Abstract

Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD)-based global space weather models have mostly been developed and maintained at academic institutions. While the “free spirit” approach of academia enables the rapid emergence and testing of new ideas and methods, the lack of long-term stability and support makes this arrangement very challenging. This paper describes a successful example of a university-based group, the Center of Space Environment Modeling (CSEM) at the University of Michigan, that developed and maintained the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) and its core element, the BATS-R-US extended MHD code. It took a quarter of a century to develop this capability and reach its present level of maturity that makes it suitable for research use by the space physics community through the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) as well as operational use by the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC).

Highlights

  • Over the past few decades there has been an increasing awareness of the potentially devastating impact that the dynamic space environment can have on human assets

  • In this paper we describe the evolution and current capabilities of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) and its unique capabilities to address the myriad of processes involved in studying and predicting space weather

  • In the main text we focus on the the broad range of space weather simulations made possible by the advanced capabilities of BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive-Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme) and SWMF

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Summary

Introduction

Over the past few decades there has been an increasing awareness of the potentially devastating impact that the dynamic space environment can have on human assets. Simulating and predicting space weather with first-principles models requires space physics expertise for the various sub-domains. There are only a couple of physics-based space weather models that are capable of spanning the entire region from the low solar corona to the edge of the heliosphere. In the main text we focus on the the broad range of space weather simulations made possible by the advanced capabilities of BATS-R-US (Block Adaptive-Tree Solar-wind Roe-type Upwind Scheme) and SWMF. Appendix E describes our most advanced simulation capability that embeds fully kinetic domains inside extended MHD models

Empirical models
Black-box models
Physics-based models
The origins of BATS-R-US and SWMF
The SWMF today
Threaded-Field-Line Model and AWSoM-R
Virtual Magnetic Observatories
Ambient solar wind
CME generation
ICME Simulation
Solar energetic particle simulations
Rigidity cutoff simulations
Mesoscale resolving magnetosphere simulations
Ionospheric outflow simulations
Mesoscale ionosphere simulations
Geomagnetic index simulations
MHD-EPIC and MHD-AEPIC
MHD-EPIC results
Planetary environments and solar analogs
Machine learning
Neural network predictions of solar flares
Open-source Development
Concluding remarks
Adaptive mesh refinement
BATS-R-US Performance
Structure
Couplers
Original SWMF modules
Additional Simulation Tools
M-FLAMPA
Conservation Laws in BATS-R-US
Extended MHD Equations
Six Moment Equations
Source terms
Coupled MHD turbulence
Kinetic PWOM
Dynamic Global Core Plasma Model
Rice Convection Model
R20 o oR0
SEP Models
GCR Models
Simulating virtual magnetic observatories
Biot-Savart integral for currents in the magnetosphere
Magnetic field perturbations caused by field-aligned currents
Geomagnetic indexes
New Diagnostics
Line-of-Sight Images
SPECTRUM
Advanced spatial discretization methods
Only moderately more expensive than the second order
Advanced Time Integration Methods
Hybrid schemes
Findings
Achieving and maintaining high performance
Full Text
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