its many well-documented drawbacks, NHST remains the prevailing method for drawing conclusions from data. Reasons for this have been insufficiently investigated. The aim of our study was to explore the perceived barriers and facilitators related to the use of NHST and alternative statistical procedures among relevant stakeholders in the scientific system.

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