Abstract

Identifying the factors modulating range expansion is essential to accurately predict changes in the spatial distribution of populations. By preventing population growth after dispersal, Allee effects can lead to front stops in discrete space, called 'pinning' if permanent. However, other mechanisms, such as positive density‐dependent dispersal, have also been shown to affect the rate of range expansion and generate discrete‐space front stops, albeit temporarily. In this study, we investigated the stability of the front stops generated by such mechanisms in relation to the carrying capacity of the environment. To this end, we performed artificial range expansions in discrete space using stochastic simulations and microcosm experiments. Simulation results confirmed that density‐dependent dispersal alone can generate sustained front stops, albeit for a limited range of carrying capacities. We also highlighted the synergy between Allee effects and density‐dependent dispersal on pinning emergence. Experimental results, obtained using a model species known to exhibit density‐dependent dispersal, but without Allee effects, confirmed the model results. Furthermore, our study raises the issue of carefully considering the conditions for pinning stability, in a stochastic context and depending on the time‐scale considered.

Highlights

  • Identifying the factors modulating range expansion is critical to accurately predict changes in the spatial distribution of populations

  • This study shows that Allee effects are not systematically required to generate range pinning

  • Our results indicate that density-dependent dispersal is sufficient, for specific shapes of relationship between density and dispersal, and under specific conditions concerning the carrying capacity of the patches

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Summary

Introduction

Identifying the factors modulating range expansion is critical to accurately predict changes in the spatial distribution of populations. The dynamics of range shifts are complex and influenced by the interaction of multiple biotic and abiotic factors that affect population growth and dispersal through eco-evolutionary processes (Gaston 2009). Untangling these underlying factors and their respective effects is essential to the management of populations experiencing range shifts, whether they are invasive (Whitney and Gabler 2008, Tobin et al 2011), affected by climate change Oikos. By driving new colonies ahead of the front to extinction, Allee effects can slow down range expansion

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