Abstract

Sustainably feeding the next generation is often described as one of the most pressing “grand challenges” facing the 21st century. Generally, scholars propose addressing this problem by increasing agricultural production, investing in technology to boost yields, changing diets, or reducing food waste. In this paper, we explore whether global food production is nutritionally balanced by comparing the diet that nutritionists recommend versus global agricultural production statistics. Results show that the global agricultural system currently overproduces grains, fats, and sugars while production of fruits and vegetables and protein is not sufficient to meet the nutritional needs of the current population. Correcting this imbalance could reduce the amount of arable land used by agriculture by 51 million ha globally but would increase total land used for agriculture by 407 million ha and increase greenhouse gas emissions. For a growing population, our calculations suggest that the only way to eat a nutritionally balanced diet, save land and reduce greenhouse gas emissions is to consume and produce more fruits and vegetables as well as transition to diets higher in plant-based protein. Such a move will help protect habitats and help meet the Sustainable Development Goals.

Highlights

  • Producing enough food for the growing human population while reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental impacts from farming is a major global challenge [1,2]

  • Nor is it known whether a switch towards a nutritionally balanced diet might reduce the environmental impact of food production, helping meet Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement targets

  • We do this by comparing the types of diets nutritionists recommend versus global agricultural production statistics, and explore options for producing a nutritionally balanced global diet

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Summary

Introduction

Producing enough food for the growing human population while reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental impacts from farming is a major global challenge [1,2]. Proposed solutions commonly focus on boosting production by approximately 70%, increasing yields in unproductive regions, eliminating waste, and reducing meat consumption [3,4,5] Such solutions may help reach some of the environmental targets set by international agreements such as the Paris Climate Agreement [6,7] and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) [8,9,10]. A recent paper [11], found that a global shift towards current Western diets, an already observed trend in many parts of Asia, could lead to increased land use by 1 Giga hectare This suggests that at least some commonly used nutritional guidelines need to be considered in terms of their impact on environmental sustainability [11]. We do this by comparing the types of diets nutritionists recommend versus global agricultural production statistics, and explore options for producing a nutritionally balanced global diet

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