Abstract

Erdoğan’s success in the May 2023 presidential election came as a surprise to many . It masks long-term changes in Turkey’s party system . One constant, however, is the strong support for Erdoğan in many Western European migration societies . The article first sum- marizes the explanatory factors for the deviating electoral behavior of the Turkish electorate in Germany and then outlines the interest-driven reform of Turkish electoral law under AKP governments . In the empirical part, the results are analyzed cross-sectionally at the level of the 17 locations of polling stations in Germany and long-term developments are summarized . The regional strongholds of the parties across Germany are also stable in the long term .

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