Abstract
<p>Wheat (<em>Triticumaestivum</em>) is one of the world's three major food crops, whose production is related to regional food security issues. Studies have shown that technological progress and climate change have a significant impact on wheat yield. We selected North China region as the study site because it is the main producer of wheat and because it experiences active climate change. Using the Agricultural Land Management Alternatives with Numerical Assessment Criteriamodel and statistical analysis method, the following factors were considered to determine the dominant factor that affects wheat production: temperature, precipitation, sunshine, and other climatic factors, mechanical power, irrigation area, chemical fertilizer amount, reservoir total storage capacity, and other technical factors.Results showed that wheat productionis affected by both climatic and non-climatic factors in North China region. Increased temperature has a positive impact on wheat production, whereas reduceds unshine has a negative effect. Warm and dry climate trends areconducive to wheat production. Mechanical tillage and fertilization, irrigation, and water conditions are conducive to the production of wheat, among which water condition has the most significant effect onwheat yield improvement. Compared withthe effects of climaticfactors, those of technical factors are more obvious and direct. In the premise of guaranteed technical conditions, the impactof climate changeonwheat production is more evidentindeveloped areas. Underdeveloped areas of wheat production are more dependent on technological progress; in particular, they rely on the use of chemical fertilizers.</p><p> </p>
Highlights
Climate changes affect many aspects of the natural world, including the development of human society as a whole
Using the Agricultural Land Management Alternatives with Numerical Assessment Criteriamodel and statistical analysis method, the following factors were considered to determine the dominant factor that affects wheat production: temperature, precipitation, sunshine, and other climatic factors, mechanical power, irrigation area, chemical fertilizer amount, reservoir total storage capacity, and other technical factors.Results showed that wheat productionis affected by both climatic and non-climatic factors in North China region
Underdeveloped areas of wheat production are more dependent on technological progress; in particular, they rely on the use of chemical fertilizers
Summary
Climate changes affect many aspects of the natural world, including the development of human society as a whole. Ecosystem responses to global climate change, especially responses of agro-ecosystem, have increasingly become the focus of geographical scholars and meteorologists. The Fourth Assessment Reportof the Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change in 2007 revealed that global warming amplitude (0.13 oC/10a) nearly doubledin the past 100 years and that the warming amplitude in the northern hemisphere is higher than that in the southern hemisphere. Climate change alters the distribution of light, heat, and moisture, thereby affecting crop growth, development, production, and regional distribution, as well ascropping systems. Full understanding of crop phenological variation has important theoretical and practical significance in the aspects of crop yield estimation, farming season prediction, and climate change trend prediction
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
