White Blood Cell Counts and Future Relapse in Ulcerative Colitis under Low-Dose Thiopurine Treatment in Real-World Practice: A 3-Year Japanese Multi-Center Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Introduction: Whether white blood cell (WBC) counts are predictors for the effectiveness of thiopurine treatment in ulcerative colitis (UC) has been inconclusive in previous studies with small sample sizes. We investigated the association between WBC counts and future relapses in UC patients in a large-scale multi-center study. Methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled a total of 723 UC patients in remission from 33 hospitals and followed up for 3 years. Relapse was defined as a need for treatment intensification. The risk of relapse was compared among patients with the baseline WBC counts <3,000/µL (N = 31), 3,000–4,000/µL (N = 167), 4,000–5,000/µL (N = 241), and ≥5,000/µL (N = 284) using a Cox regression model analysis. Moreover, exploratory analyses were conducted to identify other factors predicting relapse. Results: During a median follow-up period of 1,095 (interquartile range, 1,032–1,119) days, relapse occurred in 17.2% (125/723). In a crude analysis, WBC counts were not associated with relapse; hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) were 1.50 (0.74–3.06), 1.02 (0.66–1.59), and 0.67 (0.43–1.05) in WBC <3,000/µL, 3,000–4,000/µL, and 4,000–5,000/µL groups, respectively (WBC ≥5,000/µL group, as reference). Multivariable-adjusted analyses showed similar results; HRs (95% CI) were 1.21 (0.59–2.49), 1.08 (0.69–1.69), and 0.69 (0.44–1.07), in <3,000/µL, 3,000–4,000/µL, and 4,000–5,000/µL groups, respectively. In the exploratory analyses, thiopurine use <1 year and a mean corpuscular volume <90 fL were predictors for relapse. Discussion/Conclusion: WBC counts were not predictors for future relapses in patients with UC treated with thiopurine as a maintenance therapy.