Abstract

Several investigators have discussed various reasons for the large and consistent difference in the relative risk estimates per unit exposure to air pollution derived from time-series and cohort study designs. This article considers whether the two study designs are estimating fundamentally different parameters even though both are commonly expressed in terms of relative risk coefficients. A frailty model for air pollution mortality is proposed to illustrate some of the theoretical behaviors of heterogeneous populations exposed to time-varying pollution patterns and their implications for the kinds of summary measures widely used in air pollution risk assessment.

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